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— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Sunday, December 03, 2006

White Sox - Signed Scott of the Pod People

Chicago White Sox - Signed OF Scott Podsednik to a 1-year contract.

This comes in at $2.9 million, which is an excellent deal if you close your eyes and pretend that Podsednik doesn’t suck and because he’d only be in leftfield, doesn’t even have much value as a leftfielder.  While the White Sox did have a really good offense in 2006, left field is one of their few locked-in places where they could easily improve the team through a position player.  They could also rob Santana for Garcia as has been rumored, but Pods didn’t have to be signed to make that one work, they just need to talk to the Stoneman that gave Matthews Jr. that ridiculous contract.

2007 ZiPS Projection - Scott Podsednik
———————————————————————————————————
          AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB   BA   OBP   SLG
———————————————————————————————————
Projection   537 83 140 27 4   5 51 54 93 45 .261 .331 .354
———————————————————————————————————
Opt. (15%)  611 109 173 37 7   9 59 66 91 66 .283 .358 .411
Pes. (15%)  359 46   87 16 2   1 20 28 69 25 .242 .301 .306
———————————————————————————————————

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 03, 2006 at 02:33 AM | 16 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Hurdle's Heroes (SuperBaes) Posted: December 03, 2006 at 03:08 PM (#2250614)
Podsednik at 1/2.9 is pittance compared to the other deals that have gone down this offseason. Decent backups and situational guys are getting more than that. I actually think that might be a steal, especially considering that there is no long term commitment involved.
   2. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 03, 2006 at 06:10 PM (#2250721)
Decent backups and situational guys are getting more than that because that's better than Podsednik. With the White Sox, he's a leftfielder only and pretty much worthless in that role. He's not even all that great as a pinch-runner - he's too reckless on the bases.
   3. I Am Not a Number Posted: December 03, 2006 at 06:13 PM (#2250722)
If he hits 331/354 as a left fielder, the $2.9M would hardly be a steal (isn't that $300K territory for left fielders?). That would be a case of the White Sox intentionally neutering their offense with a sinkhole at a key offensive position.
   4. Hurdle's Heroes (SuperBaes) Posted: December 04, 2006 at 07:09 AM (#2251109)
year - steals/attempts 1st half (percentage) - steals/attempts 2nd half (percentage)

2003 - 20/25 (80%) - 23/28 (82%)
2004 - 34/38 (89%) - 36/45 (80%)
2005 - 44/53 (83%) - 15/29 (52%)
2006 - 29/41 (71%) - 11/18 (61%)
Career - 127/157 (81%) - 85/120 (71%)

Podsednik will be 31 years old when the 2007 season starts. He is obviously much better in the first half, which makes sense, but he's been absolutely horrible since the midway point of 2005. Is this a sign of a pretty sharp decline? Watching the second half of 05, I thought he had some type of injury that was slowing him, but he never went on the DL (to my knowledge).
   5. Russ Posted: December 04, 2006 at 07:19 AM (#2251113)
Is this a sign of a pretty sharp decline?

Maybe he's developed into some hybrid of characters from Major League and in order to get back his base-stealing mojo, he has to get glasses.

Has he been oversliding the base? Undersliding? Getting picked off because he can't see the back foot of the pitcher.
   6. NBarnes Posted: December 04, 2006 at 01:33 PM (#2251175)
$2.9 for a year of SPod is only a steal if you believe that his reputation makes him Gary Matthews Jr.'s equal. Terrifyingly, Podsednik is actually much, much less valuable than Matthews or Pierre. If Podsednik played CF, he'd be... well, he'd still be worse than Matthews or Pierre, but he wouldn't be a horrible sucking gap in the fabric of reality. As it stands, the man plays the same position as Manny Ramirez.
   7. Nasty Nate Posted: December 04, 2006 at 02:24 PM (#2251189)
I dont understand this thread or the other Podsednik signing one.

