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Primate Studies
— Where BTF's Members Investigate the Grand Old Game

Saturday, December 11, 2004

2005 Projections: Mets, Yankees, A’s

2005 ZiPS Projections for players from the Mets,  Yankees, and A’s organizations.

All the usual caveats apply.

Name               Team   P Age   AVG   OBP   SPC AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HBP BB   K SB CS   ID
Joe Hietpas               c   26 .186 .246 .264 280 52 16   0   2 23 22   3 20 84   1   1 1167
Mike Jacobs*              c   24 .251 .288 .384 375 94 20   0 10 44 46   3 18 69   0   2 1168
Mike Piazza               c   36 .258 .351 .449 414 107 19   0 20 45 63   2 59 70   0   1 1169
Aarom Baldiris             3b 22 .249 .307 .313 457 114 13   5   2 57 36   5 35 74   7   5 1170
Craig Brazell*            1b 25 .257 .289 .412 495 127 21   1 18 58 66   5 19 108   2   1 1171
Danny Garcia               2b 25 .255 .315 .355 471 120 25   2   6 61 49   5 38 82 10   6 1172
Jeff Keppinger             2b 25 .281 .329 .353 459 129 17   2   4 65 42   4 31 30   9   6 1173
Kaz Matsui#              ss 29 .273 .341 .404 510 139 33   2 10 71 57   6 49 109 11   2 1174
Jason Phillips             1b 28 .261 .336 .397 383 100 22   0 10 39 49   8 37 43   0   1 1175
Joe McEwing               2b 32 .232 .290 .294 211 49   8   1   1 23 17   2 16 46   3   1 1176
Vance Wilson               c   32 .249 .307 .376 205 51   9   1   5 21 26   6 12 38   1   1 1177
Jose Reyes#              ss 22 .288 .327 .396 351 101 14   6   4 63 33   1 21 47 33   5 1178
David Wright               3b 22 .290 .360 .491 552 160 37   1 24 91 86   6 57 92 28 10 1179
Mike Cameron               cf 32 .244 .336 .449 517 126 31   3 23 75 79   7 67 146 21   7 1180
Victor Diaz               rf 23 .292 .334 .472 551 161 29   2 22 83 88   6 31 139 10   6 1181
Jeff Duncan*              cf 26 .239 .320 .316 373 89 14   3   3 49 27   4 42 96 20 13 1182
Cliff Floyd*              lf 32 .274 .370 .496 419 115 31   1 20 61 71   9 57 93   9   3 1183
Wayne Lydon               cf 24 .230 .288 .285 492 113 12   3   3 68 34   5 37 116 48 22 1184
Angel Pagan#              cf 23 .242 .295 .316 462 112 16   6   2 67 36   5 31 103 30 17 1185
Eric Valent*              rf 28 .236 .312 .375 445 105 28   2 10 55 51   3 48 94   0   1 1186
Brian Buchanan             rf 31 .263 .340 .453 179 47 11   1   7 24 26   2 20 45   2   2 1187
Prentice Redman             cf 25 .253 .313 .407 474 120 33   2 12 68 56   4 39 113 14   9 1188
Esix Snead#              cf 29 .228 .304 .288 382 87 11   3   2 50 27   4 39 73 36 19 1189
David Bacani               2b 25 .249 .329 .340 285 71 13   2   3 35 26   3 32 56 10   9 1190
Chris Basak               ss 26 .229 .293 .352 471 108 26   4   8 60 45   5 39 130 15 11 1191
Wilson Delgado#            2b 32 .258 .314 .345 411 106 18   3   4 39 34   3 32 84   4   2 1192
Mike Glavine*              1b 32 .219 .303 .365 192 42 10   0   6 13 21   2 22 44   1   0 1193
Rodney Nye               3b 28 .263 .331 .373 437 115 28   1   6 50 47   5 41 87   3   2 1194
John Pachot               c   30 .243 .270 .332 304 74 18   0   3 25 29   3   9 41   1   0 1195
Ice Williams               rf 38 .235 .268 .364 332 78 16   3   7 42 32   3 13 59 10   7 1196
Richard Hidalgo             rf 29 .276 .346 .501 507 140 33   3 25 76 84   6 50 114   5   5 1197
Shane Spencer             lf 33 .253 .328 .380 300 76 15   1   7 29 37   3 32 66   3   1 1198
Todd Zeile               3b 39 .212 .293 .307 358 76 13   0   7 31 38   1 41 78   0   0 1199
Karim Garcia*              rf 29 .276 .317 .462 377 104 15   2 17 51 62   2 22 70   1   2 1200
John Flaherty             c   37 .233 .269 .366 172 40 11   0   4 15 20   1   8 30   1   2 1228
Dioner Navarro#            c   21 .263 .323 .345 391 103 16   2   4 52 40   4 32 59   2   2 1229
Jorge Posada#              c   33 .265 .385 .468 472 125 30   0 22 72 84   8 87 106   1   3 1230
Robinson Cano*            2b 22 .250 .294 .364 503 126 20   5   9 63 52   5 28 66   4   1 1231
Felix Escalona             2b 26 .247 .292 .354 376 93 23   1   5 58 39   5 20 52   4   1 1232
Jason Giambi*              1b 34 .252 .394 .493 444 112 21   1 28 73 85 15 91 104   1   2 1233
Derek Jeter               3b 31 .298 .358 .454 614 183 37   1 19 105 82 14 46 99 18   5 1234
