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Sox Therapy
— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox

Thursday, June 23, 2016

The Return of The Duke

Watching the Sox lose their second very winnable game in three days last night I was struck by something.  This team reminds me greatly of the late-era Dan Duquette clubs.  This is not to rip on the Duke who generally got a raw deal (note to Karl: he’s still not better than Theo) but the late Dan Duquette era was marked by a “stars and scrubs” format that the current Red Sox have very similarly followed.  This is not a bad thing on its own.  Like those teams with Pedro, Manny and NOMAAAAAAAH ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: June 23, 2016 at 07:16 AM | 2 comment(s)
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Friday, June 17, 2016

Trading Partners

It has been a bit less than two months since my triumphant/disappointing/flatulent return to Sox Therapy where I proclaimed we didn’t know nothin’.  I am not entirely convinced we know a heck of a lot more today but one thing I think we can feel pretty good about is that the Sox should plan on being competitive.  At 37-28 even a .500 performance by the Sox the rest of the way would put them at 85-77 and the difference between that and a Wild Card spot or even a division title is pretty minimal. ...Read More...

Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: June 17, 2016 at 03:17 PM | 24 comment(s)
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Monday, June 13, 2016

The Dombrowski Method

When I watch baseball I always like to think about why teams do something.  I would rather figure out why Jonny Gomes starts over Daniel Nava than complain that the manager is a moron or why Josh Reddick gets traded for Andrew Bailey than whine about the GM.  That’s not to say that I never voice those complaints but I always like to have a handle on what teams are doing.

In the case of the Red Sox I think Dave Dombrowski’s tenure is quickly coming into focus.  For many years we had Theo ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: June 13, 2016 at 11:31 AM | 32 comment(s)
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Monday, June 06, 2016

Cascading Problems: The Bullpen

Have problems in the rotation led to problems in the bullpen? If so, it’s not because a bad starter is in the bullpen.

villageidiom Posted: June 06, 2016 at 09:33 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Related News: boston, boston red sox, bullpen, red sox, sox therapy


Friday, June 03, 2016

The First Third

So with the Sox a third of the way through the season after last night’s homerpalooza if I read my Moneybag correctly that means we now know what we have.  Some thoughts on the first third;

1. David Ortiz.

No, seriously…DAVID ORTIZ DAVID ORTIZ DAVID ORTIZ!!!

2. John Farrell is still manager of the Red Sox.

Whether you like him or not, this is good news because if he wasn’t manager today that would mean the Sox started slowly. As it happens the Sox are off to a very strong start on a 96 win ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: June 03, 2016 at 01:17 PM | 22 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Wednesday, June 01, 2016

Three Questions: June 2016

1. What will the Red Sox rotation be by the end of the month?

2. What additive moves should Boston make?

3. On what date will David Ortiz pass Ted Williams on the career HR list?

 

villageidiom Posted: June 01, 2016 at 08:12 AM | 20 comment(s)
  Related News: boston, boston red sox, david ortiz, joclenry kebuchens, red sox, rotation, sox therapy, trades


Monday, May 30, 2016

Feeling A Draft

On June 9 the Red Sox and 29 lesser teams will begin the process of drafting the future players we all get way too excited about that never accomplish anything.  Unfortunately for the third time in four years the Red Sox have a high draft pick, this time picking 12th.

I am no kind of draft wizard but I have a Baseball America subscription and if that doesn’t entitle me to opine on the draft, I don’t know what is.  Picking at 12 the Sox would have a lot of uncertainty even if the draft ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 30, 2016 at 02:12 PM | 38 comment(s)
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Friday, May 27, 2016

Feet of Clay

It is hard to argue that Clay Buchholz has earned any right to make his next scheduled start.  At this point with Eduardo Rodriguez nearing readiness and Roenis Elias lighting it up in Pawtucket if Buchholz starts Tuesday it will be both a surprise and a mistake.  Watching Buchholz get pounded last night I found myself thinking about the upcoming draft, prospect watching and what Buchholz represents on that front. 

