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Why? So they can lose 3 ALDS games and go home? This game is meaningless. There's no reason to risk one of your brightest young stars in a desperation move.
That said, I don't have any good ideas myself about what the Red Sox should do if Lester can't give them the seven good innings they need. Buchholz is one of several not very good options. I'm just saying I don't know if I could watch if he came into the game.
No, that's the thing. It wouldn't be. The city of Boston is NOT excited about this team. This is not a scrappy set of underdogs happy to make the playoffs. This is a should-be-great team that is choking their way into the playoffs. If they make it, they're going to lose in 3 games. 4 if they're lucky.
Buchholz saving a playoff spot won't be a thing of legend, it'll be a "hey, remember that?" moment.
Because the game becomes VERY meaningful if they use Buchholz. And I'm registering my small opinion that if they do, I'll be disappointed in the team management.
We're likely going to need good outings from Albers and Morales, who haven't pitched since Sunday.
Beating the #### out of Simon (a righty, thank god) would of course be very helpful.
Edit: Let's hope Jacoby Yazbury continues to do his .373/.417/.682 September thing.
Edit2: And yes I realize that as great as Els has been, Yaz's September 1967 (.417/.504/.760) still makes it look almost puny.
I don't know if using Buchholz would be a good strategy, but I do know one thing. I want the Boston Red Sox to win tonight's game because I am a fan of the Boston Red Sox and I expect the Boston Red Sox to try to win the game.
I think Dubront could provide 1+
I'd hate to see it, but Albers could go 1.
Bard's probably good for 1.
Papelbon good for 1.
If Lester can't go 4-5 without shitting the bed, we're likely done for anyway, so there's no real need to push things with Buchholz tonight, not when I think you could piece things together otherwise.
Where it becomes interesting is if there's a Game 163 and basically all of your options are short-rest/bad starters who presumably would be on very short leashes... Then maybe you use him. But in reality, he can probably only go 1 inning and you ould never want to bring him in with runners on base, so... I am guessing the situation just won't come up where it's worth the risk.
My preference is that they not do risky things to try to win, yes.
I agree with TE except about Aceves, I can't imagine he has anything in the tank right now. I also agree that Franklin Morales might be a very important guy tonight.
I still really want this team to make the playoffs. If they make the playoffs it's "disappointing season, lousy finish, but still gave themselves a shot." If they miss it's "epic collapse."
The Yankees that have lost three in a row to Tampa and turned a bases loaded, no out situation into a goose egg last night?
Not loving them so much.
Rooting my ass off for them though.
I'm not a sox fan, so my opinion is different about this. The last few days watching them, they all collectively have a huge case of the tight ass. The team clearly brought the situation upon themselves, but I really do think the pressure is getting to them. Trying not to pull off the biggest chock job ever is a difficult thought to play well. I can see them making the postseason, taking a deep breath, and then just playing baseball. Now they obviously have serious start pitching problems to overcome, and that might be too much for them no matter how much better they end up playing with that gorilla off their backs.
I hate the Yankees. I hope they lose today.
All along I've felt like your first sentence was going to be true. Having this come down to the final day (plus one potentially) I think they are toast. Bard is cooked and Papelbon is pretty well toasted too. Beckett and Lester aren't right, I just don't see the pitching there.
But I REALLY want them to have that chance. I'd rather get swept in the LDS then not make it.
Supposedly they are pursuing Bruce Chen and Ted Lilly for tomorrow's possible game.
For tonight, the only reliever I think who isn't gassed and I have a shred of confidence in is, gulp, Franklin Morales. He was an absolute monster in extras the other night, and while his control isn't great he gets the Ks.
Seriously? Seriously?
I think my head will explode if Bruce Chen starts a Game 163 for the Red Sox.
Why on earth would you trade Chen or Lily to the Red Sox for anything short of a king's ransom?
Because, despite this mess, the Sox ain't dumb. I think Theo is smart enough to be realistic about what he's getting in Chen/Lilly.
Morales should be able to do more than an inning. I think he's first up out of the pen tonight.
There may be some logic to it. For example, might the Rangers trade someone like Colby Lewis (or whoever their 5th starter is) to the Sox in hopes that he knocks out the Rays then the Sox make Lewis a PTBNL and return him to the Rangers for next year . This example doesn't work great (Lewis ain't gettin' traded) but it is something to be avoided.
I get that there are no good options for tomorrow, so maybe you roll the dice, but man... this would be one of the loopiest things I can ever recall happening.
That situation can exist throughout September. If Game 163 is a regular season game, regular season rules need apply (and do). I just think the cries of the "unfairness" will be deafening if it happens, and MLB will react with a dumbass solution.
Honestly, if it were to happen, I'd rather see the Red Sox acquire someone today for tonight's game, and have Lester on full rest tomorrow.