Andy Phillips             1b 28 .265 .329 .490 453 120 22   4 24 77 76   5 40 74   3   3 1235
Alex Rodriguez             ss 29 .285 .381 .539 618 176 25   3 42 110 118 12 87 125 20   4 1236
Ferdin Tejada             ss 22 .198 .243 .225 262 52   5   1   0 30 14   3 13 53   5   3 1237
Tony Womack*              2b 35 .265 .311 .337 510 135 19   3   4 71 41   4 32 61 20   6 1238
Bubba Crosby*              lf 28 .258 .309 .403 318 82 16   3   8 40 38   3 22 58   6   3 1239
Hideki Matsui*            lf 31 .293 .384 .481 588 172 37   1 24 95 99   3 87 96   2   1 1240
Gary Sheffield             rf 36 .287 .388 .525 551 158 30   1 33 100 108 10 84 66   8   5 1241
Bernie Williams#            cf 36 .266 .360 .427 534 142 27   1 19 87 75   2 79 84   3   4 1242
Mitch Jones               lf 27 .212 .288 .428 472 100 22   1 26 71 73   5 47 144   4   4 1243
David Parrish             c   26 .212 .274 .284 250 53 10   1   2 25 21   2 20 52   3   2 1244
Steve Torrealba             c   27 .217 .302 .329 161 35   9   0   3 16 16   1 19 27   0   0 1245
Tony Clark#              1b 33 .209 .277 .407 258 54 12   0 13 30 41   1 24 77   0   0 1246
Miguel Cairo               2b 31 .275 .329 .392 316 87 16   3   5 42 35 11 16 41   7   3 1247
Ruben Sierra#              rf 39 .233 .281 .375 317 74 13   1 10 33 46   0 22 55   2   0 1248
Enrique Wilson#            ss 31 .211 .259 .324 204 43   8   0   5 18 23   1 13 19   1   2 1249
John Olerud*              1b 36 .265 .367 .398 483 128 28   0 12 54 65   5 75 61   0   0 1250
Travis Lee*              1b 30 .272 .345 .427 534 145 31   2 16 62 70   0 62 95   5   3 1251
Homer Bush               2b 32 .249 .280 .329 213 53 11   0   2 29 17   2   8 40   5   2 1252
Todd Betts*              1b 32 .254 .317 .369 331 84 15   1   7 20 34   3 29 67   1   1 1253
Jeff Deardorff             3b 26 .262 .333 .431 455 119 19   2 18 65 65   5 46 129 10   7 1254
Sal Fasano               c   33 .207 .246 .373 241 50 14   1   8 20 28   2 11 56   0   0 1255
Mike Kelly               lf 35 .241 .315 .418 316 76 17   0 13 46 46   3 33 74   5   4 1256
Donzell McDonald#          cf 30 .238 .325 .326 411 98 15   6   3 48 26   4 50 100 15   8 1257
Kevin Reese*              cf 27 .266 .323 .404 492 131 33   4   9 75 50   5 38 81 17 11 1258
John Rodriguez*            lf 27 .246 .321 .449 341 84 19   4 14 57 49   3 36 80   7   4 1259
Mike Vento               rf 27 .257 .308 .407 440 113 26   2 12 58 58   4 30 78   4   2 1260
Jermaine Dye               rf 31 .262 .333 .462 481 126 26   2 22 78 75   5 48 109   3   1 1261
Eric Young               2b 38 .254 .333 .347 426 108 21   2   5 55 36   6 47 36 23 11 1290
John Baker*              c   24 .243 .302 .368 465 113 24   2 10 60 55   5 36 125   2   1 1291
Jeremy Brown               c   25 .229 .324 .316 367 84 17   0   5 45 34   4 49 71   1   1 1292
Jason Kendall             c   31 .306 .385 .381 582 178 30   1   4 79 58 20 58 38   9   5 1293
Adam Melhuse#              c   33 .241 .311 .394 274 66 15   0   9 32 36   1 28 61   1   2 1294
Freddie Bynum*            2b 25 .247 .307 .316 522 129 18   3   4 73 42   5 42 127 26 21 1295
Eric Chavez*              3b 27 .278 .376 .522 557 155 30   2 34 91 102   2 88 97   7   3 1296
Bobby Crosby               ss 25 .262 .343 .434 534 140 30   1 20 76 74   8 60 124   9   4 1297
Mark Ellis               2b 28 .260 .334 .378 534 139 31   4   8 75 53   6 55 85   6   2 1298
Scott Hatteberg*            1b 35 .261 .349 .400 528 138 29   1 14 68 69   6 68 50   0   0 1299
Dan Johnson*              1b 25 .268 .355 .451 519 139 22   2 23 79 83   5 67 92   2   1 1300
Adam Morrissey             2b 24 .250 .316 .361 424 106 21   1   8 58 48   4 39 97   3   1 1301
Mike Rouse*              ss 25 .265 .354 .361 388 103 17   1   6 58 39   4 51 77   3   1 1302
Marco Scutaro             2b 29 .280 .324 .415 414 116 28   2   8 49 46   1 27 58   3   3 1303
Eric Byrnes               cf 29 .279 .345 .459 499 139 34   4 16 78 67   9 44 91 13   1 1304
Nelson Cruz               lf 24 .244 .289 .407 496 121 26   2 17 77 64   4 29 142 10   7 1305
Bobby Kielty#              lf 28 .241 .359 .400 340 82 19   1 11 49 45   5 59 69   4   2 1306
Mark Kotsay*              cf 29 .306 .371 .452 578 177 34   4 14 76 69   2 60 75   8   6 1307
Jason Perry*              lf 24 .262 .313 .460 367 96 27   2 14 64 53   4 25 103   4   4 1308

