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   101. Nasty Nate Posted: May 01, 2012 at 05:03 PM (#4121050)
The Red Sox don't exactly have a murderer's row of bench options to pinch-hit for Punto, but they will be able to call on either McDonald or Anderson if they need to.


Is there a chance they would start Iglesias at SS and Aviles at 3B?

Are they gonna get this game in tonight?
   102. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 01, 2012 at 05:14 PM (#4121060)
Is there a chance they would start Iglesias at SS and Aviles at 3B?
I doubt it. On defense, Aviles appears to be one of those guys who's better as an everyday shortstop than an occasional 3B or 2B, and on offense, Jose Iglesias makes Nicky Punto look like Cal Ripken.

I think Iglesias is just up in order to give the Sox the opportunity to pinch-hit for Punto. In all likelihood he'll be sent down and Aaron Cook called up in a couple days. If Youkilis goes on the DL, Middlebrooks should come up (if his thumb is ok).
   103. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 01, 2012 at 05:15 PM (#4121062)
According to weather.com the rain has passed. It's not raining in Burlington right now (or at least it wasn't ten minutes ago) so they should get it in.
   104. Nasty Nate Posted: May 01, 2012 at 05:20 PM (#4121065)
Yeah the radar at weatherunderground shows that it has passed (although they still list 'chance of precipitation' at 100% for 8 pm). If you wanted to go to tonights game, there were unbelievable bargains to be had at stubhub this afternoon.
   105. villageidiom Posted: May 01, 2012 at 05:24 PM (#4121069)
Is there a chance they would start Iglesias at SS and Aviles at 3B?
Not tonight. But at least if they PH for Punto they have a competent fielder to bring in afterward.
   106. Darren Posted: May 01, 2012 at 06:52 PM (#4121125)
Does anyone want to talk about the Strikeout tear that WMB is currently on? I'm reminded a bit of Shea Hillenbrand at the beginning of 2003.
   107. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 01, 2012 at 07:00 PM (#4121132)
Wow. I hadn't checked. Four days and he's doubled his strikeout total for the season, back up to ~20% of ABs. He's still under his career norms, though, and his improved on-contact numbers can still be partially real improvement. But that definitely cuts into my excitement about getting Middlebrooks up on the big club.
   108. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:12 AM (#4121572)
Some roster shenanigans today. Cherington says that Anderson will be optioned to AAA, corresponding move announced later. It seems to me there are two basic paths the Sox could take.

1) Kroeger or Nava up for Anderson as bench bat, someone crappy like Jason Repko or Justin Thomas DFA'd.
2) Relief help up for Anderson (possibly again with Repko/Thomas DFA'd), and Middlebrooks up for Iglesias.

The thing they oughtn't do is say, hey, Nicky Punto drew some walks last night, who needs another bench bat, and just call up a pitcher for Anderson.

I figure the delay is to let the club evaluate Middlebrooks and Youkilis overnight. I can't imagine they need an extra day to pull the trigger on giving other clubs a shot at Repko or Thomas. It might also have to do with Aaron Cook's opt-out, which has a slightly weird three-part structure. (Per Alex Speier in a longer evaluation of the roster)
Cook has 24 hours to either exercise his opt-out clause or work out an agreement to stay in the Sox organization. If he exercises the opt-out clause, the team would then have 48 hours to call him up or trade him. At the end of that window, if he is not in the majors, then the 33-year-old would become a free agent, but indications are that -- while there is no formal agreement at this time between the club and the pitcher -- the Red Sox won’t let that happen.
So they could be waiting to see if Cook opts out, or planning whether they want to wait out their 48-72 hours before calling him up, if he does opt out.
   109. JJ1986 Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:19 AM (#4121581)
Can you DFA someone who's on the disabled list? I think they'd have to get rid of Thomas instead.
   110. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:31 AM (#4121602)
Sounds like the Sox are getting set to call up Middlebrooks. The headline is a bit more certain than the piece but it's Speier so I'm trusting it has validity;

But Middlebrooks was determined to be healthy in his game in Toledo on Tuesday, and so he is available for a call-up today pending a medical determination on Youkilis. Assuming that Youkilis remains sidelined, it appears likely that the 23-year-old...will be in line for his first major league summons.


