Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Primate Studies > Discussion
Primate Studies
— Where BTF's Members Investigate the Grand Old Game

Thursday, October 14, 2004

Angels, Diamondbacks, Braves, Orioles, Red Sox, Cubs

All the players from the first build plus players from the Baltimore, Boston, and Chicago Cub organizations.

Note:  As before, there are a few fringe players that are no longer in the organizations projected below.

Name               Team   P Age   AVG   OBP   SPC AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HBP BB   K SB CS
Manny Ramirez             lf 33 .311 .409 .589 547 170 38   0 38 101 115   7 87 107   2   3
Vladimir Guerrero           rf 29 .333 .405 .568 558 186 32   3 31 100 109   7 64 68 18   8
J.D. Drew*                rf 29 .296 .417 .537 460 136 23   5 26 95 80   5 94 99   9   3
David Ortiz*              1b 29 .298 .380 .588 527 157 44   2 35 83 112   3 69 111   0   0
Richie Sexson             1b 30 .286 .388 .546 538 154 27   1 37 85 106   8 85 127   1   2
Marcus Giles               2b 27 .317 .396 .500 454 144 34   2 15 76 65   9 53 70 13   4
Melvin Mora               3b 33 .304 .394 .503 507 154 33   1 22 91 84 13 65 92 10   7
Chipper Jones#            3b 33 .278 .388 .491 515 143 27   1 27 79 92   2 94 89   3   1
Miguel Tejada             ss 29 .310 .365 .517 648 201 39   1 31 103 124   9 50 71   6   1
Greg Colbrunn             1b 35 .296 .342 .556 108 32   8   1   6 15 14   0   8 15   0   0
Derrek Lee               1b 29 .280 .375 .512 592 166 37   2 32 93 102   8 85 135 15   7
Trot Nixon*              rf 31 .282 .371 .505 412 116 26   3 20 65 70   3 58 83   2   2
Javy Lopez               c   34 .303 .359 .509 505 153 28   2 24 71 85   6 40 89   0   1
Jose Guillen               lf 29 .301 .356 .513 515 155 27   2 26 80 91 14 32 87   3   4
Adam LaRoche*              1b 25 .294 .367 .478 391 115 25   1 15 57 58   3 44 90   0   1
Aramis Ramirez             3b 27 .287 .346 .522 581 167 32   1 34 85 106   6 49 78   1   2
Luis Gonzalez*            lf 37 .263 .379 .463 467 123 31   4 18 70 69   3 86 60   4   3
Kevin Millar               1b 33 .288 .369 .469 507 146 35   0 19 71 77 11 56 92   1   2
Sammy Sosa               rf 36 .255 .346 .518 498 127 20   0 37 79 95   3 68 134   0   0
Mark Bellhorn#            2b 30 .267 .381 .450 469 125 32   3 16 77 66   5 84 151   6   3
Casey Kotchman*            1b 22 .316 .369 .444 414 131 32   0   7 55 55   6 30 38   3   0
Andruw Jones               cf 28 .272 .354 .502 596 162 34   2 33 92 103   5 74 138   6   5
Adam Hyzdu               cf 33 .262 .360 .484 382 100 29   1 18 70 60   4 56 89   5   4
Troy Glaus               3b 28 .258 .364 .471 391 101 18   1 21 68 67   4 63 93   6   3
Bill Mueller#              3b 34 .289 .369 .454 432 125 31   2 12 68 59   4 53 60   1   3
Jason DuBois               lf 26 .272 .345 .500 416 113 25   2 22 64 73   4 44 114   1   2
Johnny Estrada#            c   29 .306 .364 .440 445 136 33   0   9 49 64   8 35 56   0   0
Dallas McPherson*          3b 24 .275 .341 .513 501 138 26   6 27 88 85   5 47 153 14   8
Jason Varitek#            c   33 .274 .361 .452 460 126 29   1 17 60 69   9 56 112   6   3
Johnny Damon*              cf 31 .290 .367 .443 628 182 36   6 16 113 78   3 76 71 20   9
Chad Tracy*              3b 25 .313 .367 .434 530 166 30   2 10 71 63   2 45 59   2   3
Nomar Garciaparra           ss 31 .288 .339 .487 552 159 35   6 21 86 83   8 37 51   8   4
Eli Marrero               rf 31 .283 .347 .476 286 81 17   1 12 42 45   1 28 53   5   2
Ryan Langerhans*            rf 25 .276 .369 .441 460 127 27   2 15 80 61   5 65 109   8   6
Jeff DaVanon#              cf 31 .280 .367 .436 314 88 15   2 10 48 43   1 44 55 14   6
Garret Anderson*            lf 33 .299 .333 .488 551 165 37   2 21 67 88   0 30 77   4   3
Brian Daubach*            1b 33 .249 .356 .442 382 95 26   0 16 58 61   4 61 110   1   0
Larry Bigbie*              lf 27 .288 .354 .438 452 130 25   2 13 67 60   1 48 101   7   3
Rafael Furcal#            ss 27 .297 .358 .430 644 191 30   7 14 116 70   2 62 84 26   8
Charles Thomas*            lf 26 .296 .363 .427 412 122 20   5   8 60 47   8 37 81   6   4