Name               Team   P Age   AVG   OBP   SPC AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HBP BB   K SB CS   ID
Nick Swisher#              lf 25 .234 .349 .422 431 101 25   1 18 78 64   4 74 112   2   2 1309
Matt Watson*              lf 26 .270 .336 .446 433 117 29   1 15 61 65   5 40 64   5   4 1310
Erubiel Durazo*            1b 31 .292 .389 .480 500 146 32   1 20 78 81   6 76 98   2   2 1311
Hiram Bocachica             cf 29 .233 .299 .406 266 62 14   1 10 35 33   2 24 61 10   9 1312
Omar Quintanilla*          ss 23 .274 .319 .400 463 127 28   3   8 71 54   5 27 61   3   3 1313
Mark McLemore#            ss 40 .224 .318 .299 268 60 12   1   2 29 25   1 37 51   3   6 1314
Eric Karros               1b 37 .244 .302 .368 348 85 17   1   8 30 42   2 28 46   2   2 1315
Billy McMillon*            lf 33 .268 .344 .460 213 57 14   0   9 22 36   2 24 47   1   1 1316
Esteban German             2b 27 .270 .354 .345 411 111 14   4   3 60 36   4 51 59 16 12 1317
Ramon A. Castro             3b 25 .201 .275 .279 229 46   9   3   1 29 19   2 22 42   7   3 1318
Mike Edwards               3b 28 .274 .354 .404 507 139 31   1 11 73 66   5 60 92   7   7 1319
Graham Koonce*            1b 30 .233 .356 .422 450 105 22   0 21 67 71   4 84 127   0   0 1320
Michael Rivera             c   28 .237 .291 .407 300 71 13   1 12 33 42   2 22 70   0   1 1321

