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Saturday, May 14, 2016

The List

God I love this man…

7/26/03 - Armando Benitez - 5-4 - single scored Jeremy Giambi (10th) - listening on the radio
9/23/03 - Kurt Ainsworth - 6-5 - solo home run - on an airplane
4/11/04 - Aquilino Lopez - 6-4 - home run scored Bill Mueller (12th) - at Easter dinner
6/11/04 - Tom Martin - 2-1 - single scored Johnny Damon - I was there
10/8/04 - Jarrod Washburn - 8-6 - home run scored Pokey Reese - I was there
10/17/04 - Paul Quantrill - 6-4 - home run scored Manny Ramirez (12th) - I was there ...Read More...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: May 14, 2016 at 07:12 PM | 4 comment(s)
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Friday, May 13, 2016

How Do You Change the Lineup?

With Jackie Bradley channeling Babe Ruth the Red Sox lineup the question of how long (if at all) JBJ should be batting ninth.  Obviously Jackie isn’t THIS good (who is?) but he is answering the question of whether the bat will play pretty conclusively.  The rest of the lineup is generally going pretty well.  Let’s start with the question of what will these guys do the rest of the year.  There are any number of ways but for simplicity sake I’m going with FanGraphs wOBA calculation (based on ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: May 13, 2016 at 11:06 AM | 21 comment(s)
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Thursday, May 12, 2016

In Praise of the Coaching Staff

The Red Sox made it 14 out of 19 with a third straight vaporizing of the Athletics.  In that stretch they are averaging 6.4 runs/game and on the season only the Cubs are averaging more than the Sox’ 5.8 runs/game.  On the mound the Sox are not quite as effective but it seems that there are good performances more than bad with just a couple of weak links ($45 million worth of weak links in Buchholz and Price) dragging the outcomes down.

What strikes me looking at this team is that I feel like I ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: May 12, 2016 at 09:29 AM | 3 comment(s)
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Sunday, May 08, 2016

It Ain’t Never Dull in the Bronx

The Sox had a frustrating weekend finished off with a terrific victory on the back of an absolute gem from Steven Wright.  It was not a weekend without talking points and to get us rolling to start the week I thought I’d address a few things;

- Friday was as frustrating a loss as the Sox have had in an awfully long time.  They left 13 men on base and to say they were frustrated with the strike zone is an understatement.  On the whole I think Kulpa was consistent though not particularly good ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: May 08, 2016 at 10:42 PM | 6 comment(s)
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Thursday, May 05, 2016

Talkin’ Baseball

With a month of baseball in the books I thought this might be a useful time to dig into the biggest decision the Boston Red Sox have made in the past nine months; that’s right, the decision to replace Don Orsillo with Dave O’Brien.  Obviously we all have our opinions of the people involved and with the season rolling I’ve got some observations and thoughts.  I’m sure you do too.

Dave O’Brien: Let’s start with this, Obie is very very good as an announcer.  If you built a generic announcer you ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: May 05, 2016 at 01:30 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy

Monday, May 02, 2016

Three Questions: May 2016

Three Questions: May 2016

1. Is it time to cut Buchholz loose?

2. Who are the 2016 All-Stars among position players on this team?

3. Which is more likely this season: the Red Sox remain in first place, or the Yankees remain in last place?

Sunday, May 01, 2016

Gettin’ It Done

OK, so the Sunday night games were a bit harrowing and not all is perfect but your FIRST PLACE RED SOX (going to enjoy it while I can) wrapped up a nice stretch of 8-2 baseball with a thriller on Sunday night.  It is easy to say the competition, the slumping Astros, the pitiful Braves and the last place Yankees (going to enjoy that one while I can too), was not good but 8-2 is 8-2.

What is encouraging is the contributions are getting throughout the roster.  Guys like Mookie, the red hot ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: May 01, 2016 at 11:29 PM | 28 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Happy (Belated) Anniversary Tim

21 years and 1 day ago the Boston Red Sox signed a guy who posted a 5.84 ERA in AAA Buffalo the previous season.  All Tim Wakefield did is dominate the American League for the next several months and by the time he was done he had won more games than all but two Red Sox pitchers in the 111 year history of the club.