Robb Quinlan               1b 28 .304 .351 .442 425 129 24   4   9 60 53   4 29 71   5   4
Ben Grieve*              rf 29 .256 .360 .429 324 83 20   0 12 41 45   2 52 83   3   1
Doug Mientkiewicz*          1b 31 .275 .372 .408 448 123 34   1   8 56 52   5 67 58   2   3
Tim Salmon               rf 36 .258 .357 .431 415 107 26   2 14 54 58   7 59 79   3   2
Shea Hillenbrand           1b 29 .297 .336 .456 563 167 35   2 17 69 75 11 25 64   2   1
Michael Barrett             c   28 .278 .338 .463 410 114 26   4 14 48 56   4 35 60   2   3
Adam Kennedy*              2b 29 .288 .342 .411 465 134 24   3   9 63 55   5 33 72 17   8
Moises Alou               lf 38 .265 .329 .462 543 144 31   2 24 76 85   2 52 76   3   0
Andy Marte               3b 21 .262 .345 .440 409 107 20   1 17 58 55   4 50 107   2   1
Carlos Quentin             rf 22 .286 .333 .442 423 121 24   0 14 85 56   4 27 54   8   1
Andy Dominique             c   29 .273 .345 .429 406 111 27   0 12 50 57   4 42 79   1   1
Kevin Youkilis             3b 26 .266 .367 .390 410 109 24   0   9 71 49   5 63 69   2   2
Conor Jackson             lf 23 .272 .349 .422 408 111 24   2 11 71 50   4 46 67   7   3
Chone Figgins#            3b 27 .297 .357 .412 546 162 22 13   5 84 48   2 51 85 27 13
Earl Snyder               3b 29 .263 .310 .494 498 131 38   1 25 74 83   5 31 123   1   1
Doug Mirabelli             c   34 .255 .330 .459 157 40 11   0   7 22 25   2 16 40   0   0
Craig Ansman               c   27 .252 .321 .480 294 74 17   1 16 51 47   3 28 99   1   1
Adam Riggs               2b 32 .272 .321 .480 423 115 31   3 17 74 66   4 28 82   7   4
Jack Cust*                lf 26 .236 .361 .409 394 93 18   1 16 60 54   4 75 139   3   3
David Newhan*              2b 31 .285 .341 .429 564 161 29   8 12 88 65   6 44 111 14   7
Alex Cintron#              ss 26 .298 .340 .426 547 163 33   5   9 69 44   3 34 51   3   4
Josh Kroeger*              rf 22 .294 .347 .423 385 113 23   3   7 56 45   3 30 77   5   5
Noochie Varner             lf 24 .297 .354 .399 464 138 17   3   8 71 50   5 38 83   5   4
Kelly Johnson*            lf 23 .271 .334 .433 432 117 25   3 13 61 51   5 38 103 12   5
Todd Walker*              2b 32 .278 .341 .419 511 142 30   3 12 72 64   3 48 56   2   3
Koyie Hill#              c   26 .281 .340 .410 417 117 24   0 10 61 54   4 35 79   2   1
Chris Snyder               c   24 .259 .333 .431 425 110 28   0 15 68 62   4 45 76   2   1
Corey Patterson*            of 25 .275 .320 .449 593 163 27   5 22 84 77   5 37 146 24   8
Orlando Cabrera             ss 30 .285 .336 .410 620 177 43   2 10 76 69   2 48 56 18   5
Scott Hairston             2b 25 .271 .319 .454 421 114 20   6 15 43 39   2 29 98   4   3
Jay Gibbons*              rf 28 .267 .326 .439 510 136 29   1 19 62 75   2 45 75   1   2
Jerry Hairston Jr.          2b 29 .286 .354 .387 318 91 19   2   3 42 30   7 28 35 14   7
Carlos Baerga#            2b 36 .294 .345 .400 160 47   8   0   3 18 16   2 11 17   1   1
Damon Hollins             lf 31 .270 .320 .449 381 103 27   1 13 48 54   4 25 66   4   3
Andy Green               2b 27 .283 .337 .419 442 125 35   2   7 44 36   4 34 58 10   7
Mike Hessman               1b 27 .253 .312 .466 395 100 19   1 21 55 62   4 31 96   2   3
Dave Roberts*              cf 33 .274 .354 .370 365 100 14   6   3 64 30   4 43 44 35 10
Todd Hollandsworth*          lf 32 .266 .333 .432 278 74 18   2   8 35 36   1 28 61   3   5
Nick Gorneault             lf 26 .271 .318 .442 498 135 31   3 16 82 69   5 31 132   8   5
Luis Matos               cf 26 .275 .332 .415 472 130 27   3 11 66 54   8 34 91 15   7
Darin Erstad*              1b 31 .271 .325 .373 531 144 26   2   8 75 57   5 37 72 17   5
Tim Hummel               3b 26 .273 .337 .396 472 129 29   1   9 62 55   5 42 84   4   3
Danny Bautista             rf 33 .281 .329 .396 445 125 22   1   9 49 50   4 30 58   5   2
Kelly Shoppach             c   25 .240 .314 .429 387 93 25   0 16 56 57   4 39 125   0   0
Brian Roberts#            2b 27 .273 .347 .372 576 157 41   2   4 91 54   1 67 78 25 11
Dave McCarty               1b 35 .244 .323 .407 275 67 16   1   9 42 38   3 30 66   2   1