Buchholz is a former high draft pick (supplemental first, compensation for ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 27, 2016 at 08:38 AM | 7 comment(s)
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Friday, May 20, 2016

More About Guys Who Are Not Major Leaguers

So the minor league season is moving along smartly and that requires some less than smart analysis.  I am just the man for the job!  Let’s take a look at the kiddie korps! (yes I know I spelled it wrong, shut up!);

1B - Sam Travis - AAA - .281/.338/.438 - Travis impressed in Fort Myers and the 22 year old is adapting well at Pawtucket.  The K/BB rate is taking a bit of a hit which is somewhat predictable but his K rate is league average and he looks to be growing into the power the Sox hoped ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 20, 2016 at 09:07 AM | 42 comment(s)
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Monday, May 16, 2016

The Quiet Star

It’s probably not accurate to say that Xander Bogaerts is flying under the radar but…well he seems to be flying a bit below radar detection levels.  When talk turns to this team people gush (rightly) about David Ortiz and Mookie Betts and the contributions from guys like Travis Shaw and Brock Holt seem to get the lion’s share of the attention.  The one time uber-prospect is blossoming into a star in front of our eyes.

He had a rough rookie year that I have always believed was caused by being ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 16, 2016 at 10:21 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Saturday, May 14, 2016

How Fun Is That?

image of Ortiz hitting the walk-off double, with caption ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED?

villageidiom Posted: May 14, 2016 at 10:41 PM | 58 comment(s)
  Related News: boston, boston red sox, fun, fun stuff, red sox, sox therapy


The List

God I love this man…

7/26/03 - Armando Benitez - 5-4 - single scored Jeremy Giambi (10th) - listening on the radio
9/23/03 - Kurt Ainsworth - 6-5 - solo home run - on an airplane
4/11/04 - Aquilino Lopez - 6-4 - home run scored Bill Mueller (12th) - at Easter dinner
6/11/04 - Tom Martin - 2-1 - single scored Johnny Damon - I was there
10/8/04 - Jarrod Washburn - 8-6 - home run scored Pokey Reese - I was there
10/17/04 - Paul Quantrill - 6-4 - home run scored Manny Ramirez (12th) - I was there ...Read More...

Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 14, 2016 at 07:12 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Friday, May 13, 2016

How Do You Change the Lineup?

With Jackie Bradley channeling Babe Ruth the Red Sox lineup the question of how long (if at all) JBJ should be batting ninth.  Obviously Jackie isn’t THIS good (who is?) but he is answering the question of whether the bat will play pretty conclusively.  The rest of the lineup is generally going pretty well.  Let’s start with the question of what will these guys do the rest of the year.  There are any number of ways but for simplicity sake I’m going with FanGraphs wOBA calculation (based on ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 13, 2016 at 11:06 AM | 21 comment(s)
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Thursday, May 12, 2016

In Praise of the Coaching Staff

The Red Sox made it 14 out of 19 with a third straight vaporizing of the Athletics.  In that stretch they are averaging 6.4 runs/game and on the season only the Cubs are averaging more than the Sox’ 5.8 runs/game.  On the mound the Sox are not quite as effective but it seems that there are good performances more than bad with just a couple of weak links ($45 million worth of weak links in Buchholz and Price) dragging the outcomes down.

What strikes me looking at this team is that I feel like I ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 12, 2016 at 09:29 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Sunday, May 08, 2016

It Ain’t Never Dull in the Bronx

The Sox had a frustrating weekend finished off with a terrific victory on the back of an absolute gem from Steven Wright.  It was not a weekend without talking points and to get us rolling to start the week I thought I’d address a few things;

- Friday was as frustrating a loss as the Sox have had in an awfully long time.  They left 13 men on base and to say they were frustrated with the strike zone is an understatement.  On the whole I think Kulpa was consistent though not particularly good ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 08, 2016 at 10:42 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Thursday, May 05, 2016

Talkin’ Baseball

With a month of baseball in the books I thought this might be a useful time to dig into the biggest decision the Boston Red Sox have made in the past nine months; that’s right, the decision to replace Don Orsillo with Dave O’Brien.  Obviously we all have our opinions of the people involved and with the season rolling I’ve got some observations and thoughts.  I’m sure you do too.

