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Tuesday, August 09, 2011

The Red Sox have a very good defense

First the numbers.  Fangraphs UZR has the Red Sox as the best defensive team in the AL with 38 runs saved above average, ahead of the Angels and Rays who are tied at +25.  B-Ref’s TZ places the Sox in a dead heat for second with the Angels and Rays (all at about 28 runs saved above average), trailing the league leading Indians by about ten runs.  The Red Sox have the 4th best Defensive Efficiency rating in the league, a .715 mark that places them in the middle of a crowd with the Indians, Mariners, Angels, and Rangers.  The Rays lead the league at .730.  I would bet that if you applied a park effect to those DefEff numbers, the Red Sox would be established solidly in second place. 

The strength of the defense this year has been its stars – Ellsbury, Pedroia, and Gonzalez foremost – but also that it has no true weak points.  Josh Reddick is a gold glove waiting to happen, Carl Crawford even in a down year is better than average, Youkilis, Scutaro and Lowrie have held their own, and Jarrod Saltalamacchia’s actually been surprisingly good.  One thing I’ve noticed since he returned from the DL is that Crawford appears to be covering more ground in left than he did this spring.  An outfield of Crawford-Ellsbury-Reddick is probably the best in all of baseball, defensively, especially if Crawford is getting his legs back and learning his field.

If part of what we call good pitching is actually good defense, then in the case of the 2011 Red Sox we might say that most of what we call passably mediocre pitching is actually good defense.  One important reason why the Red Sox have been able to get by while spinning through their 7th to 17th depth starters is that these guys have been backed up by an excellent posse of fielders. 

This also, I think, speaks to the respective MVP candidacies of Ellsbury, Pedroia, and Gonzalez.  Those guys haven’t merely been the core of the best offense in the game, but they’ve also been partly responsible for carrying a pitching staff that has needed all the help it can get.

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: August 09, 2011 at 03:39 PM | 13 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. Dave Cyprian Posted: August 09, 2011 at 07:22 PM (#3896406)
EDIT: blah. stupid post.
   2. Dan Posted: August 09, 2011 at 07:31 PM (#3896414)
I saw a stat that purported to be park adjusted defensive efficiency, and it lowered the Red Sox from 2nd to around mid pack in the league, which made absolutely zero sense to me. Playing half of your games in Fenway should inflate BABIP (and lower DefEff), not the other way around, right? All the balls that hit the monster are "in play", and the other 2 fields are pretty big, leaving plenty of room for balls to drop in for hits. Plus there's next to no foul territory, so it's hard to put a ball in play for a foul out.

What am I missing, or was this stat as full of #### as it seemed to me?
   3. ellsbury my heart at wounded knee Posted: August 09, 2011 at 07:40 PM (#3896422)
After a brutal start, Salty has really come around to being a passable defensive catcher. He's looked a lot better behind the plate blocking pitches and throwing runners out.

Reddick's been a pleasure to watch, too. His UZR/150 is crazy right now, but he looks pretty good out there, and aside from the occasional lapse in judgment or overthrown cutoff man which I'll chalk up to being young, he's been a plus fielder. Youkilis and Scutaro are really the only below average fielders on the team, and neither of them are terrible. Makes you wonder how they'd be doing with a healthy Buchholz and a non-awful Lackey.
   4. Dale Sams Posted: August 09, 2011 at 08:03 PM (#3896437)
Has Crawford been better than average? I'm not seeing it. I'd say Youk is a tad above average, Scoots and Lowrie are below but not horribly. As for Ellsbury, while he hasn't made lots of blunders or taken bad routes...I also haven't seen any game-winning catchs, ala' Coco circa 2007. Of course those are a matter of opportunity.

As someone else said, Crawford continues to act like the walls are electrified.
   5. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: August 09, 2011 at 08:11 PM (#3896442)
I get the Fenway BABIP park factor over the last five years at about 1.08. It's always been one of the best batting average parks in the game.
   6. Benji Gil Gamesh is not being paid to be that guy Posted: August 09, 2011 at 08:15 PM (#3896444)
   7. tjm1 Posted: August 09, 2011 at 08:21 PM (#3896450)
After a brutal start, Salty has really come around to being a passable defensive catcher. He's looked a lot better behind the plate blocking pitches and throwing runners out.


He's looked a lot better as a hitter, too. I wonder how much of all this was just re-developing self-confidence as a major leaguer. Nice move getting him for three minor leaguers and cash, when the best of those three minor leaguers is a 20-year old A-ball pitcher who might eventually make it to the majors.
   8. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: August 09, 2011 at 08:25 PM (#3896456)
The 2004 article that BGG cites gives Fenway a typically poor park factor - that is, it finds that Fenway is one of the tougher places to prevent hits on balls in play.

The current "Park Adjusted Defensive Efficiency" stats at BPro adjust the Red Sox well above average raw DefEff to a below average park-adjusted DefEff. Based on Click's article, the cause of this must be that they have an very different park factor for Fenway now, one which considers Fenway an easy park in which to prevent hits on balls in play. Whatever that park factor is, it doesn't mesh well with the actually observed splits in BABIP for games in and outside of Fenway.
   9. Jose Can You Seabiscuit Posted: August 09, 2011 at 08:31 PM (#3896462)
I was really really really wrong about Jarrod Saltalamacchia. I am hoping to be proven similarly incorrect about Jed Lowrie.

Ellsbury is a different defensive player this year. He is getting a MUCH better read on the ball off the bat. Dale's right, there haven't been a lot of spectacular catches but I think some of that is a function of Crawford alongside him and some of it is a function of him being in better position to get to the ball without any histrionics by virtue of better jumps.
   10. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: August 09, 2011 at 08:43 PM (#3896469)
I like Ellsbury a lot, and he is a fine defensive CF. However, the best center fielder on the team is in RF - Reddick. Gets a great jump on the ball, has the best arm on the team...at Fenway, it's OK if your best OF is in RF, because of the unique size of the ground they have to cover out there. Reddick's bat has been very good...but his glove has truly been outstanding.
   11. The Nightman Cometh Posted: August 09, 2011 at 10:17 PM (#3896519)
It seems to me that Ellsbury is playing a little deeper this year. Since his problem was always going back on balls more than anything else there's reason to believe the improvement is sustainable.
   12. John DiFool2 Posted: August 09, 2011 at 11:14 PM (#3896549)
Reddick already has 5 assists, an 18 assist pace for a full season (with most of them coming in the last few weeks)-runners are challenging him and paying the price (well, except when his catcher drops his throws that is).
   13. Joel W Posted: August 10, 2011 at 01:42 AM (#3896701)
I'm glad the PADE thing came up. I have been totally confused by it. Everything about this team suggests that it's great defensively, and PADE just doesn't jibe.

In re Crawford's D: He hasn't looked good, it's just that he's an elite defender not looking good, making him merely above average so far this year, rather than one of the best in the league. At least, that's how it squares to me.

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