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— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox
Tuesday, December 12, 2006
The Drew/Gagne Disconnect
According to this Globe article, the Sox have dropped out of the bidding for Eric Gagne. Reportedly, the Red Sox did not want to risk the $6 mil in guaranteed money that Cleveland or Texas was offering. What strikes me as odd is that they are leery about this small risk, but not about giving JD Drew, whose health is also in question, 5 years/$60-something million guaranteed. Certainly, Drew’s had the better recent health history, but is it $60 million better? Gagne, if even somewhat healthy, is ...Read More...
Which 5’8” 2B? (Non-Tender deadline)
While we’re waiting for the conclusion of the Matsuzaka soap opera, I thought it would be interesting to discuss the Red Sox non-tender situation. Particularly interesting to me is the rumor that Marcus Giles will not be offered a contract. Before the Lugo signing, I was hoping that the Sox might shift Pedroia back to SS and pickup Giles on the cheap, thus creating quite a short middle IF. It also would have freed up money for a reliever or two. But since that won’t happen, what do Sox fans ...Read More...
Friday, December 08, 2006
I don’t get it
Whatever the Red Sox plan here is, I don’t get it. They appear to be about $10 mil shy of the luxury tax threshold, which is probably their spending limit. Let’s assume, charitably, that they get this Matsuzaka deal done and it puts them at their limit. There’s no closer. There’s no reliable setup man. There’s no backup catcher (unless you think Kotteras is ready).
Despite all of these holes, they decided to go out and sign a 4th outfielder for $14 mil. An excellent one, of course, and one ...Read More...
Tuesday, December 05, 2006
The “Artificially Imposed Deadline to Trade Manny” thread
By Wednesday midnight, the Red Sox will stop actively shopping Manny, though they will consider offers after that time. So says Theo, as reported by McAdam in the Projo and Silverman in the Herald, among other places.
Let’s hope they stick to the deadline. Last time I checked, we still had a lot of other fish to fry than creating another vacancy:
bullpen help: Turnbow? Dotel?
Friday, December 01, 2006
Should we tender Loretta? What about Trot?
The header says it all, mostly. The deadline to offer arbitration to the free agents is Friday midnight. According to the Globe, Theo says Boston will not make any final decisions on arb offers till close to the deadline.
Loretta is a type A free agent, Trot is a type B. Both of those guys would bring draft-pick compensation if we offered arbitration to them and they signed elsewhere.
Foulke, Kapler, and Mirabelli are type C, no compensation. Alex Gonzalez was a type B and signed elsewhere, I ...Read More...
Friday, November 24, 2006
Who are the real comps for Matsuzaka?
Ever since the Red Sox bid the seemingly outlandish sum of $51 million on Daisuke Matsuzaka, several people have tried to pin down whether the Red Sox could ever get their money’s worth on such a deal. I think that question is just too big—and involves too many factors that are unknown to us outsiders—for us to really tackle with any authority. But in trying to answer that larger question, many people have started by answering a smaller one: what is the value of of Matsuzaka as a baseball ...Read More...
Friday, November 17, 2006
Sox “expected” to sign Drew, 2 yrs, $30M
From Tracy Ringolsby:
And so I ask again ... what does this mean for Manny/Coco/WilyMo? And what does this mean about what’s left in our budget for shortstop and Matsuzaka and closer and everything else?
Two years at 15M per seems like a really, really good deal to me. This offseason has been fun so far.
Monday, November 13, 2006
What to do in Naples, besides the Great Matsuzaka Holding of Breath
Granted, the general managers’ meetings this week in Naples are more about laying groundwork for deals and less about finalizing them. But what direction are the Sox taking, and what direction should they take?
I have seen reports that the Sox are shopping to fill holes at 2b, ss, rf, sp, and closer, and also some backup positions (c, of). It’s been said they have expressed interest to outfielders Carlos Lee and J.D. Drew, infielder Rich Aurilia, starter Mark Mulder and reliever LaTroy ...Read More...
Monday, November 06, 2006
Sox Lock Up Cora
Per Rotoworld the Sox have locked up Cora to a 2 year deal. Not a terrible idea, especially if not expensive. ZIPS says he’ll hit .250 .333 .344, making him one of the best 2 middle infielders Boston has under contract right now. Plus he’s so smart, I keep hearing.
Wednesday, November 01, 2006
The Manny Question… Again
Welcome to the new fall season of “Trading Manny,” (Manny Swap? Super-Manny?) the hit reality show that’s now entering its fourth season!
Once again, when it comes to considering trading Manny, it’s hard to judge any deal unless you can pin down Manny’s defensive value. To that end…
As some of you have probably already noticed, there is some interesting stuff going on over at Dialed In, where Chris has linked to a Rally Monkey’s list of park factors for ZR. There, Rallymonkey finds that ...Read More...