Darnell McDonald           cf 26 .266 .336 .390 436 116 23   5   7 53 42   4 44 100 11   6
Matt Kata#                2b 27 .274 .321 .414 449 123 26   5   9 65 45   3 30 73   5   4
Ellis Burks               dh 40 .267 .328 .407 337 90 17   0 10 50 50   4 28 76   1   3
Mark Grudzielanek           2b 35 .284 .326 .391 412 117 24   1   6 49 42   5 22 59   3   2
Rafael Palmeiro*            1b 40 .230 .332 .389 525 121 23   0 20 64 77   5 77 73   2   1
Walter Young*              1b 25 .246 .304 .441 463 114 19   1 23 76 74   5 35 130   3   2
B.J. Surhoff*              lf 40 .281 .335 .373 303 85 11   1   5 35 36   1 25 38   1   1
Robby Hammock             c   28 .264 .321 .406 318 84 20   2   7 41 38   2 26 59   3   3
Jose Leon                 3b 28 .266 .311 .413 368 98 19   1 11 41 47   4 21 81   1   1
Nick Green               2b 26 .270 .321 .407 378 102 21   2   9 47 44   5 25 82   3   4
Doug DeVore*              rf 27 .257 .310 .426 397 102 21   2 14 51 51   3 29 98   5   4
Val Majewski*              rf 24 .266 .313 .418 414 110 21   3 12 61 55   4 26 63 11   7
Alan Zinter#              1b 37 .238 .313 .400 260 62 15   0   9 33 38   2 27 64   0   0
Julio Franco               1b 46 .266 .334 .358 271 72 11   1   4 30 32   1 28 62   2   1
Jeff Mathis               c   22 .243 .322 .377 440 107 22   2 11 68 51   4 49 83   4   1
Robert Machado             c   32 .261 .317 .383 222 58 15   0   4 25 25   2 17 42   0   0
David Eckstein             ss 30 .276 .343 .339 551 152 22   2   3 84 50 16 43 46 15   7
David Kelton               lf 25 .242 .305 .415 463 112 22   2 18 59 62   4 40 116   6   4
Bengie Molina             c   30 .272 .306 .396 386 105 18   0 10 35 50   3 17 32   0   1
Richard Lewis             2b 25 .262 .321 .383 488 128 25   5   8 70 50   5 39 109 13   9
Quinton McCracken#          rf 34 .266 .324 .378 233 62 14   3   2 30 21   1 20 41   3   4
Wilson Betemit#            3b 24 .253 .321 .376 423 107 17   4   9 51 45   3 41 101   5   4
Victor Hall*              cf 24 .284 .350 .341 405 115 10   5   1 63 29   4 39 75 15 13
Ramon Martinez             2b 32 .258 .323 .354 260 67 14   1   3 24 28   2 24 41   1   0
Barry Wesson               cf 28 .262 .307 .387 393 103 22   3   7 43 43   4 23 85   9   4
DeWayne Wise*              cf 27 .249 .295 .421 337 84 15   5 11 48 39   3 20 59 10   5
Andres Galarraga           1b 44 .240 .305 .361 288 69 14   0   7 28 34   6 21 79   1   3
Tim Olson                 3b 26 .260 .313 .383 384 100 20   0   9 55 42   3 28 82   5   5
Oscar Salazar             2b 27 .246 .308 .388 338 83 17   2   9 35 41   3 29 57   3   3
Gabe Kapler               rf 29 .274 .317 .365 285 78 10   2   4 43 29   1 18 48   6   4
Wil Nieves               c   27 .268 .299 .382 380 102 19   3   6 45 40   4 14 61   4   1
Raul Casanova             c   32 .250 .302 .381 268 67 15   1   6 32 35   1 20 45   1   1
Cory Aldridge*            cf 26 .233 .299 .397 433 101 17   3 16 61 52   4 38 141 10   6
Luis Terrero               cf 25 .269 .311 .369 431 116 17   7   4 70 37   2 24 99 13 17
Jesus Medrano             2b 26 .251 .332 .348 342 86 18   3   3 51 28   3 40 71 16 11
Alberto Callaspo#          ss 22 .269 .327 .327 520 140 14   2   4 72 49   5 42 22 21   7
Carlos Mendez             dh 31 .270 .296 .379 322 87 18   1   5 33 37   3 10 40   1   1
Curtis Pride*              lf 36 .255 .311 .385 247 63 12   1   6 55 29   3 18 53   5   6
Tom Goodwin*              cf 36 .260 .313 .333 150 39   8   0   1 21 12   0 12 27 12   3
Ricky Gutierrez             ss 35 .275 .326 .329 222 61   9   0   1 20 21   4 14 30   2   2
Gookie Dawkins             ss 26 .250 .312 .369 352 88 17   2   7 44 37   3 30 80   8   7
Zach Sorensen#            2b 28 .265 .332 .349 415 110 15   4   4 63 37   4 39 73 18 15
Pedro Swann*              lf 34 .243 .302 .374 412 100 22   1 10 49 46   4 32 81   4   4
Jose Molina               c   30 .265 .298 .338 272 72 12   1   2 25 25   3 10 59   0   2
Cesar Crespo#              cf 26 .247 .315 .360 392 97 22   2   6 50 37   4 36 88   9   8
Chad Mottola               rf 33 .239 .290 .392 423 101 21   1 14 52 55   5 27 85   6   4
