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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Saturday, April 17, 2004
Montreal Expos
Signed P Livan Hernandez to a 3-year contract extension worth $21 million.
They won’t keep Vlad. Or Bartolo. Or Vazquez. Or Cabrera or Vidro when the time comes. But Expo fans can rest assured that Livan Hernandez will remain.
Livan was excellent last year and he’s been good in the very brief season to date, but $7 million a year? Unlike the Angels case with GA, it can’t be argued that the Expos wallets are open and the $7 million won’t prevent other signings. For a team that’s investment goal is to spending nothing and making it retroactive, this contract could look pretty ugly in 2 years. And if the plan’s to spend a lot prior to a move to DC, I can think of better players on the team to spend a lot on.
Dan Szymborski
Posted: April 17, 2004 at 01:38 PM | 7 comment(s)
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Patterson, to me at least, seems to be Armas Jr. Insurance (always a handy thing to have). He should go north to Montreal after this spring.
I think Choate would have been better of (READ: gotten more work) in the Montreal 'pen, but at least he's out of New York and away from Joe Torre's lack of confidence in him.
Man, it feels weird approving of one of Minaya's trades.
That's why I'm curious how much money they are saving. Patterson has upside. Choate doesn't.
This is typical D-Back treatment of younger players: they grossly misdiagnose the talent they have, pout when they don't meet absurd expectations (Durazo, Overbay, Patterson, Spivey, Kim) and give them away for "veteran presence."
What are the odds that Spark or Reynolds, much less both, put together a more valuable season than Patterson? Especially for the money?
I suspect they're probably both making closing to minimum.
If you're a team looking to dump a guy's salary, you sure as hell don't trade him to the EXPOS.
Damn, I hope he buys me one. I could really use a falafel right now.
He'd also be smart to blow some of that cash on Chinese food from Le Gourmet Hot & Spicy. That's some good eatin'.
I don't think we can assume that the Expos have any more than $7mil to work with,
Hard to say. Don't forget they also added Everett for at least 2 years (assuming he exercises his option for 2005) at $7.5 M and Tony Batista for one year at $1.5 M. Vidro is currently at $9 M, Cabrera at $6 M. Rocky Biddle is making nearly $2 M and Joey Eischen a stunning (to me at least) $1.3 M. (I assume somebody else is picking up most of Einar Diaz's $2.6 M)
Just looking at Everett, Batista, Biddle, and Eischen, that's about $8 M this year tied up in not a lot of talent. Take that $8 M, trade Cabrera, and that's $14 M with which they could have kept Vlad. I'm not saying that would have been the best use of those resources, but it could have been done and it's hard to see how the team would have been substantially worse off.
Perhaps more importantly, they could keep (say) Vidro and Cabrera (neither of whom is likely to make much if any more than they're making now). Making matters worse, Ohka, Armas, and Day will be getting more expensive. But they'll have $23 M tied up in the next 3 years of Livan.
I'd much rather put the money towards Livan than to Jose Vidro. They're the same age, but Vidro is a much bigger injury risk.
He's got playoff/Series experience and is a (medium-good) horse. He'd be a great innings-eater for a team on the bubble but not for a team in the rubble.
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