Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Gonfalon Cubs > Discussion
Gonfalon Cubs
— Cubs Baseball for Thinking Fans

Monday, October 24, 2016

Bring on the outsourced 5 minute Indians preview

I haven’t had time to write one of these up yet, but Walt posted this in a comment on the last thread.  I’ll just post what he wrote, and give any of my thoughts in the comments.

I’ve paid very little attention to this team all year but here goes:

Offense is better than the overall numbers look—the overall numbers are dragged down by a mostly terrible bench but the starters are pretty good and they cleaned up one weakness getting Guyer to mash LHP. There’s no stud batter but everybody is a threat except for their horrible Cs (who will now hit 400 for the series). With 3 starting switch-hitters and Guyer (and others) available to PH for Chisenhall or Naquin, they aren’t particularly vulnerable to LHR but you’ll want two for Kipnis who they won’t PH for.**

They led the AL in steals with 134 ... but use the slow-footed Carlos Santana in the leadoff spot which is kinda cool. They take a decent number of walks (4th in the AL), don’t strike out overly much (7th), don’t have a lot of power (10th in HR) ... but, again, those numbers are dragged down by the weak-hitting bench. 34 HRs for Santana and Napoli, 23 for Kipnis and 14 for Naquin in 365 PA are legit power threats.

Defense is OK by Rfield. Mainly everybody is average except for Naquin who is apparently unbelievably awful in CF and Lindor who is apparently excellent at SS.

The rotation of course is a bit of a mess due to injuries. Kluber is outstanding, Bauer is a moron and Timlin is oddly effective. The bullpen looks pretty scary for the Cubs.

Apparently their ballpark is the new Wrigley with a PF around 110 so expect some high-scoring games there ... and maybe don’t freak out if we give up a couple of runs early in a game. Well, freak out less.

Anyway, overall “strategy” looks about the same. Make sure we beat the non-Kluber starters. Working the counts though won’t necessarily be the way to do that, that just gets their killer pen into the game earlier. Ideally we score early off of Bauer et al, not just work them for counts and leave baserunners. If they get good Kluber starts, then the Indians really don’t need more than 2 turns through the lineup out of their other starters.

On the pitching/defense side, the Cubs are pretty much the opposite and want their starters going deep. In that sense, Arrieta may be the key. I assume he’s scheduled for games 2 and 6 and it seems prudent to win at least one of those games. Another key for the Cubs is whether Chapman can be effective in the multi-inning way that Maddon clearly wants to use him.

** In Lester starts, if he needs relieving early, it would be good to bring in a RHP and maybe you get those platoon RHB out of the game. Then they should be quite vulnerable to Monty, Wood, Chapman later.

Wrigley world seres

Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 10:15 AM | 91 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Related News:

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 10:35 AM (#5332779)
Again, thanks, Walt.

I think that on paper, the Dodgers were a slightly better team than Cleveland (I'm not really making much of a league adjustment mentally here). We'll obviously hear a bunch about the bullpen, and in Miller and Allen's case, it's definitely warranted. They use Shaw a lot as well, and although he's had a good playoffs, he's a step down from those 2, but is someone Francona clearly trusts. So if there's a guy you'd hope to go Blanton all over, it's possibly him. The absolute best and scariest part of their pen is really the usage, which Walt touched on. Francona is extremely aggressive in his usage of those bullpen aces, and perhaps the wear the guy out strategy would have a bigger impact on them. If they can run up Miller and Allen's pitch counts, they may be less effective as the series goes on. Their pitching is more susceptible to the long ball than either the Giants or Dodgers were. It's actually a little weird Russell/Rizzo are the only guys with 2 HRs, but the Cubs do have HR from 10 different guys.

Offensively, their baserunning is the scariest part to me; they ranked 3rd in FG's BsR. Unlike the Dodgers, they won't just talk about running; they'll actually run. Davis will start against Lester, and he'll be aiming to steal 2nd and 3rd. They're going to run on Montero during warmups. Ross and Contreras will have to be on top of their games during their starts.

The biggest roster question is obviously Schwarber. I completely understand the desire to have him on as the DH. As a fan, I couldn't be more excited about the possibility. However, I really do wonder how good his timing would be. I completely and utterly trust the Cubs on making that decision; I don't think they'll put him on unless they really believe he's ready to hit. It's not like Soler or Coghlan are really demonstrating that they clearly should be playing.

I don't think the Cubs are likely to need the 12th pitcher, and they didn't even use Zazazazaaztryszay last round, so I think that would be an easy swap. I'd be hesitant to drop a bat for Kyle, just in case you need to PR for him late in a game. Others have pointed out that the roster is a bit unbalanced between IF and OF, but I'm willing to defer to Maddon on preferring Coghlan over LaStella (who really has shown nothing since his mid-season pity retreat).

Rotation hasn't been announced, but I'd assume it goes Lester/Arrieta/Hendricks/Lackey. It's kind of a shame that would deprive Arrieta the chance of hitting, but that's really just a minor style point complaint.

Cubs in 6.
   2. Jose is an Absurd Sultan Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:00 AM (#5332806)
As a Red Sox fan who watched his team get its ass whipped by these guys I'll add a couple of thoughts;

1. Even beyond the base stealing this is a good base running team. Not only are they quick but they are smart. Napoli is an excellent base runner in particular.