I know it won't help to feel this way should we make the ALDS, but right now I want Lester facing a weaker lineup, regardless of the rest. Now... maybe the weaker lineup isn't the O's...
Lily would be interesting solely because it's so out of left field that you'd think the Rays would have little advance scouting on him, which might be an advantage--I have no idea.
Go away.
You're familiar with people, aren't you? Unfairness need not be present for people to carp about it.
You don't think the evil moneybag Red Sox acquiring a starting pitcher at the last minute to pitch in a postseason game (forget that it isn't, a lot of fans likely don't realize it's part of the regular season) wouldn't get people howling.
If it's permitted and they think the price is worth paying, then good for them for thinking outside the box.
Ingrate.
Why on earth would Tampa have engaged in blocking maneuevers on Ted Lilly or Chris Capuano when those guys were put on waivers? The Rays weren't in a race at the time.
As for who makes the rules, if enough outrage is worked up over it, Bud will respond with a declaration that all future one-game playoffs are part of the postseason. Problem solved with mindless solution.
Right. So every team said "I'm fine with this guy going elsewhere."
Because it would keep them from being traded to an opponent.
Why would they care about Ted Lilly being traded to an opponent?
Yes, there are times when adherence to the gentleman's agreement bites a team in the ass. But, in this instance, you're basically proposing dickishness for dickishness' sake.
FTR, is the Randy Myers' scenario still possible. If the Rays put a waiver claim in on a guy they don't want, can they be stuck with him? If so, that would be the ultimate reason not to do what Fly's advocating.
Really?
Yes, really. Why would the Tampa Bay Rays, out of the playoff picture as far as they were concerned, care about some other undefined team making a possibly pointless or bad deal for a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers?
Chen doesn't have that issue, but I can't imagine anyone saw him as a difference maker worth blocking, even if they were paying attention with an eye toward what at the time they had to see as a very improbable playoff run.
Yes. The Waiver system.
this is just not true - sadly
So then, what if they needed a starting pitcher for the final game? If teams routinely blocked these types of moves just to block, then the Rays couldn't avail themselves of a last-minute Lilly.
The gentleman's agreement exists because it works to a team's benefit as much to its detriment. There was no specific reason for the Rays to put in a waiver claim on Lilly (or Capuano or any of the hundreds of other players when they were initially put through). That's why they don't do it.*
And I'm not claiming that there would be a legitimate grievance to the Sox acquiring a starter for Game 163. In fact, I said just the opposite. I just don't think that the maneuver is perfectly reasonable would matter to a large swath of onlookers.
* And if the Myers situation still exists, that's an even bigger reason.
90 IP, 97 Hs, 64 Ks, 30 BBs, 4.90 ERA, .278/.340/.484 slash line.
But those 15 starts are really bifurcated:
In six of his starts, he's pitched at least 7 innings, giving up 3 or fewer runs.
In seven other starts, he's gone 5 innings or less, usually giving up 4 or more runs.
There aren't really many examples of a guy who'll go out and give you, say, 6 innings, 4 ER.
Look, if the Red Sox go OFF with the bats, and are up 9-1 after 3 innings, then the bullpen usage issues begin melting away very quickly. In that scenario, I'd probably let Lester throw no more than about 85 pitches, then I'd go to Albers and Morales, and see if I can get two innings out those two. Then, if you have a big lead, you can either go Doubront and see if he can finish up the game, or try out Buchholz and let him throw 30 pitches.
As a Red Sox fan, I really want to try to avoid using Aceves, Bard, and Papelbon. Because I don't think Lester is going to give us 8 innings, I don't know how else you can avoid using these three relievers unless the Sox score lots of runs...which they could totally do.
Isn't there some kid on a farm in Iowa, or the Dominican Republic?
Heck, let then all warm up, Francona can pick which one to sign and start in the biggest game of the season.
Screw that, let him go as long as possible. Do NOT go looking for the guy who doesn't have it.
Thanks for bringing back a good memory. When I was 10 my little league team was in this same spot. We won a game Saturday morning then had to play a one game playoff that afternoon. Because of the league's rules on pitcher usage we were pretty much out of pitchers. I'll never forget me (I was a catcher, hadn't pitched all year) and two other kids who hadn't pitched either warming up side by side while our coaches watched and eventually decided on letting me pitch.
To this day I remember it well, struck out 4, walked 1 and won the game 5-4 because my buddy Scott made a sliding catch in the outfield to retire the best hitter in the league in the last inning and jumped into my father's arms in joy after the final out. As good a baseball memory as I ever had.
Huge (6'8 260+) wild *righty* with great stuff, fastball hit 98MPH this year and a big knuckle-curve that looks like it's dropping down from 10 feet. He has mechanical issues because of his size but he's been very hard to hit at every level. He made his big league debut a couple of weeks back and was so geeked (he's from New York) that he couldn't throw the ball within a foot of the plate. I think he'll do better tonight.
