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Hall of Merit— A Look at Baseball's All-Time Best
Sunday, July 23, 2006
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1. John (You Can Call Me Grandma) Murphy Posted: July 23, 2006 at 10:03 PM (#2108827)yest got it, Harold.
Probably the biggest context difference between Aaron and Robinson is in the leagues. Notice Robinson's two-year spike in OPS+ just after he got traded from the NL to the AL. One could read that as a signal showing the difference in quality between the leagues at the time. (What followed after that would be normal age-related decline on Robinson's part.)
But this is picking around the edges, arguing between him and Aaron. I have no doubt that Robinson utterly towers over any candidate on the ballot other than Aaron.
Yr Hank Frank
1 40.7 40.7
2 39.4 40.7
3 37.8 36.3
4 37.1 32.7
5 37.0 32.3
6 36.4 29.5
7 34.1 28.1
8 33.8 27.4
9 33.3 26.6
10 32.6 26.0
11 32.5 25.8
12 31.8 25.7
13 31.7 24.5
14 30.8 23.8
15 30.6 23.2
16 27.1 22.6
17 24.5 20.5
18 21.3 18.8
19 20.2 14.2
20 13.4 6.0
21 13.3 1.5
22 9.0
23 4.8
After that Hank just leaves him in the dust with a 5-6 WS advantage for almost every other year on the list.
I have no doubt that Robinson utterly towers over any candidate on the ballot other than Aaron.
Just would like to repeat what OCF said here. Frank Robinson has been underrated by history because he was not as good as Hank Aaron. Frank Robinson was an amazing ballplayer would be a unanimous #1 pick many years.
I seems that FRobby only had six. Slacker.
FRobby's edge over someone like Killebrew, for instance, is just ridiculous.
When you factor in HOF measures, like first black manager and STILL managing today, he's arguably one of the most important people in baseball history...
Here's another of my context-scaled RCAA best-to-worst lists, aimed as much at the 1982 election as 1981. The already-elected Kaline is here for the same reason that a geology photograph has a person standing next to the rock formation: so that you know the scale.
H.Aaron 97 86 74 71 70 69 68 62 61 61 60 56 53 52 52 46 43 42 33 20 7 -2 -3
F.Robby 92 83 76 68 65 60 51 51 49 48 43 42 41 40 39 35 35 25 19 10 0
Kaline 71 62 55 46 45 45 44 39 38 38 35 33 33 24 21 20 17 11 8 -1 -3-19
BWillms 70 66 54 51 46 44 42 37 32 23 23 23 21 20 13 3 2 -4
Kllbrew 83 78 59 57 57 48 42 38 38 37 36 35 27 16 3 1 -3 -3 -4 -5 -8-10
This is strictly offense; you need to add your estimates of defensive value to this. But we're looking at four corner outfielders and a multiposition corner infielder. None of them is a Gold Glove CF; none of them is a Luzinski-esque "where can we hide him" guy.
Not to denigrate Frank in any way, but the still managing today part isn't that extraordinary. He started managing in 1975. Torre started in 1977, Cox in 1978, Larussa in 1979, and they've all spent much more time managing than Frank. Jack McKeon started in 1973 and was managing last year. (Not that Frank was lollygagging in his non-managerial time or anything.)
Anybody who has stayed managing longer than Torre, Cox and LaRussa (three of the great managers of the modern era) must have something going for him.
As an Expos/Nats fan who has endured four years of his managing, I've got to believe the something going for him is friends in high places. He habitually does three things I regard as bad management:
1) He rips his players in public, yet also gives background against them.
2) He drives his bullpen capriciously, overusing the hot hand until it breaks. (And this from a man who grew up watching John Hiller pitch for the Tigers.)
3) He pushes guys to 'play through pain', part of a gospel of machismo he embraces.
Even the author admits that this doesn't necessarily mean much, but in Baseball Prospectus's book Baseball Between the Numbers, James Click has a section where he calculates the value of certain strategic managerial decisions (sac bunts, stolen base attempts, intentional walks) through a Win Expectancy framework. Among managers with at least five managerial seasons between 1972 and 2004, Robinson ranks as the least effective manager in baseball at making these decisions, costing his team 3.2 wins per season on average.