2. I never felt out of a game against Allen. He is very good but beatable.

3. Tomlin gets no love for some reason. He's an exasperating pitcher because when he is on his game things are happening very quickly and very badly for the offense.

4. Perez is a terrific defensive catcher. He seems to get good ratings on his pitch framing and he keeps everything in front of him. He won't give up free bases.
   3. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:00 AM (#5332807)
I really should respect Corey Kluber more than I do - he did lead the AL in both ERA+ and FIP afterall - but it feels like getting past both Bumgarner and Kershaw was a taller mountain to climb.

As I said in the Schwarber thread, I think I'm hoping they add him... With the DH for at least two games and Miller as the only real lefty on the Cleveland staff, I think he fits better than anyone else. Granted, Allen and Shaw are decent against LHP -- and I think Otero actually has a reverse split, but I feel a lot more confidant that Schwarber - even a rusty Schwarber - would have a positive impact with the bat. Soler has to stay if only to be the designated PH against Miller, so whether it's back down to 11 pitchers or replacing Coghlan, I'd prefer to have him.

I would think/hope the Cubs/Maddon also consider that Arrieta and Wood are not terrible PH options. Usage and gameflow almost certainly means that Wood probably won't be used as such in all but the oddest of situations, but there's no reason Arrieta can't be looked as a realistic and non-awful bench is empty PHer on his off days.

If the Cubs do keep 12 pitchers, then I really do hope Joe pulls back on the mid-inning relieverorama a bit and consider that there may very well be situations where it would be preferable to use Wood as a PH when he's going to start the next inning anyway.

I think they steal at least one win in Cleveland and win it at home... Cubs in 5.
   4. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:06 AM (#5332813)
I know virtually nothing about this team beyond reading their Baseball-Reference page. Their listed DH, Carlos Santana, is one of their best hitters and also played some 1B during the season (64 games). Am I correct in assuming that Santana plays 1B at Wrigley and Napoli sits? Or is there a way for them to keep both of their bats in the lineup - is Napoli physically incapable of catching anymore, for example, because sweet lord, their catchers are bad hitters?
   5. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:15 AM (#5332822)
I really should respect Corey Kluber more than I do - he did lead the AL in both ERA+ and FIP afterall - but it feels like getting past both Bumgarner and Kershaw was a taller mountain to climb.


Kluber and Bumgarner had the exact same ERA+ according to BB-Ref (149, Cueto was at 147; Lester and Hendricks were both better). I feel the same as you. I know he's good, but don't necessarily think of him as elite. Partly, it's a lack of familiarity, being more of an NL fan; partly, the existence of the DH in the AL makes his raw stats a little worse. And, of course, Madison Bumgarner also has the (mostly earned) reputation as a postseason god, whereas Kluber was the starting pitcher in the Indians' only postseason loss so far this season.

But certainly, the easiest path to a Cubs victory is to win the non-Kluber starts.

Do we have any sense of what the Indians are planning to do beyond Game 3? I assume they're at least toying with the idea of pitching Kluber in Games 1, 4, and 7, but would they do the same w/ Bauer and Tomlin - throw them on short rest in Games 5 and 6?
   6. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:20 AM (#5332826)
There's an off-chance Salazar is back, and if so, he'd probably start game 4. I bet it depends on how the first 3 games go whether they are ok with him or push Kluber.
   7. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:23 AM (#5332829)
And speaking of Schwarber, scouting his ABs on Saturday. Then after the game, this happened, which is cool, since he'd be with the team of the year/playoffs.
   8. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:27 AM (#5332832)
Some bad news - cowboy joe west in on the WS officiating crew.
   9. Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:27 AM (#5332833)
With regard to the offensive "prowess" of Cleveland's catchers, it's worth noting that Roberto Perez was injured for a lot of the season and probably shouldn't have been playing. When Gomes got hurt, the least worst option was to activate Perez and have him do the best he could with the understanding that it wasn't going to be great.

Perez isn't a great hitter (or even a good hitter), but his true offensive talent level is probably closer to the .242/.338/.390 line he put up in '14-'15 than the steaming pile he served up this season. If he's healthy, he's perfectly cromulent.
   10. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:29 AM (#5332834)
If he's healthy, he's perfectly cromulent.


Fair enough. This leads to the obvious follow-up: is he healthy now?
   11. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:30 AM (#5332835)
Some bad news - cowboy joe west in on the WS officiating crew.


Is the World Series assignment merit based? If so, how bad must MLB umpiring be if Cowboy Joe is among the top 6 umpires? If not, why the heck not?
   12. Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:30 AM (#5332836)
Fair enough. This leads to the obvious follow-up: is he healthy now?
That's the squillion dollar question. They've hinted that he is, but I'm not sure they'd tell anyone if he weren't okay.
   13. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:30 AM (#5332837)
Image added. My lord, it's misty in here again.
   14. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:33 AM (#5332839)
Am I correct in assuming that Santana plays 1B at Wrigley and Napoli sits?


That would probably make Mike Napoli the first starting baseman to sit in the NL games in a World Series for two different teams. Make it happen, Tito.