It seems people assume that a 1-year $3 million contract locks him in for a starting role in left all year, even if he plays terrible. Why?

I will not be surprised if he pulls a .345 OBP and 25 steals in the first half and then is traded.
   8. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 04, 2006 at 03:40 PM (#2251238)
It seems people assume that a 1-year $3 million contract locks him in for a starting role in left all year, even if he plays terrible. Why?

His 1-year, $2.075 million locked him in for a starting role in left field even though he played terribly. I don't think the White Sox are going to give him nearly a 50% raise to be a pinch-runner.

If he pulls a .345 OBP in the first half with 25 steals, he probably hit 345/350 and was terrible as a starter.
   9. NBarnes Posted: December 05, 2006 at 01:54 AM (#2251719)
7: Because the alternative assumption requires us to believe that after two years, the White Sox are suddenly going to radically revise their estimation of Podsednik's role and contributions? They've been blind to his limitations thus far; what evidence do you have to present to support the idea that that will suddenly change after they've given him a 50% raise?
   10. Eraser-X is emphatically dominating teh site!!! Posted: December 05, 2006 at 02:21 AM (#2251737)
Because I don't believe that they have been "blind to his limitations" so far.

If anyone has looked like morons, it was the people in this thread who mocked the move,
Lee Dumped
when it turned out of to be one of the most important moves to lead to the 2005 championship run. Podsednik, as I've said before is a shitty player. But he was Lee's equal in 2005 at much less money.

One of the most important sabermetric skills is to be able to look past one's preferences to accurately evaluate a player. I hate Podsednik and he sucks, but he's still better than some players and worse than others.
   11. I am Ted F'ing Williams Posted: December 06, 2006 at 04:33 PM (#2252792)
His 1-year, $2.075 million locked him in for a starting role in left field even though he played terribly.


No, Brian Anderson playing EVEN WORSE locked Pods in. How quickly we forget that in April Guillen was routinely putting Mackowiak into LF in the 7th or 8th inning; by the end of May, Anderson was so horrible he lost his job before Podsednik lost his. However bad Pods is, he's still more useful at his position than what the White Sox have in CF or SS.
   12. Dewey, Soupuss Not Doomed to Succeed Posted: December 06, 2006 at 05:22 PM (#2252858)
At least Anderson and Uribe can catch the ball (although I still think that Anderson's defensive abilities are overrated). Podsednik wasn't any better offensively than those two guys, and was a liability on defense.

There's no reason for Scott Podsednik to still be on this team.
   13. I am Ted F'ing Williams Posted: December 06, 2006 at 08:32 PM (#2253097)
A .330 OBP is better than Uribe's league-worst .252.

The Sox know of Podsednik's limited production, Guillen didn't mince any words in the Tribune article today. If his legs are healthy, he's useful, if they aren't he's a liability. I'm still expecting the Sox to trade for an outfielder, but they are better off not going into the trade market in a position of desperation.
   14. VG Posted: December 06, 2006 at 08:46 PM (#2253129)
Watching the second half of 05, I thought he had some type of injury that was slowing him, but he never went on the DL (to my knowledge).

He didn't go on the DL, but he had double-hernia surgery between the 2005 and 2006 seasons. What's difficult to know is whether the deterioration in Pods' speed last year was because he wasn't fully recovered from the surgery or because he turned 30 before the start of the season.
   15. Dewey, Soupuss Not Doomed to Succeed Posted: December 06, 2006 at 09:05 PM (#2253167)
A .330 OBP is better than Uribe's league-worst .252.

So? I fail to see your point. Uribe is an excellent shortstop, and is therefore a useful ballplayer, despite the .252 OBP. Podsednik is a terrible leftfielder, and is therefore worthless at his .330 OBP.
   16. Dan Szymborski Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:03 AM (#2253432)
I'm still expecting the Sox to trade for an outfielder, but they are better off not going into the trade market in a position of desperation.

If Scott Podsednik is one of your outfielders, you're already in a position of desperation.

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