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— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox
Tag: Sox Therapy
Sunday, April 24, 2016
Guys Who Are Not Major Leaguers
I figure we need a bit of a minor league thread to go along with the Major League one, don’t you? Today I’m going to go with a bit of a gimmick and just pick a guy at each position I feel like focusing on. In all seriousness I could just say “hey, look at Hi A Salem” because the collection of talent there is pretty amazing but I’m an equal opportunity guy (all stats through Saturday).
1B - Josh Ockimey - Greenville - I saw Ockimey a few times in Lowell last year and at the very least he ...Read More...
Thursday, April 21, 2016
We Still Know Nothin’
No I didn’t go anywhere, why do you ask?
So the Sox are a couple weeks into the season and so far…I don’t think we know anything particularly new. When the season began I felt this was an 83-79, third place team. I like the offense but I had concerns about a few of the down order hitters and I was more troubled about the bullpen than most people. I was confident in Craig Kimbrel of course but 41 year old guys are always question marks, Junichi Tazawa has slowed down badly in three of the ...Read More...
Monday, April 01, 2013
This is an explanation of the disappearing content from Sox Therapy and an announcement of a new blog, Replacement Level Red Sox (www.replacementlevelredsox.com). Darren, Jose, Matt(bert) and I have decided to start a blog, and we are moving our blogging over there. It’s been great writing here at Sox Therapy, thanks to Jim for giving up the platform and the opportunity, thanks to y’all for making this community a fun place to write. We just felt that we’d like to take a shot at blogging at a ...Read More...
Monday, March 18, 2013
Opening Day Roster
Lots of Sox Therapy posts lately but I’ll add another one since with Opening Day just two weeks away I think it’s time we had an Opening Day Roster thread. Things are starting to fall into shape with injuries and performances clearing up some open questions. David Ortiz’ injury is the one that’s going to get the headlines but with yesterday’s Boston.com story about Stephen Drew I think we have to acknowledge that our Opening Day shortstop is going to be someone other than Drew....Read More...
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
Our Big Papi Problem
I really don’t want to think about a Boston Red Sox season where our lineup isn’t anchored by Big Papi. I am currently not going to, because I think the best interpretation of what we know if that this isn’t the biggest problem ever. The current shut down, as reported, is not either a major new injury or a failed recovery of the same major injury – it looks like an injury cascade where the Achilles pain led Ortiz to change his stride, which then in turn led to heel problem. This ...Read More...
Sunday, March 10, 2013
Jose Ruins Careers at the Fort
I hope everyone in Massachusetts enjoyed the foot of snow last week. If it makes you feel better it was a bit windy today when I stepped out of the pool and I caught a bit of a chill. Brrrrr.
I have been able to brave the elements and get to a few Spring Training games so far and as always it is a ton of fun. The week started on a bit of a maudlin note as I walked through the retired numbers section in front of JetBlue Park and passed Johnny Pesky’s number 6. John hasn’t been an active ...Read More...
Wednesday, March 06, 2013
John Farrell and the Shift Defense
The largest change in baseball strategy over the last decade has been the radically increased use of the shift defense in the past two years. This was pointed out in a Bill James Online article by John Dewan early in 2012. Farrell’s Blue Jays were among the earliest adopters of the shift, reportedly due to the influence of 3rd base coach Brian Butterfield. Butterfield has moved to Boston with Farrell, and we can expect the shift to make the trek east as well. He may be actually taking it ...Read More...
Saturday, February 23, 2013
Spring Training Game Thread
The Red Sox are on NESN and MLBtv. Right now!
Want to talk about the ballgame?
Friday, February 22, 2013
Shane Victorino and the Stat Heads
Everyone on the internet hates Shane Victorino. Shane Victorino has a strong statistical profile based on basic stathead number crunching. This is a conundrum to me. Let’s take point one as given. For point two, consider VORP. There is no more perfect stathead stat than VORP. It reduces all baseball events to simple run value. It loves OBP and slugging, it doesn’t care about clutch, it only values high-percentage base stealing. It doesn’t try to quantify defense, but includes a ...Read More...
Wednesday, January 16, 2013
Close Reading Rainbow
The big Francona/Shaughnessy tell-some book on Tito’s tenure in Boston will be available for purchase in a week, so its juiciest sections are getting the usual pre-publication flogging on sports media. It looks like Sports Illustrated will be publishing longer excerpts soon, but a few bits have been made available already. (The best run-down is probably in Gordon Edes’ piece on ESPN Boston.) My reaction is mostly that if this is the worst that Shaughnessy could coax from Tito, then Tito is ...Read More...
