Members: Login | Register | Feedback
 
   
Help me settle on my keepers…
Posted: 28 March 2007 12:23 AM   [ Ignore ]
Avatar

OK - all fall, my only decision to make about keepers was whether to keep Josh Barfield at $11 or Josh Johnson at $12 (NL-only).

With neither of them an option, I’m having the damndest time deciding…  Any thoughts?

NL-only, 12 team 5X5 rotisserie style auction, standard $260 team salary… Keep up to 5, sliding 10-8-6-4-2 raises (lowest to highest salary).  I figure my definite keepers are Brian McCann ($10), Brian Fuentes ($10), Andruw Jones ($26), and Lance Berkman ($26). 

For reference purposes - Roy Oswalt was our highest paid pitcher last year ($37).  Pujols went for $46.  Few, few bargains at the end of the auction - I paid $17 for Corey Hart last year because he was simply the best bat left for my utility spot (3 other owners were also sitting on ~15 at the end game).... but I figure $20 or more is too much for Hart (I think he may ultimately end up WORTH 20 - but I’m thinking he’ll go for less than 10).

I figure I have 3 - maybe 4 - scenarios:

Scenario 1 (leaning towards)
Brian McCann $17
Josh Bard $11
Andruw Jones $29
Lance Berkman $29
Brian Fuentes $17
...$28 on catchers - one of whom is a big gamble, but now that Josh Willingham has lost his C eligibility, I think there’s a 1 in 3 shot Bard/McCann are the 2 best offensive catchers in the NL. 

Scenario 2
Brian McCann $19
Brian Fuentes $19
Andruw Jones $31
Lance Berkman $31
Carlos Zambrano $33
Keeping Z bumps everyone else’s salary up 2 - but he could be the most valuable SP in the NL, especially if his improved command this spring carries into the regular season.

Scenario 3
Brian McCann $19
Brian Fuentes $19
Andruw Jones $31
Lance Berkman $31
Luke Scott $11
Scott will start in Houston, or at least have the good half of a platoon - he’ll probably go for ~11 anyway.

Scenario 4
Brian McCann $17
Brian Fuentes $17
Andruw Jones $29
Lance Berkman $29
Josh Johnson $12
I know Johnson is out for at least 6 weeks - maybe 2 months, but I would have paid $12 last year for Johnson’s ~3 months in the rotation had I known then, etc…  maybe he’s still worth keeping, even hurt?


We also have a screwy “long term contract” deal - if you keep a player for 2 straight years, you can offer him a multi-year deal:  +$3 in year one, +$1 for up to 4 additional years.  The salary is “guaranteed” - so it comes out of your $260 except in case of trade (salary stays with the player) - for every year of the deal.  Technically—McCann, Fuentes and Jones are all multi-year deal eligible (Fuentes at 13, McCann at 13, and Jones at 29) - but all 3 are risky long term deals - McCann might be worth it, but I can always give him a long term deal next year and I think I’m better off seeing stay healthy all year and prove the 2nd half power spike was for real.  Fuentes might get dealt, ditto Jones (plus the aging body).

 Signature 

No exile!  No exile!  You\‘re the exile!

Posted: 06 November 2009 12:10 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 1 ]

This thread has been inactive for such a long time. Think topic should be closed by the moderators.


Regards,
rachelzank
Disque dur multimedia