The guy has been in the spotlight for almost every day over the past 50 years.
That praise given, I must agree with fra paolo's assesmnet of Franks lees than sanguine approach to managing.
Frank "doesn't believe" in statistics; he goes with his hunch most of the time. He decides who is hitting the ball well in games and bp and the decides who has the "hot hand" based upon his observations. Decidedly an unsabremetrician. Very old school.
I don't expect to see Frank back next year unless his team rallies and plays over it's collective head the remainder of 06.
And don't forget he was MLB's Czar of Discipline there for a while, too. For sheer impact of multiple remarkable contributions, a case can be made that this is the most remarkable career of them all.
C: Hartnett, who wasn't quite Cochrane (or is that the other way around?)
1B: Foxx, who wasn't quite Gehrig
2B: Biggio, who wasn't quite Alomar (Or maybe use one of Gordon/Doerr?)
3B: Brett, who wasn't quite Schmidt
SS: George Davis, who wasn't quite Wagner - well, that's not close. (Or maybe Jeter goes here)
LF: Raines, who wasn't quite Henderson
CF: Speaker, who wasn't quite Cobb
RF: Robinson, who wasn't quite Aaron
P: Alexander, who wasn't quite Johnson
P: Hubbell, who wasn't quite Grove
P: Nichols, who wasn't quite Young
P: Roberts, who wan't quite Spahn
Perhaps Jeter, who wasn't quite ARod?
(ducking and running...)
-- MWE
Doerr, who wasn't quite Gordon, seems a safer bet.
Doubtful. Too many would say it should be "Gordon, who wasn't quite Doerr" or would say that there wasn't a dime's worth of difference between the two of them . . .
And how about Maddux who wasn't quite Clemens? Or Carlton who wasn't quite Seaver?
At Catcher we could do IRod who wasn't quite Piazza or Camply who wasn't quite Berra.
This is fun.
Also, I think you could argue that John McGraw had a greater player/manager career than Robinson. Much better manager and a player who had definite HOM talent. Joe Torre as well, better manager not nearly FRobby's equal as a player but still a HOM candidate.
in most cases it is founded in the numbers..in other cases (Bill Mueller) the Batting crown is a safe deposit box for something else in the world..the way he attacks the game..it is the person,the ballplayer,the persona too------------
Frank Robinson is the combination of so many aspects of the game and life-at-large/// he registers on the seismograph and the wind chimes..
there are millions of fans with their own favorites..the only thing i can come up with is 'round ball round bat'
and it gets real fun and interesting when you push your case..the numbers can be exciting, but in a way it can be rote and droll..maybe in a fan journey you just catch lightnin' in a bottle..and Robinson just happened to make eye contact for a second and flip a baseball to a crowd..
and politicians and war and taxes and crime and criminals recede
and everything is cool...and IT HAS LEGS because it is there every day..and you have a friend //business be damned// and it has dimensions of the phony.. but so what.. and anybody can posit any axiom......but but you know..and you dig in ..feeling good about Frank Robinson..Hall of Fame..Hall of Merit..
And underlying it all is a plea for fair consideration of the players on this "team." You can't hold the greatness of Aaron against Robinson, or the greatness of Young against Nichols. That it was possible for Wagner to exist is no reason not to vote George Davis into the HoM. And (I'm looking at you, HoF voters), Rickey Henderson is not the yardstick against which Tim Raines should be measured.
He had the Indians over .500 in 1976 - something that was amazingly rare at the time - OK he took over a team that won 78 games in 1974, but still, it was the best record they had from 1969-85.
Then he takes over in San Francisco, another team that was in pretty bad shape and in 1982 he has them down to the last weekend of the season in the pennant race.
He goes to Baltimore, and he turns the team from 54-101 (with that 0-for-20something start) and has them fighting the Blue Jays on the last weekend of the season in 1989.
In 2002 he takes over an Expos team that lost 95 games the year before and gets them over .500 for two years and .500 or better 3 of 4.
While his in game managing may have its issues, he sure seems to find his way to turning bad teams around, IMO.
Now the act usually wears thing and he's gone in a few years . . . but I wouldn't have any problem pulling him in to turn my 90-100 loss team around in a year or two.
