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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Tigers - Acquired Sheffield

Detroit Tigers - Acquired DH Gary Sheffield from the New York Yankees for P Humberto Sanchez, P Kevin Whelan, and P Anthony Claggett.

The Yankees sure managed to shed Sheff rather quickly after picking up his option, didn’t they?  If I’m the Tigers, I do this trade if I can get Sheffield to come to Detroit without extending his contract.  If he doesn’t, then I’d probably walk away from this trade.  The whole benefit of trading for Sheffield is to get less years/less risk than signing Drew or Lee but if I’m having to lay out 3 years worth of dough, then I start wondering exactly what I’m doing making this deal.  Yes, J.D. Drew’s missed a good bit of time over his career due to injuries, a few of the freak variety, but he’s also not going to be 38 on opening day and never missed as much time as Sheffield did in 2006.  Plus, he has defensive value and has been a better offensive player than Sheffield each of the last 3 seasons.

Now, obviously, the hard part is getting J.D. Drew to come to Detroit; you can’t just go to the grocery store and add a Drew to your cart.  I think the risk of not getting Drew or Lee or someone is worth not giving up Sanchez and risking a ton of dead money in years 2 and/or 3.

Sanchez, of course, has concerns about his arm, but he’s also a very talented pitcher who could really come to bite the Tigers like the Liriano trade bit the Giants (though in fairness, Liriano was more injured and not as advanced at the time, so wasn’t as big a risk).  Both Whelan and Claggett could develop into solid relievers, but I’m less concerned about them.  If you have to trade some of your minor leaguers, trade the promising low-level relievers and don’t think twice about it.

It’s a nice haul for the Yankees.  They not only didn’t have to bribe someone to pick up the last year of Sheffield, they got a nice young arm.  If it works out, Hughes-Sanchez-Wang could be a solid rotation core in a couple of years and, as hard as it is to believe from the Yankees of the last 5 or 6 years, cost-efficient.

I don’t think this will turn out terribly for the Tigers - Sheffield’s a talented hitter and hopefully will accept DHing in Detroit.  Plus, a big money deal for Sheff could keep the Tigers from giving out good money for the now-incredibly overrated Craig Monroe.

2007 ZiPS Projection - Humberto Sanchez
————————————————————————
W   L   G GS   IP   H   ER HR BB SO   ERA
————————————————————————
7   7 19 19 108 106   57 12 51 88 4.75

 

2007 ZiPS Projection - Gary Sheffield
————————————————————————————-
AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG
————————————————————————————-
433 74 121 19 0 20 91 64 60   4 .279 .374 .462

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: November 11, 2006 at 03:59 AM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. kthejoker Posted: November 11, 2006 at 06:11 AM (#2235139)
Sheffield hasn't put up a sub-.840 OPS in a full season since 1993.

I think I'd take the over on those ZiPS.
   2. John Lowenstein Apathy Club Posted: November 11, 2006 at 06:24 AM (#2235141)
He's never been 38 before, and never played a full season in The Big Park That Should Really Be Called Tiger Stadium.

If you want to bet $100 that Sheff exceeds both ZIPS targets (433 AB and 836 OPS) I'll be happy to take the other side of it.
   3. Jorge Luis Bourjos (Walewander) Posted: November 11, 2006 at 06:25 AM (#2235142)
Florida, LA, he's played a lot in some pitcher's parks.
   4. Raskolnikov Posted: November 11, 2006 at 06:31 AM (#2235143)
I think he goes over 840 OPS, but I think he's going to have an injury-riddled season. Less than 350 ABs in my crystal ball.
   5. Tanto Posted: November 11, 2006 at 06:32 AM (#2235144)
Yeah, I wouldn't knock him down on that account. Injuries, age, sure, but not park.
   6. Raskolnikov Posted: November 11, 2006 at 06:56 AM (#2235152)
Good thing Gillick and DD didn't connect. Is it just me or does Burrell for Sanchez + 2 young relievers make too much sense for both sides?

Clever of Cashman to step in and snatch the youngsters. Would have hated to see promising young pitchers in Phillie uniforms.
   7. Darren Posted: November 11, 2006 at 08:40 AM (#2235173)
I'm torn on the extension. On the one hand, I don't want Sheffield through age 41 so much. On the other, I don't want to trade six years of my prospect for 1 year of Sheff.

And boy, I couldn't have been more wrong about the value of Sheff's contract. I thought it would have been really foolish of the Yanks to pick up that option and try to trade him. I thought they'd get dimes on the dollar. I think I really underestimated how crazy this market is compared to previous ones. In this market, I wonder what Manny will bring back? He's younger and generally healthier than Sheffield, a little better as a hitter, on a shorter deal, but costs more. They both are considered to have baggage. I wonder if Boston could have had this same deal and if they would have taken it.
   8. Johnny Tuttle Posted: November 11, 2006 at 04:30 PM (#2235231)
As much risk as the Tigers are taking on doing this, they never could have landed Manny for this package.
   9. The Original SJ Posted: November 11, 2006 at 04:40 PM (#2235235)
Manny would have to bring back ML ready talents.
   10. Mister High Standards Posted: November 11, 2006 at 04:57 PM (#2235246)
a little better as a hitter


A little bit? HA! In the last 7 years, Manny has been better 5 times. In those 7 years, Over that time period including the years Sheffield was better Manny has produced 25% more RCAA. They aren't remotly similar hitter.
   11. Cowboy Popup Posted: November 11, 2006 at 05:05 PM (#2235248)
"a little better as a hitter"

As MHS already said, Manny is a much, much better hitter. I bet the perception is that Manny is much worse on D, but I don't think they're that far apart.

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