Is the World Series assignment merit based? If so, how bad must MLB umpiring be if Cowboy Joe is among the top 6 umpires? If not, why the heck not?


Cowboy Joe is usually rated quite highly in terms of his balls/strikes, out/safe calls. He's also at the top of the most objectionable human being lists.

   15. Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:39 AM (#5332844)
Am I correct in assuming that Santana plays 1B at Wrigley and Napoli sits?
There's a chance Tito would stick Napoli in LF and tell him to do the best he can out there, particularly given that LF is a bit of a liability already. Neither can catch and I can assure you that the Santana at third base experiment has concluded.

I guess they'd probably be more likely to bench Napoli than Santana, based solely on the fact that Carlos is the leadoff hitter. But I wouldn't be totally stunned if they split time.
   16. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:41 AM (#5332849)
Adding Schwarber mid-season the AFL roster seems rather pointless if he's not going to be added -- if they want him to face some live pitching before spring training, there are ample winter league opportunities.

Increasingly, I feel like the smart money is that he's on the roster.
   17. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:42 AM (#5332851)
Thanks, Dan! I'm glad an Indians fan has ventured in here to give us some insight.
   18. Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:47 AM (#5332857)
Not a problem, Kiko. As I mentioned in the Dugout today, I'm thrilled for the long-suffering Cubs fans, and I can't help but think back to 1995 when the Tribe finally made it to the World Series. It's an awesome feeling and I hope you can all savor it.

I also hope my team wins. But as gutted as I'd be if the Indians lose, I'll at least be able to take solace in being happy for Catuli Nation.
   19. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:47 AM (#5332858)
Increasingly, I feel like the smart money is that he's on the roster.


I agree. I think the downside risk is fairly minimal. The team literally only used 24 players in the NLCS anyway - Zastryzny never pitched. And LaStella in the NLDS and Coghlan in the NLCS played so sparingly that if you blinked you missed them. So, he's not pushing a potentially valuable player off the roster.

And for as much depth as the team has, their DH options aren't necessarily great. Soler is probably their best bench bat, but he doesn't have the platoon advantage and hasn't looked great. Contreras would presumably be available to DH in Games 1, 2, and 6 if he continues to not catch Lester and Arrieta, but he's also a righty and if he's the DH, he's not necessarily available to catch later in the game (he is, but then you lose the DH). And, frankly, the bar for Kyle Schwarber to be a better hitting option than Chris Coghlan is fairly low. Worst case, if he strikes out four times in Game 1 and looks bad doing so, don't start him in Game 2 (and 6 and 7) and make him your last PH option off the bench.
   20. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:53 AM (#5332864)
Carrie Muskat ‏@CarrieMuskat 20m20 minutes ago
#Cubs Schwarber to DH for Mesa Solar Sox today in AZ Fall League. Expected to join team in Cleveland Tuesday for World Series


Glad he'll be with the team either way.

Adding Schwarber mid-season the AFL roster seems rather pointless if he's not going to be added

Not exactly, I mean he was added to see if he was healthy. If he isn't ready, then they burned 8 or so PAs. Still better than what the Mets are doing with Tebow.
   21. Spahn Insane Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:55 AM (#5332867)
Better Joe West than Angel Hernandez. Or Laz Diaz.
   22. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:01 PM (#5332871)
And for as much depth as the team has, their DH options aren't necessarily great. Soler is probably their best bench bat, but he doesn't have the platoon advantage and hasn't looked great. Contreras would presumably be available to DH in Games 1, 2, and 6 if he continues to not catch Lester and Arrieta, but he's also a righty and if he's the DH, he's not necessarily available to catch later in the game (he is, but then you lose the DH). And, frankly, the bar for Kyle Schwarber to be a better hitting option than Chris Coghlan is fairly low. Worst case, if he strikes out four times in Game 1 and looks bad doing so, don't start him in Game 2 (and 6 and 7) and make him your last PH option off the bench.


That's really the key to me -- Soler/Schwarber make the most sense as DHs... neither has any real use except hitting. Using anyone else at DH is somewhat of a wasted resource. For the weekend, they're both one and done PHers...

Schwarber's certainly going to be rusty -- but per both the FG report and another from Jim Callis at BA, he certainly seems close enough. One hanger he mashes into the stands would make it all worthwhile, I think.
   23. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:08 PM (#5332877)
Not exactly, I mean he was added to see if he was healthy. If he isn't ready, then they burned 8 or so PAs. Still better than what the Mets are doing with Tebow.


True -

My understanding of the backstory is that Schwarber basically pleaded his case to the FO just to get the chance. I'm just guessing, but I have to think that once the FO agreed, the bar for Schwarbs get activated is probably pretty low. I'm guessing that just that supposedly well-struck gapper that he got robbed on cleared that bar (I imagine there's all manner of "how does the knee feel" follow-up, but the public statements seem to indicate no worries there).

I wish the Mesa game were available SOMEHOW in ANY form... at least it would give us a way to spend the afternoon.
   24. Infinite Yost (Voxter) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:15 PM (#5332882)
I really should respect Corey Kluber more than I do - he did lead the AL in both ERA+ and FIP afterall - but it feels like getting past both Bumgarner and Kershaw was a taller mountain to climb.