I think what would happen is since they have until Friday to call up Cook (11:59 May 1st + 24 hours + 48 hours) they will call up Middlebrooks and by Friday would either DL Youk or simply send Middlebrooks down for Cook on Friday.
   111. Dan Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:48 AM (#4121624)
As of today, Josh Reddick is batting .276/.304/.480 with a 115 OPS+. At least in that trade they got a replacement in Sweeney though.

Jed Lowrie is batting .303/.410/.470 with a 146 OPS+ while the Red Sox are playing Nick Punto at third base.
   112. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:51 AM (#4121628)
Well, Sweeney's out-hitting Reddick by a wide margin, so it's hard to get too upset about that one. The Melancon trade remains disastrous-looking. It's not like Jed Lowrie hasn't gotten hot for a month or two in the past, but the Sox could really have used that hot month about now.
   113. Nasty Nate Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:52 AM (#4121632)
As of today, Josh Reddick is batting .276/.304/.480 with a 115 OPS+.

Jed Lowrie is batting ..303/.410/.470 with a 146 OPS+ while the Red Sox are playing Nick Punto at third base.


To be optimistic, I will point out that Sweeney is batting .362/.392/.551 - w/ 152 OPS+

Scutaro (the $14m man) is batting .267/.320/.344 with a 73 OPS+
   114. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:53 AM (#4121638)
Can you DFA someone who's on the disabled list? I think they'd have to get rid of Thomas instead.
Good point. Couldn't the Sox just move Crawford to the 60-day? He's already been on the 15-day for a month, and my understanding is that there's no chance of an early June return.
   115. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:57 AM (#4121641)
Reddick - 115 OPS+
Lowrie - 146 OPS+
Sweeney - 152 OPS+

I don't think there is a sustainable number in that group. Reddick probably has the best chance but he's all power, no OBP with ugly K/BB rates. Lowrie has enough of a track record of both injury and poor performance that I don't think he's keeping this up.
   116. Famous Original Joe C Posted: May 02, 2012 at 01:45 PM (#4121760)
Middlebrooks called up, according to boston.com.

Not sure yet if it means Iglesias returning to AAA or Youk to the DL.
   117. Dan Posted: May 02, 2012 at 03:34 PM (#4121868)
Lowrie 3-3 with a 2B so far today. Now hitting .333.
   118. Famous Original Joe C Posted: May 02, 2012 at 03:40 PM (#4121872)
Lowrie 3-3 with a 2B so far today. Now hitting .333.

If a player's average can change 30 points in three at bats, it's too damn early to worry about his stats.
   119. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 03:50 PM (#4121884)
Bobby V on WEEI:
"Aaron Cook is going to pitch Saturday," Valentine said. "He's going to start in Josh Beckett's turn because, as we all know, that 15-pitch at bat to end Josh's last outing kind of overextended what anybody planned for him to do. To be safe as we can possibly be, talking to Josh he's a little stiff in his back muscles as you would imagine after the last start, and considering the roster situation with Cook it seems to all fall into place. Aaron can pitch Saturday and Josh just misses that start and comes back in his next start."
   120. Dan Posted: May 02, 2012 at 03:55 PM (#4121887)
Tonight's lineup:

SS Aviles
RF Sweeney
2B Pedroia
1B Gonzalez
DH Ortiz
LF Ross
C Saltalamacchia
3B Middlebrooks
CF Byrd

Record for longest last names of back to back hitters in a lineup?
   121. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:01 PM (#4121891)
And with Middlebrooks up, Iglesias is redundant, so Clayton Mortensen will come up for Iglesias. Mortensen's already on the 40 (and he's been pretty good in 10 innings in Pawtucket), so the Sox don't need to clear any space for him. When Cook comes up, they'll have to move someone.

This move also makes it seem pretty likely that Youks is headed for the DL. I guess probably Youks would be DL'd and Cook would take his place.
   122. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:06 PM (#4121897)
Clayton Mortensen will come up for Iglesias.


Woo-hoo! Mortensen could come in and walk the ballpark but he's got filthy stuff and I'm hoping he can be a swing and miss reliever. Even if he does the Scott Williamson memorial 3K/2BB 32 pitch inning I'm fine.
   123. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:06 PM (#4121898)
Why burn an option on Iglesias to begin with, then, if you're just gonna call up Middlebrooks?
   124. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:07 PM (#4121901)
The option on Iglesias was burned already, when he was sent to Pawtucket to start the season.
   125. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:07 PM (#4121902)
Even if he does the Scott Williamson memorial 3K/2BB 32 pitch inning I'm fine.


