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— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox
Saturday, June 27, 2009
Papi Is Officially Back
Seven HRs in the past 17 games now and looking very good at the plate—this is an actual hot streak, not just a streak of “good as I used to be.” I’m now confident that David Ortiz is not
only a decent hitter now, but likely to put something close to his established level of excellence. I think a line of .270/.360/.540 for the rest of the season is a reasonable expectation.
Sunday, June 21, 2009
Red Sox Odds and Ends
A few things going on, most notably, the Dice-K situation.
—Dice K had an MRI which didn’t show any structural damage. But, turns out he has “weakness,” so it’s off to the DL! Taking his place until Smoltz is activated—Dusty Brown? The need for a non-hitting 3rd catcher is puzzling. You think they’d want to have Hunter Jones’s arm around for a bit, but likely inconsequential.
—Nick Green, today’s big hero, seems to be starting full time. It will be interesting to see what happens when ...Read More...
Monday, June 08, 2009
Minor League Thread: Draft Time
Just thought the Therapudians might want someplace to discuss the draft. Sox draft #28, 77, and 107.
Monday, May 25, 2009
Minor League Thread: The Red Sox Vaunted Pitching Depth
Did the Red Sox go too far in signing reclamation projects for their rotation this year. Here’s what their current rotation looks like:
Beckett, 5.01 ERA
Aside from just being brutally awful, is it possible that the Sox should have passed on Penny (or Smoltz) and left a slot open for one of the following guys (ERAs are at AAA):
Buchholz, 1.30 ERA
This question popped into my head as Buc was ...Read More...
Sunday, May 24, 2009
Delcarmen for Johnson: Where Do I Sign?
It really boggles my mind that the Red Sox—a team that is so obsessed with depth—has reportedly turned down a chance to trade from their tremendous bullpen depth to sure up the infield corners. In case you didn’t know, according the Peter Gammons and WEEI, the Sox turned down a Manny Delcarmen/Nick Johnson swap. I just can’t fathom how they didn’t jump at that opportunity. First off, Delcarmen has generally ceded his setup role to Ramon Ramirez. His gmLI (the leverage of the situations that ...Read More...
Papelbon: All Stuff and No Command
A rare Sox Therapy post just to say, I don’t like what’s going on with Jonathan Papelbon. There have been stories in the press that Papelbon has altered his delivery so that he puts less strain on his arm and can throw more pitches. So far, the result has been that he has far worse control and ends up throwing way more pitches per appearance. This finally caught up to him tonight when he walked Gary Sheffield by missing badly repeatedly, and then missed his location often on the batters that ...Read More...
Monday, April 27, 2009
Ellsburying the Yanks
Well, I guess the Sox are stuck with this guy at leadoff. You haters will just have to deal with it.
Great series for Ellsbury—he created a run by scoring from 2nd on the wild pitch and then, my favorite play in baseball, the straight steal of home. I went back and looked at the video and Pettitte definitely quick-pitched there (he skipped the 2nd half of his delivery and threw the ball while standing straight up), but they still couldn’t stop Ellsbury. Will he steal 100? 135? Probably, yes. ...Read More...
Saturday, April 11, 2009
Jacoby Ellsbury: Stuck in the Leadoff Role
Batting orders don’t mean a whole lot in the grand scheme of things, but they do decide who gets the most plate appearances in a season. The Red Sox are currently giving the most ABs to their 7th best hitter (by both what his history and observation would suggestion). In doing so, they are transferring approximately 125 PAs from Pedroia/Papi/Youk/Drew/Bay/Lowell to him. I could see two sensible courses of action that would have both made sense. First, they could have batted Ellsbury 9th this ...Read More...
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Minor League Thread—Spring 09 Edition
Junichi Tazawa apparently has really impressed the Red Sox before being sent down the other day. According to this very nice Globe article:
Sunday, March 08, 2009
Lester Locked Up for 5/$30 mil.
According to Yahoo, the Red Sox have signed Lester to a 5 year-$30 mil deal. There’s also a $13 mil. option. This buys out his last year of complete club control, his 3 years of arbitration, and 1-2 years of free agency.
This sounds a hair on the high side (if the projections are to believed), but to really evaluate the costs, I would have a small clue what’s going to happen with the economy. The Sox have locked up a young, promising, homegrown pitcher. That’s pretty good news. ...Read More...
