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Primate Studies
— Where BTF's Members Investigate the Grand Old Game

Tuesday, November 30, 2004

2005 Projections: Brewers, Twins, Nationals

2005 ZiPS Projections for players in the Brewers, Twins, and Nationals organizations.

As usual, there are a few stragglers from other teams that appear here for one of a number of various interesting reasons.

Name               Team   P Age   AVG   OBP   SPC AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HBP BB   K SB CS   ID
Brooks Kieschnick*          mr 33 .273 .347 .439 66 18   2   0   3   6   9   2   6 15   0   0   950
Chad Moeller               c   30 .236 .303 .355 301 71 16   1   6 29 32   3 27 69   0   1   972
Damian Miller             c   35 .249 .321 .387 362 90 23   0   9 35 46   2 38 87   0   1   973
Russell Branyan*            3b 29 .251 .342 .494 407 102 22   1 25 60 73   4 54 152   4   3   974
Keith Ginter               2b 29 .259 .344 .444 421 109 26   2 16 55 59   9 48 101   4   2   975
Bill Hall                 ss 25 .251 .296 .367 471 118 22   3   9 56 49   3 29 118   9 10   976
J.J. Hardy               ss 22 .252 .347 .397 305 77 14   0 10 53 42   3 43 38   4   2   977
Wes Helms                 3b 29 .262 .333 .417 362 95 17   0 13 37 48   7 33 89   0   1   978
Lyle Overbay*              1b 28 .299 .379 .465 536 160 48   1 13 72 76   3 70 113   1   1   979
Junior Spivey             2b 30 .272 .359 .433 383 104 25   2 11 57 49 10 44 80   6   5   980
Rickie Weeks               2b 22 .244 .317 .375 467 114 29   4   8 67 43   5 47 107 18   6   981
Brady Clark               rf 32 .271 .359 .389 332 90 19   1   6 36 39   8 39 43 12   6   982
Corey Hart               rf 23 .277 .327 .461 462 128 29   4 16 69 68   5 31 104 19   9   983
Geoff Jenkins*            lf 30 .273 .341 .484 550 150 33   4 25 79 86 10 50 132   2   1   984
Dave Krynzel*              cf 23 .259 .333 .354 378 98 10   7   4 58 30   5 38 106 24 10   985
Chris Magruder#            lf 28 .255 .313 .383 381 97 22   3   7 47 40   4 30 76   6   4   986
Brad Nelson*              1b 22 .240 .302 .391 445 107 23   1 14 55 58   5 36 124 14   5   987
Scott Podsednik*            cf 29 .268 .336 .389 594 159 27   6 11 84 55   6 58 96 52 13   988
Pat Borders               c   42 .230 .263 .349 252 58 13   1   5 25 27   4   8 54   2   2   989
Enrique Cruz               3b 23 .221 .280 .357 412 91 15   1 13 54 46   4 31 119 10   6   990
Matt Erickson*            2b 29 .260 .327 .350 366 95 25   1   2 49 30   4 34 64 12   8   991
Prince Fielder*            1b 21 .268 .344 .446 489 131 19   1 22 75 75   5 54 92   9   5   992
Kade Johnson               c   26 .221 .282 .344 285 63 12   1   7 36 32   3 22 69   5   3   993
Mark L. Johnson*            c   28 .223 .327 .323 260 58 14   0   4 35 38   3 38 42   2   1   994
Jeff Liefer*              1b 30 .242 .313 .439 335 81 19   1 15 43 52   3 33 75   1   1   995
Craig Counsell*            ss 34 .235 .319 .302 421 99 16   3   2 50 29   3 51 67 12   5   996
Gary Bennett               c   33 .226 .290 .305 266 60 12   0   3 21 25   3 22 40   1   1   997
Trent Durrington           2b 29 .243 .313 .340 379 92 16   3   5 55 34   3 37 74 19 12   998
Peter Bergeron*            cf 27 .221 .290 .307 417 92 15   6   3 60 38   4 38 71 12   8   999
Luis Figueroa#            2b 31 .265 .315 .344 407 108 21   1   3 50 38   4 27 29   5   6 1000
Brandon Gemoll*            1b 24 .251 .313 .391 394 99 23   1 10 45 48   4 33 100   4   5 1001
Ryan Knox                 cf 28 .245 .303 .327 392 96 21   1   3 55 30   4 30 80 26 14 1002
Jon Nunnally*              lf 33 .222 .336 .410 334 74 14   2 15 52 44   3 56 97   8   7 1003
Steve Scarborough           ss 27 .235 .308 .364 387 91 26   3   6 42 38   4 38 96   3   4 1004
Andy Abad*                1b 32 .269 .347 .421 387 104 24   1 11 52 56   4 44 59   2   3 1005
Rob Bowen#                c   24 .210 .283 .341 267 56 11   0   8 29 28   2 26 80   1   1 1037
Corky Miller               c   29 .214 .296 .354 308 66 19   0   8 35 36   5 32 58   0   0 1038
Jason Bartlett             ss 25 .273 .340 .364 440 120 20   4   4 77 37   4 43 62 17 14 1039
Michael Cuddyer             2b 26 .276 .351 .458 369 102 21   2 14 58 52   3 41 85   6   6 1040
Garrett Jones*            1b 24 .243 .283 .431 473 115 24   1 21 60 68   5 23 117   8   5 1041