You say that now but I know your bladder is full and ready to burst at any minute during such an inning. ;)
   126. Nasty Nate Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:09 PM (#4121903)
Mortensen's career so far - 3 cups of coffee
   127. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:13 PM (#4121910)
You say that now but I know your bladder is full and ready to burst at any minute during such an inning. ;)


Yeah, cause the current collection of stiffs hasn't done that.

In fairness the bullpen has been pretty good since the Yankee game but I'm still not hopeful. The competition has a lot to do with that.
   128. jmurph Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:21 PM (#4121922)
From MLB Trade Rumors:

The Red Sox will sign Mark Prior, reports Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com (on Twitter). John Boggs & Associates represent Prior, who last pitched in the Major Leagues in 2006.

   129. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:22 PM (#4121925)
In fairness the bullpen has been pretty good since the Yankee game but I'm still not hopeful. The competition has a lot to do with that.


It's starting to feel like the ship is righting a bit, and not just because of the competition. I never felt like they were out of the game yesterday even when it was 5-1. I fully expected them to come back. That they didn't is just a sign that things are returning to normal, I think. 7-3 in last 10 and their run differential is back in positive territory (just barely).
   130. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:23 PM (#4121926)
The Red Sox will sign Mark Prior, reports Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com (on Twitter). John Boggs & Associates represent Prior, who last pitched in the Major Leagues in 2006.


What could go wrong?

Edit: I shouldn't have looked at his minor league stats because now I'm excited. ############ was striking out people at a ridiculous clip in 2011 and 2010. ####! Why'd you have to mention Prior?
   131. jmurph Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:26 PM (#4121931)
It's starting to feel like the ship is righting a bit, and not just because of the competition.


It does? A third of their starting lineup is on the DL (or heading there, with Youk), Beckett is skipping a start, and Buchholz forgot how to pitch.

I am excited to see Middlebrooks, on the other hand.
   132. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:30 PM (#4121938)
It does? A third of their starting lineup is on the DL (or heading there, with Youk), Beckett is skipping a start, and Buchholz forgot how to pitch.


They lost a game yesterday but it didn't feel like a crazy loss. The crazy, weird and interesting ways of losing seem to be less and less likely. Buchholz #### the bed the other night for one inning, but they stopped the bleeding. If that was the first week of the season, the bullpen would have lost the game by giving up double digit runs. They're not doing that anymore.
   133. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:32 PM (#4121939)
I say that Mark Prior and the Sox training staff is like the Ghostbusters crossing the stream, it's so crazy that it will work perfectly.
   134. Dale Sams Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:34 PM (#4121944)
SS Aviles
RF Sweeney
2B Pedroia
1B Gonzalez
DH Ortiz
LF Ross
C Saltalamacchia
3B Middlebrooks
CF Byrd


Only two of those guys were in the starting nine in 2010. Who the #### are these guys?

Lowrie went 3/4 today so far. As noted above, he's on his Lowrie tear...before he gets a Lowrie tear.

I just want him to hold on to the ASG so my prediction can come true.
   135. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 04:40 PM (#4121952)
Lowrie went 3/4 today so far. As noted above, he's on his Lowrie tear...before he gets a Lowrie tear.


I remember last year when MCoA posted on here about the .500 hitting shortstop dilemma. That was on April 18 of last year. Then he proceeded to hit .200-ish the rest of the way. That seems to be about par for Lowrie. Blazing hot for a month or so, then worse than mediocre for the rest of the time.
   136. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:11 PM (#4121984)
And Youkilis officially to the DL. I think that means the Sox start tonight with both Iglesias and Punto on the bench. Do you think Oakland will let us bat both of them, and the A's have to get them both out for it to count as one out? It seems only fair.
   137. karlmagnus Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:14 PM (#4121985)
Wally Pipp was a pretty decent first baseman for several years before Gehrig came along.

Just saying....
   138. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:16 PM (#4121986)
And Youkilis officially to the DL.