Kluber is a better pitcher than Bumgarner.
   25. Andere Richtingen Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:22 PM (#5332885)
I hate to be that guy, but I am not seeing the Schwarber for DH idea at this point. The linked Fangraphs article supported what I have heard elsewhere, which is that Schwarber has come a long way, but he is not really ready to run. Schwarber might be a three true outcomes guy, but he still needs to be able to get around the bases. At this point I would lean toward rotating (mostly lefty hitters) around for the DH. I'd love to see Schwarber hit against all of these RHP but I need to see evidence that he is ready to take his typical cut, and then run without hurting himself.

In terms of overall base running, the Indians rank third in MLB with 17.1 Fangraphs BsR, but the Cubs are not far behind, ranking fifth at 15.9. The Indians have twice as many SB as the Cubs, but in general terms of turning base running into runs, it looks like the two teams are similar. The Indians have been better at preventing the SB than the Cubs, but not by a large margin, and I think the Cubs have been better with Montero getting less time behind the plate.

The difference is that stealing bases is clearly a part of the Indians offensive game plan, and it works for them. Broadcasters will prattle on about it, particularly when Lester is pitching, but clearly this is something the Cubs are prepared for. Against the top 10 teams in terms of total SB, the Cubs had a record of 56-23 this year (without playing the Indians, of course, and otherwise it is not exactly a list of the best teams in MLB).

   26. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:32 PM (#5332891)
Anytime the MLB.com wants to stop e-mailing me about buying Cubs WS gear at least until the lottery results go out would be fine by me.
   27. Jerry Mumphrey Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:34 PM (#5332892)
Schwarber in place of LaStella -- maybe.

Schwarber in place of Coghlan or Almora -- no way.

Schwarber in place of Heyward -- yes please.
   28. Andere Richtingen Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:38 PM (#5332895)
I would like some assurance that Schwarber can at least be Miguel Montero as a DH. Because the Cubs already have a Miguel Montero who could be a DH.
   29. Meatwad Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:45 PM (#5332900)
I know that feeling zonk, I keep checking my email hoping for that golden ticket
   30. BDC Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:48 PM (#5332903)
Just to add to the various notes on the Indians, they improved a lot after a mediocre start. When the season began they had Marlon Byrd and Jose Uribe in the starting lineup, and not to be unkind to those guys, watching them was like a preview of an old-timers' game. They finished May at 26-24 but went 68-43 the rest of the way. Of course along that way they lost nearly their entire starting staff, so they should by rights be worse than they were in April, but here they are, anyway …
   31. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 12:49 PM (#5332904)
Since Jerry mentioned Heyward. So, with the Indians having all right-handed starting pitchers, I expect Jason Heyward to start every game. Are people okay with that?

I think I would prefer to see Almora starting every game. Honestly, I think the Cubs' Game 6 lineup against Kershaw was my favorite lineup of the postseason - Almora in RF, Contreras at C.

My concern w/ starting Heyward is that the time when you're most going to want to pinch hit for him - in a close game when Andrew Miller is on the mound - is the precise time when you're going to most want Heyward to stay in the game for his lockdown late-inning defense in a close game. Granted, you could bring Almora in for defense and you don't lose that much in RF, but you lose the opportunity to use Almora as a defensive replacement, then, in LF.

I'm going to try not to ##### about Heyward starting every game if he does. He has his obvious strengths and Maddon knows what he's doing. But I really liked what they did in Game 6 (lineup / late inning defense; obviously, I loved the 5 runs off of Kershaw, the 2-hit shutout, and the 3 DP's, too) and would love to see more of it.
   32. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 01:00 PM (#5332914)
Well, the saving grace for Heyward is that I don't think any of the Cleveland starters feature a big fastball -- Kluber's out pitch is a big curve. I suppose Bauer probably has the best heat amongst them.

Tomlin, of course, probably throws about as hard as Hendricks if that.

Coming out of the AL, the Indians staff is probably as good a Heyward matchup as he/we could hope for... but that's not saying a whole lot.
   33. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 01:15 PM (#5332920)
Schwarber in place of Coghlan or Almora -- no way.

This doesn't make a lick of sense.

Anyway...there really isn't any reason to prefer Almora in RF to Heyward against a righty. I mean, Heyward's all sorts of messed up, but Almora's bat is far from a sure thing, and as good as he is defensively I don't think he's as good as Heyward today, mainly because he hasn't played enough in RF. To get Contreras's bat in the lineup, you could shift Zobrist to RF, but again, you're OF corner defense takes a pretty big hit; even bigger if you put Soler in either corner. Considering the strength of the Indians is their pitching, I think you have to plan for low-scoring, and go with the defense first option. In that case, you start Heyward, PH for him against Miller (in preferred order of Contreras on his 4 non-C days, Soler, Ross, then Almora), and have Almora play defense late. I keep talking about PR, but that hasn't mattered yet, but you think it will finally have to matter if Schwarber does play.
   34. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 01:19 PM (#5332923)
Anytime the MLB.com wants to stop e-mailing me about buying Cubs WS gear at least until the lottery results go out would be fine by me.