Name               Team   P Age   AVG   OBP   SPC AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HBP BB   K SB CS   ID
Justin Morneau*            1b 24 .275 .344 .539 542 149 30   1 37 85 106   5 55 103   1   1 1042
Augie Ojeda#              ss 30 .232 .312 .310 358 83 17   1   3 53 27   4 39 36   6   3 1043
Luis Rivas               2b 25 .266 .310 .404 406 108 17   6   9 58 42   3 24 57 14   5 1044
Luis Rodriguez#            2b 25 .278 .348 .361 504 140 28   1   4 70 47   5 51 49   3   4 1045
Terry Tiffee#              3b 26 .280 .320 .419 453 127 28   1 11 57 61   5 23 43   1   1 1046
Lew Ford                 cf 28 .301 .378 .448 522 157 32   3 13 87 67 10 57 69 16   4 1047
Torii Hunter               cf 29 .271 .329 .477 558 151 36   2 25 81 89   6 45 105 16   8 1048
Jacque Jones*              rf 30 .280 .328 .448 558 156 29   1 21 75 80   7 36 115 11   8 1049
Jason Kubel*              rf 23 .308 .367 .465 497 153 24   3 16 87 75   6 43 68 13   8 1050
Michael Restovich           rf 26 .257 .319 .442 513 132 29   3 20 84 72   5 43 136   6   4 1051
Mike Ryan*                rf 27 .236 .306 .433 432 102 25   3 18 66 61   4 41 95   5   3 1052
Shannon Stewart             lf 31 .296 .366 .433 497 147 31   2 11 70 59   5 52 55   6   4 1053
Matt LeCroy               c   29 .284 .337 .461 317 90 17   0 13 35 51   4 23 70   0   1 1054
Joe Mauer*                c   22 .316 .373 .404 386 122 17   1   5 59 47   4 33 39   2   0 1055
Nick Punto#              ss 27 .262 .361 .319 298 78 10   2   1 48 22   2 46 55 14   6 1057
Todd Dunwoody*            cf 30 .248 .282 .407 359 89 26   2   9 47 45   4 14 76   7   5 1058
Alex Prieto               2b 29 .240 .298 .336 292 70 13   0   5 70 26   3 22 58   4   3 1059
Brian Simmons#            lf 31 .220 .268 .336 277 61 12   1   6 30 28   3 16 66   3   3 1060
James Tomlin               cf 22 .218 .256 .256 481 105 13   1   1 64 29   5 21 67 18   7 1061
Kevin West               lf 25 .261 .310 .436 498 130 34   1 17 64 72   5 32 117   3   3 1062
Henry Blanco               c   33 .201 .258 .343 268 54 15   1   7 27 29   2 19 48   0   3 1063
Corey Koskie*              3b 32 .267 .370 .465 460 123 30   2 19 69 70 10 67 110   8   7 1064
Cristian Guzman#            ss 27 .269 .305 .373 595 160 27   7   7 78 54   2 31 70 12   9 1065
Brandon Marsters           c   30 .228 .271 .351 276 63 19   0   5 32 30   3 14 75   0   1 1066
Josh Rabe                 cf 26 .260 .319 .368 470 122 24   0   9 65 52   5 38 82 17 11 1067
Brian Schneider*            c   28 .245 .317 .372 392 96 19   2   9 32 44   2 41 76   0   2 1104
Larry Broadway*            1b 24 .240 .320 .388 459 110 18   1 16 62 57   5 51 109   3   2 1105
