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1. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: March 10, 2011 at 06:31 PM (#3768035)1 - Who is the guy in front of Papelbon? I imagine this will get worked out by availability but on a day when Bard and Jenks are both available for the eighth I think Tito has a little balancing act to keep both pitchers happy.
2 - I really hope that in key spots Tito doesn't get too LOOGY happy. I'd hate to see us losing games because Okajima doesn't get Cano or Lind out while Jenks and Bard are watching from the bullpen.
While it would be nice to have him as a potential starter, I think the Red Sox are doing the right thing with Miller, considering the team's depth at SP and Miller's stuff and somewhat iffy control. Miller seems like he has the opportunity to be a left-handed version of Bard at the end of games (I'm picturing the 2002 version of Alan Embree). He has the potential to be a far more dominant lefty arm than the likes of Okajima or Reyes or Hill.
Papelbon
Jenks
Bard
Wheeler
as definites. That leaves;
Wakefield/Aceves/Atchison
I don't think Atchison has an option and Aceves does which plays into Atchison's favor. Then there is;
Reyes/Hill/Okajima
The Sox will definitely carry one of them. I have no sense of which that will be and I don't think any of the three have options. Let's for now assume Hill;
Papelbon
Jenks
Bard
Wheeler
Hill
Atchison/Wakefield
Okajima/Reyes
It seems like the Sox are going to have to lose two of those last five (Hill, Atchison, Wake, Oki, Reyes) that they would prefer not to...I think the big question is do the Sox want to carry two lefties or Wake and Atchison both? With Aceves in the minors I think the safer course is to let one of Wake or Atchison go but I think they love Atchison and Wake is Wake. I've got to think Terry Francona desperately wants to avoid cutting Tim Wakefield a week before the season starts.
Atchison and Okajima have options, but Oki's contract requires him to give permission before he can be optioned. I think it's a moot point; either he's with the big-league club or he's gone.
The wild card in this is Matt Albers. He's on the 40-man, and has no options. 8.1 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 K this spring, which is offered up simply to say he hasn't played his way off the 40-man yet. There's a decent chance that Hill and Reyes start the year in the minors, and either Atchison or Oki also go there, and Albers gets a spot instead.
Mind you, this logjam is a great problem to have. Usually a bullpen has too many guys you want to get rid of. You can make (and some have made) the argument that Papelbon, Wake, and Oki should be gone; but even if they were all sent packing, someone decent would have to start the year in the minors.
While Reyes is on a minor-league contract, he has an opt-out clause if he is not on the active roster to start the season. Reyes' comments to Pete Abraham in the Globe suggest to me that Reyes has no plans to begin the season in the minor leagues. Abraham generally also conveyed the sense that Okajima would be willing to start the season in the minors if the Sox choose to option him down. Barring injury, then, this looks like the bullpen:
Papelbon, Bard, Jenks, Wheeler, Reyes, Albers, Wakefield
Papelbon: 1-1/3, 1Ks, 2BB, 1H. Twenty eight pitches vs Rays A-ball. Declined to speak to reporters.
Good to see that Papelbon has his #### together...
Aceves, Albers, Reyes, and Oki are contending for the final two spots. Two of them (Oki and Aceves) can be sent down, two can't. So MCoA's bullpen in #6 seems likely.
Just a thought but it seems to me that Theo did some nice work this off-season lining up a deep bullpen that allowed him to send some guys to the minors. They aren't All Stars or anything but guys like Aceves, Okajima and Hill strike me as a pretty strong group of non-prospects to have lingering in AAA.
Abraham also reports that Andrew Miller is ticketed for the starting rotation in Pawtucket. This is good news, suggesting the Sox at least want to roll the dice on Miller's possible upside as a front of the rotation starter.
Also, Dennys Reyes has some of the most striking rodent cheeks I've seen on a ballplayer since Matt Stairs. The Gerbil and The Hamster are taken. Perhaps El Paca?
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