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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Mariners - Signed Figgy Pudding

Seattle Mariners - Signed 3B Chone Figgins to a 4-year, $36 million contract.

I have mixed feelings about this signing.  Figgins is a really solid player, with a broad base of skills that I feel will keep him from truly ever being a disaster for the Mariners.  That being said, I do worry about the length of the contract considering his age and the fact that he really needs to maintain most of his offensive value at 3B.  I just can’t help remembering how quickly Jose Offerman’s skills went downhill after a few leg injuries.

All-in-all, I don’t expect the Mariners to get burnt too badly if things go wrong.  If Figgins becomes a 340/330 player, while that’s obviously not good, it’s not that damaging if he’s still a +5-10 run defender.  Similarily, if his defense regresses, he’s still a really good player if he can maintain 350/350 or so.  I guess I do like the contract as a whole, just a little uncomfortable about that 4th year.

ZiPS Projection - Chone Figgins (3B)
————————————————————————————————————————-
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA OBP SLG OPS+  DEF
————————————————————————————————————————-
2010       497 85 139 21   4   4   41 75 99 36 .280 .373 .362   99   VG  
2011       505 85 138 21   4   4   40 76 103 34 .273 .367 .354   95   VG
2012       501 82 134 20   4   4   39 74 106 32 .267 .360 .347   91   VG
2013       487 79 126 18   3   4   36 72 110 28 .259 .353 .333   86   AV
————————————————————————————————————————-
Top Offensive Comps:  Bob Dillinger, Heinie Groh, Don Buford

ODDIBE

Offense
Top Quintile   10%
2nd Quintile   23%
Mid Quintile   27%
4th Quintile   25%
Low Quintile   15%

OPS+              OBP           3B         Hits
160+        0%    .400+    18%    10+    4%    200+  0%
140+        0%    .375+    46%    5+    44%    150+  24%
130+        2%    .350+    79%
120+        10%  .325+    97%    2B
110+        23%  .300+    100%  45+    0%
100+        45%                30+    10%
90+          73%
80+          93%
60+          99%

BA               SLG           HR         SB
.350+        1%    .550+    0%    50+    0%    70+    0%
.325+        6%    .500+    0%    40+    0%    50+    12%
.300+        23%  .450+    1%    30+    0%    30+    79%
.275+        56%  .400+    17%    20+    0%    10+    100%
.250+        87%  .350+    65%    10+    3%

(Based on Projected PA)

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 09, 2009 at 03:32 PM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. J. Lowenstein Apathy Club Posted: December 10, 2009 at 12:06 AM (#3408621)
Not too many guys in the modern game are an offensive comparable to the progenitor of the bottle bat.
   2. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: December 10, 2009 at 12:54 AM (#3408661)
My thoughts, when I heard the deal, were the same as Dan's: good player, good AAV but 4th year is going to be a problem.
   3. OCF Posted: December 10, 2009 at 01:36 AM (#3408685)
"Figgy Pudding"? Did they sign Rex Hudler at the same time?

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