Jamey Carroll             3b 31 .271 .341 .360 325 88 16   2   3 43 29   3 33 37   4   5 1106
Brendan Harris             3b 24 .267 .329 .416 442 118 27   3 11 63 54   5 38 76   3   2 1107
Alejandro Machado           2b 23 .259 .323 .318 490 127 12   4   3 75 37   5 43 72 24 11 1108
Henry Mateo#              2b 28 .257 .303 .336 214 55   8   3   1 28 14   2 13 41 10   6 1109
Nick Johnson*              1b 26 .268 .388 .431 325 87 17   0 12 51 47   7 59 70   4   3 1110
Ron Calloway*              lf 28 .246 .313 .365 362 89 18   2   7 43 44   3 34 77 11   8 1111
Endy Chavez*              cf 27 .283 .330 .376 558 158 22   6   6 75 49   2 39 53 27 12 1112
Ryan Church*              lf 26 .278 .347 .451 421 117 23   4 14 62 59   4 43 87   2   1 1113
J.J.  Davis               lf 26 .265 .325 .500 374 99 21   2 21 54 61   3 32 93   9   6 1114
Val Pascucci               rf 26 .257 .380 .453 470 121 27   1 21 80 77   5 90 129   5   4 1115
Termel Sledge*            lf 28 .288 .363 .454 458 132 22   6 14 66 63   3 53 82   5   5 1116
Brandon Watson*            cf 23 .289 .329 .337 540 156 14   3   2 77 42   5 29 70 20 12 1117
Brad Wilkerson*            lf 28 .263 .380 .457 558 147 33   3 23 93 77   4 104 155 11   8 1118
Jose Vidro#              2b 30 .303 .381 .445 501 152 30   1 13 66 68   3 62 52   3   2 1119
Jason Belcher*            lf 23 .252 .294 .348 353 89 19   0   5 34 36   4 18 53   6   2 1120
Matt Cepicky*              lf 27 .257 .305 .400 432 111 22   2 12 54 58   4 27 97   3   1 1121
Melvin Dorta               2b 23 .218 .274 .249 293 64   7   1   0 26 18   3 20 42 10   4 1122
Josh Labandiera             ss 26 .233 .288 .312 503 117 21   2   5 56 38   5 36 91   8   7 1123
Tony Batista               3b 31 .236 .280 .409 626 148 28   1 26 73 94   6 34 90   8   6 1124
Einar Diaz               c   32 .224 .273 .298 272 61 12   1   2 22 21   7 12 24   2   1 1125
Andy Fox*                2b 34 .235 .312 .310 268 63 10   2   2 32 22   5 26 62 10   5 1126
Luis Lopez               3b 31 .249 .320 .363 430 107 22   0   9 49 52   5 42 60   0   1 1127
Brian Harris#              2b 30 .266 .341 .350 383 102 17   3   3 55 34   4 41 65   3   4 1128
Scott Hodges*              3b 26 .266 .324 .371 447 119 21   1   8 60 51   4 36 91   2   2 1129
Paul Hoover               c   29 .245 .300 .339 245 60 15   1   2 29 23   2 18 66   3   3 1130
Randy Knorr               c   36 .247 .318 .341 296 73 16   0   4 28 32   3 29 60   0   0 1131
Julius Matos               3b 30 .271 .307 .379 435 118 24   1   7 51 49   5 19 45   4   3 1132
Tony Medrano               ss 30 .259 .328 .330 424 110 20   2   2 54 37   4 41 50   4   2 1133
John Wilson               c   26 .217 .280 .321 240 52 11   1   4 19 21   2 20 39   4   3 1134

