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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Thursday, January 07, 2010

Red Sox - Signed Beltre

Boston Red Sox - Signed 3B Adrian Beltre to a 1-year contract.

This is a 1-year, $9 million contract with a $1 million buyout and a player option for $5 million that becomes $10 million if Beltre has 640 plate appearances.  He hasn’t done that since 2006, but it could happen.

Not the sexiest move in the world with Holliday’s contract being big news, but Beltre’s glove makes this a very good signing for the team.  The team clearly does not want Mike Lowell anywhere near 3B and would have already gotten rid of him if not for the injury.  Beltre, overrated at the time of his last contract, has become underrated in general due to a park that makes his hitting look worse than it is and excellent defense.  For some reason, while the general public does appreciate (and probably overappreciates) defense, it seems speedy, up-the-middle players are the ones that get the due for defense, even if they’re not all that good.

The Sox have made some fairly quiet moves that drastically upgrade the defense - the Ellsbury/Cameron/Drew outfield and the hot corner upgrade should result in some of the starters having “surprising” good years.

On a side note, I apologize for the lack of completeness of signing updates.  I was sick as a dog for pretty much the whole corridor from Thanksgiving to New Years, which caused a lot of slowdowns in a winter in which I’m trying to get the projections basically done before the end of January and am putting some material together for some possible mainstream writing (though obviously sabermetric-influenced).

2010 ZiPS Projection - Adrian Beltre (3B)
—————————————————————————————————————————
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS+  DR  
—————————————————————————————————————————
2010       478 79 132 35 1 16 91 32 78   6 .278 .327 .456   97   10
—————————————————————————————————————————

Dan Szymborski Posted: January 07, 2010 at 03:08 PM | 13 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. ekogan Posted: January 07, 2010 at 03:52 PM (#3430650)
On a side note, I apologize for the lack of completeness of signing updates.

I don't see how any of us can complain about quality of the service we are getting for free.
Here's wishing good health to you in 2010.
   2. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: January 07, 2010 at 03:58 PM (#3430661)
putting some material together for some possible mainstream writing


Hooray!
   3. Doris from Rego Park Posted: January 07, 2010 at 04:03 PM (#3430663)
When are you going to get to the fireworks factory??
   4. Famous Original Joe C Posted: January 07, 2010 at 04:06 PM (#3430666)
On a side note, I apologize for the lack of completeness of signing updates.

I don't see how any of us can complain about quality of the service we are getting for free.
Here's wishing good health to you in 2010.


Seriously, and ditto.
   5. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: January 07, 2010 at 04:21 PM (#3430699)
Take care of yourself Dan!
   6. tfbg9 Posted: January 07, 2010 at 05:52 PM (#3430817)
Feel better big guy.

Dumb question: what does the DR to the right of OPS+ signify?
Defensive runs saved or something? Positive UZR projection? As in +10 runs?
   7. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: January 07, 2010 at 06:16 PM (#3430864)
yes
   8. philly Posted: January 07, 2010 at 07:54 PM (#3431018)
I don't see how any of us can complain about quality of the service we are getting for free.


New to the internet are you?
   9. Dan Szymborski Posted: January 07, 2010 at 08:15 PM (#3431045)
Thanks for the kind wishes, but it wasn't any serious ailment and I'm not dying or anything. I just had a really bad case of the seasonal flu, which is pretty unusual for me.
   10. dave h Posted: January 07, 2010 at 10:48 PM (#3431306)
I haven't been paying much attention lately, and this is the first time I've seen the terms of the deal. I am very excited about getting Beltre on a 1-year deal. I'd like the Sox to go after some of the big names next offseason, and was worried that signing several mid-tier players this year would preclude that.
   11. alskor Posted: January 08, 2010 at 05:25 AM (#3431553)
Thanks for the TO. Dan. Hope you feel better. Was extremely interested to see your take on the deal. ZiPS is the only projection whose park adjustments I really trust.
   12. Tripon Posted: January 08, 2010 at 05:28 AM (#3431555)
Apparently the Phillies, and another team offered him 3 years/$24 million. Wonder why the Red Sox didn't offer a similar contract?
   13. alskor Posted: January 08, 2010 at 06:34 AM (#3431575)
#12 - I would not be shocked if they gave him his choice of a contract like that or the one year reestablish yourself deal that he took.

As a Sox fan, I was totally prepared to see a 3/36 announcement or even more. I really like Beltre's game and think he's a great fit. I would have been very happy to see a deal like that, in fact. 1/9 is such a steal its absurd. His defense alone will be worth 9 million (or at least it would in previous years, not sure how much the Holliday deal changed it, but the cost of a win in free agency dropped this offseason, and estimates were as low as 3.5M / win - but again, we've seen a few big deals go down since then.)

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