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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Pirates - Signed Crosby

Pittsburgh Pirates - Signed SS Bobby Crosby to a 1-year, $1 million contract.

While Neal Huntington still has an uphill battle turning the Pirates around, he’s fortunate in that no matter what shortstop he signs, for no matter what dollar figure, that transaction will still represent a better idea than the infamous Pat Meares signing.

The Pirates are going cheap here, as they should.  Crosby hasn’t really done anything of note since 2005, but he does have a usable glove at short, something Ramon Vazquez can’t credibly claim.  In a rebuilding year, having Crosby on the team isn’t really the worst thing in the world.  The Bucs should be looking to trade him if there’s ever a hint that he’s on a hot streak.

ZiPS Projection - Bobby Crosby (SS)
————————————————————————————————————————-
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA OBP SLG OPS+  DEF
————————————————————————————————————————-
2010       370 42 91 20   2   8   38 30 67   6 .246 .302 .376   78   AV  
————————————————————————————————————————-
Top Offensive Comps:  Mike Moriarty, Dale Berra, Dave Matranga

ODDIBE

Offense
Top Quintile   2%
2nd Quintile   5%
Mid Quintile   18%
4th Quintile   36%
Low Quintile   39%

OPS+              OBP           3B         Hits
160+        0%    .400+    0%    10+    0%    200+  0%
140+        0%    .375+    1%    5+    3%    150+  0%
130+        0%    .350+    5%
120+        1%    .325+    21%    2B
110+        1%    .300+    55%    45+    0%
100+        5%                30+    4%
90+          14%
80+          38%
60+          73%

BA               SLG           HR         SB
.350+        0%    .550+    0%    50+    0%    70+    0%
.325+        0%    .500+    0%    40+    0%    50+    0%
.300+        3%    .450+    3%    30+    0%    30+    0%
.275+        13%  .400+    19%    20+    0%    10+    8%
.250+        43%  .350+    72%    10+    25%

(Based on Projected PA)

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 15, 2009 at 03:58 PM | 17 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. The importance of being Ernest Riles Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:29 PM (#3413212)
Bobby Crosby facts (coming soon to a THT season preview book near you! Buy yours today!):

Crosby's backup for a number of years in Oakland was Marco Scutaro. Crosby was a first-rounder and top prospect who is now the backup shortstop for one baseball's worst franchises. Scutaro, who was such a non-prospect that he starred in a documentary called "A Player to be Named Later," just cashed in on a free agent contract to be the starting shortstop on one of the best-run teams in baseball. Over the last four years, Crosby has been worth approximately 1 win above replacement. Combined. Carlos Zambrano (a pitcher!) has a higher career slugging average and trails Crosby by only two points in batting average; he's roundly out-hit Crosby since 2006.

If Crosby hits to that projection, it will be his highest single-season OPS since 2005, making me wonder if we should be regressing his stats to those of comparable major leaguers or to minor leaguers.
   2. chemdoc Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:31 PM (#3413220)
Meanwhile, America waits for the Transaction Oracle to comment on the far more significant Polanco signing.
   3. Shooty Survived the Shutdown of '14! Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:31 PM (#3413221)
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
   4. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:32 PM (#3413225)
If Crosby hits to that projection, it will be his highest single-season OPS since 2005, making me wonder if we should be regressing his stats to those of comparable major leaguers or to minor leaguers.

He's going from a big-time pitcher's park to a neutral park, and going from the DH league to the one that plays actual baseball.

With Dale Berra on his comp list, I just hope he doesn't get busted for buying coke from the Pirate Parrot.
   5. Hack Wilson Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:38 PM (#3413234)
Bing Crosby once was an owner of the Pirates. Are they related?
   6. The importance of being Ernest Riles Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:51 PM (#3413253)
4: The other projection systems (neutral park or Oakland park) show the same trend.

That's a 678 OPS, 30 points higher than his seasonal max over the last three years.

The 78 OPS+ would be an improvement over his last three years of 67, 75, 72.

I'm not quibbling with ZiPS, I'm just pointing out HOW AWFUL CROSBY HAS BEEN. AAAAAAAH!
   7. Famous Original Joe C Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:51 PM (#3413255)
from the DH league to the one that plays actual baseball.

I miss hearing those great stories from the old AL before the DH - like the one about Jim Lonborg grounding weakly to second base to snuff out a rally. Yep, baseball sure was better then.
   8. Shooty Survived the Shutdown of '14! Posted: December 15, 2009 at 04:53 PM (#3413264)
I miss hearing those great stories from the old AL before the DH - like the one about Jim Lonborg grounding weakly to second base to snuff out a rally. Yep, baseball sure was better then.

How about Catfish Hunter hitting a home run while pitching a perfect game?
   9. Home Run Teal & Black Black Black Gone! Posted: December 15, 2009 at 05:01 PM (#3413281)
How about Catfish Hunter hitting a home run while pitching a perfect game?


Oooo. Check, meet mate. I think you two will like each other.
   10. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: December 15, 2009 at 05:02 PM (#3413283)
I miss hearing those great stories from the old AL before the DH - like the one about Jim Lonborg grounding weakly to second base to snuff out a rally. Yep, baseball sure was better then.

Actually it was pretty similar. Crosby's been doing that for years. I've seen it. All those DH apologists who hate seeing pitchers hit should be forced to watch Crosby hit like I've had to.
   11. Shooty Survived the Shutdown of '14! Posted: December 15, 2009 at 05:05 PM (#3413292)
Actually it was pretty similar. Crosby's been doing that for years. I've seen it. All those DH apologists who hate seeing pitchers hit should be forced to watch Crosby hit like I've had to.

Ivan, you forgot the quotation marks. "Hit" is the correct usage in this context. My apologies for the grammar policing.
   12. Esmailyn Gonzalez Sr. Posted: December 15, 2009 at 06:21 PM (#3413464)
Pittsburgh loves Crosbys apparently. I wonder how much Sid can hit?
   13. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 15, 2009 at 06:53 PM (#3413551)
...like the one about Jim Lonborg grounding weakly to second base to snuff out a rally.


We've been working on this concept that may interest you - it's called a "pinch hitter".
   14. Walt Davis Posted: December 15, 2009 at 07:30 PM (#3413599)
I miss hearing those great stories from the old AL before the DH - like the one about Jim Lonborg grounding weakly to second base to snuff out a rally. Yep, baseball sure was better then.

It's less embarrassing than having Carlos Zambrano outhit a starting SS in the "superior" league. Hell, I'm pretty sure Z has outhit the M's DH the last 2 years.
   15. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: December 15, 2009 at 07:47 PM (#3413625)
As terrible as Crosby has been, there's a dearth of cheap decent shortstops out there (short of playing a 2b/3b type and living w/ the consequences - not necessarily best if you want to develop pitching) - this is one of the best available options. (Gulp.)
   16. Shooty Survived the Shutdown of '14! Posted: December 15, 2009 at 07:50 PM (#3413627)
this is one of the best available options. (Gulp.)

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! So much for the golden age of shortstops, huh?
   17. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: December 16, 2009 at 06:32 PM (#3414873)
Not to be obvious but... it's not mutually exclusive to consider this a great era for shortstops and, at the same time, suggest that it's very hard to find decent ones lying around near the margins. Teams tend not to let the okay ones become available - sometimes playing them at second or third (and, we're judging the era largely by the great ones - some of whom would have been shifted off the position once upon a time). What you're left with are guys playing out of position or scrubby guys.
Hardest position to fill on the diamond.

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