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**A "meh" defense observation translates to somewhere between average and -10, with a bit more variability on the bottom end than the top, and the caveat that I don't really know what I'm talking about.
Adding to your list I have a few others;
Franklin Morales - I think Morales has the stuff to be a true reliever rather than a LOOGY. More Okajima than Javier Lopez. If he can throw strikes I think he is a guy who can transform this bullpen the way Okie did in 2007.
Michael Bowden - Bowden is kind of the opposite of Morales in that he doesn't really look like a "stuff" guy. On the other hand he is a keep the ball down/throw strikes sort that can be very effective out of the bullpen.
Bobby Valentine - I want to see how Bobby V. manages this team. Are we going to see a lot more platooning/in game manuevering/etc...than we have seen in recent years and if so will it pay off or will he manage himself into a corner?
Clay Buchholz - Can he come back as the high end starter he was from the start of 2010 through the injury last year? For all the valid reasons to worry about the back of the rotation the Sox arguably have the best 1-2-3 punch in the AL if they are healthy.
Carl Crawford - Not an Opening Day thing but when he returns I want to see him play like he did in Tampa. What bothered me last year was not the poor offense it was the way the other phases of his game were so disappointing. Even if he is not on base much I want to see him running aggressively when he is and trying to make great defensive plays in the outfield. Last year he would be rooted to first base more often than not and in the field he looked hesitant.
I REALLY want this crap-ass bullpen to work. This set of guys seems like exactly the situation that Francona would manage poorly and BV can manage well. I don't know if he will or not, and Tito never got the chance, but we'll see if BV can make some gold out of this particular pile of straw.
I'm excited to see Sweeney as the everyday RF.
I want to see Buchholz emerge as a dominant #1. I want him to reach his ceiling this year. Not next year, this year.
I don't care much about shortstop. I care more that the rest of the team performs well enough that shortstop doesn't matter. I will care about shortstop if the Sox make the playoffs.
I will be watching for Lowrie and Reddick to play to their reputations. It would be nice for them to succeed as major leaguers but I don't think they will.
Edit: Also, I'm going to be watching the medical staff this year. I want to know when/how players were injured, how long it takes to diagnose the problem, how quickly the situation is resolved, and what the results are. This one is BIG. I started a spreadsheet to keep track.
Thank God! I thought I was cracking up. I've been thinking the same thing for about a week now.
Though for some reason I don't think our switch-hitting infield acquisition is winning any batting titles this year.
And somewhere Karlmagnus is stirring from a slumber muttering "the 2003 team was the Duke's, the 2003 team was the Duke's"
This also means that Melancon will be used to put out fires when needed and won't be relegated to just innings 8/9.
He needs a suitably crazy theme. I propose Ghostface Killah, "The Champ."
I do agree that I'd like to see Aceves pitching more than an inning, but I think our baseline for being happy with the bullpen should be "he got the outs".
Pick up Melancon then too. He'll be going on the days when Aceves isn't available, per Bobby V. I'm guessing that "isn't available" will be left up to the manager's in-game decisions and strategy.
Ditto. Took a cheap flier on Bailey, then replaced him with Melancon yesterday, then dumped Melancon for Aceves just now. Not Last Place here I come!
I'll be excited to see whether the team is better prepared to start the year. Not starting out 2-10 or whatever would have made a big difference last year. If they can tread water for a bit until some of their injured players return, I'll be happy.
This is one of the reasons I'm a little bothered about the 25th man thing. Not because I think it should have been Repko or Ciriaco - there's no need for a second Darnell McDonald or a worse-hitting Nicky Punto on the bench. But because this club does have a bunch of guys I don't want to see getting leveraged at-bats in certain situations. A list:
vs RHP
Aviles
Shoppach
Punto
McDonald
vs LHP
Sweeney
Salty
Punto
With a platoon expected between Salty/Shoppy and Sweeney/McDonald, in theory each of those guys can pinch-hit for their platoon mates. That's not optimal, but the outfield situation will improve when Crawford comes back. The club still needs a lefty bat on the bench to hit for Aviles, and to be a better option that Salty in pinch-hitting for Shoppach.
I don't really get why Cherington didn't have one of these ready to go for the start of the season. Or perhaps they thought Kroeger could be the guy, and he disappointed in some way in spring?
The Sox are scheduled to face right-handers in each of their first five games. I'd like to see LNP get two starts in there. If he doesn't, we'll know the Sox are committed to Aviles as a true full-time SS. My dream platoon is for LNP to start against RHP with groundball pitchers on the mound, and Aviles in all other games - that would have Punto in the field on Sunday for Buchholz and perhaps also Tuesday for Bard. (Is Doubront a groundballer? I was thinking that Wednesday is a day game after a night game, so it makes particular sense to play Punto on Tuesday.)
It's possible that Valentine won't want Shoppach and McDonald sitting on the bench and getting rusty in advance of their first scheduled starts next Wednesday, so he might get them (particularly Shoppach) a start against the platoon advantage before Wednesday. I'm not going to panic if Shoppach catches Beckett on Saturday - it could be a sign of the dread personal catcher, but it could also just be Valentine getting Shoppach his reps and Salty his rest.