The website says the opportunity to register ends at noon today (though it's said it was closed all morning), but TBD on email for tickets. I'm guessing the email goes out later today or first thing tomorrow, and tickets are on sale Wednesday at noon. For the NLDS, they emailed the winners at 5:48pm 2 days before the sale; for NLCS it was at 3:26pm 1 day before the sale.

So, you probably have to wait a couple more hours.
   35. Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 01:23 PM (#5332927)
I suppose Bauer probably has the best heat amongst them.
Yeah, if you don't count Salazar (who may or may not pitch), Bauer throws the hardest.

On the whole, Kluber's fastball is probably better than Bauer's fastball because at least the Klubot knows where it's going. But it's not thrown as hard as Bauer's heater.
   36. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 01:27 PM (#5332929)
Last I heard, Dan - I was under the impression that if Salazar got added, they would likely use him out of the bullpen... still the plan or would they start him with the idea that 5 innings is probably his limit?
   37. Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 01:55 PM (#5332945)
I've heard bullpen too, but there are so many moving parts here: How's Bauer's finger? Does his drone need more maintenance? If the Cubs win the first two games in Cleveland, does Tito do something crazy in Game Four like Salazar plus Johnny Wholestaff? Will they push Tomlin and Bauer to go on short rest, or will a fourth starter be necessary?

My understanding is that the tentative plan is Salazar out of the bullpen, but I guess I wouldn't rule anything out.
   38. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 02:12 PM (#5332954)
If the Cubs win the first two games in Cleveland, does Tito do something crazy in Game Four like Salazar plus Johnny Wholestaff?


I don't know how deep the Indians' bench is (beyond not wanting to have their backup catcher pinch hit), but I think it makes more sense to do a bullpen game in Chicago than in Cleveland. You just pinch hit for the pitcher every time he comes up, and, in theory, you get a slight offensive advantage over the Cubs having their starting pitcher bat 2 or 3 times.
   39. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 02:30 PM (#5332962)
Already posted it in the Scchwarber thread --

BUt if you want to get a look for yourself, MLB Pipeline will be streaming the Mesa game coming up in about an hour...
   40. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 02:50 PM (#5332979)
Thank you for registering for the chance to purchase tickets to Cubs 2016 postseason games to be played at Wrigley Field. Unfortunately, your entry was not selected in this random drawing for World Series tickets.


NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
   41. Meatwad Posted: October 24, 2016 at 02:55 PM (#5332985)
Damn I didnt get it.
   42. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 02:56 PM (#5332988)
Ditto.

Now where did I put that link to sell a kidney on the black market...
   43. Weeks T. Olive Posted: October 24, 2016 at 03:00 PM (#5332990)
No luck for me this time either.
   44. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: October 24, 2016 at 03:01 PM (#5332991)
My understanding is that the tentative plan is Salazar out of the bullpen, but I guess I wouldn't rule anything out.


They've got to feel a little more comfortable now to call on Merritt for one short start, I'd think.
   45. Andere Richtingen Posted: October 24, 2016 at 03:11 PM (#5332996)
I too drew a blank on the ticket lottery.
   46. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 03:30 PM (#5333005)
No luck for me this time either.


Ditto.

My wife is of the very strong opinion that "this is history, we have to go". I asked her how much she'd be willing to spend per ticket (note: we also have two sons, so this is times 4), and her response was, "I don't know, it's history: $10,000, maybe $15,000". It's very weird for her to be willing to spend at least twice what I'd be willing to spend for a baseball game.

That said, I just bought 4 tickets in section 204, row 14 for Saturday night. For about one-fourth of what she was willing to pay.
   47. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 24, 2016 at 03:35 PM (#5333012)
That's really cool. And it appears you still got a pretty decent deal. Best deal I've seen in a single in section 427, row 1 for $3k. Although I just saw a SRO for under $1700.

---

Also kinda cool:
Christopher Kamka ‏@ckamka 9m9 minutes ago
Jon Lester will be first pitcher to start Game 1 of LDS, LCS and World Series in more than one #postseason
   48. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 03:48 PM (#5333019)
That's really cool. And it appears you still got a pretty decent deal. Best deal I've seen in a single in section 427, row 1 for $3k. Although I just saw a SRO for under $1700.


It was a really good price. And it's going to be awesome to be there. But, as I just told my wife, I kind of have to get over the, "I just spent HOW much money!?" for the excitement to really take center stage.
   49. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 05:27 PM (#5333082)
Salazar officially added for the Tribe.

Carrie Muskat reports that the Schwarber decision won't be made until tomorrow morning (rosters due 9 AM, I think). Caught his first two PAs -- grounded out sharply on his first PA, lined out into the shift on the 2nd.

   50. Andere Richtingen Posted: October 24, 2016 at 05:33 PM (#5333084)
If anyone finds a deal like the one Kiko got for four tickets, I, and I am sure many here, would be glad to pitch in to complete the foursome.
   51. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: October 24, 2016 at 05:50 PM (#5333088)
If anyone finds a deal like the one Kiko got for four tickets, I, and I am sure many here, would be glad to pitch in to complete the foursome.