Name             Team   P Age   ERA   W   L   S   G GS CG SHO   INN   H   R ER BB   K HR GDP   ID
Heath Bell               mr 27   3.78   3   3   0 53   0   0   0   69.0 62 31 29 25 74   8   6 1136
Kris Benson             sp 30   4.01   9 10   0 27 27   0   0 164.0 164 80 73 56 113 14 15 1137
Pedro Feliciano*          mr 28   4.50   3   4   0 50   0   0   0   68.0 70 37 34 26 49   8   6 1138
Bartolome Fortunato         mr 30   4.43   4   5   0 45   2   0   0   67.0 58 36 33 39 74   7   6 1139
Tom Glavine*            sp 39   4.55 11 15   0 34 34   0   0 200.0 217 112 101 73 104 20 18 1140
Aaron Heilman             sp 26   4.92   7 11   0 30 29   0   0 161.0 163 97 88 80 126 21 15 1141
Felix Heredia*            mr 30   4.72   2   3   0 59   0   0   0   61.0 64 35 32 28 37   6   6 1142
Bob Keppel               sp 23   4.45   5   6   0 19 18   0   0   97.0 108 52 48 30 45 10   9 1143
Matthew Lindstrom         sp 25   5.12   5 10   0 26 25   0   0 123.0 130 77 70 60 86 17 11 1144
Braden Looper             cl 30   3.51   4   4   0 74   0   0   0   82.0 80 35 32 23 56   5   7 1145
Jae Wong Seo             sp 28   4.47   7 11   0 29 27   0   0 155.0 168 84 77 47 88 19 14 1146
Steve Trachsel           sp 34   4.86   9 16   0 32 32   0   0 189.0 205 113 102 76 110 23 17 1147
Tyler Yates             mr 27   4.94   4   8   0 36   8   0   0   71.0 68 42 39 43 59   7   7 1148
Victor Zambrano           sp 29   4.92   7 12   0 32 23   0   0 150.0 145 90 82 93 122 14 14 1149
Matt Ginter             sp 27   3.91   4   4   0 36 14   0   0 106.0 110 50 46 28 67 10   9 1150
Orber Moreno             mr 28   3.53   6   4   0 42   0   0   0   51.0 44 22 20 21 49   3   4 1151
Scott Strickland           mr 29   4.14   5   6   0 51   0   0   0   50.0 45 25 23 24 49   5   4 1152
Jeremy Hill             mr 27   5.75   2   6   0 47   0   0   0   61.0 58 42 39 51 56   7   6 1153
Royce Ring*              mr 24   5.68   2   6   0 50   0   0   0   57.0 60 39 36 31 46 10   5 1154
Kole Strayhorn           mr 22   6.23   2   7   0 42   0   0   0   52.0 56 39 36 34 41 10   5 1155
Al Leiter*              sp 39   4.98   9 13   0 31 31   0   0 179.0 185 107 99 96 134 19 17 1156
Ricky Bottalico           mr 35   3.97   2   3   0 52   0   0   0   59.0 53 28 26 30 51   3   5 1157
John Franco*            mr 44   4.80   3   4   0 50   0   0   0   45.0 46 26 24 20 35   6   4 1158
Mike DeJean             mr 34   4.14   4   4   0 66   0   0   0   74.0 68 37 34 36 66   6   7 1159
Jose Parra               mr 32   3.89   2   2   0 34   0   0   0   37.0 32 17 16 17 42   4   3 1160
Vic Darensbourg*          mr 34   4.42   3   5   0 45   0   0   0   53.0 51 28 26 24 41   5   5 1161
Grant Roberts             mr 27   3.71   2   1   0 29   0   0   0   34.0 33 15 14 13 23   1   3 1162
P.J. Bevis               mr 24   4.64   3   4   0 50   0   0   0   66.0 58 37 34 41 70   7   6 1163
