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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Reds - Signed Fogg, Released Wilson

Cincinnati Reds - Signed P Josh Fogg to a 1-year contract; released 1B Craig Wilson.

Josh Fogg peaked about a week too early.  After a good second-half and one of the best team comebacks in history down the stretch, Fogg’s 2 playoff wins oddly enough had the talking heads on the World Series coverage talking about Fogg with hushed awe, as if they couldn’t believe that the man who held one of baseball’s worst offensive teams to 1 run in 6 innings was actually on the mound in front of them.  If he had held the Red Sox, it would’ve been worth quite a few million dollars.  Alas, the Red Sox murderized him and he went back to Josh Fogg, the regular ol’ mediocre version.

But hey, he’s only getting about 20% of what Livan Hernandez will get to probably be a worse pitcher.

Wilson failed his physical.  Just ask Wilson or Morgan Ensberg or Brad Wilkerson - shoulder injuries don’t just ruin the careers of pitchers.

2008 ZiPS Projection - Josh Fogg
        W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA   ERA+
Projection 7 10 28 26 153 176   89 22 57 93 5.24   88
Opt. (15%)  9   8 29 27 166 172   77 18 51 106 4.17   111
Pes. (15%)  4 10 23 22 120 156   87 23 51 66 6.52   71
Top Comps:  Paul Wilson, Jason Johnson

Dan Szymborski Posted: February 23, 2008 at 01:27 PM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. The Answer to the TWolves (GMoney) Posted: February 23, 2008 at 03:01 PM (#2697931)
Why didn't the Twins do this instead and save themselves 4-5 million? And with Kyle Lohse still out there how in the world could Livan Hernandez command around 6 million.
   2. Russ Posted: February 23, 2008 at 03:22 PM (#2697938)
It's important for the Reds to keep their number of former Pirate players constant... tough luck for Wilson that the Reds signed Fogg.
   3. Padraic Posted: February 23, 2008 at 06:01 PM (#2698029)
Is it possible to see quickie projections for the Phillies' Feliz and Benson signings?

Bensons probably won't look too different, but I would like to see the adjustment in Feliz from AT%T to CBP.
   4. Padraic Posted: February 23, 2008 at 06:02 PM (#2698030)
Ah! No edit on the Oracle, my "%" stays!
   5. MM1f Posted: February 23, 2008 at 06:18 PM (#2698037)
"But hey, he's only getting about 20% of what Livan Hernandez will get to probably be a worse pitcher."

Well thats what pitching 30-70 more innings a year of, usually, more effective baseball will do for you.

But Fogg is a damn good bargain at 1-year, 1-mil. Thats practically minimum MLB wage
   6. Computers are smart Posted: February 23, 2008 at 11:55 PM (#2698266)
At least the Reds don't have any middle of the road long reliever for another one of those mystery player dealies
   7. Runscreated Posted: February 24, 2008 at 09:12 AM (#2698476)
What was the point of bringing in Craig Wilson anyway? Was it so they could trade Scott Hatteberg? Even Dusty is saying that it is Joey Votto's job.
   8. tommyd Posted: February 24, 2008 at 04:48 PM (#2698576)
Wilson was brought in to provide a RH bat with pop off the bench and man 1B against tough LHs to spell Votto. It helped that he could fill the role as emergency C also to make Valentin more readily available for LH PH duties. Shame his shoulder is not right, he could have been a great fit for the Reds this season.

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