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   1. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: March 07, 2006 at 05:35 AM (#1886533)
what's with the read more link for 1 sentence?

Anywho, from the mount of Neifi, "Neifi ain't a sub."
   2. Harold can be a fun sponge Posted: March 07, 2006 at 05:39 AM (#1886536)
what's with the read more link for 1 sentence?

I think the software automatically does that as soon as a post is beyond a certain limit -- the problem is that it inserts it right at the end, anyway. Seems you'd want it after the first paragraph or so instead.
   3. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: March 07, 2006 at 05:49 AM (#1886543)
I got the 2006 BPro today so here's what PECOTA thinks:

Cedeno: .274/.320/.387

Perez: .263/.295/.358

Just to put Mr. Perez' projected batting line at 2B in perspective, here is the projection for Mike Fontenot: .254/.332/.385
   4. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: March 07, 2006 at 05:53 AM (#1886547)
...and Hairston: .266/.341/.379

BTW, PECOTA is not optimistic for Walker: .279/.341/.424

No matter how you slice it, the Cubs are probably looking at a rather light hitting middle infield. That should complement the light-hitting outfield rather well.
   5. Hendry's Wad of Cash (UCCF) Posted: March 07, 2006 at 06:19 AM (#1886579)
"I do care about starting," he said. "But I started out [as a backup] last year and look at what happened. Let's see what happens.

"If they need someone ready to play, they don't know how [Cedeno] is going to be in the big leagues for a whole year.

"Ronny is a really good shortstop, but sometimes you need a veteran in the middle. So let's see what happens. I'm not mad. I'm excited to be here."


Oh, this should be fun. Is Neifi going to grouse about playing time if he's not the starter? Never mind that the Cubs overpaid him by about $5M for the next two years to bring him back.

Poor Cedeno. Whose job at Iowa will he be taking when he gets sent down June 1 because he's not getting enough ABs in Chicago?
   6. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: March 07, 2006 at 06:27 AM (#1886588)
Whose job at Iowa will he be taking when he gets sent down June 1 because he's not getting enough ABs in Chicago?

I'm guessing The Riot's.

.279/.341/.424

Relatively speaking, that's pretty damn good. And it's not "light-hitting." It's fundamentally sound.
   7. Hack Wilson Posted: March 07, 2006 at 06:27 AM (#1886589)
Poor Cedeno. Whose job at Iowa will he be taking when he gets sent down June 1 because he's not getting enough ABs in Chicago?
I think Cedeno will remain with the Cubs, whether or not he starts.

But we can start a poll for when Murton gets his first start............. at Iowa.
   8. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: March 07, 2006 at 12:48 PM (#1886703)
It's fundamentally sound.

Take it to the Narron thread.
   9. Fred Garvin is dead to Mug Posted: March 07, 2006 at 02:12 PM (#1886733)
I agree with Hack -- if Neifi starts at SS, Cedeno will ride the pine, rather than being sent to Iowa.
   10. Hendry's Wad of Cash (UCCF) Posted: March 07, 2006 at 02:59 PM (#1886772)
I agree with Hack -- if Neifi starts at SS, Cedeno will ride the pine, rather than being sent to Iowa.

I think he'll ride the pine for a little while, but at some point there will be concern that he's not getting enough playing time and they'll send him to Iowa before recalling him in September. That seems to be Hendry's usual MO with guys like this (Murton last year, Choi in 2003). I think Dubois would have gotten sent down last year as well if they hadn't traded him first.
   11. Jerry Mumphrey Posted: March 07, 2006 at 03:38 PM (#1886812)
Is Hendry too scared to intervene with the starting lineup or has he actually bought into Dusty's methodology of filling out the lineup card?
   12. Andere Richtingen Posted: March 07, 2006 at 03:53 PM (#1886827)
I think he'll ride the pine for a little while, but at some point there will be concern that he's not getting enough playing time and they'll send him to Iowa before recalling him in September.

Maybe, but the Cubs have a history of carrying a backup SS they never use on their rosters, despite carrying 12 pitchers most of the time.
   13. Moses Taylor loves a good maim Posted: March 07, 2006 at 03:56 PM (#1886831)
Is Hendry too scared to intervene with the starting lineup or has he actually bought into Dusty's methodology of filling out the lineup card?