Gary Johnson*              rf 29 .232 .314 .347 409 95 18   4   7 52 39   4 46 104   4   4
Mark DeRosa               2b 30 .255 .312 .344 294 75 14   0   4 34 29   4 21 46   1   2
Alfredo Amezaga#            ss 27 .263 .314 .354 396 104 18   3   4 55 37   4 27 69 11 10
Carlos Febles             2b 29 .251 .317 .341 299 75 14   2   3 44 25   3 27 49 11   7
Nic Jackson*              cf 25 .244 .301 .367 414 101 14   2 11 49 42   4 31 91   9   8
Mike Huggins               1b 24 .234 .304 .345 351 82 18   0   7 40 37   3 34 78   3   2
Pokey Reese               2b 32 .247 .307 .330 288 71 13   1   3 33 30   1 25 63   7   1
Scott Thorman*            1b 23 .235 .292 .365 468 110 19   3 12 44 54   4 35 95   5   2
Juan Brito               c   25 .253 .295 .357 269 68 11   1   5 35 29   1 16 55   1   1
David Segui#              1b 38 .238 .310 .318 151 36   6   0   2 15 15   1 15 35   0   0
Eddie Perez               c   37 .244 .283 .368 242 59 12   0   6 16 27   1 13 33   0   1
Geronimo Gil               c   29 .247 .297 .345 385 95 20   0   6 42 38   3 26 76   1   2
Calvin Murray             cf 33 .255 .313 .345 380 97 17   4   3 58 33   3 30 60 14 12
Reggie Abercrombie           cf 24 .251 .276 .399 431 108 18   5 12 60 47   4 12 145 17 10
Marty Cordova             dh 35 .233 .279 .400 407 95 21   1 15 42 55   3 24 81   1   7
Jeff Francoeur             rf 21 .245 .278 .367 433 106 16   2 11 60 48   5 16 78   9   4
Joe DePastino             c   31 .237 .292 .332 283 67 13   1   4 28 28   1 22 53   1   0
Brad Cresse               c   26 .231 .280 .361 299 69 18   0   7 35 33   3 18 88   0   0
Ivanon Coffie*            3b 28 .207 .283 .362 309 64 16   1 10 39 36   3 31 61   1   3
Tim Raines Jr.#            cf 25 .259 .312 .327 452 117 16   3   3 62 34   5 32 94 26 18
Jerry Gil                 ss 22 .244 .275 .370 459 112 22   6   8 35 34   5 16 94 14   7
Mike DiFelice             c   36 .231 .280 .353 221 51 13   1   4 21 25   2 14 38   1   1
Sandy Martinez*            c   34 .232 .278 .354 164 38   6   1   4 21 24   2   9 42   1   1
Hanley Ramirez#            ss 21 .255 .295 .329 365 93 11   2   4 56 30   4 18 71 23 11
Edwards Guzman*            3b 28 .256 .286 .327 355 91 16   0   3 32 34   3 13 35   3   2
Josh Paul                 c   30 .241 .294 .311 241 58   9   1   2 21 21   2 17 52   3   3
Shane Halter               3b 35 .214 .274 .358 313 67 11   2 10 29 36   1 26 69   1   4
Jose Macias#              3b 33 .239 .276 .347 259 62 12   2   4 28 25   2 12 45   4   4
Ed Rogers                 ss 26 .243 .286 .334 440 107 23   1   5 58 38   5 23 78 16 11
Jorge Velandia             ss 30 .210 .286 .320 400 84 21   1   7 41 37   4 40 85   1   3
Cristian Guerrero           cf 24 .232 .275 .348 405 94 14   3   9 48 42   4 21 94 11   8
Clay Bellinger             3b 36 .215 .256 .363 289 62 14   1   9 33 32   3 14 68   1   2
Rey Ordonez               ss 33 .240 .281 .314 287 69 16   1   1 29 26   3 14 30   1   2
Paul Bako*                c   33 .217 .292 .294 180 39   9   1   1 17 14   1 19 39   0   1
Felix Pie*                cf 20 .241 .286 .314 436 105 10   5   4 66 32   5 24 113 19 12
Ronny Cedeno               ss 22 .228 .269 .313 377 86 13   2   5 38 34   4 18 78 16   5
Neifi Perez#              ss 32 .238 .273 .313 416 99 18   2   3 41 34   0 21 39   3   4
Jackson Melian             lf 25 .205 .270 .308 415 85 13   3   8 40 35   4 34 90   5   4
Onil Joseph               cf 23 .238 .286 .282 425 101   9   2   2 53 28   4 26 97 23 11
Tony Pena                 ss 24 .234 .265 .320 465 109 16   0   8 53 37   5 16 100 22 15
Marland Williams           cf 24 .234 .281 .312 458 107 15   3   5 74 32   5 27 111 37 25
Ryan Budde               c   25 .207 .260 .302 358 74 10   0   8 44 36   3 24 86   2   3
Tom Gregorio               c   28 .198 .242 .320 197 39 10   1   4 18 19   2 10 50   1   1
Jose Morban#              ss 25 .184 .245 .318 217 40   6   1   7 30 21   3 15 69   8   5
Casey Kopitzke             c   27 .217 .271 .261 276 60   9   0   1 20 19   2 19 40   1   3
Donnie Sadler             2b 30 .158 .227 .225 240 38   7   3   1 33 20   2 20 35   6   5

