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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Saturday, July 28, 2001

Ken Griffey Jr.

Shows that any team that gives him a GM job after he retires is truly unfortunate.

“If we keep these guys, we have a 75 percent chance of getting to the World Series. If not, there’s maybe an 80 percent chance that we won’t ...”

- Ken Griffey Jr. on Danny Graves, Pokey Reese, and Dmitri Young

Dan Szymborski Posted: July 28, 2001 at 03:38 PM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Eugene Posted: July 28, 2001 at 05:55 PM (#551601)
Rob Neyer always points out that players would make the worst GMs, and Griffey is no different. If he thinks the all-out Pokey Reese improves the chances of his team making the World Series, by a portion of the 55% increase he attributes to those three players, he knows nothing about baseball more than how to play.

If those 3 players truly add up to an additional 55% of making the World Series then Graves and Young must equal about an additional 60% chance in and of themselves. Todd Walker is a significant improvement, despite his defensive weaknesses. Not that Walker is all that great shakes at the plate, but he's probably worth an additional 25 runs a year. Reese's defensive improvement doesn't prevent that many, I can't imagine.

Dmitri Young is quite the average player. Dealing him, considering the great depth they have in the OF, won't hurt in the least.

I agree with Griffey on this one... the Reds should keep Danny Graves.
   2. Darren Posted: July 29, 2001 at 12:47 AM (#551602)
Griffey's got to be quite frustrated after taking a cheap contract, that his team continues to deal guys who make very little for financial reasons.

Have you ever said anything like, "The whole world is against me." That's all that Griffey did, but he used percentages, which set off some alarm bells around here.

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