Hurt himself lifting the washing machine. Listen, this guy hasn't looked right since the year started. Why wait a month? He didn't look right in Detroit diving after line-drives. Did he just not say anything?
   139. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:17 PM (#4121988)
So the bench tonight is;

Jose Iglesias
Nick Punto
Darnell McDonald
Kelly Shoppach

That's moderately underwhelming.
   140. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:21 PM (#4121989)
Free, um, Daniel Nava?
   141. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:26 PM (#4121990)
I've been working Mortensen for a few days, Juan Carlos Linares is my next target. .362/.463/.580 on the year, .300/.432/.400 in the last ten days. He's doing it at Portland but the guy is 27 years old, if he isn't worth a look now then I'm not sure what purpose he serves.
   142. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:28 PM (#4121992)
That's moderately underwhelming.


What has it been prior to this? Slightly less than moderately underwhelming? The bench and bullpen are not two of Cherington's greatest accomplishments thus far.
   143. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:29 PM (#4121995)
What has it been prior to this? Slightly less than moderately underwhelming?


Aggressively mediocre.
   144. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:30 PM (#4121996)
He's doing it at Portland but the guy is 27 years old, if he isn't worth a look now then I'm not sure what purpose he serves.


Cuban defector so his age is a direct result of his not defecting when he was younger. He sucks, though. Look at his stats before this year.
   145. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:31 PM (#4121998)
Wally Pipp was a pretty decent first baseman for several years before Gehrig came along.

Just saying....


I'll give Karl credit here. I thought he'd go the "Youk's been a hell of a player for a long time, another great draft pick by the Duke" route but he took it in a different direction. Well done son.
   146. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:32 PM (#4122000)
Cuban defector so his age is a direct result of his not defecting when he was younger. He sucks, though. Look at his stats before this year.


I don't think he sucks. He defected in 2010 so throw that out and 2011 is 17 games. Go back and read some of the stories from last Spring Training (not mine, I was too busy praising Lackey), he was one of the high points.
   147. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:32 PM (#4122001)
Aggressively mediocre.


What did Nabokov write? "The great fraternity of C-minus, backbone of the nation, steadily scribbling on." I'm grading some exams on Hemingway now and I feel like they are resemble what the Sox bench would look like were it in essay form.
   148. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:33 PM (#4122002)
I'm grading some exams on Hemingway now and I feel like they are resemble what the Sox bench would look like were it in essay form.


That sounds horrifying.
   149. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:34 PM (#4122004)
I don't think he sucks. He defected in 2010 so throw that out and 2011 is 17 games. Go back and read some of the stories from last Spring Training (not mine, I was too busy praising Lackey), he was one of the high points.


Spring training stories are molehills that look an awful lot like mountains when you squint just right.
   150. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:36 PM (#4122005)
That sounds horrifying.


They are by turns inept, imprecise, brilliant, awkward, moving, illegible, unconvincing and absurd. And those are the good ones.
   151. Dan Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:41 PM (#4122008)
The Red Sox now have $78M of 2012 payroll on the DL.
   152. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:43 PM (#4122009)
The Red Sox now have $78M of 2012 payroll on the DL.


The new market inefficiency. Sox are gonna ride this horse to victory.
   153. karlmagnus Posted: May 02, 2012 at 05:59 PM (#4122015)
Given the Sox penchant for overpaying mediocrities to block their young players, it may indeed be a market inefficiency. Unless I'm missing someone only Beckett and Ellsbury of the $78 million are clearly better than freely available and younger alternatives.
   154. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 06:04 PM (#4122020)
Given the Sox penchant for overpaying mediocrities to block their young players, it may indeed be a market inefficiency. Unless I'm missing someone only Beckett and Ellsbury of the $78 million are clearly better than freely available and younger alternatives.


Good point. Now, who are you and what have you done with karlmagnus?

Edit: I would quibble with Youks a bit. It's not at all clear that the Sox have anyone better than him right now. Middlebrooks might be that guy in a year or two, but uninjured Youkilis is most likely a good deal better than WMB.
   155. Dan Posted: May 02, 2012 at 06:08 PM (#4122024)
That $78M figure includes Youkilis but not Beckett. The figure is something like 93 or 95M if they DL Beckett.
   156. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 06:10 PM (#4122026)
That $78M figure includes Youkilis but not Beckett. The figure is something like 93 or 95M if they DL Beckett.