Name             Team   P Age   ERA   W   L   S   G GS CG SHO   INN   H   R ER BB   K HR GDP
Mark Prior               sp 24   2.79 12   4   0 26 26   0   0 174.0 135 59 54 47 208 13 14
John Smoltz             cl 38   2.81   2   0   0 71   0   0   0   77.0 66 26 24 16 77   5   6
Francisco Rodriguez         mr 23   2.82   6   2   0 61   0   0   0   83.0 59 28 26 32 116   6   7
Randy Johnson*            sp 41   2.88 17   9   0 32 32   0   0 219.0 176 77 70 51 261 20 18
B.J. Ryan*              mr 29   3.08   5   2   0 74   0   0   0   73.0 53 27 25 33 93   4   6
La Troy Hawkins           cl 32   3.12   6   3   0 73   0   0   0   78.0 71 29 27 15 69   7   7
Pedro Martinez           sp 33   3.12 18   5   0 31 31   0   0 202.0 170 77 70 53 216 17 17
Curt Schilling           sp 38   3.26 19   6   0 32 31   0   0 218.0 201 86 79 36 203 24 18
Brendan Donnelly           mr 33   3.31   4   1   0 59   0   0   0   68.0 55 28 25 24 75   5   6
Keith Foulke             cl 32   3.42   6   2   0 70   0   0   0   79.0 73 33 30 17 72   8   7
Carlos Zambrano           sp 24   3.52 15   9   0 31 31   0   0 207.0 181 88 81 83 187 11 18
Joe Borowski             cl 34   3.63   4   2   0 63   0   0   0   72.0 64 31 29 24 68   7   6
Scot Shields             mr 29   3.63   8   3   0 53   6   0   0 119.0 111 52 48 37 103   9 10
Stephen Andrade           mr 27   3.75   4   2   0 35   0   0   0   48.0 40 22 20 18 57   6   4
Joe Nelson               mr 30   3.83   3   2   0 39   0   0   0   47.0 35 22 20 27 60   4   4
Byung-Hyun Kim           sp 26   3.83   9   5   0 50 13   0   0   94.0 91 44 40 26 77   9   8
Bronson Arroyo           sp 28   3.83 11   6   0 31 26   0   0 169.0 166 79 72 43 132 17 15
Kerry Wood               sp 28   3.91 12 10   0 29 29   0   0 184.0 152 88 80 83 211 19 16
Matt Mantei             cl 31   3.92   3   4   0 39   0   0   0   39.0 33 19 17 15 47   5   3
Jaret Wright             sp 29   3.98 11   7   0 36 24   0   0 147.0 137 71 65 61 120 10 13
Alan Embree*            mr 35   3.98   4   2   0 68   0   0   0   52.0 49 25 23 16 48   6   4
Greg Maddux             sp 39   3.98 15 11   0 34 34   0   0 208.0 218 101 92 38 136 26 18
Buddy Hernandez           mr 26   4.02   4   3   0 47   0   0   0   65.0 55 31 29 34 66   5   6
Kelvim Escobar           sp 29   4.02 13   7   0 41 26   0   0 179.0 167 88 80 69 162 16 16
Matt Clement             sp 30   4.05 13 11   0 31 31   0   0 189.0 167 93 85 79 191 20 17
Juan Cruz               sp 26   4.06   6   2   0 42   8   0   0   93.0 85 46 42 42 86   8   8
John Thomson             sp 31   4.07 13   9   0 33 33   0   0 199.0 208 100 90 48 129 22 17
Mike Koplove             mr 28   4.09   4   4   0 68   0   0   0   77.0 76 38 35 30 56   5   7
Kevin Gregg             sp 27   4.12   8   5   0 41 17   0   0 131.0 130 66 60 40 107 14 11
Ramiro Mendoza           mr 33   4.13   5   3   0 45   2   0   0   72.0 78 37 33 16 40   7   6
Jose Valverde             cl 25   4.14   3   4   0 61   0   0   0   63.0 51 31 29 32 80   7   6
Dusty Bergman*            mr 27   4.15   4   3   0 51   4   0   0   89.0 93 45 41 24 61   9   8
Kyle Farnsworth           mr 29   4.16   4   4   0 69   0   0   0   67.0 56 34 31 32 76   8   6
Brandon Webb             sp 26   4.16   9 12   0 32 31   0   0 188.0 172 96 87 93 163 13 17
Scott Williamson           cl 29   4.19   4   2   0 56   0   0   0   58.0 50 29 27 32 59   5   5
Dan Meyer*              sp 23   4.21 10   6   0 28 26   0   0 139.0 131 71 65 49 130 18 12
John Lackey             sp 26   4.21 15 10   0 33 32   0   0 201.0 206 103 94 58 149 22 18
Terry Adams             mr 32   4.22   6   4   0 56   8   0   0   98.0 99 50 46 38 63   7   9
Derek Lowe               sp 32   4.25 16 10   0 33 33   0   0 195.0 204 101 92 66 110 15 17
Oscar Villarreal           mr 23   4.26   6   7   0 68   2   0   0   74.0 69 38 35 35 66   6   7
Brandon Medders           mr 25   4.26   3   3   0 47   0   0   0   57.0 50 29 27 28 60   6   5
Will Cunnane             mr 31   4.32   5   3   0 51   1   0   0   73.0 70 38 35 31 62   8   7
Lenny Dinardo*            sp 25   4.32   6   4   0 26 15   0   0 100.0 105 52 48 31 62 10   9
Mike Timlin             mr 39   4.33   6   4   0 74   0   0   0   81.0 87 43 39 15 53 12   7
Buddy Groom*            mr 39   4.33   3   2   0 63   0   0   0   54.0 57 28 26 16 34   6   5
Paul Byrd               sp 34   4.34 12   9   0 26 26   0   0 170.0 184 90 82 30 112 26 15
Mike Remlinger*          mr 39   4.34   4   4   0 66   0   0   0   58.0 50 31 28 31 62   6   5
Kurt Ainsworth           sp 26   4.36   7   4   0 19 17   0   0   97.0 94 51 47 40 84 10   9
Antonio Alfonseca         mr 33   4.38   5   3   0 69   0   0   0   72.0 72 38 35 30 47   5   6
John Maine               sp 24   4.38   9   8   0 27 27   0   0 144.0 135 77 70 64 136 16 13
Sidney Ponson             sp 28   4.39 14 11   0 31 31   0   0 207.0 221 112 101 65 123 20 18
Jose Capellan             sp 24   4.40   5   4   0 18 17   0   0   86.0 80 46 42 48 68   5   8
Jeremy Ward             mr 27   4.41   3   5   0 45   0   0   0   49.0 52 26 24 15 30   5   4
Erik Bedard*            sp 26   4.43   9   6   0 25 24   0   0 128.0 119 69 63 65 112 10 12
Jerome Gamble             sp 25   4.44   5   4   0 17 13   0   0   71.0 75 38 35 28 38   5   6
