BBTF's Transaction Oracle Discussion :: Orioles

Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Orioles - Signed Trachsel

Baltimore Orioles - Signed P Steve Trachsel to a 1-year, $3.1 million contract.

If Plan B for the Orioles in case of an injury to a starting pitcher was really just “quickly find a bad pitcher that Peter Angelos has heard of” they might as well have saved themselves the trouble and kept Rodrigo Lopez. Dollars to donuts says the new master plan when they go 74-88 this year is to go on their new, shill radio station in October and bemoan their worst luck in baseball history

2007 ZiPS Projections 
——————————————————————————————-

Player      W   L   G  GS   IP    H   ER  HR  BB  SO   ERA
——————————————————————————————-

Trachsel    9  13  29  29  163  190   94  24  69  72  5.19 
——————————————————————————————-

Dan Szymborski Posted: February 13, 2007 at 09:14 PM | 16 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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1. Free Rob Base Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:04 PM (#2297041)

That projection is optimistic, IMO. $3 million? Ouch. Chan Ho Park must be kicking himself.

2. Gern Blanston Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:09 PM (#2297052)

That projection is optimistic, IMO.

Really? Wow. My first thought was "dude--those projected peripherals suck arse." I'll defer to Base's knowledge of him, though, as I've not seen him nearly as often in recent years.

3. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:17 PM (#2297065)

That's better than Mark Redman's projection.

4. Gern Blanston Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:20 PM (#2297070)

Redman hasn't signed yet, has he?

5. ligtreb Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:20 PM (#2297071)

Yikes.

6. Honkie Kong Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:25 PM (#2297072)

giving up 190 hits and 69 BBs and having an ERA of just 5.19? that sounds a bit wrong.
translated, of the 259 baserunners, 92 score.
when you add in 24 HRs, 68 out out of 235 score or about 30%. is that normal?

7. Free Rob Base Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:27 PM (#2297075)

My first thought was "dude--those projected peripherals suck arse."

I think he will walk more than the 69 projected. Last year he pitched 164 innigns and walked 78. Last year his ERA was 4.97. Going from the NL East with a very good defense to the AL East with an Orioles defense, I would think he ERA would rise to something well above the 5.19 projected. I'd be shocked if he pitched well enough/stayed healthy enough to pitch 164 innings this year.

8. Honkie Kong Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:42 PM (#2297087)

I decided to waste some time and look it up

projected for next year : 70/245 = .285
career ER/BR : 777/3260 = .238

So actually, it is above normal.

career runs / BR : 868/3260 = .268
this doesn't count BR put on by errors.

For last 3 full years though
ER / BR : 267/818 = .326!!

Is this a better way than BABIP to check if a pitcher is getting lucky?

9. Honkie Kong Posted: February 13, 2007 at 10:47 PM (#2297096)

whoops forgot to take HRs out of it.

becomes 193/744 = .259

10. CrosbyBird Posted: February 13, 2007 at 11:04 PM (#2297112)

$3 million? Ouch. Chan Ho Park must be kicking himself.

Trachsel has at least been an above average pitcher in 3 of the last 5 seasons. Chan Ho has been a below-average pitcher in 5 of the last 5 seasons.

11. I Love LA (OFF) Posted: February 14, 2007 at 10:29 AM (#2297473)

Trachsel has at least been an above average pitcher in 3 of the last 5 seasons. Chan Ho has been a below-average pitcher in 5 of the last 5 seasons.

Anyone who watched Trax pitch last year knows he ain't doing that again though. He's DONE.

12. There are no words... (Met Fan Charlie) Posted: February 15, 2007 at 06:04 PM (#2298326)

The only silver lining for him landing in Baltiomore is that he won't get a chance to crap his pants in the post-season again....

13. Styles P. Deadball Posted: February 17, 2007 at 03:43 PM (#2299313)

The Orioles have a gift for signing guys where my first reaction is, "Why the hell do they think HE can help?"

On the other hand, Jason Marquis has won more games over the last three years than Barry Zito or Jason Schmidt. Jim Hendry told me so.

14. Optimus_Primate Posted: February 19, 2007 at 09:53 PM (#2300167)

How come there wasn't a Transaction Oracle for the Twins' signing of Ramon Ortiz? Softballs that large will seldom be lobbed in your direction.

15. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 19, 2007 at 10:26 PM (#2300180)

How come there wasn't a Transaction Oracle for the Twins' signing of Ramon Ortiz? Softballs that large will seldom be lobbed in your direction.

Maybe Dan is waiting for Mark Redman to sign, so that we can get all our laughs in on the same thread.

Along those lines, there are rumors the Royals are talking to Redman. Ouch!

16. Nobody ##### with DeJesus Posted: May 04, 2007 at 03:19 AM (#2354035)

Is Transaction Oracle on permanent hiatus at this point?

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Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Orioles - Signed Trachsel

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