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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Friday, December 07, 2007
Rangers - Acquired Shelton
Texas Rangers - Acquired 1B Chris Shelton from the Detroit Tigers for CF Freddy Guzman
The Rangers do something smart here - Shelton’s unlikely to develop into a solidly above-average 1B, but he should be somewhere near average and the Rangers have little quality at 1B/DH. Once the move of Guillen to first was a reality, there wasn’t much use for Shelton on the team and the Tigers pick up a young player, albeit one who’s more likely to be a reserve outfielder than an impact player. Not as sexy as the other trade the Tigers made, but it’s still useful (analysis upcoming on that one - I’ve been out of town and away from the ZiPS SuperComputer)
2008 ZiPS Projection - Chris Shelton
———————————————————————————————————-
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG
———————————————————————————————————-
Projection 435 59 115 23 2 16 68 54 130 2 .264 .353 .437
———————————————————————————————————-
Opt. (15%) 542 89 160 36 4 27 107 81 143 4 .295 .394 .526
Pes. (15%) 356 40 85 16 1 11 49 35 118 0 .239 .311 .382
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Top Comps: Lee Walls, George Scott
2008 ZiPS Projection - Freddy Guzman
———————————————————————————————————-
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG
———————————————————————————————————-
Projection 485 77 128 21 6 4 34 50 70 38 .264 .337 .354
———————————————————————————————————-
Opt. (15%) 567 108 165 32 8 10 78 68 66 56 .291 .369 .429
Pes. (15%) 448 61 112 18 3 2 26 39 66 23 .250 .311 .317
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Top Comps: Derrel Thomas, Darren Lewis
Dan Szymborski
Posted: December 07, 2007 at 02:45 AM | 25 comment(s)
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1. Honkie Kong Posted: December 07, 2007 at 04:33 AM (#2637642)Teagarden probably won't see the majors this year, especially if the Rangers don't trade Laird.
As for the OF, it is a mess, and a weak hitting mess at that. Cat could play first, with Shelton hitting against LHP. But that would mean Nelson Cruz would probably be the starter in a corner OF spot. He has lots of talent, but that is not translating into anything useful for the Rangers right now. Might as well go with a Cat/Cruz platoon in LF, and keep Shelton at 1B.
It looks like has a little more than 2 years service time, so 3 or 4 years.
Agreed. Now Free Justin Huber.
Dan, I'm surprised that the ZiPS SuperComputer can't just send the ZiPS-Plane to get you and automatically bring you back to the ZiPS-Cave. Or, failing that, ZiPS-Mite the rascally sidekick could run the numbers for you.
Dan, I'm surprised that the ZiPS SuperComputer can't just send the ZiPS-Plane to get you and automatically bring you back to the ZiPS-Cave. Or, failing that, ZiPS-Mite the rascally sidekick could run the numbers for you.
Because I offer the projections for free, I cannot afford a ZiPSCave or a ZiPSPlane. I do have a ZiPSMazda, but it looks quite similar to my regular Mazda.
It's worth noting that ZiPS is actually supposed to be ZiPs, but I made a typo years ago and I decided to stick with it.
The Regular Mazda is pretty pimped out.
Hopefully you aren't leasing, according to a guy I saw walking along the road today holding a sign that said thus, you should never lease a Mazda.
A huge air-brushed portrait of Toscanini.
Sweeeeeeeeeeeeeet!
Ok, so what is the acronym "ZiPs" stand for.
First, I thought SPS, but it needed a vowel to be able to say. So it became SIPS, but that sounds like a juice box, so it becamse ZIPS. I also wanted it to rhyme with DIPS since I think that other than Voros's system, it was the first attempt to model $H for pitchers.
I'm sure if you guys use your imagination, you can figure out why I wanted it to be ZiPs. Free hint: I'm a Gen-Xer.
Casey at least can play 1B. Shelton's a born DH.
Lost in the shuffle here is that Shelton hasn't hit for nearly two years (since a hot first month of 2006) and his strikeout rate has ballooned upward in that time period. Whatever he was doing in 2005 seems to have gone by the boards.
-- MWE
Except that Botts appears to be a better RHB than LHB, and Shelton bats right.
-- MWE
Dan, I had some of these bad boys, too.
As great as that ZIPS commercial is, <A HREF="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sd4C8_FMdjA">Alfonso Ribeiro's Breakin' and Poppin'</A? is still the best commercial in television history.
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