Saturday, February 28, 2009
Projection vs. Observation: Jason Varitek and Luis Castillo
There’s been a lot of discussion among Red Sox fans over how Varitek will perform this year. The Mets fans are having a similar discussion about Luis Castillo. A large contingent of such fans are arguing that these players are toast. Looking at their projections, the argument goes, is a waste of time. Observing them play over the past season has made it clear that these guys will not contribute going forward.
I disagree with this and I would guess that these players are just as likely as ...Read More...
Friday, December 26, 2008
Forget 1B, Let’s Find a Catcher!
Now that the Red Sox have kept Lars Anderson’s path to the Majors clear, it seems that the best use for the cash that they saved would be in filling the starting catcher position. What if they could acquire one of these players in a trade, without giving up the farm:
—A durable 26-year-old who’s projected to hit about 290/380/440, who makes ~$50 mil over the next 3 years.
Thursday, December 18, 2008
Teixeira’s Potential Impact on the Red Sox
I’ve already stated my support for the Red Sox going after Mark Teixeira based mainly on the fact that Boston has a bunch payroll room and he’s one of the top players on the market. But with Mike Lowell, Kevin Youkilis, and David Ortiz already on the team, it’s hard to figure how Teixeira will make sense financially. With that question in mind, I took a quick and dirty look at one possible scenario (the most likely one in my mind)—Teixeira is being brought in to replace Mike Lowell. Here’s what ...Read More...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
General Managers Meetings
We are a couple days into this years general managers meeting and news is starting to break. K-Rod and C.C. have ended up in Queens and the Bronx respectively, while things 200 miles north things are a little slow.
John Smoltz is apparently considering Boston, Detroit and the Mets. I think this would be a terrific move, potentially the best move available to the Sox this off season. Smoltz on a short deal would be a perfect fit for the team as it now stands. Especially, with Atlanta’s ...Read More...
Thursday, December 04, 2008
Locking up the Li’l Guy
It was just a couple years ago when I was disappointed that the Red Sox picked Pedroia, a seemingly very low ceiling player, in the 2nd round of the 04 draft. And I was just looking back at some of the posts about the early drafts, including 04, which focused on polished college guys, and how that might make the team miss out on some superstars. And here we are, a few years later, and I’m really happy that they got him to sign away his next 6 years for $40.5 mil. (It might be fun if anyone can ...Read More...
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Let’s Get Kerry Wood
Kerry Wood—66.3 IP, 54 H, 84 K, 18 BB, 3 HR, 3.26 ERA. He’s a big injury risk but when he’s healthy he’s got top-of-the-rotation quality stuff coming out of the bullpen. See if he’ll bite on a short deal to set up for Papelbon. He would be an excellent risk.
Monday, October 20, 2008
ALCS Game 7: It’s All Over
A great comeback that falls just short. The Red Sox just couldn’t push across some runs when they needed to in this game. It was bound to happen one of these years.
Sunday, October 19, 2008
ALCS Game 6: Beckett Bounces Back
Josh Beckett met the challenge of throwing a good game without his best stuff. 5 IP, 2 R is more than I expected of him. The pen then held the line while we got a surprising boost from Varitek. A great game and now let’s look forward to another exciting game 7.
One scary thing: Papelbon does not look like his normal dominant self. He faked it pretty well but I’m concerned.
Friday, October 17, 2008
ALCS Game 5: Well, it’s all ov… OH MY GOD!
I was ready to give up on this one in about the 5th. It was just starting to look too much like a repeat of earlier games from this series. Papi’s HR seemed to open the flood gates and Tampa Bay’s defense chipped in did their part. Two big hits from Drew as well.
I’m tired so I don’t have much else to say. You guys fill in the thread with interesting quips and whatnot. w00t! as the kids say.
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
ALCS Game 4: Tampa Bay Crushes
There’s not too much to say about this game. Wakefield did not have it and the Rays really took advantage. One interesting contrast between these two teams that was illustrated tonight: health. Crawford and Longoria returned from injuries and were just awesome tonight. The Red Sox injured players are either out (Lowell) or don’t look themselves (Ortiz, Drew, and Beckett). Part of this is just lousy timing but another part is probably due to the Red Sox being older and generally more injury ...Read More...
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
ALCS Game 3: We’ve Got Them Right Where We Want Them!
