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1. Guapo Posted: January 14, 2008 at 09:13 PM (#2668029)Yes.
Sorry. ZiPS uses the park and the league of the team the player's assigned to (any Q added here will be put into the FAQ)
Regarding the new DMB-style defensive ratings that come with the 2008 ZiPS- do the ratings reflect last year's performance, or are they projections for 2008?
Projections for 2008. Those are the range ratings - those who use the DMB disk will also see error rate as a percentage of league average.
The arm rating is for outfielders only and it is mainly for strength and accuracy of the throw - the error rating is still involved. At least, this used to be the case (and seems to still be based on DMB's assigned error ratings and the table of average error they tell you to use when calculating error rate).
Who does your hair?
Who would ever know?
Do you have hair?
Okay, after that brief comedic? interlude.
In DMB, when I try to throw out every possible runner, it seems that I have a lot of running errors - versus um, not trying to throw out runners. I guess the question would be - does an EX arm have fewer errors when trying to throw out every runner than a PR arm would? Is poor just weak, or inaccurate also? Is EX just strong, or accurate also?
Personally, I would be weak but accurate. I would hit the SS/2B cutoff every time.
Out of curiosity, when do you plan to have this one particular team's* projections? I would love to see what ZIPS has to say...
* I don't want to give away the team's name (for competitive advantage reasons), but it rhymes with "Schmiamondschmacks"
Probably a week.
That's harder to test systematically. DMB says "strength and accuracy" but it seems that the accuracy is for non-error accuracy issues, like missing the cutoff man or throwing the ball up the line, but also consulting the error rating to see if there was an error on the play.
Who would ever know?
Do you have hair?
I now grow a full head of hair for the winter and then shave it off in the spring. The hair doesn't really get long enough during the cold weather to need anyone to cut my hair.
Probably a week.
Like I said Dan, due to competitive advantage reasons, I'm unable to disclose what team I'd like ZIPS for. Do you want me to get fired? You stat geeks don't know how it is "out there." (actually, neither do I----yet)
I'll let you know if the team you post in a week is the team that I was looking for.
Oh yes. Yes I do...
I'm now a lurker more than anything, since I can't express those kind of opinions anymore. My apologies....
Any chance of doing more of the historical analysis like you did with Aaron, Ruth, etc? If we can't get your feedback on modern players, you've gotta at least give us something!
don't feel bad about it. you've already paid your dues, and the archive here is probably good enough for me to find comparable players going forward to answer any questions i have.
I've seen it asked multiple times.
Sorry, didn't have time to check the thread yesterday.
Yes. I'm still figuring out, however, the best way to express that confidence.
Defense seems to be part of the context in which pitchers are being projected, based on comments about how Pitcher X's ERA would shoot up if he went to Florida or Tampa - for comparison purposes, doesn't it seems to make sense to use the exact same context for the "AVERAGE" pitcher as well?
I was thinking of something like an Efficient Frontier with two axis.
Checks watch.....paces back and forth......checks calendar......paces some more......curses bitterly at the concept of reverse alphabetical order.
Checks watch.....paces back and forth......checks calendar......paces some more......curses bitterly at the concept of reverse alphabetical order.
Fell behind - I've been in Ohio because my Mom hurt her back and I've been carting her around.
Maybe you can give me the keys to TO in the meantime? I've been thinking Pedroia's projection needs a bit of adjustment... you know, reduce the babip to .222, give him a couple of stints on the DL, hike up that K rate a notch...
I'm still doing projections, just a little slower. I should have a lot of time this weekend to finish Atlanta and Arizona.
Seriously, I only express my impatience as a way of letting you know how much I appreciate and look forward to ALL of your work.
It wasn't ZiPS! it was Keith Law. He stole the keys and did that!
What runs created formula does the ZiPS spreadsheet use? I tried reverse engineering a few common formulas with the data available, without any luck. Thanks in advance.
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