There's a lot more to managing a baseball team than knowing when to hit & run or call for a setup man . . .
C- I would go with Campy who wasn't quite Yogi
1B- Foxx, wq Gehrig
2B- Carew wq Morgan
SS- Yount wq Ripken
3B- Brett wq Schmidt
LF- Raines wq Rickey
CF- Mays wq Mantle (peak orientation)
RF- F. Robby wq Aaron
SP- Matty wq Alex (boy, that's a close call)
Nichols wq Cy
Marichal wq Koufax
Hubbell wq Grove
Maddux wq Clemens
Carlton wq Seaver
Roberts wq Spahn (the pitchers are just too easy)
I'd go with Alex wq WJ.
I remember reading an article sometime in the last couple of years, probably at BP, that analyzed Frob's managing. Its conclusion was that Frank's teams tended to see an uptick in their batting performance upon his hiring, especially where walks were concerned. He appeared in this analysis to espouse a more selective hitting philosophy which may have resulted in a little more power too. Not sure I'm remembering correctly, however.
I kind of the 82 Giants are intersting, maybe because they are kind of forgotten. Yes, he had a pretty good lineup (player followed by OPS+):
May/Brenley 93/105
Rg Smith/Bergman 133/118
Morgan 135
Da Evans 118
Lemaster 50 (yuck!)
J Clark 138
C Davis 100
Leonard 102
Good lineup, not superb, no one having a career year, but good. Finished 8th of 12 in Runs Scored. Good lineup except, that it's possible that allowing Lemaster to pile up 436 ABs at a 50 OPS+ might have cost them the pennant, given that they finsihed two games back. Someone needs to take a lot of blame for that. The bench was pretty good too, with several guys pitching in 100 OPS+es in limited duty (including Duane Kuiper, of all players).
The rotation was putrid.
Laskey 115
Gale 85
Hammaker 88
R Martin 78
Fowlkes 70
While the "big three" each threw 170+, none topped 190.
That the team finished seventh in ERA (in a 100 park factor park) is due to Robinson's handling of those guys, viz a viz these guys in his bullpen:
Minton 197
Lavelle 135
Holland 108
Breining 117
Barr 110
All five threw 100 innings, with the final three making 7, 9, 9 starts with 0, 2, 1 CG among them. Here's how those breakout with their innings and eras partioned by starting and relieving, thanks to Retrosheet:
Holland 38/91 3.15/3.76 (sp/rp)
Breining 56/87 3.51/2.79
Barr 50/78 4.47/2.53
His most effective pure relievers threw 100+ innings, and his next two threw more than 85. Minton threw 120. Without looking at how concentrated the bullpen usage of other managers of the time was, this strikes me as impressive in as much as Robinson went to his best pitchers as often as he could and steered innings away from his crappy starters. Some derisively call this riding the hot hand, and that interpretation could be true, but it could also be seen as his making an apt judgment of the relativer merits of his relievers and his starters. Evidence he wasn't merely riding the hot hand comes from the fact that only five other pitchers made appearances for he Giants that year, none with more than 33 innings. So Robby was'nt blowing through whatever pitchers he could find.
Anyway, it's a pretty interesting season. Robinson gave a whole bunch of guys a chance to get more PAs (esp Leonard, Davis, and Brenley), he turned over the entire rotation, and ran a nice bullpen en route to a surprise finish. One starting pitcher that was halfway decent and/or a shorstop who hit like Chris Speier's worst full season could have been the difference. I think Robby gets credit for minimizing the problem of the former and discredit for not being more active about the latter. It's not as dramatic as the late 80s O's turnaround, but it's pretty cool.
I recall knowing in 1968(?) that he suffered double vision from a hit by pitch.
He missed July 1967 ( in another MVP-quality season).
Then in 1968,
.382/.286 through Apr 20 (8 games), thanks to 3-for-4 that day;
about three weeks out, ending with three games as pinch-hitter;
ten more regular games played through May 21 (36 team games), now .333/.313 on the season;
two+ weeks as a pinch-hitter, six appearances, now .302/.280 through Jun 7 (53 team games).
