— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox
Thursday, March 29, 2012
The Crazy Fanboy Projection System had a tough offseason. The first time I tried to run the engine back in January, it just broke down crying. While the Bayesian engines that power PECOTA and ZiPS are incapable of true feeling or thought, the CFBPS engine is the world’s only Freudian projection engine, and it was still in mourning. The lost beloved of the 2011 season had entirely overwhelmed the engine’s ego, and its reality principle was unmoored. The second run of the CFBPS produced ...Read More...
Saturday, April 29, 2006
Revenge of Pythagoras
This team has really looked very bad for a while. After all my drooling over Beckett being Clemens-esque, maybe I was jumping the gun. He has very few Ks and a ton of HR this year. That’s not boding well. Schilling also worries me quite a bit because he just doesn’t look all that dominant to me. That’s more subjective. Clement is a better pitcher than he’s shown and I’m just not worried about him… the way I am about Wake/Bard. Yuck.
In the pen, we should keep an eye on Papelbon’s workload. ...Read More...
Posted: April 29, 2006 at 02:55 AM | 39 comment(s)
Friday, December 30, 2005
This started out as a study in which I questioned the wisdom of regressing Manny’s defense toward the mean, but after exchanging emails with MGL, I discovered that I had misunderstood his regression methods. I had thought that in projecting Manny’s future performance (or assessing his true talent level, as MGL calls it), he would include an element of league average OF. But that is not the case…
Posted: December 30, 2005 at 05:18 PM | 116 comment(s)
for his generous support.
You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.
(13 - 12:58pm, Apr 04)
Last: Dread Pirate Dave RobertsOpening Day Roster
(85 - 6:47pm, Mar 31)
Last: MontyNow Is the Time to Lock Up Dustin Pedroia
(24 - 1:08pm, Mar 31)
Last: jdennisSpring Training Game Thread
(221 - 4:22pm, Mar 27)Last:
tfbg9Jose Ruins Careers at the Fort
(19 - 1:10am, Mar 21)
Last: Dale SamsJohn Farrell and the Shift Defense
(23 - 9:09am, Mar 18)
Last: villageidiomWhat Projections Say about the Big Trade
(57 - 11:12pm, Mar 16)
Last: Ray (RDP)Our Big Papi Problem
(17 - 4:40am, Mar 15)
Last: Rafael Bellylard: Built like a FielderMinor Help
(94 - 1:37pm, Mar 05)
Last: Drew (Primakov, Gungho Iguanas)2013 ZIPS Projections for the Red Sox Are Up
(38 - 4:06pm, Mar 01)
Last: SGShane Victorino and the Stat Heads
(54 - 1:14pm, Feb 25)
Last: Dale SamsIt's Truck Day!!!
(34 - 2:35pm, Feb 23)
Last: Jose Can Still SeabiscuitThe Bourn Possibility
(73 - 7:37pm, Feb 17)
Last: DarrenA Hundred Fifty Million Dollars for This
(136 - 11:05am, Feb 08)Last:
Jose Can Still SeabiscuitClose Reading Rainbow
(23 - 10:36am, Feb 02)
Last: Jose Can Still Seabiscuit