How many MLB teams could you staff with $95M?
   157. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 02, 2012 at 10:35 PM (#4122233)
Well, that A's series was a bit of a kick in the nuts now, wasn't it?
   158. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 02, 2012 at 11:36 PM (#4122277)
I don't think this team is as good as last year's so i'm not as confident of a rebound but the parallel to last year's road trip is eerie;

Opening Road trip - 0-6 vs. 1-5
Home stand (includes rain out) - 5-4 (5-10) vs. 3-5 (4-10)
Road trip - 5-1 (10-11) vs. 6-1 (10-11)

The schedules diverged a bit here. Last year the Sox had three more in Baltimore where they went, you guessed it, 1-2 to drop to 11-13, just as this year's club has. Last year's club was uninspiring for about another week and a half dropping to 17-20 then they got rolling at a time when they might've cashed it in. They swept New York in the Bronx, won a makeup against Baltimore then swept two from Detroit at Fenway. With five tough games in six they went 6-0 to climb over .500 for good. A sweep at the hands of the WHite Sox came out of nowhere at the end of the month but June started and the Sox took off and weren't headed until September.

When I watch this team I feel like it's a .500 team going nowhere but they looked every bit as bad last year and they were fine. While this team probably comes up short versus last year offensively I think the rotation at least has to be viewed as an upgrade. Wherever you stand on Bard/Doubront they are big upgrades over Lackey and Wake/Miller/Matsuzaka a year ago and for all our ######## about the bullpen they have been cooking since that Yankee game. 0 for 13 w/RISP like they were tonight is a positive, not a negative, getting base runners in that frequency is going to lead to wins.

But I still feel a sense of unease about this team.
   159. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 03, 2012 at 12:09 AM (#4122286)
Here we come crazy amazing hot streak and unexplained September collapse!

Also, I'm reading Gertrude Stein at the moment, "Composition as Explanation." It couldn't be a better description of the similarity of this year's and last year's team.
   160. Dan Posted: May 03, 2012 at 12:13 AM (#4122287)
The thing is, the division in general is weaker this year. The Rays are a very good team, but they probably won't run away with the division while Longoria is on the shelf. Meanwhile the Yankees starting rotation is in shambles, Jose Bautista and Brett Lawrie are slow out of the gates for a Jays team with a shallow pitching staff, and the Orioles are still the Orioles.
   161. Dale Sams Posted: May 03, 2012 at 12:27 AM (#4122296)
Rays are 17-8, and 7 of their next 10 games are against Seattle, the A's and the O's.

It would help for the Sox to climb in front of .500 by then.
   162. Dan Posted: May 03, 2012 at 12:47 AM (#4122304)
I'm not trying to discredit the Rays; they definitely look like the favorites for the division right now. I was just saying that losing Longoria will probably mean the Red Sox and Yankees can stay in striking distance for the next month or so. But it won't really matter for the Sox if they can't pull things together for more than a 5 or 6 game stretch.
   163. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 03, 2012 at 01:17 AM (#4122311)
Rays are 17-8, and 7 of their next 10 games are against Seattle, the A's and the O's.

It would help for the Sox to climb in front of .500 by then.


The Rays are playing .680 baseball. They'd have to go 7-3 to maintain that winning percentage. What are the odds that they'll be at or above .680 at the end of that 10-game stretch? 20%?

I'm a procrastinator so I'm happy if the Sox reel off a stretch of say 80-0 baseball in the final 80 games of the season, and go, say 15-67 for the first 82 games.
   164. Dale Sams Posted: May 03, 2012 at 01:25 AM (#4122314)
Manual managed to give up 5 runs in the bottom of the eighth, and a walk-off to Chipper Jones tonight without letting his best reliever throw a pitch.
   165. Textbook Editor Posted: May 03, 2012 at 01:32 AM (#4122316)
Manual managed to give up 5 runs in the bottom of the eighth, and a walk-off to Chipper Jones tonight without letting his best reliever throw a pitch.


Yup.

In fairness, Papelbon had pitched 2 days in a row and 3 out of 4 days, so it's entirely likely he wasn't available, and even if he was, you can certainly see where most managers (given that usage) would have reserved him strictly for a save situation.


   166. Dale Sams Posted: May 03, 2012 at 01:48 AM (#4122320)
Yeah, I guess i can see that. Tito would have done his best to stay away under those circumstances.
   167. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: May 03, 2012 at 02:07 AM (#4122325)
Yeah, I guess i can see that. Tito would have done his best to stay away under those circumstances.


That's the hidden strength of this Sox team. They never have to worry about using the closer for a third straight day.

