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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Friday, November 06, 2009

Twins - Acquired Hardy

Minnesota Twins - Acquired SS J.J. Hardy from the Milwaukee Brewers for CF-9th Carlos Gomez.

Hardy had a terrible 2009, capped off by a trip down to Nashville.  That being said, Gomez hasn’t really developed as a hitter at all and at this point, I’d take the player who has actually been a good player over the one who hasn’t.  The Twins tried to get Gomez to be more selective at the plate, but if you look at Gomez when he’s trying to be selective, he doesn’t appear to realize that the purpose is to get a good pitch to hit.  Gomez’s version of selectivity is staring blankly at a random pitch and then flailing at the next one.

As noted, Hardy had a pretty embarrassing season, but 2007 and 2008 aren’t a decade in the past and Hardy’s not 40, so there’s no reason to think that Hardy can’t rebound decently in 2010.  He’s a very good defensive player as well, so he doesn’t even need to have an OPS+ of 100, as he did in 2007 and 2008, to be an excellent pickup.  In the Twins case, SS is an organizational problem and I’d rather have Hardy than bring back The OC.

Hardy, of course, was good trade bait given the existence of El Cid at short, but the Brewers didn’t really fill a hole.  They may not know it, but Mike Cameron still needs to be replaced, because Tom Goodwin doesn’t cut it.

2010 ZiPS Projections
————————————————————————————————————————-
Player     AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG OPS+  DR
————————————————————————————————————————-
Hardy     480 72 124 22 2 17 68 39 84   1 .258 .314 .419   94   9
Gomez     396 63   99 19 5   6 41 28 91 23 .250 .308 .369   79   10
————————————————————————————————————————-

 

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: November 06, 2009 at 06:28 PM | 16 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Home Run Teal & Black Black Black Gone! Posted: November 06, 2009 at 07:36 PM (#3380990)
I'm taking off my pants and doing the no-pants dance.
   2. Craig in MN Posted: November 06, 2009 at 07:37 PM (#3380992)
Just out of curiosity, what kind of park factors are you using for the Twins stadium next year?
   3. Shooty Survived the Shutdown of '14! Posted: November 06, 2009 at 07:39 PM (#3380999)
I'm taking off my pants and doing the no-pants dance.

Oddly enough, I was just contemplating starting to think about considering beginning some type of Neutron Dance.
   4. Dan Szymborski Posted: November 06, 2009 at 07:43 PM (#3381009)
Straight ones.
   5. Juan V Posted: November 06, 2009 at 09:19 PM (#3381234)
For a moment there, I was about to ask if Hardy's defense will hold up on turf.
   6. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: November 06, 2009 at 09:34 PM (#3381257)
Straight ones.

Pants or Park Factors?
   7. Tripon Posted: November 06, 2009 at 09:37 PM (#3381261)
J.J. Hardy is going to be fabulous?
   8. Lassus Posted: November 06, 2009 at 09:50 PM (#3381284)
I just don't think this is as big a win for the Twins as everyone is saying. Hardy seems pretty fungible, and I see Gomez having a better chance of improving.
   9. Home Run Teal & Black Black Black Gone! Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:09 PM (#3381310)
That's FUNgible to you, Lassie.
   10. Infinite Joost (Voxter) Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:13 PM (#3381317)
Why would you see Gomez as having a better chance of improving? Hardy has, in fact, played baseball well at one point in his life. Carlos Gomez has not.
   11. Shooty Survived the Shutdown of '14! Posted: November 06, 2009 at 10:14 PM (#3381320)
Why would you see Gomez as having a better chance of improving? Hardy has, in fact, played baseball well at one point in his life. Carlos Gomez has not.

If Gomez improves, he'll be fungible, too!
   12. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: November 06, 2009 at 11:02 PM (#3381407)
If UZR is to be believed, Gomez can put up an 80 OPS+ and still be a 2-2.5 win player.

That said, he's no lock to reach an 80 OPS+...
   13. Jim Wisinski Posted: November 07, 2009 at 02:56 AM (#3381627)
The problem for the Twins though is that they've likely improved SS but their outfield will probably be worse, out of their four-man (ignoring Kubel as a factor) outfield mix they only traded the third best player, not the worst.
   14. Infinite Joost (Voxter) Posted: November 07, 2009 at 03:04 AM (#3381629)
If UZR is to be believed, Gomez can put up an 80 OPS+ and still be a 2-2.5 win player.

Well, UZR isn't to be believed, so I'm not too worried about that.
   15. vortex of dissipation Posted: November 07, 2009 at 03:07 AM (#3381630)
Even though they won their division last year, by acquiring Hardy, it's evident that the Twins aren't just resting on their laurels.
   16. epoc Posted: November 07, 2009 at 08:17 PM (#3381967)
The Twins should trade Young, too. The Mets need a left fielder and starting pitching, for instance.

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