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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Mets - Signed K-Rod

New York Mets - Signed P Kfrancisco Rodriguez (K is silent) to a 3-year, $37 million contract.

Based on the team weaknesses going into this offseason, the money they hand to spend, and where the team is in the success cycle, you knew the Mets were going to go out and get a closer, the only question was which one.  While I think I would go with Brian Fuentes, I’m sure Minaya’s thinking “The fanbase is already pissed and screaming for my head, so I’m getting the biggest name closer dammit.”  Rodriguez will be a good addition to the bullpen and given it’s still just a 3-year deal (with option) and not for some groundbreaking new closer salary, the Mets should be happy with their forced move.

As usual, ZiPS has a love affair with Rodriguez.  Also thinks he should have signed with the Blue Jays.

ZiPS Projection - Francisco Rodriguez
————————————————————————————————-
        W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA   ERA+
————————————————————————————————-
2009     5   1 74   0   74   50   22   4 35 102 2.68   160
————————————————————————————————-
Top Comps:  Tom Henke, Duane Ward

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 10, 2008 at 07:20 PM | 12 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. The Clarence Thomas of BBTF (scott) Posted: December 10, 2008 at 07:37 PM (#3025097)
If he meets that ZIPS, we're gonna be fairly happy fans.
   2. RJ in TO Posted: December 10, 2008 at 07:53 PM (#3025133)
I miss the Blue Jays bullpens from the early 90s. Henke and Ward were just a murderous pairing.
   3. Erik, Pinch-Commenter Posted: December 10, 2008 at 08:37 PM (#3025215)
It sucks that the Angels were willing to throw 4 years at Justin Spiere just 2 offseasons ago, but are now unwilling to bring back Rodriguez on a 3 year deal for just a few million more overall than the per-FA contract they offered him a year ago.
   4. Dewey, Crackpot and Soupuss Posted: December 10, 2008 at 08:41 PM (#3025220)
I miss the Blue Jays bullpens from the early 90s. Henke and Ward were just a murderous pairing.

I was just thinking the same thing.

Wasn't there a season where not only did they have Henke and Ward, but David Wells was coming out of the bullpen (to good effect), too?
   5. RJ in TO Posted: December 10, 2008 at 08:46 PM (#3025229)
Wasn't there a season where not only did they have Henke and Ward, but David Wells was coming out of the bullpen (to good effect), too?


They had Timlin as well, although he and Wells were never in the bullpen at the same time. Basically, Wells was mostly starting at that point.
   6. Golfing Great Mitch Cumstein Posted: December 11, 2008 at 12:17 AM (#3025530)
I don't get ZIPS. How can his walk rate stay the same and his K rate beat anything he did in the last 3 years? Is that a league difference? If so, does it account for relievers being less likely to face pitchers?

Another question. Writers have been saying that the contract Rodriguez signed was a result of the economy. My impression is that the closer position in general and K-Rod specifically have been talked down by main stream media and that the contract is more a result of changing attitudes towards closers than anything else.
   7. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 11, 2008 at 01:16 AM (#3025586)
I don't get ZIPS. How can his walk rate stay the same and his K rate beat anything he did in the last 3 years? Is that a league difference?

League and park difference.

If so, does it account for relievers being less likely to face pitchers?

I assume relievers don't face pitchers. The mix automatically changes based on the G/GS ratio.
   8. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 11, 2008 at 01:22 AM (#3025592)
Another question. Writers have been saying that the contract Rodriguez signed was a result of the economy. My impression is that the closer position in general and K-Rod specifically have been talked down by main stream media and that the contract is more a result of changing attitudes towards closers than anything else.

I haven't noticed that, though perhaps it just flew under my radar. As far as I can tell, closers are as loved as ever (K-Rod still finished 3rd in the Cy and Lidge 4th). Now, I couldn't tell you if something's changed in front offices - I have a strange habit of talking to people in baseball about everything but baseball.
   9. Walt Davis Posted: December 11, 2008 at 02:55 AM (#3025645)
While I think I would go with Brian Fuentes, I'm sure Minaya's thinking "The fanbase is already pissed and screaming for my head, so I'm getting the biggest name closer dammit."

Maybe. I was thinking they'd go Fuentes but only because I thought they'd have to really overpay for K-Rod. It wouldn't surprise me if Minaya was thinking in the Fuentes direction then found out they could get K-Rod for 3/$37. If K-Rod goes for 3/$37, what does Fuentes get? The Mets could conceivably sign them both!

Also what other big money team was in the market for a closer? The Mets pretty much had their pick.

My impression is that the closer position in general and K-Rod specifically have been talked down by main stream media

I guess there was a certain amount of that what with a couple more saber-aware writers popping up here or there (wasn't there even an NYT article on closers returning little value). But my impression was again largely driven by the notion that K-Rod was gonna get something like 5/$75. I'm about as "don't spend money on a closer" as you can get and even I might take K-Rod at 3/$37, especially if I had the Mets' resources.
   10. zonk Posted: December 11, 2008 at 05:13 AM (#3025736)
I miss the Blue Jays bullpens from the early 90s. Henke and Ward were just a murderous pairing.


Kids.

No love for the Mark Eichhorn/Henke pairing.
   11. David Concepcion de la Desviacion Estandar (Dan R) Posted: December 11, 2008 at 03:06 PM (#3025974)
(wasn't there even an NYT article on closers returning little value)


Yes, there was, and boy was it brilliant. That writer must be a genius, and an all-around nice guy as well. :)
   12. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 11, 2008 at 03:53 PM (#3026029)
That writer must be a genius, and an all-around nice guy as well.

Tail of Roses is OK, I guess...

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