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1. Joel W Posted: June 29, 2010 at 06:20 PM (#3574362)Pedroia probably about 1.5. Victor probably about .5? Buch doesn't sound like he'll miss much time. So 2 wins? 2.5? Thoughts?
Out of curiosity, how does this compare to other teams over that stretch, and to the league as a whole?
2009: 79%, 72% (the year of Smoltz)
2008: 74%, 83%
2007: 84%, 86%
2006: 78%, 66%
So, stay healthy, win Title?
BTW, we're totally screwed.
There is no chance Lackey allows fewer than 4 runs tonight.
Did you not see him run down the line in Colo.? Now imagine that in LF.
I wish the 2004 figures were there. Depends on how you figure things, but once Arroyo was put in the rotation, there was one missed start, a double header I believe. Plus, once the 3b/1b/dh positions were worked out, I don't think there were a lot of missed starts outside of Nomar.
That makes me think that the whole "expected" players is misleading. What if a team identifies a mistake and replaces him? Also, you are looking at a point where the two, possibly three, important injuries have not affected the figures. The percentages will look a lot different in a month.
And of course he has that shiny 8-3 record! On his way to the Cy!
disagree. lowell used to be a good 3b, but the current version is no better depth than hermida, varitek, or bill hall. the problem is that the backups to the backups got hurt. shifting ells to center was the backup plan there and hermida was the backup at the corners. as it turned out, mcdonald, hall, and nava have actually been pretty damn good 6th, 7th, and 8th outfielders. really, this team had really good depth everywhere and they've really had to use it.
If that were at ALL a consideration for the Sox, they'd put Lowell at 1B and have Youk play some LF again, I'm sure.
Well, there's some chance.
Trot was out most of the year IIRC, with Gabe Kapler getting the lion's share of his PA's.
I was thinking that they might try that when they had to dig all the way down to Nava. I figured they didn't want to take Youk's glove off first.
2009: 79%, 72% (the year of Smoltz)
2008: 74%, 83%
2007: 84%, 86%
2006: 78%, 66%
2005: 81%, 85%
2004: 74%, 81%
2003: 79%, 86%
2003 is kind of impossible to run the numbers on, with the 1B/3B/DH carousel Theo constructed, but basically that team stayed very healthy all year, and the one guy who did get injured (Jeremy Giambi), well, no one really missed him for some reason. In 2004, not only were Nomar and Trot injured most of the year, but Bill Mueller also missed 40 games. For the pitching that year, they had 97% of their starts from the same five pitchers, but Kim was the projected #5 starter coming into the season, so I counted Arroyo's starts among the backups. (Single starts were also taken by Abe Alvarez and Pedro Astacio.)
[/grasping at straws]
I was just thinking of this today...who the hell are these guys and can I have my proper team back?
The pen, Phil....it's all about the pen now. Did I see MDC throw 12 pitches and give up 5 runs...how is that even possible?
Bowden can get creamed with the best of them as well.
If they're still within 4-5 games on July 29 our chances are decent....
Varitek Hurt, We Trade for Kevin Friggin Cash
When do the ####### locusts start?
What is the deal with Kevin Cash? It's like the Red Sox never miss an opportunity to acquire him. Is he married to Larry Lucchino's daughter or something?
Supposedly Cash is a good defensive catcher.
It seems to be almost against the laws of physics that all 4 catchers at the ML and AAA level should be on the DL at the same time.
Really, honestly, I fully expect someone to be hit with a falling piano next.
Lifetime slash stats of .188/,250./.291 Bleh.
Kevin Cash
Gack! He pitched an inning for Houston this year? Maybe he's also slated to replace MDC's innings as well?
Gustavo "Seriously, no relation. I'm not kidding dammit" Molina.
Wow, he hasn't played since 2007. Time flies.
quite like this
Just noticed this - http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2010/07/dbacks-called-red-sox-about-chris-snyder.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+MlbTradeRumors+(MLB+Trade+Rumors) according to Gammons the D-Backs called the Sox about Snyder. I didn't realize how much he cost - $2.4m left this season and $5.75 next year. Yikes.
John Buck and Vernon Wells for a bag of balls if the Sox pick up the whole contract? It's just John Henry's money!! who cares??
I'm just thinking outside the box here...I'm sure the Sox will trade some crap for one of the Used To Be Uber Rangers Catchers that RSN wanted to trade Clay Buchholz for.
I had no idea Napoli was playing 1B. That's what I get for skipping fantasy this year.
How about we trade them Lowell then!
2009 was a year when by this point in the season we had seen:
Papi hit his 2nd HR in June
Ellsbury was demoted from the leadoff spot after losing 10 of 17 in May due to a 335 OBP
Youkilis missing 2 1/2 weeks with Jeff Bailey as his replacement
Nick Green as SS due to injuries to Lugo and Lowrie
Daisuke on DL and Justin Masterson and Brad Penny were the 4th and 5th starters
Mike Lowell struggling in June before going on the DL end of June
OF/1B backups Mark Kotsay/Van Every/Rocco Baldelli on DL
Jason Varitek beginning his offensive slide in June with George Kottaras as backup
I actually like the Red Sox position better this year. Jacoby, Hermida and Beckett and V-Mart should be back before August. Pedroia and Tek in August.
