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1. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: April 27, 2010 at 06:12 PM (#3515501)The run prevention side was just as bad as it's been all year, as the Red Sox allowed opponents to hit 293/366/463 with eight hundred thousand stolen bases. Boston was a bit lucky or a bit clutchy just to be able to keep pace with their opponents in run scoring.
Conversely a Scutaro error and an Ankiel shattered bat and any competence from Ortiz or Beltre in the suspended game and the Sox have a few more wins.
I fully expect the starting pitching to come around and until it does just hanging around is fine with me.
The only place I'm worried is the bullpen. I was a bit concerned when the year started but it really looks bad now. Ramirez has been awful and Okajima is inspiring zero confidence. Of all the things that have happened over the first three weeks that's the one that I'm concerned may not turn around. I know it's bad because when the Royals released Juan Cruz I thought "hey, he might help" then realized I was interested in a pitcher the Royals deemed unacceptable.
The bullpen's been one of the few strengths of the Red Sox to this point in the season.
We'll see in a few months, but it is possible we'll realize we were fortunate to be playing a lot of really lousy teams while we weren't playing very well, either (Texas, Toronto, a lot of Baltimore, Kansas City). But a look at May's schedule shows:
4 against LAA
5 against the Yankees
3 at Detroit
2 vs. Minnesota
3 at Phily
3 at TB
That's 20 pretty tough games in one month...if we don't get the pitching figured out by the time we finish the current road trip, I don't think we'll be seeing lots of wins like the last week...
Leaving aside Tim Wakefield, just how bad is Victor Martinez at throwing out baserunners?
---Yr/tm Inn SBA/9 CS%2006/CLE 1110.0 1.0 18%
2007/CLE 1042.7 0.9 32%
2008/CLE 447.3 0.7 37%
2009/CLE 430.0 1.0 15%
2009/BOS 239.0 0.3 11%
2010/BOS 96.0 1.7 11%
All I can say is, we better hope he improves. If not we're in for a long season.
Thankfully Buchholz did what we expect from... well, all the starters.
If Lester, Beckett, and Lackey ever get their #### together, I might actually enjoy watching this team.
I think this law firm handled some of my real estate business a few years back . .
Lester's gem tonite is a start on that goal then.
I actually think Darnell McDonald looks like a legit big leaguer. I don't know if his defense in center is good enough that he can be an asset to a playoff club as a starter, but he puts together consistently good at-bats, he has major league power, he can run, he can throw, that's a ballplayer. At the very least, he'll be a perfect 4th outfielder. I hope he stays around.
How did Papelbon look out there tonight (I missed the last few innings)? He's had 3 straight outings without a walk, so that's encouraging. It's rather remarkable with him that I/we have been complaining about him for how long now, and yet if he has a 2.46 ERA this year it will be his highest as a closer in his career.
The various projection systems peg the guy at ~.730, except for ZIPS, which slags him a bit at a .700ish level. He can certainly run, and seems to have a decent arm. Being a righty helps his cause a little, you'd have to think, no?
I've been encouraged by Papelbon lately. His fastball hasn't looked as straight as it did last year and he seems to be hitting his spots with regularity.
He can succeed with that running fastball as long as he aims it properly to account for its new movement. I haven't seen the last few appearances from him, so I can't say for sure, but I'd guess that maybe he's made this adjustment and is now letting the movement take the pitch to the corners.
Looking forward to the challenges that lie ahead in May!
well yeah. I'm sticking by my "we need to be .500 or better after 30 games to even have a slim chance of making the playoffs" mantra. At 15-15, that still allows us to play .600 ball the rest of the way and come up with 95 wins..which still might not be enough.
Losing two games in extra innings is brutal, considering both starters gave the team what was needed to actually win the games.
And I agree with Dan, in spite of the 2 jacks, Ortiz is a spent force(do I sound like a broken record?) and I don't see even a Drew like resurgence out of him.
But I'm not sure there's a damn thing that can be done about it. The rotation is more or less locked down in spots 1-4 (and perhaps has turned a corner). We can debate Wakefield vs. Dice-K, but until Dice-K shits the bed 5 or 6 more starts in a row, the #5 slot is going to be his to lose.
This team does seem to find creative ways to blow games; it drives me mad. The worst is that I'm not sure we're going to get some kind of "bounce" when Ellsbury and Cameron return, (a) because who the hell knows when that will be and (b) who knows if either will be effective when they do; both have injuries that could easily turn 2010 into "lost years" for both of them.
Sure, dumping Ortiz frees up a roster spot, but to what end? So we can keep VanEvery or McDonald around instead? I'm not saying we shouldn't do it (dump Ortiz), but it's not like the alternative is Ortiz v.2005 walking through the door instead...
There's been a lot of luck (good and bad) these first 25 games. I feel like we've perhaps seen the worst that they can be but certainly not the best, and this gives me hope... but the longer they #### around, the harder it gets to get to 95 wins... and this looks like one of those years 95 wins might get you 3rd place.
It's irrational, but after last night's game, I'm feeling pretty good all of a sudden.
That was a nice win but boy that game could have been a lot different if Torii Hunter hadn't gone for his stroll to start the 4th inning. That was a 5-6 run inning waiting to happen and that would have been a kick in the nuts after the good start.
That said, the Sox could probably have won that game with six or seven runs if they had to. Schoenweis is nowhere near that game if it's close, I bet.
It appears that the Red Sox can catch some teams stealing, as long as it's the pitchers who do the work.
You know what though? If the Red Sox win 95, and still somehow finish third, you have to just tip your hat to the Yankees and Rays and look ahead. I can't get upset at a 95 win season.
It's Sox Therapy. Who has anything to talk about when things are going well? We don't like it. We just need it.
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