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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Sunday, January 08, 2006
Red Sox - Acquired Snow
Boston Red Sox - Signed 1B J.T. Snow to a 1-year, $2 million contract.
Well, it looks like the Red Sox need a defensive caddy for The Greek God for some odd reason. Too bad they chose J.T. Snow, who’s probably the most overrated defensive 1B of this generation. For all his legendary scooping ability, there isn’t the slightest shred of evidence that Giant infielders had better fielding percentages with Snow as their 1B than other Giant 1Bs or the 1B du jour in Phoenix/Fresno. And Snow’s once decent range is now nonexistent. I bet dollars to donuts that Youkilis is the better defensive 1B. Yes, Snow hit well in ‘03 and ‘04. He’s also going to be 38 and his bat speed was so slow in 2005 that you’d wonder if he forgot to take the weighted donut off.
Thumbs down.
2006 ZiPS Projection - J.T. Snow ————————————————————————————-
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG ————————————————————————————-
360 52 96 23 1 5 48 38 60 1 .267 .346 .378
Dan Szymborski
Posted: January 08, 2006 at 07:49 PM | 21 comment(s)
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1. Infinite Joost (Voxter)Pardon me, I just lost my mind for a moment there.
As a Red Sox fan, this has been a fascinating and frustrating off-season. Lots of bombshells, a few outright bombs, and . . . this. Up to this point, I've been able, at the very least, to squint at every move that's been made and go, "Huh. Well, that's an interesting idea." But J.T. Goddamned Snow? I understand that we can afford it, and hopefully Tito isn't having any thoughts about starting him regularly, but seriously -- J.T. Goddamned Snow? What, Scott Spiezio wasn't available? The more time drags on, the more they futz around with Manny and collecting the entirety of the world's population of benchworthy corner infielders, the more I become convinced that the new front office is planning on fielding Trot Nixon at center and Mark Loretta at short, in the hopes that scoring 1200 runs will make up for having the worst defense since the introduction of the padded glove. I foresee a mess of ugly wins -- and, unless things change, not enough of them to keep pace with New York.
Nef.
He hit right-handed pitching in '03 and '04. He looked horrific last year - I'd be surprised if he matched even that projection above.
While 1B defense is important in Fenway, if the Red Sox wanted a defensive 1B, they should have gotten one who could play good defense instead of one who was simply a good, overrated defensive 1B a decade ago.
And it seems to me as though the size of RF doesn't have any particular bearing on how important 1B defense is -- what's important is flagging down flies, which falls under the aegis of the RF and CF. Given that Snow isn't a particularly great defensive 1B anymore, and the relatively small foul ground, his alleged defensive assets aren't going to make much difference to what promises to be one of the more porous defenses in recent memory.
And $2 million? Come on.
While I wouldn't bet money on a third-place finish in 2006..having holes at shortstop and center field complete with a very shaky pitching staff doesn't bode well. Now if you're rebuilding, that's one thing, but adding J.T. Snow to play first base?
Well, I think Chris is referring to balls hit down the line.
If you're getting a pure defensive replacement, then go out and get one and damn the offense. Give Joe McEwing time at 1st and he'll make J.T. Snow look like Sam Horn there. Instead, the Red Sox get someone who isn't good enough offensively to help the team and not defensively good enough to mean a damn thing.
And gave him two million dollars to do it. I feel like I'm reliving the Dan Duquette era.
There was once a play on which Snow exhibited decent range?!?!
This "Halladay is always hurt" thing pops up here a lot. Well, he's been injured twice in the last four years. And despite that has pitched 800 innings of Cy Young quality baseball.
And the second injury was from getting hit by a line drive, which is hardly his fault.
Well, there was that memorable scoop of Darren Baker in the 2002 WS.
Was he pitching at the time?
I do not think Snow will be very good next year, but did you see what he did in '04? That is a reason to expect him to be better than last year.
Duquette paid $5 mil instead!
It's fun and easy to throw out all but last year, but that's a really foolish way to project future performance, even in a 38-year-old. Snow looks like a great replacement for Olerud: old guy, slow, great defensive rep, taking ABs away from a better hitter.
Did you see what Ken Caminiti did in 1996?
Seriously, Snow's 2004 wasn't quite that big a fluke, but I don't take it seriously as a reason to expect Snow to be significantly better next year, at the age of 38, than he was last year. Older players fall off a cliff with some regularity; I suspect that last season was that moment for Snow.
Uh, Olderdude took away atbats from Kevin Millar. That alone deserves the gratitude of Red Sox Nation.
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