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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Red Sox - Signed Lowell
Boston Red Sox - Signed 3B Mike Lowell to a 3-year contract worth $37.5 million.
Lowell’s not really young enough or good enough for this to work out fabulously, but the Red Sox are rich enough that this won’t be a disaster for the team. While his 2007 season was excellent and he was instrumental in winning the World Series, Lowell had a BABIP some 50 points above his career average and 38 points above his career best .304.
Now the projection, geez. That’s about as big a departure from established level of play as I think I’ve ever seen from ZiPS with a player not a million years old or moving to a drastically different park (I have his 4-year weighted adjusted to Boston numbers as 288/351/470). ZiPS sees Mike Lowell in a group with an amazing number of third basemen that crashed the next year or two. I’ll just say “What the hell?” and move on.
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