I don't think it's either. He just thinks it's Dusty's job, and stays out of it. I don't think it's fear or agreement.
   14. Fred Garvin is dead to Mug Posted: March 07, 2006 at 05:23 PM (#1886934)
I think he'll ride the pine for a little while, but at some point there will be concern that he's not getting enough playing time and they'll send him to Iowa before recalling him in September.

If that's what the do (and what they did last year), they'll need to sign another Enrique Wilson. Otherwise, if Neifi starts, they won't have a backup SS.
   15. Fred Garvin is dead to Mug Posted: March 07, 2006 at 05:28 PM (#1886941)
Is Hendry too scared to intervene with the starting lineup or has he actually bought into Dusty's methodology of filling out the lineup card?

--I don't think it's either. He just thinks it's Dusty's job, and stays out of it. I don't think it's fear or agreement.


I think there is at least some tacit agreement. I agree that Hendry lets Dusty set the batting order and doesn't meddle with most things, but he certainly doesn't disagree with Dusty's moves either.

Last year, for instance, I think most of us (including me) had some sort of faith in Hendry that he was some sort of a buffer on Dusty, that Hendry really wanted Dubois to be the starter, etc. Not only did it not happen, but when August rolled around and Jerry Hairston, Jr. came off the DL, it was Hendry's decision to demote the .340 hitting Matt Murton.

I guess what I'm saying is that I'm more inclined to believe that Dusty and Hendry are on the same page than to believe that one of them calls the shots and the other one listens or stays out of the way.
   16. diehard4life Posted: March 07, 2006 at 06:02 PM (#1886988)
I just got back in from 'Zona last night. 3 days of fun, sun, and baseball. My takeaways:

Pitching:

I saw Wellemeyer and Da Cannuck (Dempster) struggle. Like someone else said, Todd, couldn't find the strike zone very well. Too bad, I like his effort and composition. Novoa was shakey, but got out of jams. Hill was pretty solid as were Eyre and Howry. Jae-kuk Ryu was electric, maybe all our guys should aim at endangered birds(KIDDING!) Williams was decent. I'm really hoping he does well. I am an underdog kinda guy, and we need him! I saw him running the neighborhood on his "day off" in Mesa. Hill, Sean Marshall(really#45), and a couple of the other AAAA pitchers really seemed to work out hard. After riding alongside Rusch in his Bentley on the way to Peoria, He was very good Friday too. Not too into running his sprints. A fan shouted some kind of jab at him and he smiled. Bobbie Brownline and Wade Miller looks decent as well.

Lets hope 2-3 of the young studs have a few good games while we get the horses back healthy. Starting pitching is going to be iffy until Wood and Prior are both back solid. My guess: Hill, Marshall, Koronka, and Jae-kuk Ryu all have a shot at being extra arms.

Hitting:

Youth movement! Dopirak and Sing show no love for the cowhide. Those biggin's tore it up. They did last year when I was there too. Jake Fox, Micheal Restovich, Buck Coats all hit well too. Marquise hit well as did pierre. Murton was fair as was Ramierez.

Fielding:

Fielding was pretty good. A lot of Karoms in the spring training parks. Grissom and Murton were looking a little like DuBois and Mulletsworth out there. But I would rather see that then have them get hurt in the spring which doesn't count. Fox was a good backstop and Dopirak and Sing were great in D-Lee's abscence. Part of me wonders if those guys shouldn't be trained to play OF as well. Ramierez, Augie, Neifi, Walker all played solid D and turned plays that should have been made.

I guess I maybe too optimistic, but if we can get the right pieces assembled, get the pitching tuned, and stay healthy, this should be a good year. I am pretty fired up about our farm too. Lot's of tough hard workers there. I get to a couple games a year in Peoria and look forward to seeing a couple guys that didn't get invited this year.

1 month until opening day.
   17. Andere Richtingen Posted: March 07, 2006 at 06:14 PM (#1887009)
I guess what I'm saying is that I'm more inclined to believe that Dusty and Hendry are on the same page than to believe that one of them calls the shots and the other one listens or stays out of the way.

