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— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox

Thursday, April 27, 2017

A Short Observation

The Sox played game number 20 last night falling to the Yankees to drop their record to 11-9.  My general feeling given the injuries and illnesses is that this about where you’d want this team to be right now.  But one thing I was thinking about was the general idea that the Sox acquired Chris Sale to replace David Ortiz.  It is no secret that the offense has struggled at times in the early going and that was one of the big concerns coming in.  I decided to just do a quick check versus where the Sox were last year at this time;

2017:
11-9 (3rd in division, 4th in AL)
78 runs scored (13th)
77 runs allowed (4th)

2016:
11-9 (2nd in division, 4th in AL)
102 runs scored (1st)
94 runs allowed (14th)

There is more at play here than just swapping out Ortiz for Sale but I think this fit with what we would expect out of this team.  We can nitpick all we want about various pieces but this early in the season there is not much to say.  Other than getting off to a Blue Jays type start (or conversely a 1984 Tigers type start) the axiom of using the first two months to figure out what you have is wise.  Right now the Sox are generally following the blueprint of sacrificing some run production for run prevention pretty well.

Jose is El Absurd Pollo Posted: April 27, 2017 at 08:30 AM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Jose is El Absurd Pollo Posted: April 28, 2017 at 08:16 AM (#5444229)
Just making myself feel better about the offense this morning. The last 7 games;

0 for 3
2 for 7
0 for 9
1 for 7
2 for 9
0 for 7
0 for 2
Total: 5 for 44

That's hitting w/RISP. Not a ton of chances in there but .114 ain't getting it done. Let's assume they had 5 more hits. That would still be a .227 average which would be low but would probably be about 7 more runs and probably another win or two. It's a slumping offense, nothing more.
   2. Jose is El Absurd Pollo Posted: April 28, 2017 at 03:08 PM (#5444464)
More numbers. In 2016;

games Ortiz didn't play; 7.5 runs/game
games Ortiz didn't start but came in; 2.5 runs/game
overall games Ortiz didn't start; 5.05 runs/game
games Ortiz started; 5.48 runs/game

   3. Fernigal McGunnigle Posted: April 28, 2017 at 03:20 PM (#5444469)
games Ortiz didn't play; 7.5 runs/game
...
games Ortiz started; 5.48 runs/game
The Sox clearly need to get a lifelike wax dummy of Ortiz to sit on the bench and do nothing!

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