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Gonfalon Cubs — Cubs Baseball for Thinking Fans Tuesday, March 28, 2017Cleaning up on loose endsAssorted thoughts/comments as Spring Training winds down. - Cubs have said their rotation will start the year as Lester, Arrieta, Lackey, Anderson, Hendricks. I saw a few places try to say Hendricks is the “5th starter”, but it sounds like the order was set mostly on matchups for the first time through, and not having Lester/Anderson pitch in consecutive games
- Maybe the most impressive hitter this spring has been Ian Happ. In 51ABs, Happ is hitting .392/.458/.762, with 5HRs. He’s played at least 2B and LF. While we shouldn’t take much of anything out of spring training stats, based purely on the amount of talk I do wonder if he’s passed Candelario as the first bat option to be called up (60ABs, .233/.292/.350). Perhaps is just matters who they’re replacing, although Maddon did say he thought Happ could play some 3b (though he hasn’t yet with the Cubs). Both will start the year in AAA. - Schwarber has gotten a few starts in RF recently. He played there some in 2015 (notably the WC game in Pitt). Considering Heyward is still struggling (.152/.264/.326), it could be we see more OF time for Zobrist than the Cubs have led on. Zobrist is better than Schwarber in both corners, but we know Maddon will put Schwarber in the easier corner depending on the park. - Almora has had a really nice spring, offensively (.322/.328/.627) and defensively. He hasn’t magically learned to walk yet, but I’m pretty confident he won’t be starting the year in Iowa, which we had speculated was a possibility. That means it’s very possible Szczur is out of a job, and in fact, I’ve seen a couple of rumors suggesting teams are interested in him. - Wade Davis hasn’t pitched much, but has been pretty bad. Maddon publicly has said he’s not worried, but the little I’ve seen of Rondon hasn’t been super encouraging either. I guess the bullpen is one area to keep a close eye on. - Eddie Butler (subscription):
- Both Russell and Zobrist have been banged up off and on all spring, so hopefully they’re healthy come this weekend. Moses Taylor loves a good maim
Posted: March 28, 2017 at 11:09 AM | 22 comment(s)
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1. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: March 28, 2017 at 11:28 AM (#5424700)I hope some of the younger guys - Grimm, Edwards, maybe Monty - can really step up because it's increasingly looking like the big name vets at the backend are gonna need some help.
I absolutely agree, too, on Happ... and cannot help but wonder what the longterm plan is for him. Do the Cubs see him as a legit starter somewhere? I'm not sure where he fits, so grooming him as the next Zobrist would be my plan for him at Iowa. Indications increasingly seem to be that he may not have the arm for CF (and, I assume, it's long been assumed he can't really play SS for the same reason) - but I'd still like to see him get some work all over the diamond in anticipation of filling that role... unless the bat forces the issue.
I would hope that in any Candelario trade discussions - and clearly, the guy just doesn't have a future in Wrigley -- Thed is looking at some rebuidling team who might be interested in BOTH Candy and Szczur in order to max the return. Of course, rebuilding teams are rarely all that interested in dealing prospects... but - one possible area... What more would it take to pry Teheran loose from the Braves? I might even consider Eloy as a part of such a package.
Definitely. Strop has looked better than Rondon, in what I've seen. So while I worry some about Davis and Rondon, I think my specific worry is more about the "need" to trade for yet another elite reliever type and thus leave less depth to trade for that starter.
What more would it take to pry Teheran loose from the Braves? I might even consider Eloy as a part of such a package.
I feel like the window to get him has closed. Not that the Braves are really playoff contenders today, but they sure look a lot closer than a year ago and it seems like they're fighting back a little bit on the PR side so moving their ace now would be counter-productive to that.
I find myself looking at Tampa again, maybe Archer is more gettable now. And yes, moving Eloy for someone like that is definitely ok IMO.
Yeah, this would anger me greatly. I mean, I know we sometimes go overboard with the whole "relievers are so damn fungible, why trade value for one" - but the last thing I want to do is trade yet more prospects for a reliever. I think we've paid a hefty price already for a half year of Chapman + 1 year of Davis... I'd like to take a break from that, at least for a season.