Ed: starting at catcher, batting 5th.
I've probably shared this previously but a friend and I were both down on Saltalamacchia to start the year. Those rare times he did something well we would immediately text one another SALTY!!! For amusement purposes it became a bit of a race (lending to a funny moment where we texted each other while sitting next to each other in Fenway).
Anyway, we spent several minutes last night working this out and setttled on LAVVY!!! as the acceptable nickname.
Pedroia 2B
Ortiz DH
Gonzalez 1B
Lavarnway C
Drew RF
Scutaro SS
Crawford LF
Aviles 3B
Basically what you'd expect, plus the boorish one earning another go.
Larvae is a much better knickname.
To this day I remember it well, struck out 4, walked 1 and won the game 5-4 because my buddy Scott made a sliding catch in the outfield to retire the best hitter in the league in the last inning and jumped into my father's arms in joy after the final out. As good a baseball memory as I ever had.
How soon can you get to Tampa?
EDIT: In Olde Primer, that would have been posted by Theo Epstein.
Drew's defense is vastly better than Reddick's so I'm hardly surprised they're going with JD.
His BABIP this year (469 PA) is .235; going into the year (510 PA), it was .240.
As far as you can tell, how much of that is a fluke? (As a minor leaguer, his BABIPs were low, but not inordinately so - but that was some time back.)
I have no idea if it's the right call, but I think Francona is shuffling players with a goal toward shaking things up, and that's can't be an entirely bad thing.
Heck, I pitched in college and I live ten minutes from the Trop. Anyone got Theo's number? I'll suit up.
Was he banned?
This isn't really adjusted for context. Salty only had two other players to draw a fellow many-lettered teammate from, whereas Billy V. had a full staff from which to pick. In terms of Adjusted Positional CLitS (Combined Letters in their Surnames), SaltyLavvy can't be touched.
Sorry that I missed my cue. I was taking a nap. Drew really hasn't done anything in the games they've started him in, and has even looked rusty on defense. Burying Reddick due to one error is stupid. Drew's gone .273/.273/.273. Hooray. A huge upgrade to Reddick's "nothing down the stretch" in September posting a 271/.306/.407 line.
I think we deserve an opportunity to never have to watch you pitch again, Tim.
The timing for talking about personal stats and records is incredibly poor too.
maybe that hasn't helped.
Yeah, talk about tacky. Using the fans as an excuse? Ugh. It's a little surprising, since it seems like he's always been a good team guy. I hope his face was wincing in regret the moment those words left his mouth.
That is indeed surprising. I never thought of Wakefield as a jackass.
They might bring him back but based on his play this year, he doesn't deserve to.
Oh good lord. Some writer looks over and notices, 'hey, this might be Wakefield's last game. I should see if he's coming back.'
Wake answers, in a mildly awkward way, that he'd like to come back to the team he's spent 16 years with, a team that he clearly loves playing for about as much as anyone has since Pesky. That's it. You'd have to have spent the last three months ######## about his every appearance to think this is remotely meaningful.
Well, there you go.
Going to be an interesting offseason for the Sox. Meanwhile, I'll be rooting for the Rays to go all the way.
Milwaukee
Texas
Detroit
Arizona
Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
St. Louis
New York
IT WAS ####### PAPELBON! THE OVERPRICED ##########!
DO NOT ####### RE-SIGN HIM!
I don't feel like having a fight right now but I think we have to be very careful how they move forward here. It may be time to let him go but at the same time tonight was a microcosm of why he shouldn't go, they left 11 men on base and he managed this game exactly how you'd want it to be managed but his star closer blew it.
My gut is he probably should go. Too many little things that Mikael has chronicled in terms of conditioning and fundamental mistakes are what get me. At the same time, I don't think it's a slam dunk.
Part of me wants to see him go to not hear anymore ######## about the guy. Two World Series, a third ALCS berth, some of the most dramatic and exciting moments of my life happened on his watch and people act like he's a ####### moron. I can understand being upset with some of the moves, I can understand wanting him gone, but the venom just perplexes me. But people feel how they feel, I realize that not everyone agrees with me.
So what are the ####### playoff odds now? #### ############# worthless ####-faced ######## anal ####### slutbags.
EDIT: I hope Long John is joking.
The first round of blame has to go to the offense/Bogar for failing to score in the eighth and ninth. Then Papelbon.
Milwaukee (I'm a groomsman in a Brewer's fan's wedding)
Tampa (They deserve it)
St. Louis (Good friends with a St. Louis fan)
Texas (They deserve it)
Detroit (They deserve it)
Arizona (Nothing against them but they've won more recently than all of the above but St. Louis)
Philly (#### them)
Yankees (If it's Phillies/Yankees I'm hoping Al Qaeda intervenes with a nuke)
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