   168. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 03, 2012 at 09:53 AM (#4122395)
That's the hidden strength of this Sox team. They never have to worry about using the closer for a third straight day.


Channeling Sons of Sam Horn posters everywhere: Hell, they never have to worry about using their best reliever! Bobby is the AntiChrist!!!111!!11
   169. Nasty Nate Posted: May 03, 2012 at 10:24 AM (#4122421)
Manual managed to give up 5 runs in the bottom of the eighth, and a walk-off to Chipper Jones tonight without letting his best reliever throw a pitch.


I think that's at least the 3rd extra-inning game that the Phillies have lost this season w/o using Papelbon. This one made sense, for the reason T-Editor points out and also because the Phils had used a lot of relievers already in the game.
   170. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: May 03, 2012 at 12:48 PM (#4122571)
I know this team is wobbling around .500 right now, but if the Red Sox are able to stay in the playoff chase while introducing two young starting pitchers successfully into the rotation, and integrating their next third baseman (let's face it Youk isn't going to be 100% healthy at any point this season, and then they'll decline the 2013 option) into the lineup, I'm pretty happy. All while Crawford and Ellsbury are out for extended periods of time?

I look at the 2012 Red Sox, if they do this correctly, as a little bit like the New England Patriots' team that lost Brady in Week 1. They were able to go 11-5, compete for a playoff spot (indeed, the best record in NFL history not to make the playoffs), and then flip their backup QB for the first pick of the second round that spring. Jerrod Mayo became the best defensive rookie in the league that season, etc. Nobody talks about that season as an "off season" in a decade of historic performance, but we all knew after Week 1 that this team was not going to the Super Bowl. We were able to enjoy the season because the team got to try players and things that they normally could not try, while still being competitive for a playoff spot.

Doubront and Bard having good years in the rotation? Middlebrooks in the lineup? Crawford coming back in the summer and performing well? Iglesias gets to play a lot by the end of the season? Lavarnway gets at bats as opportunities arise? Tazawa gets meaningful innings? If we're not going to win the Wold Series this year, than let's see stuff like this in 2012...
   171. karlmagnus Posted: May 03, 2012 at 12:54 PM (#4122579)
My feeling exactly. If Middlebrooks pans out, he will be the first Sox position player to do so since Ellsbury in 2007 (Buchholz is more recent, otherwise the pitchers date back that far too.). That's a big part of the reason the last couple of years have been so dreary -- lots of aging mediocrities, money not used to acquire superstar talent and very little new blood.
   172. Nasty Nate Posted: May 03, 2012 at 01:10 PM (#4122589)
I bet that the Sox will exercise the Youk option...

...lots of aging mediocrities, money not used to acquire superstar talent and very little new blood.


Is this also from the parallel universe where John Henry's hedge fund caused the Sox to become a low payroll team? or is it some 3rd universe?
   173. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 03, 2012 at 01:27 PM (#4122604)
I bet that the Sox will exercise the Youk option...


I think that's up in the air. If Ortiz has a big year (and he's started on his way) and Middlebrooks shows he is ready would you give Youk $13 plus $4-5 million for Cody Ross to DH or simply give Ortiz the $15 million qualifying offer that would guarantee draft pick compensation and throw Middlebrooks into the lineup everyday?

Lot of "ifs" there but I think on May 3rd it's at least as possible that the Sox will view not picking up the option as the right call.
   174. Nasty Nate Posted: May 03, 2012 at 01:50 PM (#4122630)
Lot of "ifs" there but I think on May 3rd it's at least as possible that the Sox will view not picking up the option as the right call.


Oh, definitely. But if I had to predict either at this moment, I would predict that they pick up the option. Youk also won't have 5-and-10 rights, so they could trade him.
   175. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 04, 2012 at 09:20 AM (#4123301)
I just want to note that Bobby Valentine stopped having Red Sox pitchers shag fly balls during BP this year. Given that Mo has been doing this his whole career I think we can chalk the injury up to freak occurrence but can you imagine the reaction if Jon Lester had wrecked his knee shagging balls. Valentine would have been eviscerated (and I don't mean in the media sense, I mean people would have gone to Fenway and carved him up).
   176. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: May 04, 2012 at 09:26 AM (#4123308)
Channeling Sons of Sam Horn posters everywhere: Hell, they never have to worry about using their best reliever! Bobby is the AntiChrist!!!111!!11


Lighten up Piehole.