                     

Name             Team   P Age   ERA   W   L   S   G GS CG SHO   INN   H   R ER BB   K HR GDP   ID
Mike Adams               mr 27   4.15   2   4   0 52   2   0   0   78.0 73 39 36 31 74   9   7   928
Kris Honel               sp 22   5.10   8   8   0 25 25   0   0 134.0 138 83 76 69 103 17 12   933
Matthew Smith             mr 26   5.75   3   4   0 60   0   0   0   72.0 80 50 46 41 47 11   7   934
Jake Dittler             sp 22   5.34   8   9   0 23 22   0   0 118.0 131 77 70 51 82 18 11   936
Mark Woodyard             mr 26   5.71   4   7   0 34 17   0   0 112.0 127 78 71 64 60 13 11   937
Randy Messenger           mr 23   5.50   3   6   0 42 13   0   0   90.0 92 60 55 61 66 10   9   939
Jeff Bennett             mr 25   5.04   3   7   0 42   9   0   0   91.0 97 56 51 40 64 13   8   941
Chris Capuano*            sp 26   4.08   7   9   0 25 22   0   0 130.0 126 64 59 46 111 14 11   942
Doug Davis*              sp 29   4.10   9 13   0 30 30   0   0 180.0 180 90 82 68 130 15 16   943
Jorge de la Rosa*          sp 24   4.46   5   9   0 26 25   0   0 113.0 107 61 56 57 101 11 10   944
Ben Diggins             sp 27   5.40   5 14   0 26 25   0   0 135.0 141 89 81 77 100 18 13   945
Gary Glover             mr 28   5.40   3   9   0 39 14   0   0 105.0 120 69 63 44 57 16 10   946
Ben Hendrickson           sp 24   3.95   8 11   0 27 26   0   0 146.0 147 70 64 45 104 13 13   947
Jeff Housman*            sp 23   5.46   4 11   0 28 23   0   0 127.0 136 84 77 65 96 21 12   948
Mike Jones               sp 22   5.92   2   6   0 14 14   0   0   76.0 81 55 50 61 43   6   8   949
Brooks Kieschnick         mr 33   4.58   1   1   0 39   0   0   0   53.0 55 29 27 19 38   7   5   950
Danny Kolb               cl 30   3.84   2   3   0 59   0   0   0   61.0 58 28 26 27 47   3   5   951
Pedro Liriano             sp 24   5.91   3 10   0 35 23   0   0 137.0 150 99 90 74 103 26 13   952
Wes Obermueller           sp 28   5.29   5 14   0 28 26   0   0 153.0 174 99 90 64 78 22 14   953
Andy Pratt*              sp 25   5.09   4   9   0 26 23   0   0 129.0 121 80 73 88 119 13 12   954
Chris Saenz             sp 23   5.43   4 11   0 21 21   0   0 106.0 108 70 64 53 98 20 10   955
Victor Santos             sp 28   4.47   7 11   0 35 26   0   0 157.0 159 85 78 61 123 19 14   956
Dennis Sarfate           sp 24   6.79   3 14   0 27 25   0   0 126.0 137 104 95 91 106 28 12   957
Ben Sheets               sp 26   3.19 14 12   0 34 34   0   0 226.0 209 88 80 43 216 23 19   958
Luis Vizcaino             mr 30   4.57   3   5   0 74   0   0   0   69.0 67 38 35 26 67 11   6   959
Matt Wise               sp 29   3.84   2   3   0 31   9   0   0   82.0 83 38 35 18 64 10   7   960
Matt Ford*              mr 24   6.31   2   7   0 22 16   0   0   87.0 98 67 61 59 48 13   9   961
Josh Habel*              sp 24   6.34   3 13   0 31 21   0   0 122.0 135 94 86 66 104 29 12   962
Sam Narron*              sp 23   5.89   4 11   0 29 21   0   0 133.0 167 96 87 39 55 29 12   963
John Novinsky             mr 26   5.81   2   6   0 50   0   0   0   62.0 68 44 40 31 47 12   6   964
Travis Phelps             mr 27   4.88   4   8   0 41   9   0   0   96.0 98 57 52 40 82 15   9   965
Scott Wiggins*            mr 29   4.67   2   3   0 48   0   0   0   52.0 51 29 27 27 40   5   5   966
Ben Ford               mr 29   5.35   3   7   0 36 12   0   0 101.0 109 66 60 53 63 13   9   967
Adrian Hernandez           sp 30   4.95   4   7   0 27 16   0   0 111.0 107 67 61 64 101 13 10   968
Todd Erdos               mr 31   5.14   2   6   0 45   1   0   0   63.0 69 39 36 30 38   8   6   969
Dan Reichert             mr 28   4.88   3   6   0 50   2   0   0   83.0 82 49 45 48 64   8   8   970

