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This team has really surpassed every expectation I've set for them. When they finished April 16-8, I was hoping they'd be able to go 16-12 in May. They're now 12-4 in May. In this Tigers series, I was hoping for a split, but they took 3 of 4.
IP SO BB H ER ERA Hansack 34.2 37 9 35 15 3.89I'm going to see these guys in NYC on Wednesday. Sounds like it might be a Hansack start.
Got any extra tickets? (never hurts to ask)
The guys on SOSH are saying that Tavarez will get that start.
All that said, the boy's pitching has been outstanding, and looks to stay that way, and some of the hitters still haven't woke up yet. There *could* be a LOT of upside to this team.
I am sure some things will go badly soon that I am just not seeing at the moment. But Boston's depth is astounding. Hinske, Pena and Cora on the offensive side. Lester, Hansack, Gabbard and Pauley (to say nothing of Buchholz) should an SP or two go down.
If you want to give someone a ML start based on how they've performed, you'd give it to Buchholz. It would require moving someone off the 40-man (Kyle Jackson?), but that would be the guy.
I've no doubt that Abreu and Damon and Cano will all hit a bit better, plus they'll have Clemens and Hughes to start games soon, with Mussina possibly getting better as he heals up. The Yankees will make a run. But the Sox have done a great job to build a cushion that might sustain them.
Like many of the other good older pitchers, he seems to have a keen understanding of what he can and cannot do, and just how much he has in the tank for a given night.
Daisuke vs. Smoltz
Gabbard vs. Hudson
Wakefield vs. Mussina
Schilling vs. Wang
Tavarez vs. DeSalvo
Well, if there's a time for the Sox to drop a bunch of their lead, it's this week. I would be very happy with 3-3 on this stretch.
One or two early losses, and I say you pull a McNally and delete teh thread.
But I was just now thinking about the phenomenon of big leads early in the season (pre-August 15th or so, really). It seems that they disappear much more readily in the past several years than they did before: the Mariners in '02 and '03; the Phillies in some year led the East by 8 games at one point in June; the Twins in '01; the Tigers last year; the Astros in '02; the Dodgers in '04, etc. And it occured to me--it probably was obvious to everyone else already--that that's because of the unbalanced schedule. A large lead is clearly less safe the more games that the first and second place teams have left to play against each other. Divisional play also makes it easier for teams to roll up large leads while they happen to be hot, even though they aren't really good enough to maintain them. And, it seems that 15 years ago, teams that fell behind by 7, 8, 9 games by the beginning of June were more inclined to pack things in than they are now, perhaps because of the previous two observations.
Now, the Red Sox are a much better team than the '02 Phillies, but they still have 13 left against the Yankees.
I'm a verb! Cool.
By what measure is Detroit no that good? They're 24-16 and they've scored 209 runs (tied for 3rd in the league with Cleveland).
With Tavarez and Wakefield pitching two of the games, expecting 3/4 is expecting alot.
12, actually. And just splitting them will leave the Yankees right where they are now. To catch up, the Yanks are going to have to actually beat teams hitting .221 and sitting in dead last in nearly every offensive category.
I've no doubt that Abreu and Damon and Cano will all hit a bit better
Yeah, but Jeter and Posada won't continue hitting as well as they have.
"You've been McNally'ed, biotch!"
Hansack vs. Lerew
Daisuke vs. Smoltz
Gabbard vs. Hudson
Wakefield vs. Mussina
Schilling vs. Wang
Tavarez vs. DeSalvo
Daisuke can rake.
Using profoundly unsound methodology, I see the Red Sox winning the first two Braves games, then dropping the 3rd. They take the Yankee opener, and drop the remaining two, for a 3-3 split, with two of those losses to the Yankees unfortunately. If they do that, they go into Thursday with at least a 6.5 game lead, which is kinda sorta tolerable.
After Opening Day I would have been happy with a 0.5lead at this stage
Thats not all that tough of a 6 game stretch. Only the hudson game looks like a mismatch. With the Hanasack game, I think the sox may have 3 or so very small pitching advantages in these games. very small.
just playin...enjoy the game.
i'll probably be stuck watching them on YES...it sucks being a red sox fan in nyc/nj.
FRAK!!!!!!!!!
maybe play one late saturday and play two on sunday.
--tripleheader on sunday--
so does that mean that you'll quit with the stupid nickname?
Any reason they are going with a six man for this stretch?
b/c of yesterday's doubleheader. schilling goes on his regular rest, but if tavarez went the day before schilling, he'd be going on short rest ... so, wakefield is pushed back a day to tavarez's spot and tavarez also gets an extra day rest, but that leaves a hole sunday.
This aint gonna be on TV except in ATL and BOS, is it? Stupid blackout rule!
If anyone wants to join me in open celebration and not worry about jinxes and curses, you've just got to check out the "We're Doomed" thread over on NYYFANS. It's literally days of laugh out loud enjoyment. Recent comments: Damon is soft, half of them want to acquire Mike Lowell, and Phil Hughes is getting fitted for the HoF.