Randy Choate*            mr 29   4.50   2   4   0 69   1   0   0   66.0 62 36 33 35 52   4   6
Sergio Mitre             sp 24   4.50   6   7   0 29 25   0   0 154.0 149 84 77 69 124 16 14
Rodrigo Lopez             sp 29   4.53 12 10   0 33 25   0   0 169.0 177 92 85 53 120 21 15
Chris Reitsma             mr 27   4.54   8   7   0 58 11   0   0 117.0 125 65 59 35 72 14 10
Rick Bauer               mr 28   4.54   6   4   0 42   9   0   0 103.0 107 57 52 40 65 10   9
Sam McConnell*            sp 29   4.54   7   5   0 34 14   0   0 101.0 110 56 51 32 53 11   9
Roman Colon             mr 25   4.55   6   5   0 56   5   0   0   97.0 100 53 49 39 66 10   9
Brian Bruney             mr 23   4.57   4   5   0 60   0   0   0   63.0 53 35 32 45 65   4   6
Jarrod Washburn*          sp 30   4.60 13 10   0 30 30   0   0 180.0 196 101 92 51 113 23 16
Bartolo Colon             sp 32   4.60 16 12   0 33 33   0   0 219.0 231 121 112 70 154 28 20
Dave Borkowski           sp 28   4.60 10   7   0 31 22   0   0 131.0 143 74 67 38 78 16 12
Jamie Brown             sp 28   4.62   7   5   0 26 17   0   0 117.0 132 66 60 24 67 18 10
Brandon Lyon             mr 25   4.62   5   9   0 38 14   0   0 111.0 122 62 57 32 65 14 10
Todd Williams             mr 34   4.63   4   3   0 61   0   0   0   68.0 78 38 35 19 27   6   6
Eric DuBose*            sp 29   4.64 10   7   0 31 21   0   0 130.0 132 73 67 54 96 14 12
John Stephens             sp 25   4.66   9   7   0 28 26   0   0 164.0 176 93 85 42 117 27 14
Matt Hensley             sp 26   4.68   6   4   0 30 17   0   0 123.0 132 70 64 36 88 18 11
Mark Malaska*            mr 27   4.70   7   5   0 41 13   0   0 111.0 117 63 58 40 72 14 10
Dustin Nippert           sp 24   4.72   3   5   0 15 15   0   0   80.0 72 46 42 51 72   6   7
Lance Cormier             sp 24   4.73   7 11   0 32 29   0   0 156.0 166 90 82 59 101 18 14
Brandon Puffer           mr 29   4.73   5   4   0 61   0   0   0   78.0 80 45 41 39 47   6   7
Jason Grimsley           mr 37   4.76   6   4   0 73   0   0   0   70.0 69 40 37 39 50   5   6
Scott Service             mr 38   4.76   2   4   0 46   0   0   0   51.0 50 29 27 20 51   9   5
Russ Ortiz               sp 31   4.76 13 12   0 34 34   0   0 204.0 203 118 108 104 143 18 19
Greg Aquino             mr 27   4.76   3   5   0 34 12   0   0   85.0 83 49 45 46 66   8   8
Matt Duff               mr 30   4.78   5   5   0 51   0   0   0   64.0 59 37 34 37 58   6   6
Casey Fossum*            sp 27   4.79   6 11   0 35 25   0   0 141.0 139 82 75 56 129 22 13
Tim Wakefield             sp 38   4.80 10   9   0 36 28   0   0 182.0 191 106 97 69 127 25 16
Angel Guzman             sp 23   4.83   3   3   0 13 13   0   0   69.0 68 40 37 28 62 11   6
Jorge Julio             cl 26   4.85   4   4   0 65   0   0   0   65.0 61 38 35 33 63   8   6
Horacio Ramirez*          sp 25   4.85   7   6   0 22 21   0   0 130.0 139 77 70 54 76 14 12
Mike Hampton*            sp 32   4.85 11 11   0 30 30   0   0 180.0 195 106 97 77 89 16 17
Abe Alvarez*            sp 22   4.87 11   9   0 27 27   0   0 135.0 145 80 73 43 92 21 12
Chuck Smith             sp 35   4.87   6   5   0 24 20   0   0 122.0 124 72 66 51 97 17 11
John Parrish*            mr 27   4.87   4   4   0 59   1   0   0   85.0 79 50 46 54 77   7   8
Andrew Good             sp 25   4.88   5   9   0 27 20   0   0 131.0 146 78 71 26 91 25 12
Matt Riley*              sp 25   4.90   6   7   0 25 25   0   0 123.0 116 74 67 66 116 15 11
Aaron Rakers             mr 28   4.91   4   5   0 50   1   0   0   66.0 64 39 36 30 61 10   6
Omar Daal*              sp 33   4.92 10   8   0 30 20   0   0 130.0 143 78 71 48 72 16 12
Edgar Gonzalez           sp 22   4.92   7 12   0 30 26   0   0 159.0 176 96 87 48 102 25 14
Shane Nance*            mr 27   4.94   4   6   0 59   1   0   0   71.0 70 43 39 33 62 10   6
Derrick Turnbow           mr 27   4.95   4   4   0 51   2   0   0   80.0 77 48 44 44 71   9   7
Mike Myers*              mr 36   4.95   3   2   0 70   0   0   0   40.0 41 24 22 21 26   4   4
Jeff Fassero*            mr 42   4.97   4   7   0 53   8   0   0   96.0 104 58 53 41 53 11   9
Richard Fischer           sp 24   4.99   5   4   0 24 21   0   0 119.0 129 73 66 40 84 19 11
Todd Wellemeyer           sp 26   5.00   4   5   0 28 11   0   0   81.0 73 49 45 51 82 10   7
Tim Drew               sp 26   5.04   7   7   0 33 20   0   0 134.0 153 82 75 47 58 16 12
Kent Mercker*            mr 37   5.04   1   2   0 67   0   0   0   50.0 47 30 28 29 47   6   5
Mike Wuertz             sp 26   5.05   3   4   0 44 16   0   0 123.0 124 76 69 52 104 20 11
Kevin Gryboski           mr 31   5.06   3   3   0 64   0   0   0   48.0 50 29 27 28 28   3   5
Troy Percival             cl 35   5.06   3   2   0 53   0   0   0   48.0 47 29 27 23 45   7   4
Tim Hamulack*            mr 28   5.10   5   4   0 43   0   0   0   60.0 62 37 34 33 40   6   6
Ryan Dempster             sp 28   5.11   4   6   0 28 25   0   0 162.0 165 101 92 80 119 21 15
Bruce Chen*              sp 28   5.12   5   5   0 37 21   0   0 123.0 127 77 70 45 111 24 11
Bryan Hebson             mr 29   5.14   5   4   0 39   1   0   0   70.0 73 44 40 31 50 10   6
Eric Eckenstahler*        mr 28   5.16   2   4   0 56   0   0   0   61.0 54 38 35 44 64   7   6
