Red Sox - Acquired Remlinger
Boston Red Sox - Acquired P Mike Remlinger from the Chicago Cubs for P Olivo Astacio.
There was no chance the Cubs could do any better than Astacio now that everyone has to pass through waivers first. Astacio’s a raw project who’s a long way off at this point and more likely than not, will never pan out. Remlinger’s first game with the Red Sox was fairly ugly, but he really has pitched better this season than the 5.45 ERA would suggest. The problem with Remlinger, as brought up by Cubs fans every time Dusty Baker misuses him is that he’s a LOOGY who isn’t really a LOOGY. Just check the OPSs in recent years.
Year vs. LHP vs. RHP
2005 .884 .709
2004 .847 .502
2003 .785 .623
2002 .632 .528
2001 .914 .565
In fairness, Dusty’s used Remlinger a lot better this year, but one has to hope that Remlinger’s new manager won’t have to start the learning process over again.
2005 ZiPS Projection - Mike Remlinger
—————————————————————————————-
Period W L G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA
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Actual ‘05 0 3 36 0 33 33 20 5 13 30 5.45
Rest ‘05 1 1 17 0 15 15 8 2 7 13 4.80
—————————————————————————————-
Total ‘05 1 4 53 0 48 48 28 7 20 43 5.25
Dan Szymborski
Posted: August 10, 2005 at 01:31 PM |
12 comment(s)
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1. Jose Clutch (Replacement Level Poster) Posted: August 10, 2005 at 01:55 PM (#1535474)The Embree experience suggests that Francona is not that manager.
The delivery could also be altered for different handed batters, but I usually don't like messing with something as fragile as a pitcher's arm angle cause that's how guys get injured. The release point is much safer (I would think) as it just determines when the ball leaves your hand.
I'd be more worried about the fact that Remlinger has given up 9 walks in his last 12 innings.
I only looked at the first half of 2002 (under Cox), but it looked as if Remlinger was typically brought in to start and finish a full inning (unlike LOOGY use), but often the first hitter he faced was, in fact, LH. Anyway, it was a fairly labor intensive project and I sort of abandoned it, but perhaps I'll pick it up again later.
As for my initial, surface level analysis, it essentially showed that Cox used Remlinger to face about 70% RH hitters in 2002, but under Dusty, Remlinger faced about 60% RH hitters in 2003 and only 50% RH hitters in 2004 -- which seems like a very low amount, whether considered a "LOOGY" or not. This year, it's been a bit more RH oriented, but probably not in the same proportion as under Cox in 2002.
Watching the Braves regularly in Remlinger's last few years there, my impression was always that Cox used him simply as his second-best reliever, sort of like a setup guy but not strictly. Handedness never seemed to be much of an issue, and he was usually in there for at least an inning. But this is from my recollection and casual observation, not Retrosheet or anything.
That's my impression as well. It just so happens that in the early half of 2002, though Remlinger was brought in for full-inning stints, many times the first hitter happened to be LH.
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