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   101. Dan Posted: April 22, 2011 at 07:56 PM (#3806194)
I wonder how much longer this team will continue being unable to hit with RISP. The team as a whole is batting .190/.281/.256 with RISP.
   102. Phil Coorey is a T-Shirt Salesman Posted: April 22, 2011 at 10:26 PM (#3806338)
The team as a whole is batting .190/.281/.256 with RISP.


Good for lowest in the majors!!
   103. Dan Posted: April 23, 2011 at 05:36 AM (#3806951)
I wonder how much longer this team will continue being unable to hit with RISP. The team as a whole is batting .190/.281/.256 with RISP.


Great to pull out a win tonight, but they somehow managed to drag these numbers down even further by going 2-13 with RISP. What gives?
   104. Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: April 23, 2011 at 05:52 AM (#3806959)
It's not like they're tearing it up in general. .237/.335/.375 overall is not the stuff of legend. I think it's mostly fluke. One thing that doesn't help is that Carl Crawford is currently leading the team in AB with RISP (he was 2 for 20 coming into the game). They'll start getting their hits.
   105. tfbg9 Posted: April 23, 2011 at 04:16 PM (#3807142)
Dick Young solution:

The whole team, exccept the starters and Papelbon need to go out together and get hammered. That'll fix it.
   106. ellsbury my heart at wounded knee Posted: April 23, 2011 at 06:01 PM (#3807226)
The studies that I have read and seen referenced have concluded that Pitch F/X location at the plate is accurate to within half an inch. This is a link to a study I was able to find about the subject.


Physics isn't my strong suit, but looking over that study, it looks like the measure of trajectory is probably pretty accurate, so it's fairly precise on an intra-pitch basis, as far as judging the path of the ball while it's in the air. However, I'm not sure that study really addresses how accurate pitch f/x with balls and strikes. For that, you'd want some kind of sensitivity/specificity measure, measuring what % pitches that are strikes are really called strikes, and what % of pitches that aren't really strikes are called strikes. And there you'd need some kind of gold standard measure which everyone agrees measures strikes perfectly (or better) - maybe like a camera looking down at the plate from above and a camera looking at the player from the side.

Absent that, it seems like there could be some uncertainty on pitch f/x given that (I think) there are actually humans setting the system up from batter to batter. It seems like they don't have a ton of time to adjust the zones, and I could see some error entering the system that way. Some humans may have systematic biases when setting up the zones, some may be just better than others, some may be drunk, etc.
   107. Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 08, 2011 at 02:00 PM (#3821191)
According to the Globe Scutaro is on the DL and Jose Iglesias is "likely" to be promoted as the backup shortstop. Lowrie still in the lineup for today's game though.
   108. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: May 16, 2011 at 11:04 PM (#3829297)
Jed Lowrie's MLB career line is almost the same as that AAA line for Turner. That is a silly comparison.

That's a pre-season ZiPS you've got there for Lowrie. It's now projecting him to go .269/.348/.444 the rest of the season. Not quite Pedroia, but a lot closer to him than Turner.


May 16, 2011
OPS+

Lowrie: 124
Turner: 120

:-)


yeah yeah yeah, short sample size and all that, just having fun.
   109. Darren Posted: May 17, 2011 at 03:20 AM (#3829809)
I've seen a fair number of games this year, but I seem to very rarely see Lowrie get chances on defense. Chone's fielding has him at -28r/135 g; rdrs has him at -20r/135 g; UZR has him at -18/150 at SS for 2011. They all still have him as a pretty average SS for his career. My question is, has he looked THAT bad this year?
   110. Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 17, 2011 at 04:07 AM (#3829902)
I don't think Lowrie is a guy who really "looks" bad defensively. He has decent hands and a good arm so he is not going to embarrass himself, but he (to my eye) simply lacks the range to be an effective defensive shortstop.
   111. Dan Posted: May 17, 2011 at 04:53 AM (#3829937)
If you look at Lowrie's UZR, you'll see that most of the negative value has been from uncharacteristic errors. His UZR this season is -1.5 runs, -1.4 of which are from errors. His range is -0.5 runs so far. He's normally sure-handed and makes accurate throws, so I expect the errors won't continue, which means he'll end up around -5 runs or so if he plays out the season starting at SS. His range is really not bad. It's certainly not amazing, but it's within spitting distance of average.

He has 4 errors at SS this year, coming into the year he only had 2 errors there in his career over 700+ innings.
   112. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: June 01, 2011 at 02:24 PM (#3842381)
Jed Lowrie's MLB career line is almost the same as that AAA line for Turner. That is a silly comparison.

That's a pre-season ZiPS you've got there for Lowrie. It's now projecting him to go .269/.348/.444 the rest of the season. Not quite Pedroia, but a lot closer to him than Turner.


May 31, 2011
Jed Lowrie: .306/.354/.450 (119)
Justin Turner: .323/.369/.448 (129)
   113. Phil Coorey is a T-Shirt Salesman Posted: June 02, 2011 at 12:54 AM (#3842993)
Regression to the Mean


Seems so - especially for Wake and Aceves this week. Why do they lose in bunches?!!
   114. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: September 19, 2011 at 08:58 PM (#3929996)
Jed Lowrie's MLB career line is almost the same as that AAA line for Turner. That is a silly comparison.

That's a pre-season ZiPS you've got there for Lowrie. It's now projecting him to go .269/.348/.444 the rest of the season. Not quite Pedroia, but a lot closer to him than Turner.


9/18/11
Jed Lowrie career OPS+ 90
Justin Turner 87
   115. Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: September 19, 2011 at 09:25 PM (#3930027)
Phil was rather Nostradamus-esque back on June 1st, wasn't he?
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