Randy Keisler*            sp 29   5.00   5   9   0 23 20   0   0 117.0 125 71 65 49 75 16 11 1164
Jason Roach             sp 29   5.13   4   8   0 33 19   0   0 121.0 132 76 69 49 78 19 11 1165
Pat Strange             sp 24   5.53   5 11   0 33 19   0   0 135.0 149 91 83 69 84 20 13 1166
Jason Anderson           mr 26   5.21   3   4   0 44   2   0   0   57.0 64 36 33 23 42   8   5 1201
Colter Bean             mr 28   3.89   7   4   0 54   0   0   0   74.0 68 35 32 30 82   7   7 1202
Kevin Brown             sp 40   4.22 10   8   0 26 25   0   0 158.0 170 81 74 49 108 13 14 1203
Jorge De Paula           sp 25   5.85   5   7   0 29 26   0   0 163.0 196 117 106 61 108 32 15 1204
Tom Gordon               mr 37   3.32   8   4   0 68   0   0   0   76.0 67 30 28 26 80   4   7 1205
Alex Graman*            sp 27   5.07   8   9   0 27 26   0   0 151.0 167 94 85 62 113 20 14 1206
Brad Halsey*            sp 24   4.68 11 10   0 31 29   0   0 175.0 194 100 91 54 123 22 16 1207
Sean Henn*              sp 24   5.61   5   7   0 24 24   0   0 138.0 158 94 86 76 86 16 13 1208
Steve Karsay             mr 33   4.17   5   4   0 70   0   0   0   82.0 86 41 38 28 58   6   7 1209
Sam Marsonek             sp 26   5.22   4   4   0 36   6   0   0   81.0 94 51 47 31 51 11   7 1210
Mike Mussina             sp 36   3.73 15   9   0 30 30   0   0 200.0 204 91 83 41 173 21 17 1211
Bret Prinz               mr 28   4.85   2   2   0 50   0   0   0   52.0 56 30 28 19 43   7   5 1212
Scott Proctor             mr 28   4.56   5   5   0 56   0   0   0   77.0 78 42 39 33 67   8   7 1213
Paul Quantrill           mr 36   4.14   5   4   0 87   0   0   0   87.0 100 44 40 22 37   4   8 1214
Ramon Ramirez             sp 23   5.25   6   8   0 21 21   0   0 120.0 131 77 70 45 107 22 11 1215
Mariano Rivera           cl 35   3.21   4   2   0 65   0   0   0   70.0 68 27 25 16 58   3   6 1216
Felix Rodriguez           mr 32   4.29   7   5   0 72   0   0   0   65.0 63 34 31 28 56   6   6 1217
Mike Stanton*            mr 38   4.17   4   4   0 75   0   0   0   69.0 68 35 32 30 48   5   6 1218
Javier Vazquez           sp 28   4.35 13 11   0 33 33   0   0 217.0 232 116 105 55 180 30 19 1219
Chien-Ming Wang           sp 25   4.32   7   6   0 21 21   0   0 127.0 138 67 61 36 89 13 11 1220
Brad Baisley             sp 25   6.81   3   7   0 18 15   0   0   78.0 100 64 59 41 39 16   8 1221
Charlie Manning*          sp 26   4.93   7   7   0 34 20   0   0 126.0 134 75 69 63 96 12 12 1222
Jon Lieber               sp 35   3.45 12   7   0 25 25   0   0 175.0 187 74 67 19 95 16 15 1223
Orlando Hernandez         sp 39   4.30   6   5   0 20 19   0   0 115.0 120 60 55 37 96 13 10 1224
Esteban Loaiza           sp 33   4.41 12 10   0 31 29   0   0 196.0 214 105 96 58 137 21 18 1225
Donovan Osborne*          mr 36   6.21   2   3   0 15   3   0   0   29.0 36 22 20 12 17   6   3 1226
C.J. Nitkowski*          mr 32   4.82   3   3   0 50   3   0   0   71.0 73 41 38 36 46   7   7 1227