If Stub Hub is any indication, you'll be better off flying to Cleveland. For G2 you can get upper deck seats between $900-1000. For G3 in Chicago, you're looking at $2800 bucks for upper deck.

I think the most I ever paid for baseball tickets was $500 a piece. I think that's still my limit.
   52. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 24, 2016 at 06:42 PM (#5333103)
I just can't see going over $2K.... Strongly considering a roadtrip to Cleveland -- that's what, a 5-6 hour drive? Figure need a hotel one night, probably rent a car, I'd be fine with an SRO -- so I suppose I'd be looking at a $12-1500 pricetag in total?

I wish I could just know what'll happen with games 1 & 2.

I allotted myself a grand - with the idea that if worst came to worse, I'd probably go up to 1500 but that doesn't appear to be in the cards.

I suppose some lottery tix will start entering the mix now, but anything that goes up under 2 grand seems to get snapped up pretty quickly.

   53. Kiko Sakata Posted: October 24, 2016 at 06:46 PM (#5333104)
Strongly considering a roadtrip to Cleveland -- that's what, a 5-6 hour drive?


Cleveland's probably a 6-hour drive. You may want to look at getting a hotel a couple of hours away - Toledo? I read somewhere that some Cleveland-area hotels have jacked up their prices for the relevant nights.
   54. Spahn Insane Posted: October 24, 2016 at 07:38 PM (#5333124)
That said, I just bought 4 tickets in section 204, row 14 for Saturday night. For about one-fourth of what she was willing to pay.

That's the home game I don't have tickets for, but I suspect I'll find a TV or two in Chicago where I might be able to take in game 4.
   55. Spahn Insane Posted: October 24, 2016 at 07:40 PM (#5333126)
Cleveland's probably a 6-hour drive.

Sounds about right. Cleveland's 345 miles from Chicago; I'm 300 almost on the nose and it takes me 5.

Don't take the damn Bishop Ford....that asphalt work they're doing has slowed things to a crawl, as I discovered leaving town yesterday. Take the Skyway/IN toll road.

   56. Meatwad Posted: October 24, 2016 at 08:56 PM (#5333155)
Toll road has some work being done as well.
   57. Cabbage Posted: October 24, 2016 at 09:35 PM (#5333161)
I just can't see going over $2K.... Strongly considering a roadtrip to Cleveland -- that's what, a 5-6 hour drive? Figure need a hotel one night, probably rent a car, I'd be fine with an SRO -- so I suppose I'd be looking at a $12-1500 pricetag in total?


Road trips to Cleveland fall into my area of expertise.

1) 6 hours unless kids or traffic. Less if you stay on the West side, or live south suburbs.
2) Indiana rest stops are terrible. Hold it until Ohio.
3) Ohio City is a good neighborhood to stay in, fun part of the town. Lots of good bars/restaurants
4) The Great Lakes brewery has a cheap shuttle to/from the game. Very good beer, very decent food.
   58. McCoy Posted: October 24, 2016 at 10:25 PM (#5333179)
I have a feeling that I might end up plunking down a couple thousand dollars to go to a game. If it were to happen it would be game 5.
   59. chisoxcollector Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:19 PM (#5333192)
I'm really happy for those of you attending at least one game, and urge anybody that is on the fence to go for it. I really regret not flying up to Chicago for one of the WS games in 2005. One of the biggest regrets of my life.
   60. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: October 24, 2016 at 11:58 PM (#5333206)
Man, I need to get in another line of work. Dropping a couple grand on a ticket to a ball game, even one as historic as these ones, is something I don't think I could get away with unless I planned to spend the following months riding the rails after being evicted from my apartment.
   61. Quaker Posted: October 25, 2016 at 12:11 AM (#5333214)
Are y'all meeting up for any of these games? I haven't been back to Chi since '09, but I'm debating flying in for the weekend and maybe even going to one of the games, financially reckless though that may be.
   62. Slivers of Maranville descends into chaos (SdeB) Posted: October 25, 2016 at 08:12 AM (#5333248)
I wonder if the Cubs have considered proposing to the White Sox to put the games on the videoboard there, selling tickets and splitting the proceeds with the Sox. I bet you could fill half the park at $20 a pop.
   63. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 25, 2016 at 09:24 AM (#5333271)
Toll road has some work being done as well.


Yeah, meat -- been up to your neck of the woods a couple of times for family stuff over the summer/fall, and I gotta say -- for the first time in my life, I think that BOTH I-94 and I-90 are worse in NW Indiana than in Chicago/NE Illinois... It's just painful to get past Valporaiso -- and what's with I-94? Seems like it's been 'under construction' for 5 years now and I only rarely see anything actually being done. Grrrrr...

Anyway, game 3 SROs now down to 1925 (woo-hoo?!?!?) and the supply seems steady, if growing a bit. My brother wanted to meet in Cleveland and a buddy who IS making the drive with his son offered me an in-law's couch (unclear if that was an offer made with their blessing!). I think I'm going to hold my decision till after Wednesday. Hopefully, the Cubs can at least split the first two (I'll gladly take a nice, easy 4 game sweep even if it means the supply curve for tix stays flat). That might perhaps drop game 3 a bit further, which looks like the best target. If it goes 6 or 7 - I've already informed work that I will be traveling... hopefully, Prog field or whatever it's called now stays in the more reasonable triple digits in that case.
   64. Sweet Posted: October 25, 2016 at 09:58 AM (#5333292)
If anyone finds a deal like the one Kiko got for four tickets, I, and I am sure many here, would be glad to pitch in to complete the foursome.