Wednesday the Sox sent Wake’s spiritual descendant to the mound in the form of Steven Wright.  All Wright has done in 2016 is be arguably the best pitcher on the club.  With David ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: April 27, 2016 at 09:34 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Related News: sox therapy

Sunday, April 24, 2016

Guys Who Are Not Major Leaguers

I figure we need a bit of a minor league thread to go along with the Major League one, don’t you?  Today I’m going to go with a bit of a gimmick and just pick a guy at each position I feel like focusing on.  In all seriousness I could just say “hey, look at Hi A Salem” because the collection of talent there is pretty amazing but I’m an equal opportunity guy (all stats through Saturday).

1B - Josh Ockimey - Greenville - I saw Ockimey a few times in Lowell last year and at the very least he ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: April 24, 2016 at 06:14 PM | 76 comment(s)
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Thursday, April 21, 2016

We Still Know Nothin’

No I didn’t go anywhere, why do you ask?

So the Sox are a couple weeks into the season and so far…I don’t think we know anything particularly new.  When the season began I felt this was an 83-79, third place team.  I like the offense but I had concerns about a few of the down order hitters and I was more troubled about the bullpen than most people.  I was confident in Craig Kimbrel of course but 41 year old guys are always question marks, Junichi Tazawa has slowed down badly in three of the ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: April 21, 2016 at 11:59 AM | 74 comment(s)
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Monday, April 01, 2013

So long

This is an explanation of the disappearing content from Sox Therapy and an announcement of a new blog, Replacement Level Red Sox ( Darren, Jose, Matt(bert) and I have decided to start a blog, and we are moving our blogging over there. It’s been great writing here at Sox Therapy, thanks to Jim for giving up the platform and the opportunity, thanks to y’all for making this community a fun place to write. We just felt that we’d like to take a shot at blogging at a ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: April 01, 2013 at 08:33 AM | 13 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Monday, March 18, 2013

Opening Day Roster

Lots of Sox Therapy posts lately but I’ll add another one since with Opening Day just two weeks away I think it’s time we had an Opening Day Roster thread.  Things are starting to fall into shape with injuries and performances clearing up some open questions.  David Ortiz’ injury is the one that’s going to get the headlines but with yesterday’s story about Stephen Drew I think we have to acknowledge that our Opening Day shortstop is going to be someone other than Drew.

...
Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: March 18, 2013 at 10:26 AM | 85 comment(s)
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Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Our Big Papi Problem

I really don’t want to think about a Boston Red Sox season where our lineup isn’t anchored by Big Papi.  I am currently not going to, because I think the best interpretation of what we know if that this isn’t the biggest problem ever.  The current shut down, as reported, is not either a major new injury or a failed recovery of the same major injury – it looks like an injury cascade where the Achilles pain led Ortiz to change his stride, which then in turn led to heel problem.  This ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: March 12, 2013 at 07:24 AM | 17 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Sunday, March 10, 2013

Jose Ruins Careers at the Fort

I hope everyone in Massachusetts enjoyed the foot of snow last week.  If it makes you feel better it was a bit windy today when I stepped out of the pool and I caught a bit of a chill.  Brrrrr.

I have been able to brave the elements and get to a few Spring Training games so far and as always it is a ton of fun.  The week started on a bit of a maudlin note as I walked through the retired numbers section in front of JetBlue Park and passed Johnny Pesky’s number 6.  John hasn’t been an active ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: March 10, 2013 at 03:52 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy, spring training

Wednesday, March 06, 2013

John Farrell and the Shift Defense

The largest change in baseball strategy over the last decade has been the radically increased use of the shift defense in the past two years.  This was pointed out in a Bill James Online article by John Dewan early in 2012.  Farrell’s Blue Jays were among the earliest adopters of the shift, reportedly due to the influence of 3rd base coach Brian Butterfield.  Butterfield has moved to Boston with Farrell, and we can expect the shift to make the trek east as well.  He may be actually taking it ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: March 06, 2013 at 07:53 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Saturday, February 23, 2013

Spring Training Game Thread

The Red Sox are on NESN and MLBtv.  Right now!