Name             Team   P Age   ERA   W   L   S   G GS CG SHO   INN   H   R ER BB   K HR GDP   ID
Clint Weibl             sp 30   5.74   2   7   0 23 14   0   0   91.0 107 65 58 32 57 20   8   971
Grant Balfour             mr 27   4.08   4   3   0 44   5   0   0   75.0 68 37 34 32 85   9   7 1006
Boof Bonser             sp 23   6.04   6 13   0 28 28   0   0 155.0 169 115 104 90 131 29 15 1007
Travis Bowyer             mr 23   5.86   3   7   0 47   0   0   0   83.0 79 59 54 78 74   5   8 1008
Jesse Crain             cl 23   3.65   5   4   0 56   0   0   0   69.0 60 30 28 28 80   6   6 1009
J.D. Durbin             sp 23   4.97   6   9   0 26 25   0   0 145.0 156 88 80 62 105 19 13 1010
Dave Gassner*            sp 26   4.69   9 11   0 30 25   0   0 163.0 189 93 85 36 94 24 15 1011
Matt Guerrier             sp 26   4.88   7   8   0 28 24   0   0 144.0 162 85 78 36 106 26 13 1012
Francisco Liriano*        sp 21   5.27   7 11   0 28 28   0   0 152.0 152 97 89 86 143 22 14 1013
Kyle Lohse               sp 26   4.75 11 12   0 34 33   0   0 195.0 217 114 103 63 123 25 18 1014
Colby Miller             sp 23   5.90   4   9   0 21 21   0   0 119.0 141 85 78 53 67 21 11 1015
Joe Nathan               cl 30   3.17   6   3   0 74   0   0   0   71.0 58 27 25 27 86   5   6 1016
Juan Rincon             mr 26   3.49 10   5   0 69   1   0   0   85.0 73 36 33 36 94   5   7 1017
J.C. Romero*            mr 29   4.25   4   4   0 76   0   0   0   72.0 68 37 34 39 65   4   7 1018
Johan Santana*            sp 26   3.15 14   6   0 36 29   0   0 183.0 154 70 64 50 223 18 15 1019
Carlos Silva             sp 26   4.34   7   7   0 45 21   0   0 164.0 191 86 79 32 67 16 15 1020
Brian Wolfe             mr 24   5.68   4   6   0 34 15   0   0 114.0 142 79 72 35 51 21 11 1021
Joe Beimel*              mr 28   5.83   2   4   0 57   3   0   0   71.0 80 50 46 37 48 12   7 1022
Willie Eyre             mr 26   5.11   5   8   0 38 15   0   0 118.0 127 73 67 60 82 13 11 1023
Seth Greisinger           sp 29   5.05   6   7   0 30 25   0   0 155.0 185 96 87 35 85 27 14 1024
Adam Johnson             sp 25   5.21   5   8   0 31 17   0   0 121.0 133 77 70 50 92 19 11 1025
Beau Kemp               mr 24   4.79   6   7   0 56   0   0   0   77.0 81 45 41 38 53   7   7 1026
Bobby Korecky             mr 25   4.65   4   4   0 53   0   0   0   62.0 66 35 32 21 47   8   6 1027
Joe Roa                 mr 33   4.50   6   7   0 36 15   0   0 118.0 134 64 59 25 70 16 10 1028
Brad Radke               sp 32   3.99 11   9   0 32 32   0   0 201.0 224 97 89 26 120 24 17 1029
Aaron Fultz*            mr 31   4.66   2   3   0 56   0   0   0   56.0 59 31 29 24 43   6   5 1030
Terry Mulholland*          mr 42   5.15   4   6   0 40   9   0   0 110.0 133 69 63 33 50 16 10 1031
Carlos Pulido*            sp 33   5.07   5   8   0 28 22   0   0 135.0 157 83 76 45 71 18 12 1032
Scott Baker             sp 23   4.20   9   9   0 26 26   0   0 163.0 169 83 76 49 126 18 14 1033
Kevin Hodge             mr 28   4.92   4   5   0 49   0   0   0   75.0 83 45 41 22 56 13   7 1034
Jeromy Palki                 0   4.75   4   4   0 48   3   0   0   89.0 89 51 47 41 80 11   8 1035
Brent Schoening           sp 27   5.56   4   8   0 32 16   0   0 110.0 124 74 68 47 80 20 10 1036
Joe Mays               sp 29   5.34   6   9   0 26 20   0   0 118.0 146 77 70 34 46 18 11 1056
Kevin Walker*            mr 28   6.56   1   3   0 48   1   0   0   59.0 68 47 43 34 45 14   6 1068