Travis Smith             sp 32   5.18   8   9   0 33 23   0   0 139.0 162 88 80 40 67 23 13
Frank Castillo           sp 36   5.19   9   8   0 29 23   0   0 151.0 170 96 87 46 93 27 14
Ramon Ortiz             sp 29   5.19 11 11   0 32 26   0   0 170.0 190 107 98 58 110 28 15
Shane Reynolds           sp 37   5.20   6 11   0 25 24   0   0 142.0 160 90 82 55 76 20 13
Bobby Jenks             sp 24   5.20   4   4   0 13 13   0   0   64.0 57 40 37 51 59   4   6
Chris Bootcheck           sp 26   5.21   8   9   0 29 28   0   0 171.0 195 108 99 56 100 27 16
Jake Woods*              sp 23   5.28 10 10   0 29 29   0   0 167.0 184 107 98 73 101 22 15
Jason Shiell             mr 28   5.29   3   4   0 49   0   0   0   63.0 63 40 37 36 50   8   6
Brad Thomas*            sp 27   5.29   6   6   0 24 21   0   0 119.0 136 77 70 44 63 19 11
Phil Stockman             sp 25   5.31   5   9   0 24 23   0   0 122.0 118 79 72 80 105 13 11
Steve Sparks             sp 39   5.31   4 10   0 36 18   0   0 144.0 165 93 85 55 71 20 13
Curt Leskanic             mr 37   5.36   3   4   0 52   0   0   0   47.0 46 30 28 30 38   5   4
Will Ohman*              mr 27   5.37   2   4   0 45   1   0   0   52.0 42 34 31 37 71   9   5
Alec Zumwalt             mr 24   5.40   5   5   0 44   0   0   0   70.0 69 46 42 48 54   7   7
Aaron Sele               sp 35   5.40   8   8   0 26 25   0   0 135.0 158 89 81 54 60 17 13
Tom Martin*              mr 35   5.40   1   1   0 75   0   0   0   45.0 47 29 27 24 33   6   4
Mike Fetters             mr 40   5.40   2   3   0 56   0   0   0   50.0 47 33 30 35 41   5   0
Darwin Cubillan           mr 32   5.40   3   4   0 56   0   0   0   60.0 60 39 36 33 56 10   6
John Koronka*            sp 25   5.41   6 10   0 28 24   0   0 153.0 160 101 92 82 110 22 14
Kyle Davies             sp 21   5.41   5   7   0 26 26   0   0 138.0 131 91 83 88 129 20 13
Chad Durbin             sp 27   5.42   5 10   0 27 15   0   0   93.0 97 61 56 46 75 15   9
Renyel Pinto*            sp 22   5.43   7 11   0 24 24   0   0 131.0 116 86 79 99 137 16 12
Eddy Rodriguez           mr 23   5.45   2   2   0 57   0   0   0   71.0 68 47 43 49 62   8   7
Jon Leicester             mr 26   5.45   4   7   0 42 11   0   0   99.0 93 66 60 70 87 11   9
Jimmy Anderson*          sp 29   5.47   8   9   0 27 21   0   0 130.0 155 86 79 54 44 16 12
Ricky Nolasco             sp 22   5.48   6   9   0 27 27   0   0 143.0 145 98 87 75 120 24 13
Pedro Astacio             sp 35   5.49   8   8   0 24 24   0   0 141.0 158 94 86 50 96 28 13
Ryan Cameron             mr 27   5.52   5   6   0 36 14   0   0 106.0 108 71 65 63 86 15 10
Scott Cassidy             mr 29   5.52   3   4   0 46   6   0   0   75.0 77 50 46 44 57 11   7
Justin Kaye             mr 29   5.54   4   5   0 47   0   0   0   65.0 66 44 40 45 42   6   6
Anastacio Martinez         mr 26   5.56   6   7   0 39 11   0   0 102.0 104 69 63 65 77 13 10
Armando Almanza*          mr 32   5.60   3   3   0 45   0   0   0   45.0 44 31 28 25 41   8   4
Beltran Perez             sp 23   5.63   2   5   0 33 14   0   0 123.0 136 85 77 61 79 19 12
Scott Dunn               mr 27   5.66   6   7   0 43   7   0   0   89.0 87 61 56 61 79 11   8
Stephen Randolph*          mr 31   5.68   4   9   0 40 14   0   0 111.0 112 77 70 74 87 14 11
Casey Daigle             sp 24   5.70   5 11   0 28 26   0   0 158.0 185 110 100 60 85 29 15
Eric Cyr               sp 26   5.72   4   5   0 21 16   0   0   85.0 91 59 54 50 60 12   8
Daniel Cabrera           sp 24   5.72   8 10   0 31 30   0   0 151.0 154 105 96 110 103 14 15
Steve Green             sp 27   5.76   8 10   0 26 26   0   0 125.0 135 88 80 76 79 15 12
Mike Gosling*            sp 24   5.81   4 10   0 28 25   0   0 141.0 161 100 91 67 80 23 13
Matt Blank*              sp 29   5.84   6   9   0 31 23   0   0 134.0 156 96 87 56 74 25 13
Jason Szuminski           mr 26   5.91   2   5   0 41   3   0   0   64.0 68 46 42 45 38   8   6
Delvin James             sp 27   5.91   3   4   0 26 17   0   0 105.0 131 76 69 31 50 22 10
Scott Chiasson           mr 27   6.00   1   3   0 30   0   0   0   36.0 39 26 24 16 31   9   3
Brady Raggio             mr 32   6.00   3   7   0 46   4   0   0   75.0 88 55 50 23 52 19   7
Tim Bittner*            sp 25   6.08   7 10   0 27 20   0   0 111.0 119 82 75 76 75 14 11
Bobby Jones*            sp 33   6.23   3   4   0 43   4   0   0   65.0 70 49 45 43 48 11   6
Reynaldo Garcia           mr 31   6.25   3   5   0 51   6   0   0   85.0 95 64 59 49 54 16   8
Junior Herndon           sp 26   6.38   4 10   0 23 21   0   0 120.0 156 93 85 39 46 26 11
Brian Forystek*          sp 26   6.41   6 10   0 28 24   0   0 132.0 147 103 94 80 95 26 13
Steve Smyth*            sp 27   6.53   4   8   0 26 20   0   0 113.0 125 90 82 74 77 21 11
Dave Crouthers           sp 25   6.55   7 11   0 27 27   0   0 132.0 140 105 96 96 109 25 13
Charlie Zink             sp 25   6.55   6 10   0 26 23   0   0 136.0 150 108 99 114 68 14 14
Mike Paradis             sp 27   6.77   4   9   0 25 24   0   0 129.0 148 106 97 96 69 20 13
Edwin Almonte             mr 28   6.78   3   6   0 53   0   0   0   65.0 78 53 49 32 41 17   6
Bill Murphy*            sp 24   6.90   3 13   0 26 26   0   0 133.0 145 112 102 97 111 29 13