Want to talk about the ballgame?

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: February 23, 2013 at 01:37 PM | 221 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Friday, February 22, 2013

Shane Victorino and the Stat Heads

Everyone on the internet hates Shane Victorino.  Shane Victorino has a strong statistical profile based on basic stathead number crunching.  This is a conundrum to me.  Let’s take point one as given. For point two, consider VORP.  There is no more perfect stathead stat than VORP.  It reduces all baseball events to simple run value.  It loves OBP and slugging, it doesn’t care about clutch, it only values high-percentage base stealing.  It doesn’t try to quantify defense, but includes a ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: February 22, 2013 at 01:52 PM | 54 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Close Reading Rainbow

The big Francona/Shaughnessy tell-some book on Tito’s tenure in Boston will be available for purchase in a week, so its juiciest sections are getting the usual pre-publication flogging on sports media.  It looks like Sports Illustrated will be publishing longer excerpts soon, but a few bits have been made available already.  (The best run-down is probably in Gordon Edes’ piece on ESPN Boston.)  My reaction is mostly that if this is the worst that Shaughnessy could coax from Tito, then Tito is ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: January 16, 2013 at 08:55 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Wednesday, January 09, 2013

Minor Help

Not So Nasty Nate made a comment the other day about the Sox’ lack of depth on the corners that resonated with me.  I got to thinking about some players who are a bit off the radar and might contribute in 2013.  I’m pretty geared up for my Spring Training trip (52 days!) so count this as a little list of non-big name guys I’m hoping to check out somewhat closely while I’m there (thus ending their careers in the process).  Plus, a thread that isn’t all-Hall of Fame all the time seems useful;

...
Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: January 09, 2013 at 01:15 PM | 94 comment(s)
  Related News: minor leagues, red sox, sox therapy

Monday, December 17, 2012

A Hundred Fifty Million Dollars for This

Feel free to read “this” either uninflected as if followed by a colon, or in italics with a full sneer.

The Sox have pretty much completed their 25-man roster.  There’s a small chance they’ll trade Ellsbury, and there’s a good chance they’ll trade a catcher and a reliever (or relievers) to clear up some logjams.  They might add a 1B/LF type for the last spot on the bench and let Jerry Sands have another year in AAA, and they could add a platoon LF in place of Nava or Kalish.  With ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: December 17, 2012 at 11:25 AM | 136 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Monday, December 10, 2012

Everyone Else in the AL East is Terrible

I figure most of y’all saw that SG did his first run of team projections based on CAIRO and showed a four-team dead heat in the AL East.  The Sox at 84 wins trailed ever so slightly the Yankees at 85 and the Rays and Jays at 86.  While it’s of course too early, it seems pretty unlikely that anyone’s going to project to run away with the AL East.  The Yankees could still remember that they’re the New York Yankees, but they seem pretty locked in to this unnecessary two-year rebuild.  The ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: December 10, 2012 at 03:57 PM | 173 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Tuesday, December 04, 2012

All-Around Players: Still Undervalued

The most recent Sox free agent news on the twitters is that the Sox are the favorites to sign Shane Victorino.  Robothal reports they’ve offered 3/38, pretty much identical to the Napoli contract.  The 2012 free agent market featured a bunch of players who produce value at the plate, on the bases, and in the field, without being particularly elite in any aspect of the game.  Victorino remains unsigned, while Upton and Pagan signed for 5/75 and 4/40, both less than I was expecting. 

...
Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: December 04, 2012 at 04:33 PM | 38 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Friday, November 23, 2012

Sign Mike Napoli (to a reasonable contract)

It’s been twitter-reported by Jim Bowden that the Sox are in on Mike Napoli but he wants a fourth guaranteed year before he’ll sign.  I assume Napoli is looking for a contract in the range of $10-15M per season.  I’m not so much sold on that fourth guaranteed year, as Napoli is a bad body hitter with old player skills.  But I’m going to get to the part where I contradict myself later.  I begin with the case for Mike Napoli.