Tony Armas Jr.            sp 27   4.58   6   8   0 22 22   0   0 116.0 113 64 59 57 97 13 11 1069
Luis Ayala               mr 27   3.18 10   6   0 73   0   0   0   82.0 81 31 29 14 58   6   7 1070
Francis Beltran           mr 25   4.75   2   3   0 48   1   0   0   53.0 51 30 28 30 48   6   5 1071
Chad Bentz*              mr 25   5.23   1   2   0 41   0   0   0   62.0 63 39 36 41 40   5   6 1072
Chad Cordero             mr 23   3.99   4   4   0 60   0   0   0   70.0 61 34 31 35 72   6   6 1073
Scott Downs*            sp 29   5.36   7 13   0 30 29   0   0 163.0 189 106 97 63 75 25 15 1074
Joey Eischen*            mr 35   3.12   3   2   0 61   0   0   0   52.0 46 19 18 16 46   3   4 1075
Livan Hernandez           sp 30   3.85 14 12   0 34 34   0   0 234.0 231 110 100 72 177 22 20 1076
Mike Hinckley*            sp 22   4.56   7   9   0 26 26   0   0 144.0 147 80 73 57 109 18 13 1077
Joe Horgan*              mr 28   5.03   3   5   0 63   0   0   0   68.0 69 41 38 33 55 10   6 1078
Josh Karp               sp 25   5.27   5   8   0 23 23   0   0 123.0 130 79 72 63 89 18 11 1079
Sun-Woo Kim             sp 27   5.10   4   8   0 35 20   0   0 136.0 145 84 77 61 89 19 13 1080
Gary Majewski             mr 25   3.96   5   4   0 56   1   0   0   75.0 66 36 33 37 69   5   7 1081
Tomo Ohka               sp 29   3.89 10   9   0 29 29   0   0 169.0 178 80 73 39 102 17 15 1082
John Patterson           sp 27   4.21   7   8   0 27 23   0   0 139.0 132 72 65 58 125 16 12 1083
Darrell Rasner           sp 24   4.92   5   8   0 25 25   0   0 128.0 137 77 70 53 81 17 12 1084
Jon Rauch               sp 26   4.39   7   8   0 26 23   0   0 123.0 122 66 60 45 105 17 11 1085
Danny Rueckel             mr 34   4.21 46   0   0   4   5   0   0   77.0 77 39 36 29 55   7   7 1086
T.J. Tucker             mr 26   3.81   4   3   0 52   4   0   0   78.0 79 36 33 24 50   6   7 1087
Claudio Vargas           sp 27   5.30   3   5   0 36 17   0   0 112.0 120 72 66 53 82 18 10 1088
Zach Day               sp 27   4.61   7   9   0 25 20   0   0 119.0 127 67 61 51 66 11 11 1089
Rigo Beltran*            mr 35   4.61   3   3   0 30 11   0   0   82.0 84 46 42 39 52   7   8 1090
Donnie Bridges           sp 26   6.15   3   9   0 24 16   0   0   98.0 100 73 67 84 71 11 10 1091
Roy Corcoran             mr 25   4.09   4   5   0 42   0   0   0   55.0 49 27 25 33 46   2   5 1092
Justin Echols             sp 24   6.28   4 11   0 31 18   0   0 119.0 126 91 83 81 99 23 11 1093
Anthony Ferrari*          mr 27   5.91   2   6   0 44   0   0   0   70.0 79 50 46 40 34 10   7 1094
Shawn Hill               sp 24   4.08   8   9   0 23 23   0   0 119.0 125 59 54 40 62   8 11 1095
Rich Rundles*            sp 24   4.46   4   6   0 20 20   0   0 103.0 108 56 51 42 59   9   9 1096
Matt Skrmetta             mr 32   5.16   3   6   0 42   0   0   0   61.0 58 38 35 39 56   8   6 1097
Corey Thurman             mr 26   4.72   3   5   0 27 11   0   0   80.0 80 46 42 36 66 11   7 1098
Rocky Biddle             cl 29   4.96   4   7   0 54   6   0   0   78.0 80 47 43 36 61 11   7 1099
Jeremy Fikac             mr 30   5.51   4   7   0 56   0   0   0   67.0 70 45 41 34 58 13   6 1100
Wilton Chavez             sp 24   5.12   6 10   0 29 25   0   0 153.0 164 94 87 61 110 26 14 1101
Mike Johnson             sp 29   5.63   3   6   0 27 10   0   0   80.0 89 55 50 34 57 16   7 1102
Seung Song               sp 25   4.90   5   8   0 21 21   0   0 112.0 114 67 61 56 87 14 10 1103