Here we go again, another ALCS, another deficit. Today’s game was pretty bad but not nearly as tough to deal with as last night’s. It was just a good old fashioned butt kicking. It was disappointing that they didn’t bother to pinch hit for Cora or Varitek late in the game, and it was a real bummer that Cora didn’t move up to 2nd the poor throw Baldelli. But they were already down 5-1, so why bother trying to come back.
One of these years, falling behind in the ALCS is going to burn the Red ...Read More...
Saturday, October 11, 2008
ALCS Game 1: Dice Rolls
After a rocky start, Daisuke Matsuzaka pulled himself together and dominated through the 7th inning. His performance was huge, not only for this game, but because he didn’t burn out the pen, which may well be needed to pick up for Josh Beckett tomorrow. Bringing him out for the 8th after a long layoff and a tight 7th and 107 pitches didn’t seem like such a hot idea. But it worked out. Also, the offense couldn’t seem to quite get on track in this game, but luckily they didn’t have to. ...Read More...
Tuesday, October 07, 2008
Sox Headed to ALCS to Face Tampa!
This was a much better series than the previous Angels/Red Sox ALDS’s. A very exciting ending after a hard-fought game.
Saturday, October 04, 2008
Boston Heads Home Up 2-0
Wow, that was an exciting game. Although the Red Sox should have been happy with a split, it would have been pretty awful to have lost this one after leading 5-1 earlier. I thought that Dice pitched well and got a little bad luck. I really didn’t like Francona’s handling of the pen tonight at all. He left Masterson in when you could tell he had awful control. He probably should have been pulled in the 7th, but apparently Delcarmen is never to be trusted ever again. When Masterson came out for ...Read More...
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
ALDS Preview: Boston vs. LA
I could go into a great deal of detail on this, but I don’t think it’s all that necessary. These are two very good teams with the Angels winning five more games than the Red Sox and the Red Sox putting up a more impressive run differential. Both have strong rotations, good pens (edge to the Angels), and good lineups (edge Boston). Overall, a fairly even matchup. There are two factors in LA’s favor, though. The first is homefield advantage. The Angels were 50-31 at home and the same on the road ...Read More...
Monday, September 29, 2008
No Beckett for ALDS?
Per this SOSH thread, Steve Buckley said on NESN that Beckett has an oblique injury and might not be available for the ALDS. I’m not sure what the proper response to this news is, but I think “AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!” might cover it.
Friday, September 26, 2008
Just wanted to make a quick post about fun stats to keep an eye on as the season winds down.
—Pedroia has a couple of interesting things going on. He may still have a shot at the batting title, but it’s a slim one. He’s at .325, but as I write this Mauer is 3-3 tonight and up to .331. He’s currently got 211 hits, 4 ahead of Ichiro. He’s tops in runs at 118—10 ahead of Granderson. His 54 doubles are three more than Roberts. It’s also one of the highest totals for a 2B. Gehringer had 60, Herman ...Read More...
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
The Red Sox finally clinched a postseason berth with their 92nd win. It’s satisfying even if a bit short of the goal of a division title. This year more than any other has been a testament to the importance of depth. After losing major time from Schilling, Dice, Beckett, Lowell, Ortiz, and Lugo, and losing some time from many other starters, the Sox were able to remain a contender because they had players like Casey, Lowrie, Bowden, Masterson, and others ready to step in and contribute. Another ...Read More...
Saturday, September 20, 2008
It looks like the Red Sox are going to make it to the postseason, if only as the stinking wild-card team. This brings up the question of how the post-season roster shakes out. In the first round, they’ll probably need four starters, and I think the 4th starter is the most interesting question. It comes down to Wakefield or Byrd. Based on their performance this year as well as how they’ve done over their careers, I have to take Wakefield. The only reason I could see for leaning the other way ...Read More...
Sunday, September 14, 2008
The Papelbon Problem
Once again, in today’s game against the Blue Jays, it appeared that opposing lineup was sitting on Jonathan Papelbon’s fastball. They laid off his other pitches, which were generally out of the zone and absolutely smoked his fastball. The results—2 runs—could have been worse if not for some nice defense and some good fortune. It’s become entirely too predictable for opposing teams.
In a recent Amalie Benjamin article, pitching coach John Farrell explained that Papelbon was indeed throwing ...Read More...
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