That is two months, one-third of the season, bouncing around .200/.300/.300.
Baltimore ; Frank Robinson
_53 games; 18 in field, 9 more at bat, 26 dnp : 1968 to -06-07
109 games; 99 in field, 4 more at bat, 6 dnp : 1968 from -06-08
162 games; 117 in field, 13 more at bat, 32 dnp : 1968 total
In the final nine games he sat three and bat two, so
100 team-games: 95 in the field, 2 at bat, 3 dnp : 1968-06-08 to -09-17
He did finish far above above .200/.300/.300, climbing to about .270/.390/.430 during June and, roughly, maintaining that to the end.
Elway wq Montana
Mansfield wq Monroe
Thatcher wq Reagan
Redford wq Newman
Superman wq Batman
In The Wild wq Madagascar
Martin wq Sinatra
Shelley wq Byron
Cat wq Dog
i'm down with your list, except this:
Cat wq Dog
Come now, we're all civilized enough to understand that dog wq cat.... Real men admit they love cats (more than dogs!)
West wq Robertson
Bird wq Magic
Barkley wq Malone (?)
Robinson wq Olajuwon
Walton wq Alcindor
Ewing wq Willis Reed
Dr J wq Baylor
Robin Yount "wasn't quite" Ripken? Please. Yount was Ripken before Ripken. Or have you overlooked 1980? 1982? 1983? And then Robin gets hurt and it's off to centerfield.
Early on Ripken hit for average, had power, drew walks, and played defense while playing in a pitcher's park.
Yount hit for average, power, drew fewer walks, could run, played defense, and also played in a pitchers park.
And before you protest about the "bandbox" of Milwaukee County Stadium check out 1982 when Yount hit 9 homers at home. And 20(!) on the road.
Robin Yount wasn't quite Cal Ripken Jr.? Give me a break.......
He got big improvements at catcher, where Brian Schneider replaced Randy Knorr as the backup, and at CF, where Brad Wilkerson started to play regularly. Vlad got better while Vidro got worse. Fernando Tatis also wasn't hurt so much. However, he got a bit worse in LF and at 1b, where he had problems with a Lee Stevens/Andres Galarraga/Wilkerson combination. (Stevens was much worse.) Most of these improvements look personnel related, so FRobby's input is open to debate. However, he may have helped Barrett and Vlad raise their game.
For what it's worth, the team's walks went from 432 to 537, which also bears out his reputation for encouraging patience. Vlad got an extra 20 walks in 2002 and Vidro and extra 16. Catcher walks went up by 22, and CF ones by 23.
I have to do some work now, otherwise I'd look at pitching.
His peak may be as good as Ripken's, but he only had a few great years at short, and Ripken played his whole career there. Part of what makes one player "not quite" another is that the first guy isn't able to hold his peak as long as the second.
Actually, 77% of his career was at short, but that still beats Yount's 55% easily.
Carew wq Joe Morgan, Kirby Puckett wq Ken Griffey, who'd I miss?
But Tommy John wq good enough or rhs.
--
1975 Cleveland Indians batting leaders
semiregular players
Slug
.524 Boog Powell (1B, 502pa)
.508 Frank Robinson (DH, 149pa)
.504 rico carty (DH-1B,436pa)
OnBase
.385 Frank Robinson
.378 rico carty
.377 Boog Powell
Carty-Robinson was no platoon, both batting right. The team also enjoyed the services of John Lowenstein and Oscar Gamble, both batting left. The quartet split the DH starts 65-37-27-21 - Powell 4 - other 5. Gamble and Lowenstein were the fourth and fifth outfielders by innings or starts, Carty sixth with 10 starts, FRobinson none.
I'll take Carew over Morgan (but that probobly comes as no surprise)
3B- Brett wq Schmidt
Brett and Mays were the most complete player I can think of who ever played the game
SP- Matty wq Alex
Marichal wq Koufax
only on peak
Tony Oliva wq Dick Allen
Oliva was a better player and not a **** (insert your favorite word)
Kirby Puckett wq Ken Griffey
I'll take Puckett due to his Fielding and Average
Superman wq Batman
no way (though not in recent history)
West wq Robertson
West was better clutch player and better shooter
Bird wq Magic
put Bird on the Lakers and Magic on the Celtics I doubt yo'll think that way
Barkley wq Malone
career only
Walton wq Alcindor
you wer talking a bought collage only
Ewing wq Willis Reed
Reed was more complete but Ewing wasa better
Soriano is a lot more patient this year - I've seen at least 50 of his PA in person. He goes deep in at bats much more often is way over his career high in walks already. He's a completely different hitter up there.