Saturday, October 28, 2006
Let the offseason bull(pen) talk begin
It’s officially the offseason now, so it’s time to start talking about what the Red Sox should be doing. Let’s kick this mother off with a discussion of the pitching needs. MCoA recently wrote that the Sox either need a starter and a reliever or two starters. My feeling is that they need to add something like a #1 starter and two top relievers. In the rotation, I’m a lot more comfortable assuming Schilling’s a #2, Beckett’s a #3, etc. In the pen, I don’t think there’s anyone there that you can ...Read More...
Friday, October 20, 2006
My Awards Ballot: What Would a Reasonable Therapudlian Do?
I had the privilege of casting a ballot for BBTF’s postseason awards. On a mailing list I’ve discussed my overall ballot, but here, in Sox Therapy, I thought I would explain the Red Sox who made, and didn’t make, my ballot and why, so you can all lambaste me for failing to do you proud.
For AL MVP we voted for 10 candidates. I had Papi #1 and Lil Papi #10. I left Manny off the ballot. If the MVP were a “best player” award, I would have filled out the ballot differently, but to me the MVP is ...Read More...
Monday, October 16, 2006
Red Sox Welcome Two Mystery Coaches into the Fold
As already noted in a news thread, the Red Sox are ‘close’ to hiring John Farrell to be there pitching coach. There is also a report in the Globe that they have inked Dave Magadan as some sort of coach, although no one seems sure what yet.
I have virtually no opinion on these two moves. The only thing that sticks out is that one guy (Farrell) seems to be a Francona guy while the other (Magadan) isn’t. I think that indicates that the FO is using his input, but not giving him free reign. ...Read More...
Thursday, October 12, 2006
Philly’s Big Study of Pitcher Durability
Over on SOSH, our pal Philly has posted a very illuminating study of durability among FA pitchers. He starts with Derek Lowe and then moves into a discussion of other guys who have been signed to multi-year deals in recent years. There’s also a section on pitchers that will be available this coming offseason.
I’m not sure what conclusion to draw from the work. One think I think it shows is that Clement was a very reasonable signing at the time. And Philly’s point, that durability may be a bit ...Read More...
Tuesday, October 03, 2006
Kill (Okay, fire) ‘em All, Let God Sort Them Out!
According to several articles, like this MLB one, the Red Sox have gotten rid of both hitting coach Ron Jackson and pitching coach Dave Wallace.
As outsiders, it’s very hard for us to determine if these are good moves. Was Jackson really a big help to Ortiz, or would Ortiz have done well without him? Even if he helped Ortiz, did most players find him helpful as well? Was Wallace a good pitching coach saddled with a bunch of guys who were poised for collapse? Or was his health a major hurdle? ...Read More...
Wednesday, September 27, 2006
The Amazing Year of David Ortiz
Big Papi hit his 54th HR tonight, which is just an amazing feat for a lefthanded dead pull hitter who plays half his games in Fenway. He currently has 32 HR in 77 road games vs. only 22 in 70 home games. His splits were 20/27 in 05 and 17/24 in 04.
Maybe should be looked at more closely when considering his value in the MVP race. And then again, maybe not. Maybe it should just be part of our appreciation of him as an awesome DH. I just thought it would be nice to have a thread looking back on ...Read More...
Monday, September 25, 2006
Francona urges changes in playoff format
I’m putting this in Sox Therapy because I don’t have the keys to put it elsewhere, but everyone’s welcome to chime in.
The Worcester Telegram & Gazette has a Red Sox notes that includes an interesting item. It says that Terry Francona favors two changes to the playoff setup:
Saturday, September 23, 2006
Well, according to Edes’s most recent anti-Manny tirade (RR), Manny has again asked to be traded:
...he had the audacity this week, through agent Greg Genske, to reiterate to the Red Sox his desire to be traded this winter.
Although I don’t agree with Edes here, I do think that there’s some merit to trading Manny. Take a look at the defense rankings posted on Dialed In. Manny comes in at -41 R/150 games, which Chris attributes largely to park. But even if you give him 10 runs Manny is still ...Read More...
Tuesday, September 19, 2006
Portland Wins the EL title
MCoA points out that Devern Hansack won the deciding game in the Eastern League Series to propel the Sea Dogs to the championship. The 28-year-old had a nice year for Portland and will likely get a callup (or maybe he did already?).
Sunday, September 17, 2006
The Coaching Question
I know this has been touched on in Toby’s thread, but that was so all-encompassing as to make all other threads pointless. Here, I just want to talk about what people think should be done with the coaching staff. Bring ‘em all back? Fire ‘em all? Something in between?
I’ve been a little kinder to Francona this year, mainly because he made two decisions (Pap as closer, Youk as fulltime starter) that I didn’t think he was capable of. But overall, I don’t think he’s a good manager. He doesn’t ...Read More...