Hi, old-timers. I'm also contemplating flying to Chicago for the weekend. No tickets as of yet, and maybe in the end I won't splurge for them, but I'm definitely happy to contribute to any arrangement of the type Andere mentions, and will keep my eyes and ears open for the same.

At the very least it would be super cool to see some of you guys there, preferably in a drunken celebratory stupor.
   65. villageidiom Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:05 AM (#5333294)
I followed the link about Indians and something being outsourced, and I gotta say, this is not the thread I expected to see.
   66. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:12 AM (#5333302)
I've been checking stubhub hourly --

Game three prices continues to slide in 25 dollar increments -- 1900 now.

Most encouraging, the total number of available tix continues to rise. Game 3 looks like it might be the best option... game 4 prices ain't budging much, if at all.
   67. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:12 AM (#5333303)
Official. Schwarber on the roster, Zazstryzny off. Perfect.

Over/under home runs for series? 1.5 and I take the over.
   68. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:15 AM (#5333304)
Official. Schwarber on the roster, Zazstryzny off. Perfect.


Yup. If Rob Z didn't get into a game against the lefty-heavy dodgers, I see no reason to have him against the Indians.

It was driving me crazy watching (and then re-watching... and re-watching again) MLBN's preview and the manner in which they talked about this... they kept saying Soler would be dropped, maybe Coghlan, and it was just criminally poor insight not to recognize there was an extra pitcher who didn't even get into the last series (in fact, I think he only even warmed up once).
   69. Andere Richtingen Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:20 AM (#5333308)
I am good with Schwarber being on the roster if 1) he is physically capable of doing something with the bat and on the bases and 2) it involves dropping a pitcher they aren't going to use anyway. The Cubs know more than I regarding 1), and 2) is a given.
   70. BDC Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:26 AM (#5333312)
I understand why, but these prices are amazing, both in Chicago and Cleveland. I paid $300 to sit out near a foul pole in the 2010 Series and $400 for a much better seat (third deck, infield) in 2011. DFW had been starved for a World Series too, but its appetite was never as great to start with.
   71. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:29 AM (#5333316)
   72. Sweet Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:31 AM (#5333319)
Get pumped

That link needs a trigger warning. If I get any more pumped, I will explode.
   73. Meatwad Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:31 AM (#5333321)
If the cubs go up 3-1 i may try to get game 6 tickets if they go cheap in case they dont win at home.
   74. Meatwad Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:32 AM (#5333322)
Also, GO CUBS!
   75. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 25, 2016 at 10:54 AM (#5333347)
MORE PUMPAGE

trigger warning for the pregnant, elderly, or those with bad hearts
   76. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: October 25, 2016 at 11:14 AM (#5333377)
It's weird, I find myself not particularly tempted to shell out close to 2 grand for standing room, or even more for a seat. After the sheer perfection that was Saturday from start to finish - waking up feeling like it was going to happen, beautiful weather, good times pregame with BTFers, early lead + dominant Hendricks = no stress in the game, the final outs, and yeah, OK, I guess the service was slow after the game, but even that wasn't really their fault - I guess I feel like I've already had pretty much the ultimate experience. Of course a WS game *might* be even better, but is it $2000 better? And, of course, there's always the chance that you could pay that much money and they could, you know...well, I won't say it, but it's that thing that happens when you don't have as many runs as the other team at the end of 9 innings.

So, my cousin is coming in from LA and he is a well-connected guy, so if he can work some magic, I may get to go. But if not, I'm fine with it. Am I just rationalizing or does that make sense?
   77. Weeks T. Olive Posted: October 25, 2016 at 11:42 AM (#5333414)
MORE PUMPAGE

trigger warning for the pregnant, elderly, or those with bad hearts


Consult your physician if your erection lasts longer than 4 hours.
   78. Weeks T. Olive Posted: October 25, 2016 at 11:44 AM (#5333417)
It's weird, I find myself not particularly tempted to shell out close to 2 grand for standing room, or even more for a seat. After the sheer perfection that was Saturday from start to finish - waking up feeling like it was going to happen, beautiful weather, good times pregame with BTFers, early lead + dominant Hendricks = no stress in the game, the final outs, and yeah, OK, I guess the service was slow after the game, but even that wasn't really their fault - I guess I feel like I've already had pretty much the ultimate experience. Of course a WS game *might* be even better, but is it $2000 better? And, of course, there's always the chance that you could pay that much money and they could, you know...well, I won't say it, but it's that thing that happens when you don't have as many runs as the other team at the end of 9 innings.

So, my cousin is coming in from LA and he is a well-connected guy, so if he can work some magic, I may get to go. But if not, I'm fine with it. Am I just rationalizing or does that make sense?


Exactly where I'm at. Yeah, I'd love to go. But after experiencing Game 6, I'm ok with being overcome with joy elsewhere for this one.
   79. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: October 25, 2016 at 11:50 AM (#5333423)
Consult your physician if your erection lasts longer than 4 hours.

