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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Monday, February 13, 2006

Reds - Signed Hatteberg

Cincinnati Reds - Signed 1B Scott Hatteberg to a 1-year contract worth $750,000.

Signing Timo was bad, but not important in the big picture; this signing reflects much worse on the new GM.  There’s little reason to give Hatteberg a major league contract or three-quarters of a million - Hatteberg is close enough to being done that there are scads of players in the minors that can hit as “well” as he’s likely to in 2006 and will do it for half the price and a minor-league deal.  This is a very bad sign - either Krivsky has no concept of replacement level (even if it’s not coined as such, knowing at what level talent is free is very important) or he thinks Hatteberg is good and simply can’t evaluate performance.

It’s also a terrible move from a roster construction standpoint - the Reds already have Valentin, Aurilia (hopefully), Womack, Cruz, and Denorfia on the bench.  So, either the Reds carry 11 pitchers instead of 12 in order to gain the benefit of having a bad hitter as a second lefty pinch-hitter or they cut someone better than Hatteberg.  They also have to make room on the 40-man roster and if they were going to cut that rare player worse than Hatteberg (I’m looking at you, Tony Womack), they probably would have done it before Luke Hudson.

Thumbs way down.  The Reds were the favorite for last-place anyway, but even in the small signings so far, Krivsky has demonstrated very poor GMing.

2006 ZiPS Projection - Scott Hatteberg
————————————————————————————-
AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG
————————————————————————————-
491 57 121 22 0 11 59 60 49   0 .246 .332 .358

Dan Szymborski Posted: February 13, 2006 at 04:40 PM | 5 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Mark Shirk (jsch) Posted: February 13, 2006 at 05:27 PM (#1860047)
Are the Reds really the favorites for last place? I would figure that any team that could run Dunn, Griffey, Pena, Kearns, and Encanarcion out would have to be favored over the Pirates.
   2. TVerik, the gum-snappin' hairdresser Posted: February 13, 2006 at 05:35 PM (#1860061)
and Denorfia on the bench.


Woo hoo! My lawyer's son!

http://www.baseball-reference.com/d/denorch01.shtmlChris Denorfia
   3. Dan Szymborski Posted: February 13, 2006 at 06:22 PM (#1860123)
Are the Reds really the favorites for last place? I would figure that any team that could run Dunn, Griffey, Pena, Kearns, and Encanarcion out would have to be favored over the Pirates.

The Reds have a better offense than the Pirates but the Pirates have better pitching and when the normal injuries of a season happen, the Pirates have more offensive depth than the Reds do. It doesn't take a lot of injuries for the Red offense to fall apart. I have the Reds down for 68-72 wins and the Pirates for 71-75 wins at the moment.
   4. AROM Posted: February 13, 2006 at 06:35 PM (#1860136)
I have a feeling Hatteberg can last 3-4 years as a pinch hitting specialist. He fits the profile perfectly - left, veteran with good work ethic, good strike zone judgement, a little bit of power.

He doesn't have the durability to be a regular, his numbers have suffered from the wear of playing everyday.
   5. Russ Posted: February 13, 2006 at 06:56 PM (#1860159)
but the Pirates have better pitching and when the normal injuries of a season happen, the Pirates have more offensive depth than the

Who would have ever thunk that there could be an actual MLB team after that sentence? I mean, Jesus, last year the best you could do was "7-8 year old division bottom feeders in your local Little League"?


Basically David Littlefield has a 40-man roster where all but two of the players are relatively interchangeable with their counterparts. Every single guy (except for Duke and Bay) has a buddy on the 40-man that you couldn't get viscerally upset about replacing in terms of expected value for the coming season.

Craig Wilson or Sean Casey?
Joe Randa or Freddy Sanchez?
Jose Castillo or Jack Wilson?
Paul Maholm or Brian Bullington?
Damaso Marte or Mike Gonzalez?
Nate McLouth or Chris Duffy?
Jody Gerut or Jeremy Burnitz?

If you took out Duke and Bay and then split the team in two parts (starters vs. reserves and minor league guys) and they played each other 100 times, they'd both finish 50-50. That's just messed up extreme fungibility right there.

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