Wednesday, January 09, 2013
Not So Nasty Nate made a comment the other day about the Sox’ lack of depth on the corners that resonated with me. I got to thinking about some players who are a bit off the radar and might contribute in 2013. I’m pretty geared up for my Spring Training trip (52 days!) so count this as a little list of non-big name guys I’m hoping to check out somewhat closely while I’m there (thus ending their careers in the process). Plus, a thread that isn’t all-Hall of Fame all the time seems useful;...Read More...
Monday, December 17, 2012
A Hundred Fifty Million Dollars for This
Feel free to read “this” either uninflected as if followed by a colon, or in italics with a full sneer.
The Sox have pretty much completed their 25-man roster. There’s a small chance they’ll trade Ellsbury, and there’s a good chance they’ll trade a catcher and a reliever (or relievers) to clear up some logjams. They might add a 1B/LF type for the last spot on the bench and let Jerry Sands have another year in AAA, and they could add a platoon LF in place of Nava or Kalish. With ...Read More...
Monday, December 10, 2012
Everyone Else in the AL East is Terrible
I figure most of y’all saw that SG did his first run of team projections based on CAIRO and showed a four-team dead heat in the AL East. The Sox at 84 wins trailed ever so slightly the Yankees at 85 and the Rays and Jays at 86. While it’s of course too early, it seems pretty unlikely that anyone’s going to project to run away with the AL East. The Yankees could still remember that they’re the New York Yankees, but they seem pretty locked in to this unnecessary two-year rebuild. The ...Read More...
Tuesday, December 04, 2012
All-Around Players: Still Undervalued
The most recent Sox free agent news on the twitters is that the Sox are the favorites to sign Shane Victorino. Robothal reports they’ve offered 3/38, pretty much identical to the Napoli contract. The 2012 free agent market featured a bunch of players who produce value at the plate, on the bases, and in the field, without being particularly elite in any aspect of the game. Victorino remains unsigned, while Upton and Pagan signed for 5/75 and 4/40, both less than I was expecting....Read More...
Friday, November 23, 2012
Sign Mike Napoli (to a reasonable contract)
It’s been twitter-reported by Jim Bowden that the Sox are in on Mike Napoli but he wants a fourth guaranteed year before he’ll sign. I assume Napoli is looking for a contract in the range of $10-15M per season. I’m not so much sold on that fourth guaranteed year, as Napoli is a bad body hitter with old player skills. But I’m going to get to the part where I contradict myself later. I begin with the case for Mike Napoli.
First, he’s one heck of a hitter. Napoli has hit ...Read More...
Thursday, November 08, 2012
Sounds like a perfect fit for the Red Sox.
Sunday, November 04, 2012
A nice write-up on Keury De La Cruz.
Thursday, November 01, 2012
Everyone is an injury risk
Darren’s last post made me reflective. I’ve definitely been in a sort of instinctive cringing position evaluating possible Red Sox free agent and trade targets. Everything has gone wrong for the Red Sox recently with their major league acquisitions. It’s not crazy that I’d react that way. But there is a point at which it gets irrational, at which it detracts from analysis rather than adding a useful anti-fanboy factor.
I think this is particularly important with regard to ...Read More...
Sunday, October 21, 2012
Meet the New Boss
The Red Sox have reportedly completed a trade for John Farrell to manage the club next year, and most likely into the future. Expectations for 2013 are relatively low, and the Sox have committed talent to acquiring Farrell, so it seems likely this is our manager for a few years. Farrell, of course, was the Red Sox pitching coach from 2007-2010 before Toronto hired him to manage their club. I wanted to take a quick look at Farrell’s managerial stats from Toronto, to see what sort of ...Read More...
Thursday, October 18, 2012
2013 Payroll and Roster: Money for Something
The offseason has already begun for the Red Sox with managerial interviews scheduled. I have no opinion on these interview, as it seems like the Red Sox are mostly interviewing the traditional class of “yeah, he’s probably a guy who’ll get a managerial job” plus some former Sox coaches. This is an upgrade over the ridiculousness of the Valentine search, and pretty much anyone with coaching experience above the Babe Ruth level would be an upgrade over Valentine in the dugout. But ...Read More...
Thursday, October 04, 2012
Manager Decision - Looking Ahead
What we have known for months became official today as the Sox fired Bobby Valentine. Of course now the Sox have to set to the business of hiring a new guy. The John Henry ownership team has engaged in two prolonged manager searches in their tenure (Little was a rush job so I don’t include him). The first time they hit a home run with Terry Francona and last winter they lined into a triple play with Bobby Valentine. Presumably neither of those outcomes is likely this time with the hope ...Read More...