That's the way I see it too. But on top of that, it's somewhat written in stone that a GM shouldn't interfere too much with the field manager's decision-making. I think there's a line drawn that Hendry won't cross, and I don't blame him for that. Instead, Hendry does what he can within the confines of his traditional sphere of influence, talking up young players on the roster and making sure they end up with a spot rather than forcing Baker to play them. The problem is that in Baker he hired someone whose decision-making is in constant need of intervention, and he is content with letting that spin out of control. The solution might not be to interfere with Baker's decisions about who plays, but if not, it should be to show Baker the door.
   18. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: March 07, 2006 at 08:40 PM (#1887374)
I'm happy to see Dopirak hitting again (though the sample size is quite miniscule). Did the organization ever offer excuses like injury to explain his putrid 2005?
   19. H. Vaughn Posted: March 08, 2006 at 01:48 AM (#1887915)
I'm happy to see Dopirak hitting again (though the sample size is quite miniscule). Did the organization ever offer excuses like injury to explain his putrid 2005?

I don't think they felt the need. He's still just 22 - Sing is a similar player and took a second year in Daytona to get his groove. This is a big year for him, though, he's gotta get more selective.
   20. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: March 08, 2006 at 02:08 AM (#1887927)
I don't think they felt the need.

I wanted to cling to some explanation so I could be optimistic about someone in this organization.

Who was it that listed Dopirak as the second best prospect in the NL a year ago? I remember they listed Barton first (just after he was traded to the A's)...
   21. zfan Posted: March 08, 2006 at 02:35 AM (#1887943)
I don't think they felt the need. He's still just 22 - Sing is a similar player and took a second year in Daytona to get his groove. This is a big year for him, though, he's gotta get more selective.


But Sing had a medical explanation--really bad mono. He lost weight and strength, etc. At least that was the story about his first year in the FSL.

If I had to guess, Dopirak's slip might be something similar to what happened with Cedeno. Reportedly, Ronnie hit so well his first year in pro ball (Northwest League?) that he thought he should be the batting champion. He could hit anything if he just put his mind to it. Then he sucked for a couple years, and ran into Von Joshua in AA. At that point, he realized he needed to be more selective and went back to making progress as a hitter. Dopirak had a rep for swinging at everything, yet he was highly touted. Maybe the failure this last year will motivate him to make major changes in his approach. Unfortunately, taking advantage of the thin air in Arizona may work against this.
   22. diehard4life Posted: March 08, 2006 at 02:22 PM (#1888330)
If I had to guess, Dopirak's slip might be something similar to what happened with Cedeno.

Keep your fingers crossed for Ronny, He is not hitting real well right now. That could further Crusty's musical chairs arguement.
   23. Hendry's Wad of Cash (UCCF) Posted: March 08, 2006 at 02:43 PM (#1888356)
Keep your fingers crossed for Ronny, He is not hitting real well right now. That could further Crusty's musical chairs arguement.

Shite. I feared that would happen.
   24. Sweet Posted: March 08, 2006 at 08:05 PM (#1888942)
Somewhat off-topic, but for those of you who like such things, BP's Nate Silver has released his final PECOTA-driven rankings of:

- the top 100 "true" (i.e., rookie-eligible) prospects;

- the top 50 "young players" (combining true prospects, almost prospects, and established players 24-and-under); and

- the top 50 players, of any age, as projected over the next five years.

It's a subscription piece, so I shouldn't give away too much, but I wanted to note that the Cubs have two players among the top 100 true prospects (Eric Patterson at #35 and Felix Pie at #44) and no players among the top 50 "young players" (Murton and Cedeno don't score well on PECOTA; Zambrano and Prior apparently missed the age cut-off). They do, however, have four players in the top 50 list overall: Big Z at 15 (fourth-best pitcher), Lee at 23, Prior at 34, and Ramirez at 44. That's pretty impressive -- a quick scan of the list suggests that no other team has more top-tier talent.
   25. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: March 08, 2006 at 11:00 PM (#1889531)
I'm not as excited about Eric Patterson as most seem to be. He should have destroyed that level at his age.
   26. diehard4life Posted: March 09, 2006 at 03:37 PM (#1890318)
I'm not as excited about Eric Patterson as most seem to be. He should have destroyed that level at his age.

I'd say E-Pat pretty much did tear up Peoria.

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