   177. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 04, 2012 at 10:05 AM (#4123342)
Lighten up Piehole.


Have you been over there lately? I didn't mean you, in particular. I don't even know if you post over there. I had one of my posts over there nuked because I questioned the seriousness of the "Blaming Bobby" discussion and a dope sent me a bullying post about it.
   178. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: May 04, 2012 at 10:21 AM (#4123358)
Have you been over there lately? I didn't mean you, in particular. I don't even know if you post over there. I had one of my posts over there nuked because I questioned the seriousness of the "Blaming Bobby" discussion and a dope sent me a bullying post about it.


No, I don't go over there. And while I didn't like the Bobby V hire, I think the histrionics over him through a couple dozen games are absurd, and have said so elsewhere.
   179. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 04, 2012 at 10:44 AM (#4123380)
No, I don't go over there. And while I didn't like the Bobby V hire, I think the histrionics over him through a couple dozen games are absurd, and have said so elsewhere.


Exactly. We're on the same page. I really was just channeling SoSH posters (and not you). Your name, unfortunately, contained SoSH so it looked like it was directed at you. It was not.
   180. ellsbury my heart at wounded knee Posted: May 04, 2012 at 05:26 PM (#4123685)
   181. Dan Posted: May 04, 2012 at 11:57 PM (#4123957)
So now this team is relying on Aaron Cook to be the stopper and halt this 3 game skid, I guess. Good luck with that.
   182. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:07 AM (#4123963)
Pathetic. 3 for 35 in the last 3 games with RISP according to the Globe.
   183. Answer Guy Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:36 AM (#4123971)
Pathetic. 3 for 35 in the last 3 games with RISP according to the Globe.


That'll make any team look bad. But some of this is the presence of either marginal major leaguers or role players who are pressed into full-time duty in the lineup.
   184. Answer Guy Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:40 AM (#4123973)
Doubront and Bard having good years in the rotation? Middlebrooks in the lineup? Crawford coming back in the summer and performing well? Iglesias gets to play a lot by the end of the season? Lavarnway gets at bats as opportunities arise? Tazawa gets meaningful innings? If we're not going to win the Wold Series this year, than let's see stuff like this in 2012...


I think that's probably the direction to go in this season if things continue to look this bleak for another month or so. See what they've got on the farm. The bad news is that there's almost no trade bait on this team - almost no one on the roster who isn't an obvious keeper has any real trade value.
   185. Mattbert Posted: May 05, 2012 at 08:56 AM (#4124025)
In the least surprising news of the morning, Josh Beckett thinks maybe it wasn't such a good idea to pitch hurt last time out. But he's sure he'll be fine for his next start! No worries!
   186. Biff, highly-regarded young guy Posted: May 05, 2012 at 09:10 AM (#4124031)
For whatever reason, yesterday's game was the game that convinced me they suck this year.
   187. karlmagnus Posted: May 05, 2012 at 10:21 AM (#4124073)
Yesterday's game was the one that convinced me we are finally getting a fair test of Duquette vs. Theo.

Baltimore: mid-market team with lousy record taken over by Duquette and zooming ahead, with lots of young players breaking out

Boston: team full of overpaid aging mediocrities on long-term contracts, with no new homegrown talent since 2007, the little that emerged all having been traded away.

It is an absolute TRAVESTY that Duquette was out of a job for a decade, while Theo is still regarded as god-like (though diminishingly so.)
   188. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 05, 2012 at 10:32 AM (#4124079)
Wait Karl, I'm confused, if Theo was solely the beneficiary of the talent that Duquette left behind isn't Duquette with the Orioles simply a beneficiary of the talent the previous GM left behind?
   189. karlmagnus Posted: May 05, 2012 at 10:59 AM (#4124095)
Nice try, with some modest validity. The previous Baltimore GM had actually been moving in the right direction for a couple of years -- I'm a great fan of Buck Showalter, for example and Wieters is genuinely worth cheering for. And Ortiz and Mueller, at least, were excellent early Theo moves. But the best Boston Pythag record was achieved in 2002, with an entirely Theo-less team (that got very unlucky with Tony Clark, whose 47 OPS+ was way out of line with his career.)

