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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Saturday, December 15, 2007

Twins - Signed Lamb and Everett

Minnesota Twins - Signed 1B-“3B” Mike Lamb to a 2-year contract; signed SS Adam Everett to 1-year contract.

Doing Twins entries is hard because if I’m not quick, Aaron Gleeman will beat me to it.  He beat me on the Everett transaction and I have to agree with his points.  The difference between weak-hitting Everett and weak-hitting Punto is that there’s really strong evidence that Everett’s glove is of an elite level and he’s at a hair on the harder side of the defensive spectrum.  Using linear weighted zone rating, or LWZR (aka, the Dial Method), I get Everett at 59 runs better than average defensively over the last 4 years.  I have Punto at 7 runs better it what combines to slightly less than a single season so while he’s apparently a good defensive 2B, he hasn’t played there a lot and the chances of him whipping out an Everettish +20 seems seem fairly long.  I gave Everett an EX on my DMB disk for 2008, one of only three of the 22 teams I’ve projected (the others are Vizquel and Tulowitzki).

In other words, Everett’s a good enough defensive player that he’s a reasonable stopgap at SS, especially when the prospect of playing Casilla stares you in the face.  A long-term contract wouldn’t be a good idea, though.

Lamb’s kind of the opposite.  He’s a decent enough hitter, but he’s quite lousy at 3rd, probably in the -10 to -15 range.  It will still be an upgrade over Punto last year, however.  As I said, the Twins could improve a lot by simply finding non-terrible players for their holes and both Lamb and Everett fit that description.

2008 ZiPS Projection - Mike Lamb
——————————————————————————————————————-
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS+
——————————————————————————————————————-
Projection   334 48   88 15 2 10 45 32 59   0 .263 .329 .410   95
2009?      331 48   87 15 2   9 44 32 58   0 .263 .329 .402   93
——————————————————————————————————————-
Opt. (15%)  374 65 112 22 3 14 62 41 57   1 .299 .370 .487   125
Pes. (15%)  267 33   65   9 1   6 31 22 54   0 .243 .302 .352   73
——————————————————————————————————————-
Top Offensive Comps:  Andy High, Bernie Allen

 

2008 ZiPS Projection - Adam Everett
——————————————————————————————————————-
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS+
——————————————————————————————————————-
Projection   361 37   85 20 1   4 36 21 66   8 .235 .284 .330   63
——————————————————————————————————————-
Opt. (15%)  431 52 109 28 3   7 49 32 73 13 .253 .311 .381   83
Pes. (15%)  334 28   69 16 0   3 28 15 70   5 .207 .245 .281   39
——————————————————————————————————————-
Top Offensive Comps:  Hal Rhyne, Bobby Wine

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 15, 2007 at 09:55 PM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. MSI Posted: December 15, 2007 at 11:07 PM (#2646817)
Lamb has awful defense, but it looks like with 500 at bats or so, he';d have 15 homers, 45 walks, 90 k's, 260 average....makes it look sort of bad.

Speaking of which, is there going to be a David Eckstein thread here? I wonder how bad his D is, if its really regressed or was an aberration (though I think his O will help, in conjunction with McDonald's defense leveraged in).
   2. Cris E Posted: December 17, 2007 at 04:26 PM (#2647868)
If Lamb's glove work is that bad he can still hit his way into the lineup as a DH and backup at 1b. Last year Morneau had no one behind him and didn't get much rest or DH/bench time to shake off slumps.
   3. ECBucs Posted: December 17, 2007 at 05:15 PM (#2647895)
How come there is no transaction analysis on Torres to Brewers?

Is he supposed to go on DL for the season?

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