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1. Nate Posted: September 23, 2012 at 10:07 AM (#4243514)The other side of my brain says we had one 'hit' and one 'promising' in the development process, and even they have some things to overcome next season. Finding bullpen guys is nice, but the focus should be on the rotation. And The Trade is great, but not proof that the team is back to drafting/developing good pitchers again. The rest of the 'pluses' are towards long men or taxi squad types and are unlikely to really matter. And the draft was completely underwhelming.
Maybe this is expecting too much, but I'd think a team with the Sox resources should be setting the bar higher. Not find a guy better than Barnes and 3 Barnes every year, but better. It was by no means a disaster season yet I'd think this type of year should merit a below expectations response.
I think the A levels are where the real excitement exists. That's the level where you have enough track record to get a feel for guys but enough room for development that the ceiling can be higher so it's easy to overrate. I may be guilty of that but I know heading into 2013 that Workman, Owens and Ramirez (who I'm irrationally high on) really excite me.
I didn't talk about it a lot but one important thing is the Sox are well suited to trade and I think that's important for this team. You've got three guys who can be centerpieces (Barnes, Webster, de la Rosa) and several guys (Hernandez, Workman, Owens, Britton, Ranaudo) who for varying reasons have value as a secondary piece. I'll be shocked if the Sox don't at least attempt to make a major deal this winter and I see a system that has the pieces to do that. Prior to The Trade the Sox would have been wary of a deal involving Barnes, now they can deal him and still feel like they have a front-line arm behind him (and you can substitute Webster/de la Rosa for Barnes in that sentence).
Buttrey is the most interesting of the three, but that's not saying a ton. Light and especially Johnson were awful picks. Awful awful picks, even with the cap savings generated (Light's debut wasn't awful, but that's really all a college player in the NYPL can do -- not be awful; positive results just aren't reliable). I can't see at all how this group are nice gets. This was the worst Red Sox draft since I started following it, back in 2001. I will pull a 'zop/Cameron on myself and post that statement in every relevant thread if this draft turns out materially better than that. Turrible.
Reasons for optimism are good. However, most every org has a handful of Owens, Workman, and Ramirez types. Maybe ours will pan out, but recent track record suggests not. Saying this group is better than Generic Team A's similar group is just fanboyism. I'm not saying you're doing that, but relative to other teams this group isn't 'plus'.
That's a good point. Maybe semantics, but I see the Hernandez, etc group as a second piece for a solid player, but not a stud (taking salary/contract into account). If it's a stud, they're looking at 2 from the first group or equivalent hitters. Useful they are, though.
And while not related to the pitchers I was and still am pretty high on the Marrero pick. Reading the ST draft thread it looks like I was higher than most here.
#7 - Deven Marrero - "He showed off a solid all-around tools package in his pro debut, with his defense remaining his calling card."
#17 - Pat Light - "His ability to throw strikes with power stuff gives him the chance to be a back-end starter or late-inning reliever."
Also they make mention of Brian Johnson among a group of three players who didn't qualify for the list due to limited time.
#18 - Matt Barnes
#40 - Allen Webster
#49 - Henry Owens
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