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Gonfalon Cubs — Cubs Baseball for Thinking Fans Saturday, October 29, 2016Game 3 FeelingsWell, not a lot that can be sugar coated after that one. It really is amazing that was a 1-0 game, regardless of the winner, considering the weather. The fact that neither team came anywhere near close to hitting a home run is absolutely unbelievable. Anyhow.. Things I liked, enjoyed, or that gave me hope Things I didn’t like, didn’t enjoy, or that worried me Moses Taylor loves a good maim
Posted: October 29, 2016 at 12:01 AM | 22 comment(s)
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1. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: October 29, 2016 at 12:10 AM (#5337555)I said in some thread that I thought the key for the Cubs is not to fall too far behind, because with the Indians only having three starters and relying very heavily on their bullpen, I think the matchups become much more favorable to the Cubs as the series goes on. But they're not leaving themselves very much wiggle room and the Cubs probably have their least favorable matchup in the next game in Lackey vs. Kluber. And if they lose that one, then they literally have no room for error.
All of that said, if the Cubs win Game 4, I think they win the series, probably in 6. And since I'm going to be at Game 4 and given what I paid to be there, they damn well better win Game 4!
Would say 15% of folks boarding the plane are wearing Cubs gear.
Am planning to buy tickets at the lastest possible moment but may end up watching at a bar either tonight or tomorrow. Anyone have any recommendations for someplace non-douchey and non-extortionate? Good beer selection a plus.
I do wonder if Heyward could have made it a close enough play to keep Martinez on third. Not that it matters. The wild pitch is the real regret in that sequence.
I posted this on the Game 3 Omnichatter, but it looks like that thread is probably dead, so: How does the package that the Indians gave up for Miller compare to Torres et al for Chapman? Is it that much better?
If the Cubs added Happ or Cease it would have been getting pretty close. OTOH, the Yankees may have kept holding out for Schwarber so who knows whether that hypothetical trade might have ever been an option.
Torres and Frazier are close in value: both B+ from Sickels, #16 and #26 respectively in his end-of-season top-100. The Indians also parted with Sheffield, another B+ prospect who Sickels has at #63. So, the Indians gave up quite a bit more.
Of course, Cleveland controls Miller for 2 more years, so net-net, I think Cleveland got the better deal. But they paid heavily.
This was my impression at the time and it still seems accurate.
But I also think the Cubs were probably never going to get Miller without giving up Schwarber, so I don't think they had an option for a better deal for Miller.
But I also think the Cubs were probably never going to get Miller without giving up Schwarber, so I don't think they had an option for a better deal for Miller.
I think hey should have just given up Schwarber. If they had simply replaced Torres with Schwarber in the deal it would have the equivalent of trading Schwarber for Torres plus 2 years of Andrew Miller. I think that's a good trade on pure value.
Add to that, the Cubs can't really deploy Schwarber optimally given their current team makeup (Rizzo blocking 1B for the next 5 years), I think they should have pulled the trigger.
As a Yankee fan, I'm happy they didn't. I'd rather have Torres, Frazier, and Sheffield than Schhhwarber and whatever they would have gotten for Chapman from another team. To me, Schwarber's skill set (slugger with negative defensive value) is the easiest for the Yankees to acquire using money alone.
My dad made the good point last night that neither Bryant nor Rizzo are contributing at the plate. Cubs fans need to see Bryzzo again! The key chances to score last night involved Heyward, Baez, and Contreras, not the middle of the order.
Josh Tomlin gave up at least one run in EVERY SINGLE START in 2016, both regular season and postseason, until last night. In Wrigley, with the wind blowing out and Carlos Santana in left field. If they end up losing the Series, this game is probably the biggest reason why.
Lackey doesn't bother me. He's been bad (but not terrible) in his two postseason starts. .... but he also had a pretty good season. Sample size edge? Goes to the regular season. He was actually at his best down the stretch, with an ERA of 2.34 (IIRC) in his final nine starts.
That said, I've been wrong on every game so far. I liked the Cubs with Lester in Game 1. I didn't trust Arrieta after his last 3+ months. I really thought that they would win last night.
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