Dave O’Brien: Let’s start with this, Obie is very very good as an announcer.  If you built a generic announcer you ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 05, 2016 at 01:30 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Monday, May 02, 2016

Three Questions: May 2016

Three Questions: May 2016

1. Is it time to cut Buchholz loose?

2. Who are the 2016 All-Stars among position players on this team?

3. Which is more likely this season: the Red Sox remain in first place, or the Yankees remain in last place?


Sunday, May 01, 2016

Gettin’ It Done

OK, so the Sunday night games were a bit harrowing and not all is perfect but your FIRST PLACE RED SOX (going to enjoy it while I can) wrapped up a nice stretch of 8-2 baseball with a thriller on Sunday night.  It is easy to say the competition, the slumping Astros, the pitiful Braves and the last place Yankees (going to enjoy that one while I can too), was not good but 8-2 is 8-2.

What is encouraging is the contributions are getting throughout the roster.  Guys like Mookie, the red hot ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: May 01, 2016 at 11:29 PM | 28 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Happy (Belated) Anniversary Tim

21 years and 1 day ago the Boston Red Sox signed a guy who posted a 5.84 ERA in AAA Buffalo the previous season.  All Tim Wakefield did is dominate the American League for the next several months and by the time he was done he had won more games than all but two Red Sox pitchers in the 111 year history of the club.

Wednesday the Sox sent Wake’s spiritual descendant to the mound in the form of Steven Wright.  All Wright has done in 2016 is be arguably the best pitcher on the club.  With David ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: April 27, 2016 at 09:34 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy


Sunday, April 24, 2016

Guys Who Are Not Major Leaguers

I figure we need a bit of a minor league thread to go along with the Major League one, don’t you?  Today I’m going to go with a bit of a gimmick and just pick a guy at each position I feel like focusing on.  In all seriousness I could just say “hey, look at Hi A Salem” because the collection of talent there is pretty amazing but I’m an equal opportunity guy (all stats through Saturday).

1B - Josh Ockimey - Greenville - I saw Ockimey a few times in Lowell last year and at the very least he ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: April 24, 2016 at 06:14 PM | 76 comment(s)
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Thursday, April 21, 2016

We Still Know Nothin’

No I didn’t go anywhere, why do you ask?

So the Sox are a couple weeks into the season and so far…I don’t think we know anything particularly new.  When the season began I felt this was an 83-79, third place team.  I like the offense but I had concerns about a few of the down order hitters and I was more troubled about the bullpen than most people.  I was confident in Craig Kimbrel of course but 41 year old guys are always question marks, Junichi Tazawa has slowed down badly in three of the ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: April 21, 2016 at 11:59 AM | 74 comment(s)
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Monday, April 01, 2013

So long

This is an explanation of the disappearing content from Sox Therapy and an announcement of a new blog, Replacement Level Red Sox (www.replacementlevelredsox.com). Darren, Jose, Matt(bert) and I have decided to start a blog, and we are moving our blogging over there. It’s been great writing here at Sox Therapy, thanks to Jim for giving up the platform and the opportunity, thanks to y’all for making this community a fun place to write. We just felt that we’d like to take a shot at blogging at a ...

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Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: April 01, 2013 at 08:33 AM | 13 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy


Monday, March 18, 2013

Opening Day Roster

Lots of Sox Therapy posts lately but I’ll add another one since with Opening Day just two weeks away I think it’s time we had an Opening Day Roster thread.  Things are starting to fall into shape with injuries and performances clearing up some open questions.  David Ortiz’ injury is the one that’s going to get the headlines but with yesterday’s Boston.com story about Stephen Drew I think we have to acknowledge that our Opening Day shortstop is going to be someone other than Drew.