I wonder if that will hold up after he's traded.
But seriously Carew over Morgan? Morgan was the best 2B ever! And if you want to take points off of Dick Allen for being dispicable, doesn't Kirby need points taken off as well?
Doc,
While real men can admit they like cats that doesn't change the fact that Dogs are clearly superior in all ways. ;-)
I never did like Morgan very good power (I don't give positioning bonus's ecxept catcher) very good defense (though not half as good as people want to make him out to be) a great eye, a great base runner and a above average hitter but I'll still take one of the best contect hitters ever over him (also Carew wasn't as big a butcher as his rep made him out to be)
Morgan was the best 2B ever! well?
I can see an argument for him over Hornsby by overrating Morgan's glove and running and underrating Hornsby's but how can someone justify Morgan over Collins
And if you want to take points off of Dick Allen for being dispicable, doesn't Kirby need points taken off as
I'm taking the points off Allen because he hurt his team (Kirby might have been a ----- but he helped his team with his personality)
Walton wq Alcindor
you wer talking a bought collage only
what I meant was in the pro's this wasn't even close
I did look at 2001 vs 2002 Expos' pitchers, but couldn't see anything obviously different from the basic starters and pitchers splits. There was a general overall improvement in both categories, and I'm not sure how much that is down to Mr Robinson, and how much to 'regression to the mean'. It might be that the relievers' improvement is a product of his 'hot hand' approach. There's also a couple of significant personnel improvements, such as Bartolo Colon, that need to be taken into account.
Based on my own experience of The Crusty Cat-napper, handling pitching staffs is not among his obvious talents.
Stone Temple Pilots nq Alice in Chains
Karla Bonoff nq Laura Nyro
The Raspberries nq Badfinger
Kathleen Edwards nq Lucinda Williams
Son Volt nq Wilco
U2 nq Big Country
Jeff Buckley nq Tim Buckley
Pink Floyd nq Genesis
Poco nq Flying Burrito Brothers
Coldplay nq Radiohead
Elliott Smith nq Nick Drake
Phish nq The Grateful Dead
Jefferson Starship nq Jefferson Airplane
Marshall Tucker Band nq Allman Brothers Band
Michael Penn nq Aimie Mann
Robin Trower nq Jimi Hendrix
The Libertines nq The Clash
Ane Brun nq Ani Difranco
John Mellencamp nq Bruce Springsteen
nq = wq = not quite = wasn't quite
Sorry!
The Saboteur wq North by Northwest
Bach wq Beethoven
Payton wq Brown
Jackson wq Auerbach
Isiah wq Cousy
Lakers wq Celtics
Monarchs wq Grays
Speaker wq Cobb
Bush wq Bush (take your pick)
Pink Floyd wq Genesis?!?!?!?!
crack wq cocaine
Except Pink Floyd wq Genesis? Again, not on this planet. Genesis wec.
And Bach wq Beethoven, au contraire mon frere!
>Bush wq Bush (take your pick)
Can't argue with that!
BTW you Pink Floyd and/or Genesis fans, check out a Minneapolis band called Halloween Alaska. Two great CDs out there.
litterboxes nq your bed
walton nq alcindor
alcindor nq jabbar
pink floyd nq genesis
no thanks on either of them.
son volt nq wilco
i'd say son volt nwn wilco (aka no where near). their career trajectories are something like Pinson nq Robinson, starting on the same team, splitting off somewhat close, but with a widening gulf by the end of their careers. See also Kuenn nq Kaline, T Davis nq F Howard.
Also this...
The Bobby Abreu trade nq the Pete Alexander trade.
U2 wq Big Country?!?!
