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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Monday, October 24, 2011

Transaction Oracle, the Future

As most of you probably ought to know by now, I’ve been contributing regularly to ESPN.com for about a year and a half.  As such, a lot of the transaction analysis stuff that went on in this area has gone by the wayside, simply because I’ve done a lot of articles for ESPN that involve player signings and trades.  While I don’t write up every trade for ESPN, I do enough that to oraculate about the rest here would tend to leave this blog unsatisfyingly fragmented.  After all, what good’s a transaction blog if it doesn’t talk about the biggest transactions?

I’ve gone through a lot of soul-searching as to what to do with this blog.  After all, it’s been around for more than a decade.  So rather than turn the area into solely a projection blog, we’ve brought aboard an additional soothsayer, Ron Johnson.  For those of you that were around for the origin of sabermetrics on the internet, Ron should be an old name, a guy who was sabermetrically inclined before the rest of us usenet nerds, from me to Forman to Law to Kahrl to Voros and others spent our formative writing years tormenting AOL and WebTV users.  Well, not Forman because he’s above-average in niceness.

It’s hard to let control of something go when you’ve been the sole person involved for so long, but at some point, it needs to be done.  With Ron on board, I’ll have the ability to contribute to transaction discussions while still fulfilling my other contracts as we’ll be able to do the full array of transactions, rather than swiss cheese-style.

Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 07:40 PM | 19 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. smileyy Posted: October 24, 2011 at 09:14 PM (#3973537)
How are Ron's MS Paint skills? Not only are they crucial to the Oracle, they're also the new market inefficiency for stats bloggers.
   2. Frisco Cali Posted: October 24, 2011 at 09:49 PM (#3973566)
I do enough that to oraculate...

Is that legal in Georgia?
   3. Dan Szymborski Posted: October 24, 2011 at 10:02 PM (#3973572)
Don't know how Ron's MS Paint skills are, but I'll still be around for that wackiness.
   4. Ron J Posted: October 24, 2011 at 10:41 PM (#3973592)
I don't do paint. Or haiku flames (which Dan hasn't done for quite some time, but still merits notice)
   5. Ray (RDP) Posted: October 24, 2011 at 10:50 PM (#3973597)
I've held the Transaction Oracle in very high regard, and it should say something about the quality of both Dan's and Ron's work that we won't suffer any loss of quality with the change.
   6. Benji Gil Gamesh Rises Posted: October 24, 2011 at 10:57 PM (#3973601)
we’ve brought aboard an additional soothsayer, Ron Johnson
Never saw him soothsay.

(Obligatory after a Ray post, no?)
   7. Jose Molina wants a nickname like "A-Rod" Posted: October 25, 2011 at 01:49 AM (#3973926)
Awesome.

This inspired me go back and search alt.sports.baseball.tor-bluejays for my old posts. It seems for some reason at some point I expected Homer Bush's walk rate to rise. How odd.
   8. Mattbert Posted: October 25, 2011 at 02:07 AM (#3973976)
Well, that's great news.
   9. GGC don't think it can get longer than a novella Posted: October 25, 2011 at 02:13 AM (#3974001)
#### you. I used AOL for a few years.

Actually, adding Ron J is good news.
   10. Run Joe Run Posted: October 25, 2011 at 07:46 PM (#3975188)
Thanks for the years Dan and best of luck Ron
   11. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: October 25, 2011 at 07:50 PM (#3975194)
Good news.

Will they still use ZiPs?
   12. Dan Szymborski Posted: October 25, 2011 at 08:07 PM (#3975215)
Still considering how to work in projections for entries that Ron does instead of me.
   13. Ron J Posted: October 25, 2011 at 08:12 PM (#3975223)
I'm torn on the subject of ZiPs. I have a very simple projection system -- not a heck of a lot more than Marcel. I'm pretty sure that adding them to any initial post is not a heck of a lot more than bulk filler.

What I was planning on doing -- based on Dan's comments in #3 is just post my take on the transaction and hope that Dan will chime in with ZiPs whenever he feels moved to.

And #9 nobody got too out of shape about AOL after a while. First of all there was WebTV to blaze new trails of ...

And Doug Pappas was an AOLer, demonstrating that there were important exceptions to any general rule (one of my favorite posters -- James Withrow -- was a webTVer, which meant I had to revise all of my filters on that score)
   14. AROM Posted: October 25, 2011 at 08:14 PM (#3975226)
I for one welcome our new transaction overlord.
   15. AROM Posted: October 25, 2011 at 08:17 PM (#3975230)
If people want the updated rest-of-season projections, they can always go to fangraphs. Ron's analysis on the transactions will be what I'll tune in for.
   16. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: October 25, 2011 at 08:19 PM (#3975235)
If people want the updated rest-of-season projections, they can always go to fangraphs. Ron's analysis on the transactions will be what I'll tune in for.

Sure, for ROS. But, I like the long-term forecasts, for FA in particular. Hope we still get those.
   17. Ron J Posted: October 25, 2011 at 09:23 PM (#3975310)
Snapper, I'm looking at something on the order of James' future value ( a function of established level of talent and age )

It's still kind of rough right now, but I'm hopeful.
   18. Dan Szymborski Posted: October 25, 2011 at 09:28 PM (#3975314)
Yeah, my best idea was to chip in the ZiPS as long as it was cool with Ron - don't want to interfere with his voice.
   19. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: October 25, 2011 at 10:28 PM (#3975357)
Doug Pappas


And now I'm all sad.

Seems weird to miss a guy I never actually met, particularly when he's been gone for so long, but there it is.

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