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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Friday, December 12, 2008
Phillies - Signed Ibanez for Some Reason
Philadelphia Phillies - Signed LF Raul Ibanez to a 3-year, $30 million contract.
So, they give up the draft pick that they could have gotten for Burrell, give up one of their own for Ibanez in order to not risk having a better, younger, player signed for a less risky amount of time but make a couple million more?
That’s awesome.
The change in league and park will really benefit Ibanez and mask his decline, but a non-star’s 37-39 seasons isn’t exactly something you should be downgrading your team for because the downside is significant. Not a lot of players make Pat Burrell look like Darin Erstad in the outfielder, but the Phillies found one. Say what you will about Phans, but they’ll certainly give Ibanez an earful if this idea goes poorly, which the odds say will.
ZiPS Projection - Raul Ibanez (LF)
—————————————————————————————————————-
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG OPS+
—————————————————————————————————————-
2009 579 76 165 39 3 21 100 57 98 0 .285 .350 .472 109
2010 572 71 157 38 3 20 97 53 97 0 .274 .335 .456 102
2011 511 61 134 31 2 17 88 46 89 0 .262 .324 .431 92
—————————————————————————————————————-
Top Comps: Paul O’Neill, B.J. Surhoff
ODDIBE
Offense %
STAR 25
AVG 60
REP LV 92
OPS+ % OBP % 3B % Hits %
>160 0 >.400 3 >10 2 >200 1
>140 3 >.375 17 >5 24 >150 82
>130 9 >.350 52
>120 22 >.325 84 2B %
>110 45 >.300 97 >45 23
>100 69 >30 81
>90 87
>80 96
>60 100
BA % SLG % HR % SB %
>.350 0 >.550 4 >50 0 >70 0
>.325 5 >.500 22 >40 0 >50 0
>.300 24 >.450 63 >30 6 >30 0
>.275 63 >.400 94 >20 54 >10 0
>.250 88 >.350 100 >10 100
(Based on Projected PA)
Dan Szymborski
Posted: December 12, 2008 at 05:41 PM | 19 comment(s)
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1. rawagman Posted: December 12, 2008 at 06:23 PM (#3027539)I think the positives here are a good player who is signed to reasonable dollars for three years with the negative being an old man who must play the field sucking up $10M for three years with declining production and no 1st round pick to replenish their system this year.
The positives of having Burrell would have been very similar, with the added positive of maybe getting an extra 1st/2nd rounder plus compensation pick if he refused and the deal only being one year if he accepted.
A real head scratcher.
Less importantly, better the Phils than the Cubs.
If this is really the best thing the defending WS champs could have done with $30M we are doomed as a nation-state. They could have bought every Philly resident a small trophy instead and it would have made more sense.
The man's name is Ibañez.
If this is going to be a new rule, I say we just ban Czechs from ever playing MLB and get it over with. I'm not dealing with that ####.
Forget the Czechs. What of the Japanese?
Bisher was right!!!!!!!!!!!
At least the defense won't be a big deal in CBP.
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Is it possible the Phils didn't offer him arbitration as a personal favor so he would be more attractive to other teams?
No, it most assuredly is not.
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