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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Friday, December 21, 2007
Phillies - Signed Jenkins
Philadelphia Phillies - Signed LF Geoff Jenkins to a 2-year, $13 million contract.
Kind of high-priced for a platoon outfielder, but Jenkins should be adequate in the role and might actually get onto the field for more games than the 5 or so that a Snelling/Werth platoon would be healthy for. Like a lot of NL teams, the Phils are close enough to being in the playoffs that they feel they can spend aggressively. I wouldn’t be surprised if this phenomenon helps the NL close the gap somewhat over the next few seasons. The Phils had no in-system alternative, with the exception of a healthy Chris Snelling, which I have to believe is a mythical creature at this point.
2008 ZiPS Projection - Geoff Jenkins
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AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG OPS+ RAR DR VALUE ($M)
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Projection 390 49 105 23 1 17 76 34 107 1 .269 .345 .464 103 4 6 $4.1
2009? 372 47 99 21 1 16 68 34 100 1 .266 .344 .457 101 3 5 $3.9
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Opt. (15%) 454 69 128 28 3 23 89 51 118 3 .282 .372 .509 121 19 9
Pes. (15%) 349 38 84 16 0 13 52 25 103 0 .241 .300 .398 76 -11 2
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Top Offensive Comps: Moose Moryn, Candy Maldonado
Dan Szymborski
Posted: December 21, 2007 at 05:08 AM | 16 comment(s)
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1. Edmundo got dem ol' Kozma blues again mamaNow, a "real" starting pitcher? As you can guess, I'm hardly sold on Chad Durbin. But I guess other than a RP, that's it, unless a 3B falls from the heavens.
+16 LF
+0 RF
With about 1.5 full seasons in each spot.
I don't think so, no.
48 Nick Johnson 59.333 B
49 Geoff Jenkins 58.652
48 Nick Johnson 59.333 B
49 Geoff Jenkins 58.652
Had Ned Yost played him more, he might have padded his totals giving Milwaukee compensation! More fuel for Harvey Wallbanger's fire!
Then again, I rather doubt Milwaukee would have offered arb anyway.
Check what happened to other players that moved from RF to LF or LF to RF. I suspect that a large portion of that difference Jenkins shows is due to LF being a place to hide bad defenders.
Try Joe Dillon, I think he's going to be on the team for a while, and most people who aren't Brewer fans don't know who he is.
I'm assuming ZIPS projections aren't based on an assumption of a platoon role.
When that is not the case, I'm guessing it's up to the user to try and make the necessary mental adjustments. Even platooned players get some ABs against the wrong end of the platoon split, and then there's the topic of whether playing everyday might help a guy hit better against the right end of his platoon split than if he sat in 25% of the games. It's not an easy topic to navigate statistically, because it usually involves making unsafe assumptions one way or the other.
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