Wednesday, September 13, 2006
Is Theo morphing into Duke?
I started pondering this question as I read through the Dear Theo thread.
The general sense from that thread, I think, is that few of us think the front office really knows what it is doing. (Perhaps they did know what they were doing at one point, but that point is in the rear-view mirror.)
I don’t want to turn this into a thread about Theo vs. Duke, but I have to say that the current regime is starting to remind me of the Duke regime. Let me explain. To me, the Duke regime followed a clear ...Read More...
Tuesday, September 12, 2006
Open Letter to Theo
over the offseason, please do the following:
[see posts below]
Yours in the struggle,
Thursday, September 07, 2006
Weekly Minor League Thread: The End of the mL season
I don’t have much here, just wanted to put something up for us to look back on the year in the minors. I think the brightest spot, among a fair number of good stuff, was the success of Bowden and Buccholz. Both did well in low A, the former at the age of 19. Buchholz even pitched well after his promotion to A+ and may be headed for AA next year. Very close behind them is probably Ellsbury. He has moved up very quickly, continued to make good contact, and showed good speed and defense. He may ...Read More...
Tuesday, September 05, 2006
It’s Time to Run the Table
It’s time to run the table.
Lenny Megliola of the MetroWest Daily News has a nice little column on the ‘Last Chance Saloon’ sentiment in the Red Sox clubhouse here.
We have Trot and Tek and Manny back, and should get Papi back today.
Okay, so we have no pitching whatsoever. Our third starter is Julian Tavarez and our closer is getting an MRI today. But we can dream, can’t we?
BPro odds gives us about a 1 percent chance to make the playoffs.
We’re 6 games behind the Twins (with 3 games ...Read More...
Friday, September 01, 2006
Weekly Minor League Thread: Welcome Backstop Kotteras
Maybe the only bright spot in this recent slide into oblivion is that the Red Sox dropped far enough quickly enough that it made sense to deal away Wells for whatever you could get. My hope was that they would accept nothing less than a B prospect, and in Kotteras I think they surpassed that level a bit. Both Sickels (B+) and BA had him as the Pads’ #2 prospect, Dayn Perry (I know) had him #77 in baseball, and got an honorable mention on the Baseball Analyst 75. He has good discipline and a ...Read More...
Thursday, August 31, 2006
How bad can it get? Very, very bad.
Today’s lineup pretty much says it all:
Kevin Youkilis, LF
Well, they had their starting 3b! The amount of injuries heaped upon this team has been staggering. It’s so bad that I’m glad that they didn’t make any major moves at the deadline. They would have turned out to be waste. Let’s hope that David Wells will soon be on his way west. ...Read More...
Monday, August 28, 2006
August 31: Are We Buyers or Sellers?
I’m one of the few card-carrying optimists around here, and I am on record as saying that this team has its best baseball ahead of it, that it will have a strong September and will make an entertaining bid for the playoffs.
I still believe that. And yet, a couple days before the Aug. 31 deadline, I say now is the time to fold and sell, sell, sell.
Who can we sell? I frankly don’t know, I don’t follow waiver statuses as closely as many of you. But if we can grant Wells his preseason wish and ...Read More...
Bullpen Concerns Revisited Revisited
Since the other thread on the Red Sox Bullpen has been sent off into oblvion, I’m starting a new one. People can continue to ruin that thread for all I care, but please let’s use this one to discuss the topic at hand.
Earlier in the year, I voiced some concerns about the bullpen’s workload:
Can anyone explain to me why, with a 7-1 lead, Francona went to Keith Foulke tonight? Foulke isn’t the only overworked pitcher in the pen, but he’s the leading one. 162 g pace coming into the night: ...Read More...
Sunday, August 27, 2006
Stupid Snark Fest (Formerly Bullpen Concerns revisited)
Earlier in the year, I voiced some concerns about the bullpen’s workload:
Can anyone explain to me why, with a 7-1 lead, Francona went to Keith Foulke tonight? Foulke isn’t the only overworked pitcher in the pen, but he’s the leading one. 162 g pace coming into the night:
Foulke 84 g, 108 ip
The good news is that since that time, everyone’s workload has been decreased. The bad news is that, in the case of Foulke and Timlin, the decrease was caused by ...Read More...
Saturday, August 26, 2006
Treating players well
This is a subject that I don’t often think we, as fans, can really comment on too well because we just don’t know enough of the facts. In most cases where I do have an opinion, I tend to think that the players and teams owe each other little in the way of loyalty, etc. For example, I had no problem with the team signing Arroyo to a multi-year deal then trading him. He knew the risks of signing the deal and, apparantly, was given no assurances that he’d be staying.
All that being said, I ...Read More...
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