...Read More...
Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: March 18, 2013 at 10:26 AM | 85 comment(s)
  Related News: opening day, red sox, sox therapy


Sunday, March 17, 2013

Now Is the Time to Lock Up Dustin Pedroia

Dustin Pedroia is a 29-year-old second basemen who is signed for the next two years and with a reasonable team option for 2015. Normally, I would be against inking such a player to an extension, but I think I would make an exception for Pedroia. Here’s why:

—First and foremost, Pedroia is the face of the team and a really excellent player. In his first 6 years as a full-time player he’s put up 31.1 fWAR. He’s beloved by the fans, well-liked by his peers, and seemingly has an exemplary work ...

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Darren Posted: March 17, 2013 at 12:37 PM | 24 comment(s)
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Friday, March 15, 2013

What Projections Say about the Big Trade

The August 2012 trade between the Red Sox and the Dodgers was one of the most fascinating and important moves in the history of the Boston franchise. As such, it’s hard not to revisit it often. And so…

When the Red Sox unloaded the contracts of Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett, and Carl Crawford (and Nick Punto!), they cut about $57 million off their annual payroll (after accounting for the cash paid out by Boston to LA). While it was pretty widely agreed upon that the players were, as a group, ...

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Darren Posted: March 15, 2013 at 11:07 AM | 57 comment(s)
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Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Our Big Papi Problem

I really don’t want to think about a Boston Red Sox season where our lineup isn’t anchored by Big Papi.  I am currently not going to, because I think the best interpretation of what we know if that this isn’t the biggest problem ever.  The current shut down, as reported, is not either a major new injury or a failed recovery of the same major injury – it looks like an injury cascade where the Achilles pain led Ortiz to change his stride, which then in turn led to heel problem.  This ...

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Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: March 12, 2013 at 07:24 AM | 17 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy


Sunday, March 10, 2013

Jose Ruins Careers at the Fort

I hope everyone in Massachusetts enjoyed the foot of snow last week.  If it makes you feel better it was a bit windy today when I stepped out of the pool and I caught a bit of a chill.  Brrrrr.

I have been able to brave the elements and get to a few Spring Training games so far and as always it is a ton of fun.  The week started on a bit of a maudlin note as I walked through the retired numbers section in front of JetBlue Park and passed Johnny Pesky’s number 6.  John hasn’t been an active ...

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Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: March 10, 2013 at 03:52 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy, spring training


Wednesday, March 06, 2013

John Farrell and the Shift Defense

The largest change in baseball strategy over the last decade has been the radically increased use of the shift defense in the past two years.  This was pointed out in a Bill James Online article by John Dewan early in 2012.  Farrell’s Blue Jays were among the earliest adopters of the shift, reportedly due to the influence of 3rd base coach Brian Butterfield.  Butterfield has moved to Boston with Farrell, and we can expect the shift to make the trek east as well.  He may be actually taking it ...

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Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: March 06, 2013 at 07:53 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy


Saturday, February 23, 2013

Spring Training Game Thread

The Red Sox are on NESN and MLBtv.  Right now!

Want to talk about the ballgame?

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: February 23, 2013 at 01:37 PM | 221 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy


Friday, February 22, 2013

Shane Victorino and the Stat Heads

Everyone on the internet hates Shane Victorino.  Shane Victorino has a strong statistical profile based on basic stathead number crunching.  This is a conundrum to me.  Let’s take point one as given. For point two, consider VORP.  There is no more perfect stathead stat than VORP.  It reduces all baseball events to simple run value.  It loves OBP and slugging, it doesn’t care about clutch, it only values high-percentage base stealing.  It doesn’t try to quantify defense, but includes a ...

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Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: February 22, 2013 at 01:52 PM | 54 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy


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