Meh. These days, 4 hours only gets you to about the bottom of the 7th.
   80. Jerry Mumphrey Posted: October 25, 2016 at 11:51 AM (#5333432)
I think putting Schwarbs on in place of Zastryzny is a mistake. Sure, Rob Z didn't get into a game against LA, but only because they were fortunate enough to avoid any long-inning marathon affairs. The Cubs should have kept the extra pitcher and made the tough decision to drop one of their redundant utility IF/OFs. I would keep Coghlan due to his very productive last month and look at Heyward, Soler, or Lastella as being the odd man out.
   81. Weeks T. Olive Posted: October 25, 2016 at 11:53 AM (#5333434)
Meh. These days, 4 hours only gets you to about the bottom of the 7th.


Good Guy Kyle Hendricks.
   82. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 25, 2016 at 11:56 AM (#5333440)
I'm rapidly getting towards the same place -- if prices don't fall another couple hundred dollars, I'll be satiated with what I've gotten and the joy will be no less real outside the confines than in.

Though, hourly SH update -- now starting to see some game 3s fall into the 1700-1800 range and game 4s have finally started to move downward (still 2200+). We're still talking SROs, but it is what it is.

I'll reiterate - if I had my choice, even though a split in Cleveland likely bumps prices for 3 & 4 down a notch - if only by opening up game 5 as a possibility, I'm still very much preferring a nice easy sweep. I also got my fill of drama in the NLDS and NLCS. Sticking with Cubs in 5 - but 4 more wins in a row would be great.

   83. Andere Richtingen Posted: October 25, 2016 at 12:21 PM (#5333476)
MORE PUMP. That's the one I got to see in person in the RF stands -- I can still see it floating over my head, tiny like a passing satellite in space. I thought it was going to be a foul ball.
   84. Andere Richtingen Posted: October 25, 2016 at 12:26 PM (#5333484)
If I could pull it off like I did for the first two games of the NLDS, with an actual seat, and for less than a grand including car, consumables and bed, I would consider going to one of the last three games as possible elimination games. But the logistics suck for me, and like ElRoy, the NLDS games were such a sublime experience, I'd rather let someone else enjoy it.
   85. Slivers of Maranville descends into chaos (SdeB) Posted: October 25, 2016 at 01:04 PM (#5333523)

Over/under home runs for series? 1.5 and I take the over.


I think the Cubs hit more than 1.5 home runs, yes.
   86. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 25, 2016 at 01:05 PM (#5333524)
If the Cubs keep posting these, I feel like I'm going to be escorted out of work.

   87. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 25, 2016 at 01:06 PM (#5333526)
I think the Cubs hit more than 1.5 home runs, yes.

I was obviously talking about Schwarber.

I think putting Schwarbs on in place of Zastryzny is a mistake. Sure, Rob Z didn't get into a game against LA, but only because they were fortunate enough to avoid any long-inning marathon affairs. The Cubs should have kept the extra pitcher and made the tough decision to drop one of their redundant utility IF/OFs. I would keep Coghlan due to his very productive last month and look at Heyward, Soler, or Lastella as being the odd man out.

Yeah, no. LaStella was already the out one out, and Zas barely pitched the last couple of weeks. An appearance by him wouldn't have necessarily been a good thing, and it's not just that he didn't appear, the bullpen as a whole is really, really rested.
   88. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 25, 2016 at 04:14 PM (#5333695)
DAMMIT!

I almost got a serious bargain... During my now-every 15 minute refresh on stubhub -- a pair of REALLY great seats (section 32 - Club Boxes!!!) popped up for game for just a $1000. This is cheaper by 1200 than even SROs! I immediately figured someone made a mistake listing them - forgetting a zero -- but tried to click through the purchase before it could get rectified.... and of course, it got rectified before I could check out.

I wonder what SH does in a situation like that, had I actually been able to complete the purchase before the poster recognized the error?
   89. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: October 25, 2016 at 04:24 PM (#5333699)
I wonder what SH does in a situation like that, had I actually been able to complete the purchase before the poster recognized the error?

I can't imagine you would get the tickets for that price - there wouldn't be a valid purchase contract because the seller never actually intended to make that offer.
   90. Zonk isn't banned, he's under review Posted: October 25, 2016 at 04:34 PM (#5333712)
I can't imagine you would get the tickets for that price - there wouldn't be a valid purchase contract because the seller never actually intended to make that offer.


What if I'd already downloaded them (which I had intended to do the minute I got the opportunity, had it gone through)?

I could see the purchase going through, then SH giving me a call, canceling the transaction, etc if I hadn't yet DL'ed... but seems like they'd be kinda screwed if I already had.

The SH seller FAQ page seems to say that the seller would have been screwed:


If you've made a mistake and your tickets haven’t sold yet, you can delete, deactivate or change your listing at any time.
Remember: You’re responsible for the accuracy of the information in your listings. Always double-check the information the ticket details before listing them.


   91. SouthSideRyan Posted: October 27, 2016 at 10:07 AM (#5335798)
N/M

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
TedBerg
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

Syndicate

Page rendered in 1.5129 seconds
58 querie(s) executed