I'm as high as anyone on a couple of potential future rotation members - but Cease is almost certainly at least two years off (to say nothing of the fact that he needs a good year at full-season ball to really 'arrive' as a future rotation piece) and while I think Clifton may be an option as soon as 2018, that's obviously not guaranteed and in any case, it's not like I expect him to immediately settle in.
It's silly to be looking ahead to 2018 when we haven't even hit opening day 2017 yet, I guess -- but Lackey is probably gone after this year, and I increasingly suspect Jake won't be getting an extension (something I think I'm OK with, BTW... unless he reverts to 2015/1st half 2016 Jake).
Anyway, I suppose it's funny for defending champs to look at the next season as a 'bridge year' -- but pitching-wise, I do see 2017 that way... Barring injury or disaster, I kind of feel like the roster/lineup is pretty much set for the foreseeable future... but big changes are coming for the pitching staff within the next calendar year and that's gonna take either a truckload of money, some really nifty dumpster diving, or another prospect haul (and maybe all three) to adequately fill.
---
Barring injury or disaster, I kind of feel like the roster/lineup is pretty much set for the foreseeable future... but big changes are coming for the pitching staff within the next calendar year and that's gonna take either a truckload of money, some really nifty dumpster diving, or another prospect haul (and maybe all three) to adequately fill.
Yep. And the Cubs do have the money/prospects/talent to fill it out. I have no idea what it'll look like, but I'm excited to see. Not as excited as watching this team again, but a little bit on the side.
Not that I ever expect the Cardinals to go away -- but honestly, I think it's (at least as much) the Pirates who ought to be the main competition for the Cubs the NLC. I think Josh Bell is gonna hit a ton and they've got a nice collection of young talent. Probably depends most on their young arms (Cole, Taillon, Glasnow, etc) staying healthy and on track -- always a dicey proposition -- but if Cutch picks up where his late summer/fall left off and gets back to being Cutch, I think they'll be a WC contender this year.
Come 2018, if the pitching continues to progress - I could see them being the primary challengers.
Obviously, I'd be fine with the Cardinals being buried for a nice, long period of irrelevance -- but it's probably the Pirates I feel worst for... I think that org has done a really nice job (for the most part) identifying, developing, and acquiring talent. I think they've planned well and they have a nice young organization... If we should happen to take a year off from dominance :-) - I'd be fine with the Bucs going places... especially with Redass Rodriguez no longer being on the team.
Is that a typo, or Russell's way of saying he's still not totally healthy?
All things being said, that's the preferred roster, and not a bloated pitching staff. Plus Duensing isn't that good.
I'm pleasantly surprised.
...I do think the Dodgers and Nats and Indians and Red Sox all also look like really good to great teams, though with different margins for error than the Cubs (or maybe I mean smaller, so more of a variance range for them).
I'm gonna go with 100 wins on the nose and a back-to-back.
Other bold predictions...
- Anthony Rizzo wrests the MVP from KB
- Kyle Hendricks wins the CYA
- Jake scuffles, Lackey falls apart, and Candelario + more fetch a nice SP heist at midseason
- Addison Russell breaks the 30 HR mark
- Schwarbs makes - and deserves - an ASG nod
Same here.
I will put up a prediction thread.
Of the 25 players to make the Opening Day roster this year, 16 were on the Opening Day roster last year:
Arrieta, Bryant, Grimm, Hendricks, Heyward, Lackey, La Stella, Lester, Montero, Rizzo, Rondon, Russell, Schwarber, Strop, Szczur, Zobrist
10 were on the Opening Day roster in 2015:
Arrieta, Grimm, Hendricks, La Stella, Lester, Montero, Rizzo, Rondon, Szczur, Strop
Only 4 were on the Opening Day roster in 2014:
Grimm, Rizzo, Rondon, Strop
Only 2 were on the Opening Day roster in 2013:
Rizzo, Rondon
Zero were on the Opening Day roster in 2012. Everyone on the Opening Day roster for that team is long gone. Rizzo came up later that year, but from the Opening Day guys, it looks like Starlin Castro hung around the longest.
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