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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Thursday, December 07, 2006

Padres - Signed Maddux

San Diego Padres - Signed P Greg Maddux to a 1-year contract worth $10 million or so.

A perfect fit for the Padres.  They replace Woody Williams nicely with a pitcher who’s still good and famous enough to ward off the idiots that are upset the Padres missed out on Sarge Lite and Maddux gets a perfect park to age gracefully.  Maddux also gets a decent chunk of dough and can reevaluate where his career stands after 2007.  ZiPS still thinks there’s a slight chance that he has one more Maddux Season in him.

2007 ZiPS Projection -  Greg Maddux
        W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
Projection 15 11 32 32 203 204   84 24 38 118 3.72
Opt. (15%) 20   9 34 34 222 208   75 20 35 133 3.04
Pes. (15%) 10 12 27 27 165 179   83 25 35 92 4.53


Dan Szymborski Posted: December 07, 2006 at 04:34 AM | 7 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:01 AM (#2253947)
wow. that optimistic is whack. if he pulled that off, it's a steal!
   2. North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:37 AM (#2253959)
The 50% regular projection is a steal in today's market. The optimistic projection would be, uhh... more than a steal? A double steal?
   3. "Andruw for HoF" sure died down Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:38 AM (#2253984)
He's projected to have a better ERA and more innings than Schmidt for next year? Wow.
   4. G A Delgado Posted: December 07, 2006 at 04:26 PM (#2254213)
I wouldn't mind to have that optimistic projection come true next season.
   5. bunyon Posted: December 07, 2006 at 04:45 PM (#2254251)
If the optimistic comes true, he'll sign with the Red Sox after next off-season for 5 years/120 million.

As a huge Maddux fan, I'd love to see it, but it ain't happening. I'd say the 50% middle projection is the optimistic one. (Actually, does the projection include park factors? I assumed not).
   6. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: December 07, 2006 at 04:51 PM (#2254272)
I thought the projection includes park factors. If it doesn't, the projection is incorrect. IMNSHO.
   7. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 07, 2006 at 05:59 PM (#2254375)
Projections include park factors - Petco is a good place for him. Don't forget, a league average pitcher in San Diego the last few years would have ERAs of 4.22, 3.85, and 4.01.

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