Pink Floyd wq Genesis?!?!?!?!
crack wq cocaine
U2 are one of the ten biggest bands of all-time. Big Country were one of the ten best bands of all-time. And, of course, The Edge's guitar sound was strongly influenced by Big Country guitarist Stuart Adamson's work, when he was with the Skids.
http://digamma.net/btfwiki/Big_Country
As for Pink Floyd...Of all the bands of that era, Pink Floyd was the one I never really got. And I probably should explain that I love most of the British progressive bands of the era - Genesis (especially with Peter Gabriel), Yes, King Crimson, Camel, Renaissance, etc.
But apart from one or two songs, ("Wish You Were Here", "Echoes"), I never cared for Pink Floyd. Floyd seemed to mine the same vein, mid-tempo plodders with spacy vocals and sound effects, for virtually all of their work. Dark Side of the Moon is brilliantly produced, but it seems to have about four real songs on it. The Wall is the most boring "classic" album I've ever heard. I do have to give Dave Gilmour credit for discovering Kate Bush, though!
They didn't have the wordplay of Gabriel-era Genesis, or the melodic gifts of Yes, or the instrumental chops of Starlight and Bible Black-era King Crimson. Yet they were more popular than the other three combined. Why?
As for King Crimson, I'll take The Court every time (the LP, including Schizoid Man).
Like I said, check out the Mpls. band Halloween Alaska. Different people have told me they sound like Genesis, Peter Gabriel, Phil Collins, Sting, Blue Nile, even Yes (though I don't hear that one so much myself).
Saw Paul McCartney sing Sgt. Pepper with U2 on The Tube yesterday, had never seen that before. Nice. I like some U2 but overall they're overrated. I'll take Radiohead, thanks, or the FLips.
I went to their myspace page, and listened to the songs there; I quite liked them, especially “All The Arms Around You”. Thanks.
Sunday, Bloody Sunday
Bad
Electric Co.
With or Without You
One Tree Hill
One
That's an impressive group of really stand out songs, with plenty of 1-A and 2nd tier tunes to go with.
I always think of U2 and REM as comparable rock bands. Highly influential, coming out of their countries' respective punk/new wave thangs, having long careers with changes in course, being hugely popular, yet never really being too too comfortable with it, having political overtones and some causework, etc....
I always think of them in unison because I first heard them on the same day.
I completely agree with you. U2 is a great band, and everything you said about them I'd agree with. And there's no doubt about their popularity, influence, and ability to remain at the very top of the A-list for two decades. But I honestly thing that Big Country was better, just looking at the musical side of things.
U2 and REM are two bands that I'll never forget where I was the first time I heard them - in both cases they were being played in a record store. U2's Boy in Everybody's Records in Bellevue, Washington, in 1980, and REM's Murmur in a a record shop in the Georgetown section of Washington, DC, in 1983. In both cases I was floored by their sound, and immediately bought the album...
Again, that's just one guy's opinion.
It's not fair to compare them to Pink Floyd, of course...but even during their own "prime" years, I would take Bela Fleck and Leonard Cohen and Los Lobos and Bill Frisell and Marshall Crenshaw and Wilco and, more recently, Radiohead, among many others. Lately, Sufjan Stevens and Bright Eyes have already surpassed U2 on "prime."
I've never listened to Big Country, but you guys have put me on notice. I'll get 'em under the proverbial belt.
Who booked these bands together and Why?
Strange concert pairings I have experienced.
Black Oak Arkansas warming up for King Crimson.
Mahavishnu John McLaughlin warming up for The J.Geils Band
(at Schaefer/Sullivan/Foxborough stadium)
if you got a speeding ticket on Highway 10 all alone in the Arizona desert after putting a U2 disc in ..well you might say big country was a center at OSU
all alone
nobody in sight
and i got nailed
still have the touch
still blame U2
But I honestly thing that Big Country was better, just looking at the musical side of things.
I've never listened to Big Country, but you guys have put me on notice. I'll get 'em under the proverbial belt.
Send me an e-mail, and I'd be happy to burn you a compilation.
Uh, I'm pretty sure he meant Sebastian Bach. It's close, but I think his run on Gilmore Girls pushes him ahead of Beethoven in terms of historical significance.
I found out just now that they are not sisters... who knew? :-)
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