I would strongly favor using this year as a rebuilding year, playing the kids and using eg Youkilis to get some more young talent. Especially after 2007 Theo's moves were very damaging -- we might well have won again in 2008 if he hadn't traded Manny, for example. I can forgive him for Crawford,other than that he overpaid, and still believe AGon will be fine -- but Cameron, Scutaro, Lugo, Lackey, Beltre (you have to subtract Ellsbury's potential 2010 production from what Beltre gave us) etc. were all expensive aging mediocrities. And I moderately regret Reddick and strongly regret Lowrie, Hanley Ramirez, Anibal Sanchez and Justin Masterson. (I don't regret Bronson Arroyo much, but recognize that I should.)

Baltimore will no doubt fall back to earth -- but the AL East now has 5 competitive teams, and a Duquette-run Baltimore should get at least a Wild Card or two.
   190. Nasty Nate Posted: May 05, 2012 at 11:23 AM (#4124104)
I still get a tingly feeling when I think about that famous picture of Johnny Pesky with tears of joy running down his face after the Sox compiled that pythag record in 2002
   191. tfbg9 Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:24 PM (#4124128)
Why, km, lump Beltre and to a lesser extent Scutaro, with Lackey, Cameron, et al?

Good sarcasm there NN, I snickered.
   192. toratoratora Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:39 PM (#4124139)
I can forgive him for Crawford


Which right there makes you a better man than me.

Theo was a good bargain basement shopper...but my stars, his free agent signings, especially the big name/big dollar ones, were beyond awful.Dice-K, Lackey, Crawford, Lugo, disasters all.

Cripes-I can't tell you how much I wish the Sox had ponied up a few more million for Matt Holliday and avoided the whole Crawford situation in the first place.
   193. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:40 PM (#4124140)
Anybody got any blog content ideas? I got nothin' right now, but I'd like to get something up this weekend.
   194. Dan Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:42 PM (#4124142)
FOr some reason, Valentine changed the lineup at the last minute, sitting Middlebrooks to play Punto and bat Punto leadoff.

What the #### is wrong with this guy? He's definitely not the intelligent manager with a good tactical acumen that was advertised. The sooner he's out of this job, the better off we'll all be. Last night he PH Salty for Shoppach AGAINST A LHP! Is he just making moves with no actual thought behind them? Does he even look at splits or scouting reports or anything or is he just pulling this all out of his ass?
   195. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:53 PM (#4124146)
Anybody got any blog content ideas? I got nothin' right now, but I'd like to get something up this weekend.


I feel like there is something to be done on how the Sox can/should fix this. I have been thinking about it since the Wednesday loss but I can't put it together in my mind.

They're a .500 PR team with obvious injury issues. I've mentioned before the parallels to last year (same record still) and the rational portion of my brain feels like it is too early to write them off but this feels different. Lester in particular is causing me great concern but I don't know if it's just a usual rough stretch for a pitcher or something more.

Tl;dr - nope, I got nothin'
   196. RB in NYC (Now Semi-Retired from BBTF) Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:55 PM (#4124147)
FOr some reason, Valentine changed the lineup at the last minute, sitting Middlebrooks to play Punto and bat Punto leadoff.
According to Peter Abe, Middlebrooks has a tight hammy. Whatever you think of Bobby V., like virtually every manager, I doubt he would make a last-minute change like that without having his hand forced.

Incidentally, you couldn't get me to play third base for the Red Sox for love or money. Apparently it's a death trap over there.
   197. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: May 05, 2012 at 12:58 PM (#4124150)
My vague Bobby V evaluation so far is that he's more old-school than we expected. When you get old, even if you were a maverick in your middle age, you tend to be a bit old school. So he plays some hunches, he has a pretty traditional idea of lineup construction, he tends to stick with a pitcher who's going well regardless of pitch count, he keeps his bench active with regular starts, plus pinch-hitting and platoons.
   198. Dan Posted: May 05, 2012 at 01:08 PM (#4124156)
Cook is going to get lit up.
   199. The Mohole* of David Wells (* - Piehole) Posted: May 05, 2012 at 01:18 PM (#4124162)
Blog post idea: a minor league blog post looking at promotions, projections, pre-season rankings, how the ranked (top 100) Sox prospects compare to other teams' ranked (top 100) prospects in their immediate ranking neighborhood as established by gurus before the season started, etc.
   200. karlmagnus Posted: May 05, 2012 at 01:23 PM (#4124165)
Bump
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