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Sox Therapy
— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox

Friday, December 30, 2005

Manny’ Defense

This started out as a study in which I questioned the wisdom of regressing Manny’s defense toward the mean, but after exchanging emails with MGL, I discovered that I had misunderstood his regression methods. I had thought that in projecting Manny’s future performance (or assessing his true talent level, as MGL calls it), he would include an element of league average OF. But that is not the case…

Darren Posted: December 30, 2005 at 04:18 PM | 116 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sabermetrics

Monday, December 19, 2005

Love me, non-Tender

Consider this a place to discuss non-tenders that involve or affect the Red Sox. I don’t see any Boston player as an obvious candidate to be cut loose, but there’s been some talk that it might be Bradford. There has also been discussion of Craig Wilson, Choi, and others as possible targets if their current teams let them walk.

Darren Posted: December 19, 2005 at 03:44 AM | 24 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Marte Par-tay

This is something that I’ve been kicking around in my head a bit. The Red Sox have a big logjam at 3B, but Youks doesn’t have much trade value and Lowell apparently has even less. Marte appears ready for the bigs. And the Red Sox have holes to fill at 1B, SS, and CF at least.

So, considering these facts, who would you be willing to trade Marte for? Although it’s easy to just say “no one,” for me, it’s a lot easier (emotionally) to consider than dealing a Lester or a Pedroia who we’ve been ...

Darren Posted: December 19, 2005 at 03:19 AM | 50 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Sunday, December 11, 2005

A plethora of pitching in Boston

I’m not saying that the Red Sox have too much quality pitching, but they currently seem to have too many pitchers. Here’s a rundown:



Van Buren

Ready soon(?):
E Martinez

Moving Wells to another team will bring us down to 6 SP, but there’s still a lot to figure out there. Does Arroyo get moved to swingman, pushing Dinardo into a ...

Darren Posted: December 11, 2005 at 08:11 PM | 57 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Saturday, December 10, 2005

Red Sox Minor League Park Factors

Culled from Transaction Oracle:

Team                 R       H       2B       HR      BB      SO

Pawtucket         1.05   1.04   0.91    1.59    1.10    1.15
Portland (AA)    1.08   0.97   0.88    1.18    1.01    1.03 
Wilmington        0.94   0.95   0.91    0.75    0.93    0.99 
Greenville         1.07   1.07   1.00    1.07    1.07    1.07 
Lowell               1.04   1.02   1.08    1.10    1.10    1.04 
Fort Myers         0.97   1.01   1.04    0.90    0.98    1.14 

Also, before 05, ...
Darren Posted: December 10, 2005 at 10:51 PM | 26 comment(s)
  Related News: minor leagues, red sox

Friday, December 09, 2005

Red Sox rule 5 comings and goings

From MLB transactions: Selected RHP Jamie Vermilyea in the Major League phase of the Rule 5 Draft; Selected RHP Victor Ramos, RHP Jason Richardson, and INF David Bacani in the Minor League phase. They lost no one in the ML phase, but lost Henry Cabrera (rhp) and Vince Harrison (3b) in the MiL phase.

Here’s the BA Breakdown

Vermilia had a GB/FB over 2.0 last year and has generally had awesome HR rates. Looks like a big gb guy. I hope to hell he doesn’t stick with the club and take up a spot. I ...

Darren Posted: December 09, 2005 at 02:56 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Friday, December 02, 2005

Red Sox Rule 5 Thread

According to the ‘Notes in a Minor Key’ thread, these are the guys we stand to possibly lose:

Chad Spann Red Sox 3B
Charlie Zink Red Sox RHP
Ian Bladergroen Red Sox 1B
Jose Vaquedano Red Sox RHP

If I were the Mets or Braves, I’d take one of the Red Sox pitchers, start him each of the first 5 ST games, then send him back.

(Also, I’ve banned Nate from advocating that we Rule 5 Steven Andrade. If you see him doing it, smack him one. :) )

Darren Posted: December 02, 2005 at 02:08 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Saturday, November 26, 2005

The Market for Manny

A couple weeks ago, I thought Manny was out the door for sure, and with a decent return coming back. But recent developments have made me think twice about both. The two players who I think have been the best comps for Manny have been dealt, and haven’t brought back much. In Thome’s case, he has serious health concerns, so it’s understandable that the Phils will pick up half his contract. But I think the Delgado case makes things look very poor for Manny. Delgado has very similar value to Manny ...