Name             Team   P Age   ERA   W   L   S   G GS CG SHO   INN   H   R ER BB   K HR GDP   ID
Joe Blanton             sp 24   3.89 12   8   0 30 26   0   0 171.0 174 81 74 39 122 20 15 1262
Chad Bradford             mr 30   3.78   6   4   0 71   0   0   0   69.0 67 31 29 23 50   5   6 1263
Octavio Dotel             mr 31   3.41   7   4   0 78   0   0   0   87.0 70 36 33 31 110 10   7 1264
Justin Duchscherer         sp 27   3.85   8   6   0 35 14   0   0 124.0 129 58 53 23 84 15 11 1265
Jairo Garcia             mr 22   5.45   1   2   0 22   4   0   0   38.0 34 25 23 34 38   3   4 1266
Rich Harden             sp 23   3.89 12   9   0 32 31   0   0 185.0 168 88 80 80 167 15 16 1267
Tim Hudson               sp 29   3.46 14   7   0 31 31   0   0 216.0 215 91 83 55 136 13 19 1268
Justin Lehr             mr 27   4.38   4   4   0 57   0   0   0   74.0 74 39 36 32 52   7   7 1269
Chris Mabeus             mr 26   3.88   5   4   0 49   0   0   0   72.0 67 34 31 24 66   8   6 1270
Mark Mulder*            sp 27   3.98 14 11   0 30 30   0   0 206.0 207 100 91 63 143 20 18 1271
John Rheinecker*          sp 26   4.53   9   8   0 29 28   0   0 175.0 186 96 88 52 115 25 16 1272
Ricardo Rincon*          mr 35   4.06   3   3   0 67   0   0   0   51.0 48 25 23 23 41   4   5 1273
Barry Zito*              sp 27   4.23 13 12   0 35 35   0   0 217.0 214 113 102 82 165 23 19 1274
Mario Ramos*            sp 27   5.28   5   8   0 29 21   0   0 133.0 146 85 78 55 89 23 12 1275
Britt Reames             sp 31   5.09   4   5   0 36 14   0   0   99.0 101 61 56 52 73 13   9 1276
Kirk Saarloos             mr 26   4.19   8   7   0 35 21   0   0 129.0 130 66 60 43 91 14 11 1277
Billy Sylvester           mr 28   6.22   2   5   0 52   3   0   0   68.0 63 51 47 59 78 12   7 1278
Jim Mecir               mr 35   4.08   3   3   0 58   0   0   0   53.0 50 26 24 22 44   5   5 1279
Chris Hammond*            mr 39   3.57   4   2   0 55   0   0   0   63.0 61 27 25 19 42   4   5 1280
Arthur Rhodes*            mr 35   3.67   5   4   0 57   0   0   0   54.0 50 24 22 17 54   5   5 1281
Eric Cammack             mr 29   6.29   2   4   0 46   0   0   0   63.0 65 48 44 46 52 11   6 1282
Wayne Gomes             mr 32   5.33   3   5   0 60   0   0   0   81.0 85 52 48 45 53 10   8 1283
Shawn Kohn               mr 25   5.10   3   4   0 37   3   0   0   67.0 74 38 38 15 44 12   6 1284
Adam Pettyjohn*          sp 28   5.87   4   7   0 27 19   0   0 112.0 134 80 73 38 61 26 10 1285
Lou Pote               mr 33   4.97   2   3   0 33   4   0   0   67.0 71 40 37 30 54   8   6 1286
Steve Woodard             sp 30   5.26   5   8   0 30 16   0   0 113.0 134 72 66 22 61 25 10 1287
Mike Ziegler             sp 25   4.91   7   9   0 27 25   0   0 152.0 170 91 83 35 100 30 13 1288
Todd Jones               mr 37   4.13   4   4   0 69   0   0   0   72.0 73 36 33 31 48   4   7 1289