Seriously, this is probably the best time to face Verlander - his Opening Day #s are terrible.
And I think Cody Ross is going to have a nice year for you. Enjoy the game!
I think all this means is I REALLY need baseball to start.
Agree completely. The projections of 90-92 wins seem about right to me; however, my gut just feels like the Sox are a lot more likely to finish closer to +/- 10 games off that projection than they are to nail it. There will be greatness or there will be mediocrity, but there's very little chance for merely good.
Also, years ago, you strenuously objected to the use of WMP*, but are now chief promulgator of LNP . . . is there anything in the CFBPS that explains the acronymial discrepancy?
* I believe you softened your stance a little when it was explained that this was to be read as the sound of a large book falling on a table from a good height, but still.
Jacoby Ellsbury CF
Dustin Pedroia 2B
Adrian Gonzalez 1B
David Ortiz DH
Kevin Youkilis 3B
Ryan Sweeney RF
Cody Ross LF
Jarrod Saltalamacchia C
Mike Aviles SS
This +/- 10 wins reminds me of the Ellipse of Uncertainty in Gravity's Rainbow: "The airburst, if it happens, will be in visual range. Abstractions, math, models are fine, but when you're down to it and everybody's hollering for a fix, this is what you do: you go and sit exactly on the target with indifferent shallow trenches for shelter, and you watch it in the silent firebloom of its last few seconds, and see what you will see. Chances are astronomically against a perfect hit, of course, that is why one is safest at the center of the target area. Rockets are supposed to be like artillery shells, they disperse about the aiming point in a giant ellipse--the Ellipse of Uncertainty. But Pökler, though trusting as much as any scientist in uncertainty, is not feeling too secure here."
Edit: This is a great day for sports. The Masters begins today as well.
If the monkey is too busy tossing poop, we shall chatter here instead.
What does the Masters have to do with sports? *ducks*
The Masters is a golf tournament. I do not believe ducks play golf.
And I so not believe athletes play golf.
That and McDonald will be in LF with Ross shifting from LF to RF, and Shoppach will be in for Salty. The lineup agaisnt LHP should expected to be:
Ellsbury CF
Pedroia 2B
Gonzalez 1B
Youkilis 3B
Ortiz DH
Ross RF
McDonald LF
Shoppach C
Aviles SS
I could also see McDonald and Shoppach switching spots there but we'll see.
That's clearly untrue.
Many baseball players play golf during their downtime.
How does that affect what I said?
Heh, you walked right into that one...
Jackson CF
Boesch RF
Cabrera 3B
Fielder, 1B
Young LF
Raburn DH
Peralta SS
Avila C
Santiago 2B
1) I objected to the nickname "WMP" because the actual name Wily Mo Pena is far too great to be hidden behind an abbreviation.
2) I'm stealing the "LNP" thing from Batgirl. I can't find her archives online, but she had this incredible run of posts about "Little Nicky Punto, Tiny Superhero".
edit: I miss Batgirl's blog. Her lego reconstructions of key Twins moments were top flight.
"Kahneman," Bobby Valentine notes. "He was awarded the Nobel Prize.""
From the Grantland article on Bobby V. That he reads Kahneman makes me very happy.
Verlander, beginning last year, will start the game low 90s and then be throwing 97-100 by the 6th or 7th. He credits it with solving his Achilles heel pre-2011; poor first innings leading to too many pitches early in games.
Oh, I know. I was just saying he should've been hacking at that cause it was going to be his best shot at hitting a pitch solidly since Verlander took so much off of it.
That seems odd to me. I would think he'd want to come out gunning to offset the bad innings. Was control in early innings an issue for him?
Yep. He'd come out too pumped and overthrow. In 2011 he gained speed as the game went on and got gradually more dominant. It was pretty cool to watch.
Delmon Young is the worst outfielder in the majors.
Plus he has a great Fenway swing, man.
This year, I'm hoping the birth of Little Miss TE (due mid-September) will have a talismanic effect and ward off any possible September collapse...
I fished him outta the FA pool in my keeper league. Expecting a good year.
For the Tigers, I'm irrationally high on Drew Smyly. I love the kid. I'd get sucked into Raburn's home run binge but I've seen that movie before.
Good news, Lester's on pace for about 200!
It's a one-of-a-kind pitch in MLB, I think. Does anyone else throw a cutter that has such insane horizontal bite?
Mariano Rivera.
Ahhh. MLB.tv. So quiet between innings.
Verlander is trying to saw Sweeney off inside with fastballs, where he is hitting .000, as opposed to .000 overall.
Note, none of the 5 pitches Verlander had thrown at the time looked very much inside... this is going to provide some awesome comedy this year, isn't it?
I am watching MLB.tv (via iPad)
It has that frisbee quality at times.
You have ads?
It's just one ad for the MLB.com shop that talks about buying World Champion Cardinals gear that plays between every half inning, at a very high volume.
Did you get the Premium package or basic? I just realized that I haven't seen an ad since spring training began.
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