Surveying the Wreckage One Last Time: Did September Happen?
The season ended in proper fashion over the last six days. The Red Sox were soundly beaten by the Orioles and Yankees, getting blown out early and coughing up late leads when they managed to start a game well. Daisuke Matsuzaka ended a terribly disappointing Sox career on a fitting note. Second-tier hopeful prospects like Lavarnway and Iglesias looked overmatched. Bench players Nava and Ciriaco and Loney played like future bench players. I watched the games, and I mostly regret the choice. ...Read More...
Saturday, September 22, 2012
Minor League Review - The Pitchers
The Sox should be pretty pleased with the performance of their minor league pitchers. While the veterans at the MLB level had rough years it was an encouraging year for a few prospects and The Trade added a little more depth. At the big league level the final numbers were not great but Felix Doubront gave the club cause for optimism.
What I see here is a farm system that has some guys who can either be contributors down the road or pieces if the Sox elect to go for a big trade. This gives ...Read More...
Friday, September 14, 2012
Minor League Review - The Hitters
With the minor league seasons over it seems like a reasonable time for a look at the state of the system. I’m going with the hitters for now and I’ll get to the pitchers later in the week. I figured a position by position look probably makes the most sense. Any reference to a league (e.g. AAA, AA, etc…) is where the player spent the majority of his season unless otherwise noted.
Not an especially strong position for the Sox ...Read More...
Saturday, August 25, 2012
Minor League Update - The ex-Dodgers
We don’t need another thread on this trade but…the heck with it. Plus, if it annoys TVErik a bit, that’s kind of fun (oh we kid because we love). With all the attention on the players we traded and the money gained I think some focus on the players we are getting back is warranted. I ignored Loney because I think it’s a safe assumption that he’s going to have a Red Sox career about as long as Carlos Pena’s.
Rubby de la Rosa – So the first thing I learned is that it’s pronounced ...Read More...
Friday, August 24, 2012
Tossing C4 in the Wreckage: Boom
There are reasonably sourced reports that the Red Sox are trying to give away all of their players to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers apparently placed a waiver claims on Adrian Gonzalez (reasonable) and on Josh Beckett (crazy). Reportedly the Sox are trying to work out a trade in which the Dodgers also take on Carl Crawford. This is bugnuts insane, but also totally fascinating.
As with all trade rumors, you can’t evaluate this based only on the players moving from one team to the ...Read More...
Thursday, August 23, 2012
Surveying the Wreckage II: Underperformance of Stars
When we discuss the stumbling embarrassment that is the 2012 Red Sox, we often start talking about Bobby V, about the dumb trades by the front office, the unprofessionalism of the coaches, the incompetence of the training staff, the Pythagorean record, and so on. And then someone pipes up and says, hey, if Josh Beckett and Jon Lester had ERAs around 3.50, the Sox would be in contention. And they’re mostly right, it’s certainly a good point. My question in this post is, first, how much ...Read More...
Saturday, August 18, 2012
Surveying the Wreckage I: Introductory Thoughts, Injuries
The Red Sox escaped the Orioles series without a sweep, but also without a meaningful chance at making the playoffs. After starting off the decade with two seasons that ranged from boring to painful, the Red Sox have topped (bottomed?) themselves with a truly dire 2012. I am generally the sort of person who responds to bad sports outcomes by going and doing something else, but in this case, I think the crapulence of 2010-2012 is an interesting intellectual problem. These clubs were ...Read More...
Sunday, August 12, 2012
I imagine for a lot of us the interesting portion of the 2012 Boston Red Sox season came to a screeching halt right about the time an Esmil Rogers fastball smashed into the wrist of Will Middlebrooks. While it feels like the good news is gone there is still quite a bit of importance to come.
The fact is that the 2013 Red Sox are heavily represented on the 2012 club and that club should be expected to compete. With that in mind a few things I think are important to pay attention to the next ...Read More...
Wednesday, August 08, 2012
The Long Nothing
The Red Sox currently stand five games out of the second wild card slot. Previous to today’s game, BP gave the Sox an 11% chance at making the playoffs. This number is slightly misleading, though, because most of that 11% chance is comprised of the 10% chance the Sox have of making the wild-card play-in game. I don’t think most fans would consider a one-and-done in the play-in game to be a particularly worthy goal. So if you give the Sox a roughly 50% chance at winning the play-in game, ...Read More...
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The Kids Are or Are Not Alright
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Musta Got Dealt
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The Post Mortem Concludes - Not Players
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Back In The Saddle
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The Post Mortem Continues - The Rotation
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Time To Make Decisions
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Not The Ending We Wanted, But The Future Is Bright
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