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 11, 2004 at 05:31 AM | 18 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. oaklandgabe Posted: December 11, 2004 at 09:01 AM (#1012664)
wow, there's so much info here!
   2. grich Posted: December 11, 2004 at 10:54 AM (#1012778)
Question: why are projections like this almost always low? Or so it seems to me...is it trying to err on the side of caution? For example, doesn't a .539 SLG for A-Rod seem a bit low?

By the way, I think Eric Chavez will out-hit that projection and even contend for the AL MVP: maybe .300/.400/.570, 40 HR, etc. Maybe not, but it seems to me he is ready to breakthrough into his peak years...if healthy of course.
   3. jakarta Posted: December 11, 2004 at 11:32 AM (#1012794)
thanks again Dan,

Swisher is a year too old isn't he?
   4. bibigon Posted: December 11, 2004 at 01:07 PM (#1012839)
Question: why are projections like this almost always low? Or so it seems to me...is it trying to err on the side of caution? For example, doesn't a .539 SLG for A-Rod seem a bit low?

A-Rod slugged .512 last year...
   5. Joshemy Posted: December 11, 2004 at 06:03 PM (#1013000)
Man, the pitching projections for the Mets are not pretty...
   6. J. Cross Posted: December 11, 2004 at 06:58 PM (#1013069)
True, those ERA's are ugly for guys pitches half their games in Shea.
   7. Athletic Supporter can feel the slow rot Posted: December 11, 2004 at 09:53 PM (#1013274)
I'm surprised at a lot of these A's predictions:

Seem high:
Bobby Kielty#                    lf  28  .241  .359  .400 340  82  19   1  11  49  45   5  59  69   4   2  1306 
Jason Perry*                     lf  24  .262  .313  .460 367  96  27   2  14  64  53   4  25 103   4   4  1308 
Omar Quintanilla
*                ss  23  .274  .319  .400 463 127  28   3   8  71  54   5  27  61   3   3  1313 
Esteban German                   2b  27  .270  .354  .345 411 111  14   4   3  60  36   4  51  59  16  12  1317 
Mike Edwards                     3b  28  .274  .354  .404 507 139  31   1  11  73  66   5  60  92   7   7  1319 


Seem low:

John Baker*                      c   24  .243  .302  .368 465 113  24   2  10  60  55   5  36 125   2   1  1291 
Scott Hatteberg
*                 1b  35  .261  .349  .400 528 138  29   1  14  68  69   6  68  50   0   0  1299  
Nick Swisher
#                    lf  25  .234  .349  .422 431 101  25   1  18  78  64   4  74 112   2   2  1309 
Graham Koonce*                   1b  30  .233  .356  .422 450 105  22   0  21  67  71   4  84 127   0   0  1320 


The projection for Blanton also looks pretty generous -- I mean, it has him equal to Harden, which I think would be pretty surprising.
   8. North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan Posted: December 11, 2004 at 11:03 PM (#1013386)
The projection for Blanton also looks pretty generous -- I mean, it has him equal to Harden, which I think would be pretty surprising.

If the A's projections are like those and they feel they are accurate, then it is no wonder they are trying to trade Hudson for Giles + whatever.
   9. Rob Base Posted: December 12, 2004 at 12:05 AM (#1013494)
.292/.334/.472 at 23 projects to be the best mets-developed position player in 20 years (were it not for guys named Reyes and Wright.
   10. stubbyc Posted: December 12, 2004 at 05:24 AM (#1014323)
Instead of signing Milton to a ridiculous amount why not just give Halsey another chance? I have to assume the 4.68 for Halsey is much better than Milton's projection.
   11. IronChef Chris Wok Posted: December 12, 2004 at 09:40 AM (#1014760)
Man the Big 3 are anything but Big.
   12. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: December 12, 2004 at 04:47 PM (#1014975)
Good sign for Tim Hudson: jump in K/9 from 4.9 to 5.7.
   13. SG Posted: December 14, 2004 at 03:37 PM (#1019440)
It's nice to see ZiPS predicting a decent bounce back for Mussina. With all the other mediocrity in the pitching staff the Yankees will need it. It doesn't seem to like Vazquez's chances for a rebound though.

Dan, will you be making another Diamond Mind disk this year?
   14. I Love LA (OFF) Posted: December 14, 2004 at 09:34 PM (#1020357)
What does ZiPs project for Pedro at Shea next year?
   15. Lawyerhoya Posted: December 15, 2004 at 02:42 AM (#1021082)
Where do I place my bet on Giambi for the "under" on 28 homers?
   16. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: December 15, 2004 at 01:28 PM (#1021836)
ZiPS believes the A's should forget trading Hudson and focus on trading Mulder and Zito. Zito particularly looks positively Redmanian. Ugh! Duchscherer and Mabeus don't look to bad though. And that McMillon guy is great! I assume Jeremy Brown is just listed for taunting purposes.
   17. The Answer to the TWolves (GMoney) Posted: December 22, 2004 at 01:26 AM (#1034788)
How would I find the numbers for the teams that no longer appear here? Say for example the Braves or Indians.
   18. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: December 22, 2004 at 08:13 PM (#1036403)
Look these up by the author, as I'm doing.

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