 

Dan Szymborski Posted: October 14, 2004 at 04:15 PM | 21 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Related News:

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan Posted: October 14, 2004 at 09:39 PM (#916801)
Wow. Those projections aren't kind to the Cubs. They had questionable OBPs anyway, but this doesn't look good.
   2. bob mong Posted: October 14, 2004 at 10:51 PM (#916957)
Troy Percival, cliff. Cliff, Troy Percival. Seriously, a 5.06 ERA? Ouchie.

On the other hand, looking at his stats (7 HR, 19 BB, 33 SO in 50 IP), how did he end up with a 2.90 ERA this year anyway?
   3. DKDC Posted: October 15, 2004 at 03:36 AM (#917279)
No Luis Lopez?
   4. Athletic Supporter can feel the slow rot Posted: October 15, 2004 at 04:44 AM (#917372)
What order are the hitters listed in? Some sort of comprehensive offensive measure?

Thanks for the good work, Dan.
   5. LSR Posted: October 15, 2004 at 07:26 AM (#917421)
Wow. Those projections aren't kind to the Cubs. They had questionable OBPs anyway, but this doesn't look good.

I'm surprised that there's so little love for Corey Patterson - ok, so the projection calls for his BA/OBP/SLG to remain essentially unchanged ... but why would his SB/game rate go down so significantly from the past 2 years?
   6. North Side Chicago Expatriate Giants Fan Posted: October 15, 2004 at 08:41 AM (#917425)
I'm surprised that there's so little love for Corey Patterson - ok, so the projection calls for his BA/OBP/SLG to remain essentially unchanged ... but why would his SB/game rate go down so significantly from the past 2 years?

I think Corey is on the Marquis Grissom career path, only he decided to go down the sacrifice-all-aspects-of-your-game-for-a-few-more-home-runs road a few years earlier in his career than Grissom did.
   7. LSR Posted: October 15, 2004 at 11:16 AM (#917429)
I think Corey is on the Marquis Grissom career path, only he decided to go down the sacrifice-all-aspects-of-your-game-for-a-few-more-home-runs road a few years earlier in his career than Grissom did.

So why does ZIPS project a dip in HRs also?

BTW, Corey's actually been making some real progress at taking more pitches. 45 walks this year may not seem like a lot, but it was his career high and reflects a multi-year trend of improvement.
   8. Neil Posted: October 15, 2004 at 08:11 PM (#918208)
A couple projections I'd be wary of right off the bat - Pedro, Borowski, Kim. I wonder if Pedro's HR rate this year has to do with his decreased velocity (which I doubt if he'll regain). Also, Borowski and Kim are injured and have suffered decreased velocity as well - not good signs :(, and not good for projections when using the last couple years as samples of true talent.

Also, Giles seems to have a smaller upside because of his size. I'd think he'd plateau quicker than peak, especially if he's filled out his small body already.
   9. Neil Posted: October 15, 2004 at 08:12 PM (#918211)
Also - that's a harsh projection for Webb - does ZiPs take into account GB/FB ratio in conjunction with the defense behind a pitcher?

And does it use GB/FB as an projection tool for HR allowed?
   10. Neil M Posted: October 15, 2004 at 10:29 PM (#918395)
Why does Carlos Zambrano's ERA, (3.66/3.11/2.75 for his three seasons to date) project to 3.52?
   11. alex ciepley Posted: October 18, 2004 at 03:01 PM (#922977)
How 'bout Glendon Rusch? I'm curious what his numbers would be -- wouldn't he be in this group?
   12. Los Angeles El Hombre de Anaheim Posted: October 18, 2004 at 09:09 PM (#923649)
Dallas McPherson is projected to have hit .275/.341/.513? May I have another?

And I absolutely refuse to believe the Percival projection. Of course, he won't be an Angel next season, but still, I reject that projection completely.
   13. Erik, Pinch-Commenter Posted: October 20, 2004 at 06:27 AM (#928108)
How did they come up with Dallas' numbers? If he gets enough playinging time he'll break the all time K record, and in way way less PA's. The guy is a K machine, and there is no way I see him hitting anywhere near .275 with that many K's.
   14. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: October 20, 2004 at 12:30 PM (#928175)
Another great year for Javy Lopez...I'm dubious. Palmeiro with a worse SLG than Grudzielanek...Ouch! Marrero hits very well for a catcher -- I wonder how much this projection declines if he catches full time. Will the Angels really play Kotchman full time over Erstad? Glaus and Alou don't look good at all.
   15. DKDC Posted: October 20, 2004 at 01:41 PM (#928225)
Javy still has to convince people?

If you look at his career stats, the biggest fluke is his 2001/2002 seasons (where he stunk), not his amazing 2003 season.

ZIPS has him projected at slightly above his career average. I believe it.
   16. Snowboy Posted: October 21, 2004 at 08:32 AM (#930990)
If it matters, Eric Cyr is a LHP. And his K/BB ratio seems wrong. (Not that I'm recommending him or anything!)

Nice work again, Dan.
   17. Psychedelic Red Pants Posted: October 22, 2004 at 08:31 AM (#932537)
Also, Borowski and Kim are injured and have suffered decreased velocity as well - not good signs

Kim had his stuff back by the end of the year, fwiw. Why he wasn't included in the postseason is cause for speculation, though. Apparently the genesis of his "injury" was "doing his own thing" over the offseason -- perhaps possible when you're a 21 year-old phenom, but not so much after you turn 25... He overthrew and injured himself in S.T. but really he spent most of the year undoing the "damage" from the offseason.

As for Pedro, his peripheral numbers this year look a lot like his peripheral numbers in '98. He's had a resurgence of "stuff" this season and he's had trouble controling it. I wouldn't be surprised if he put up a couple 180-200 ERA+'s in the next 3 years. The guy has obvious pitchability, and he's back close to full strength. It may come down to a choice between innings and quality with him, though, so he'd have a real premium value to a team with a strong bullpen.

BTW, can we get projections for Jon Papelbon and Jon Lester (High-A BOS pitchers this year)? I think they'll both see at least a dozen or so innings with BOS next year, possibly more if next year is a rebuilding year or if either is traded traded.
   18. Nuclear Dish Posted: December 03, 2004 at 08:08 PM (#994164)
I understand that these projections are based on guys playing a full season. Still, it's hard to make any sense of Palmeiro when you are aware that he's going to be playing only against RHPs. If that is accounted for, I think his OPS numbers will be much better than what this is showing.

The pitching stats look very good, BTW. I have a hard time arguing with any of them too hard.
   19. hektisk Posted: December 12, 2004 at 12:57 AM (#1013605)
3.42 ERA for Foulke? He hasn't had an ERA over 2.90 since '98...

Hm.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
The Ghost is getting a Woody
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Syndicate

Page rendered in 0.8765 seconds
66 querie(s) executed