What a great last month or so. I was at the game on Monday, and was able to scream out "Dice Dealing!" for nine full innings.
And the other half think he "sucks", which is just as funny.
Oki is tied for 1st in baseball in pitching runs created.
Unfortunately, I do not think those will hold.
I'd say that the group of lefties that forgot how to hit is underperforming way more then Jorge and Jeter (especially Jeter) are overperforming. If the lineup starts hitting like it's projected to, the offense will get better.
Not that that will happen. Cano was obviously a fluke and Abreu is done. Damon will never get healthy because he will never rest and the Yanks will finish one game under .500.
Cano actually was a fluke. Sort of at least.
In fact, I think I was down in the dog-days of last summer.
I'm familiar with Bowden, who's the other one?
4th from the right
well, they had to call desalvo up to the big club.
I always thought that stat should be called "runs destroyed."
isn't it runs saved?
All in spite of being underdogs.
You forgot "lovable." Oh wait, that's "lovable losers," isn't it? Scratch that.
No, I've been informed that they're not underdogs anymore. Whereas the Yankees used to comfortably outspend the Red Sox, their payrolls are now equal: $207 million to $143 million.
Remember, we get 2 1st rounders if we don't offer him arbitration after this season, so... Mike Lowell trade thoughts? Mike Lowell packaged with Coco?
I doubt we could get much for Lowell. People know he's a first half player. I can't believe I'm saying this, but they should look into signing him shortterm after this season.
I wouldn't mind if he signed an effective extension after the year to 1 year/ 9 million. But if he does finish with strong numbers, you certainly can't blame him for taking advantage of one last pay-day. I wouldn't mind taking some draft picks for him.
Pray tell, if we trade him, who will be playing 3rd base. Eric Hinske? Come on. He's a good player guys.
I doubt we could get much for Lowell. People know he's a first half player. I can't believe I'm saying this, but they should look into signing him shortterm after this season.
I was thinking maybe Mike Lowell and Coco Crisp could be packaged so we could trade for a really really really big bat at 1B+maybe another bullpen arm, move Wily Mo into CF/RF permanantly, and bring up David Murphy.
You're probably in fantasy land here. I don't see how Lowell/Crisp is worth a "really really really" big bat at 1B...and a reliever.
I wish one of our OFs had more trade value... I could see one of them going along with a minor leaguer in some deal, but I fear the minor leaguer will have to carry most of the value, unless they're just picking up a reliever who might help or something.
I think that's an even trade. But Toronto would never do it.
I don't think Boston would ever do it. Glaus is too fragile.
Becuase his trade value is the highest it could ever be.
A package of Lowell and Crisp is somewhat attractive. Crisp is a young-ish OF who's got tools, and Lowell is a very good veteran player who doens't have long-term money tied up and could turn into 2 1st round picks.
I wish one of our OFs had more trade value... I could see one of them going along with a minor leaguer in some deal, but I fear the minor leaguer will have to carry most of the value, unless they're just picking up a reliever who might help or something.
Crisp and a minor leaguer for a really good bullpen arm would suffice for me. When do the NL teams with good bullpen arms start giving up on their season?
This is selling too low on Crisp, disappointing as he's been. Plus our bullpen has been pretty damn good this season.
Lowell for Brian Fuentes? Oh, so you're that guy who always calls WEEI.
Yes, and as we all know, the only factor that determines who the underdog is is team payroll.
Classic. You might want to check out that Todd Jones thread and see if you can make any connections. Nice gutsy win today by the Red Sox. Would've been 16-3 if the Sox had more money tied up in their payroll.
The Red Sox may well have the best team in baseball.
they don't have many weak spots. good bench, good pen, to go along with a solid rotation and a very good lineup. it's nice.
They struggle in the mud though...
:)
Back the F!@# of cracker, Brian Fuentes is badass.
The 2002 team went 7-2 over their next 9 games, to reach 40-17. Then the wheels began to loosen, and they went 6-15 to reach 46-31. They lost the division lead for good at 46-29. Needless to say, the 2002 Sox did not enjoy the kind of cushion this team has established.
year thru48 pct scored allowed
1946: 39-9 .809 295 177
1978: 33-15 .688 256 188
1986: 33-15 .688 246 173
2002: 33-15 .688 271 185
2007: 33-15 .688 261 183
1904: 32-16 .667 163 124
1940: 31-17 .646 267 225
1969: 31-17 .646 239 202
(eight Sox teams went 30-18)
Well, that's not nearly as encouraging as I would have liked. Yes, 2007 is the Sox's second-best record through 48 games, but it's tied with 2002 and 1978 for that distinction (and in 2002 at least, the team was playing better by Pythagoras than it currently is).
And meanwhile, 1940? I didn't know the Sox were in first that late in a season betweem 1920 and 1946. (Despite the hot start in 1969, those Sox were still 3.5 games behind Earl Weaver's Orioles).
That same site also mentioned, though, that the Sox biggest previous lead those six times was 2 games. So this season is a little different.
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