Dan Szymborski Posted: November 30, 2004 at 05:55 PM | 15 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Dolf Lucky Posted: November 30, 2004 at 07:05 PM (#988074)
Any insight on what type of park factor is being used here for the Washington players?
   2. Mister High Standards Posted: November 30, 2004 at 08:38 PM (#988279)
The Livian - the most underrated player in baseball.
   3. Evil Twin Posted: November 30, 2004 at 09:13 PM (#988351)
J. J. Hardy, longshot rookie of the year candidate?
   4. Tom G. Posted: November 30, 2004 at 09:38 PM (#988386)
Another underrated player (but not as much as Livian) in DC is Wilkerson. I would love to see Wilkerson in CF for the Phils through some type of trade.

What kind of park factor are you using for players that are free agents? The park factor for their 2004 home park?
   5. Two-Fisted Slobber Posted: December 01, 2004 at 12:27 AM (#988605)
What on earth are these projections sorted by?
   6. The Fallen Reputation of Billy Jo Robidoux Posted: December 01, 2004 at 03:47 AM (#988832)
I always find these projections interesting, and thanks for doing them Dan. But there's always a few that make me wonder - I strongly doubt that Hendrickson will do that well, or that De La Rosa would if he was called up. Or the tactical decisions these suggest - I strongly doubt Mike Adams will ever start a major league game, and if Kolb is traded, he's likely the closer. Why would Glover be projected to have more starts than Wise? Or, how are the minor league players chosen to be projected? Josh Habel, but no Glenn Woolard?

Oh, and Ben Diggins doesn't turn 26 until June.
   7. RoyW Posted: December 01, 2004 at 07:49 PM (#989742)
I'll be really, really surprised if Joe Mauer has an isolated power of .088. Of course, it's anybody's guess if his knee will hold up.
   8. Crawfish Posted: December 03, 2004 at 12:50 AM (#992546)
I cannot wait to see Danny Rueckel get those 46 wins in 77 innings pitched of middle relief...hiccup...
   9. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: December 03, 2004 at 02:45 PM (#993405)
Fielder and Pascucci look pretty good. In additition to the Park Factor question, what is assumed about the team defense? For example is the projection for Radke based on the Twins' defense, or an average defense?
   10. Kinanik Posted: December 04, 2004 at 04:47 AM (#995031)
Rueckel is now my #1 fantasy draft pick!!

I'm suprised that Johan shows so much regression to the mean... But he hasn't been good for that long.

The thing I find odd is that noone will throw a CG on these teams next year :p
   11. captainlad Posted: December 08, 2004 at 07:03 AM (#1005511)
What's the chance of getting all this data in XLS format when this is all done... it was done last year and I loved it. It would be amaing to get it again in that format this year.
   12. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: January 08, 2005 at 06:23 AM (#1065098)
Request: Maicer Izturis ... thanks!

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