Darren Posted: November 26, 2005 at 03:32 PM | 110 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Monday, November 07, 2005

The Big Little Papi Decision

Darren Posted: November 07, 2005 at 12:22 AM | 39 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Wednesday, November 02, 2005

Theo Epstein and John Henry News Conference

Jim Furtado Posted: November 02, 2005 at 06:45 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Tuesday, November 01, 2005

The next Red Sox GM

Darren Posted: November 01, 2005 at 11:07 PM | 98 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Sunday, October 23, 2005

Were the Pilgrims first Americans?

Toby Posted: October 23, 2005 at 07:32 PM | 13 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Monday, October 17, 2005

Red Sox 40 Man Roster - Crunch Time?

I believe 10 players are free agents. (Mueller, Mantei, Stanton, Myers, Timlin, Graffanino, Millar, Olerud, Kapler, and Damon)
I believe 5 players are arbitration eligible. (Wade Miller, Bronson Arroyo, Roberto Petegine, Jeremy Gonzalez, Chad Harville).  The only 1 will definitely be offered arbitration (Bronson).
I believe 1 player will surely be removed from the 40 man. (Bausher)

That leaves 26 players:


Abe Alvarez
Chad Bradford
Matt Clement
Manny Delcarmen
Lenny DiNardo
Keith ...

Mister High Standards Posted: October 17, 2005 at 02:33 PM | 44 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Thursday, October 06, 2005

Sox lose by 1, Nixon 0-3 vs. a lefty!

(Please spare me the “playing Trot Nixon isn’t the reason the Red Sox lost. I know that, but it is one of them.)

Darren Posted: October 06, 2005 at 03:05 AM | 51 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Wednesday, October 05, 2005

Voros leaves the Red Sox.

Darren Posted: October 05, 2005 at 02:56 AM | 28 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Sunday, October 02, 2005

Red Sox win Pythagorean division!

Darren Posted: October 02, 2005 at 11:24 PM | 125 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Wednesday, September 28, 2005


Darren Posted: September 28, 2005 at 03:32 AM | 89 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Monday, September 26, 2005

Damon’s defense

Darren Posted: September 26, 2005 at 02:59 AM | 33 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Tuesday, September 20, 2005


Darren Posted: September 20, 2005 at 03:30 AM | 135 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Wednesday, August 24, 2005

Is Timlin the closer?

Darren Posted: August 24, 2005 at 03:04 AM | 29 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Saturday, August 20, 2005

Bye Bye Bellhorn

Darren Posted: August 20, 2005 at 02:55 AM | 43 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Thursday, August 18, 2005

ENOUGH OF THIS GUY! Millar - Be gone!

Mister High Standards Posted: August 18, 2005 at 12:54 PM | 50 comment(s)
  Related News:

Friday, August 12, 2005

Minor League Pitching Explosion!

Darren Posted: August 12, 2005 at 01:59 AM | 25 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Wednesday, August 10, 2005

45 Years Ago Today: Ted Williams announced his retirement

Mister High Standards Posted: August 10, 2005 at 08:17 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Related News:

Tuesday, August 09, 2005

What’s the lineup, Kenneth?

Darren Posted: August 09, 2005 at 02:53 AM | 37 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Thursday, August 04, 2005


Darren Posted: August 04, 2005 at 03:00 AM | 108 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Sunday, July 31, 2005

Boston gets Jose Cruz Jr. for Kenny Perez and Kyle Bono

Darren Posted: July 31, 2005 at 03:22 AM | 82 comment(s)
  Related News: arizona, red sox

Papelbon to start Sunday

Darren Posted: July 31, 2005 at 02:40 AM | 24 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Wednesday, July 27, 2005

Things Fall Apart

Darren Posted: July 27, 2005 at 02:42 AM | 45 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

Tuesday, July 26, 2005

Red Sox Deadline Trade Thread

Darren Posted: July 26, 2005 at 04:18 AM | 59 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox

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