The Yankees were beat up as well. Is seem to remember playing them in NY when they were without Swisher, Johnson, Granderson and Posada and without Aceves and Park. Injuries happen.
Red Sox now 5-1 w/o Pedroia (facing the slumping Rays/Orioles and Blue Jays before the ASB is huge)
Eric Van is clearly partisan to the Red Sox. But the point is that he and BP arrived at the same conclusion using different methods and different measurements.
But its still nuts. The Soz do not have a better chace than the Yanks or Devil Dogs
to take the East, nor make the playoffs. Not with like 8 guys on the DL.
BTW, Eic Van...what?
Wait, the Yankees had to get by without Park? How did they do that? Seriously, if you're saying "injuries happen" as a response to what is going on with the Red Sox right now, it's hard to take that seriously.
Everyone has injuries. The 2010 Red Sox have more injuries than most.
Still, the Yankees is getting a 140+ WRC+ from... BRETT GARDNER (and that was before Wise gifted him a inside the parker today), the guy who is suppose to be nothing in comparason to Jacoby the almighty Ellsbury, who as of now has a wRC+ half of Brett Gardner. YIKES.
The fact remains that despite whatever injury they're getting the only semi incompetent bat that has been getting playing time is Cervelli, and he isn't hitting particularly bad as far as a catcher goes either (94 WRC+ overall), not to meantion have been amazingly clutch in limited samples. Teix is still trying to fight out of a deep hole and Jeter / A-rod /Granderson have been meh (relative to their talent levels) but Cano / Posada (when in the lineup) / Gardner / Thames / Swisher are all hitting out of their minds. with Cano putting up a very legitimate MVP season so far. Posada continue to make us realize how damn good of a hitter he really is, Swisher continue to make the white sox look like idiots and Gardner simply playing out of anyone's wildest imagination.
Oh right, and so far only 2 start have not been started by their 5 main starter. *2*
Which means he blew out his achilles for sure:
(from SOSH)
SS Scutaro
CF Patterson
DH Ortiz
1B Romero (Right. Who?)
3B Beltre
RF Drew
LF Nava
2B Hall
C Cash (or PH Darnell McDonald)
Actually, this lineup just makes me feel bad for Astros fans. Never mind.
Yeah, I don't understand pinch-running with Cameron. To me that's a classic overthink moment. Even a depleted Cameron *has* to be better against his own kind than a kid with a .668 career minor-league OPS.
"Oh noes!~If we get closer to winning the game we would be in a tight spot...so let's lessen the odds of getting closer to winning the game"
And when was Cam going to steal...?
It's gotten to the point where taking Orioles castoffs might not be a bad idea.
Honestly - Romero is probably something like a .210/.250/.270 major league hitter - you may as well leave Cash in there at that point.
Too bad the All-Star break isn't a month or something.
Then don't pinch-run with Cameron. If your best hope for Romero was for him to "dink one in", Cameron's not going to score from first OR second. Duh.
It's really four catchers, the two MLB catchers AND both catchers at Pawtucket are on the DL too.
The amount of energy being put into the "Niuman Romero or Mike Cameron" decision intrigues me. Really, this is where people want to focus their energy? Mike Cameron has a sub-.600 OPS against RHP this year. It's not like Tito left the 2007 version of David Ortiz on the bench to let Romero bat. Did you really want to see Cameron strike out on a slider in the dirt? Would that have made you feel better.
Their top two AAA catchers are also down. How can an organization lose their top four catchers at the same time?
Anyway, I'm not trying to make some kind of "the Red Sxox would be better than the Yankees if blah blah blah" argument or anything like that - just making the point that it's really gotten out of hand - you know, in case that wasn't totally obvious already.
Yes.*
It just is a recurring Tampa thing for me. Except usually it's the best relievers Tito leaves on the bench for a situation that MIGHT occur but never does....by the way, Bard and Papelbon have appeared about twice each in the last two weeks. I'm jus sayin.
yes I know Bard's arm is about to fall off.
* Come on...we have to look at game situation. That poor kid wasn't going to get a hit in 20 ABs. And fwiw he threw that slider only three times last night.
what? I don't care if Cameron has a 0 OPS against righties this year in the 120 PA's he has, he is a better hitter than Romero. Why let their 2nd worst hitter bat with the game on the line? If Cameron pinch hits and they tie the game, he could switch to outfield and Patterson switch to infield for the bottom of the inning.
Well...at least he didn't say "I wanted to give the kid a chance to be a hero."
Tito: "Who was going to play first?" Francona said. "We didn't have anybody left."
Yes, Im devoting a lot of energy. It's a slow day. I'll stop.
Yeah, Cameron to the outfield, Patterson to 2B, Hall to 1B leaves everyone somewhere he's comfortable. I guess Hall has never played first base in a big league game, but I'm sure he'd handle it.
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