Red Sox - Signed Drew, Lugo
Boston Red Sox - Signed OF J.D. Drew to a 5-year contract worth $70 million; signed SS Julio Lugo to a 4-year contract worth $36 million.
It’s hard to say exactly how both these contracts will affect the team in the long run, as it depends on what the Sox do with Manny. I’m guessing that they don’t trade Manny. Drew is a pretty good centerfielder, certainly a lot better than Crisp or Pena are out there, but I’m a little worried about Drew out there because while he’s more durable than he used to be, he’s still not Ripken and I think I’d want to keep him out of the higher-impact position, all things considered. $14 million for Drew actually seems like one of the best top free agent deals this offseason, which is kind of scary in itself. For health, I’d put my money on Carlos Lee, but I’d rather have Drew since he’s more likely to be actually good. And you can insure catastrophic injuries while you can’t insure a player turning into the Goodyear Blimp, so I’ll take J.D. over El Gastrónomo. ZiPS is really sour on Drew for some reason - probably the decline in home runs.
Lugo’s not a superstar but again, he’s preferable to the other players signed this offseason to similar deals. I like Pedroia, but he’s not going to play both infield positions for the team. Another $9 million is a decent chunk to bite, even on a big-market team, but this is what you risk when you trade off some of your depth. Regardless, a lineup that has Lugo and Pedroia as the weak spots is a really nice lineup and the Sox will go into 2007 without any black holes in the lineup (the rotation being another story).
2007 ZiPS Projections
Player AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG
Drew 436 74 116 30 3 15 74 80 97 4 .266 .383 .452
Lugo 545 84 159 36 3 7 57 50 113 26 .292 .355 .407
Posted: December 06, 2006 at 01:58 PM | 45 comment(s)
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