First, he’s one heck of a hitter.  Napoli has hit ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: November 23, 2012 at 02:07 PM | 59 comment(s)
  Related News: mike napoli, red sox, sox therapy, tangotiger

Thursday, November 08, 2012

Full Count » For John Farrell and Juan Nieves, a working relationship 25 years in the making

Sounds like a perfect fit for the Red Sox.

That track record and the level of comfort between him and Farrell convinced the Sox that Nieves was the top choice among the four finalists (Rick Peterson, Randy St. Claire, Steve Foster and Nieves).

“We felt like we had four strong candidates that came in, each with their own talents and abilities, but we felt like Juan’s match to the staff that we currently have in place was a very good one,” said Farrell. “There’s a number of pitchers who ...

Jim Furtado Posted: November 08, 2012 at 08:13 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Sunday, November 04, 2012

Keury De La Cruz And Shiny New Toys | FanGraphs Baseball

A nice write-up on Keury De La Cruz.

Entering the 2012 season, Red Sox prospect Keury De La Cruz was a relative unknown after two years of modest production in short season baseball. At 20, De La Cruz burst onto the prospect scene by posting a .308/.352/.536 line in the South Atlantic League before earning a late season promotion. Is De La Cruz a legitimate prospect? Sure, but the amount of hype he has received due to coming out of nowhere is a phenomenon repeated every winter. The names change, ...

Jim Furtado Posted: November 04, 2012 at 09:03 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Thursday, November 01, 2012

Everyone is an injury risk

Darren’s last post made me reflective.  I’ve definitely been in a sort of instinctive cringing position evaluating possible Red Sox free agent and trade targets.  Everything has gone wrong for the Red Sox recently with their major league acquisitions.  It’s not crazy that I’d react that way.  But there is a point at which it gets irrational, at which it detracts from analysis rather than adding a useful anti-fanboy factor.

I think this is particularly important with regard to ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: November 01, 2012 at 09:17 AM | 36 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Sunday, October 21, 2012

Meet the New Boss

The Red Sox have reportedly completed a trade for John Farrell to manage the club next year, and most likely into the future.  Expectations for 2013 are relatively low, and the Sox have committed talent to acquiring Farrell, so it seems likely this is our manager for a few years.  Farrell, of course, was the Red Sox pitching coach from 2007-2010 before Toronto hired him to manage their club.  I wanted to take a quick look at Farrell’s managerial stats from Toronto, to see what sort of ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: October 21, 2012 at 10:18 AM | 41 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Thursday, October 18, 2012

2013 Payroll and Roster: Money for Something

The offseason has already begun for the Red Sox with managerial interviews scheduled.  I have no opinion on these interview, as it seems like the Red Sox are mostly interviewing the traditional class of “yeah, he’s probably a guy who’ll get a managerial job” plus some former Sox coaches.  This is an upgrade over the ridiculousness of the Valentine search, and pretty much anyone with coaching experience above the Babe Ruth level would be an upgrade over Valentine in the dugout.  But ...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: October 18, 2012 at 09:53 AM | 85 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

Thursday, October 04, 2012

Manager Decision - Looking Ahead

What we have known for months became official today as the Sox fired Bobby Valentine.  Of course now the Sox have to set to the business of hiring a new guy.  The John Henry ownership team has engaged in two prolonged manager searches in their tenure (Little was a rush job so I don’t include him).  The first time they hit a home run with Terry Francona and last winter they lined into a triple play with Bobby Valentine.  Presumably neither of those outcomes is likely this time with the hope ...

Jose is an Absurd Doubles Machine Posted: October 04, 2012 at 01:27 PM | 48 comment(s)
  Related News: managers, red sox, sox therapy

Surveying the Wreckage One Last Time: Did September Happen?

The season ended in proper fashion over the last six days.  The Red Sox were soundly beaten by the Orioles and Yankees, getting blown out early and coughing up late leads when they managed to start a game well.  Daisuke Matsuzaka ended a terribly disappointing Sox career on a fitting note.  Second-tier hopeful prospects like Lavarnway and Iglesias looked overmatched.  Bench players Nava and Ciriaco and Loney played like future bench players.  I watched the games, and I mostly regret the choice. ...Read More...

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: October 04, 2012 at 11:27 AM | 37 comment(s)
  Related News: red sox, sox therapy

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